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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) July 16, 2009
MGIC Investment Corporation
 
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Wisconsin
 
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
     
1-10816   39-1486475
 
(Commission File Number)   (IRS Employer Identification No.)
     
MGIC Plaza, 250 East Kilbourn Avenue, Milwaukee, WI   53202
 
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)   (Zip Code)
(414) 347-6480
 
(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
 
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
     Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
o   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
o   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
 
 

 


 

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
      The Company issued a press release on July 16, 2009 announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended June 30, 2009 and certain other information. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits
  (d)   Exhibits
 
      Pursuant to General Instruction B.2 to Form 8-K, the Company’s July 16, 2009 press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 and is not filed.

 


 

SIGNATURES
      Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
         
  MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
 
 
Date: July 16, 2009  By:   \s\ Timothy J. Mattke    
    Timothy J. Mattke   
    Vice President and Controller   

 


 

INDEX TO EXHIBITS
     
Exhibit    
Number   Description of Exhibit
 
99
  Press Release dated July 16, 2009. (Pursuant to General Instruction B.2 to Form 8-K, this press release is furnished and is not filed.)

 

exv99
Exhibit 99
(MGIC LOGO)
Investor Contact: Michael J. Zimmerman, (414) 347-6596, mike_zimmerman@mgic.com
Media Contact: Katie Monfre, (414) 347-2650, katie_monfre@mgic.com
Investor Contact:  Michael J. Zimmerman, Investor Relations, (414) 347-6596, mike_zimmerman@mgic.com
Media Contact:  Katie Monfre, Corporate Communications, (414) 347-2650, katie_monfre@mgic.com
MGIC Investment Corporation
Reports Second Quarter 2009 Results
MILWAUKEE (July 16, 2009) MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended June 30, 2009 of $339.8 million, compared with a net loss of $99.9 million for the same quarter a year ago. Diluted loss per share was $2.74 for the quarter ending June 30, 2009, compared to diluted loss per share of $0.81 for the same quarter a year ago. In the second quarter of 2009, we did not record any tax benefit for our operating losses, nor do we expect to record any tax benefit on future operating losses.
The net loss for the first six months of 2009 was $524.4 million, compared with a net loss of $134.4 million for the same period last year. For the first six months of 2009, diluted loss per share was $4.22 compared with a diluted loss per share of $1.29 for the same period last year.
Curt S. Culver, chairman and chief executive officer of MGIC Investment Corporation and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (“MGIC”), said that the company’s financial results continue to be adversely impacted by increased delinquencies, which are occurring due to a weakened economy, increased unemployment and lower home prices. He added that as the company continues to navigate through the most severe housing correction since the Great Depression and the worst economy in his lifetime, the company continues to believe that it has more than adequate resources to pay all of its insured claim obligations on the existing insurance in force. He further added that the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance for the State of Wisconsin (“OCI”) will allow MGIC to contribute up to $1 billion to MGIC Indemnity Corporation (“MIC”), a wholly owned MGIC subsidiary, to enable MIC to write new mortgage guaranty insurance.
Total revenues for the second quarter were $454.5 million, compared with $424.5 million in the second quarter last year. Net premiums written for the quarter were $330.4 million, compared with $371.8 million for the same period last year. Net premiums written for the first six months of 2009 were $677.9 million, compared with $740.3 million for the same period last year. Included in other revenue, for the second quarter of 2009, was a gain of $8.0 million that resulted from the repurchase of $40.3 million of long term debt due in September 2011.

 


 

New insurance written in the second quarter was $5.9 billion, compared to $14.0 billion in the second quarter of 2008. New insurance written for the first six months of 2009 was $12.3 billion compared to $33.1 billion in the first half of 2008. Persistency, or the percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior, was 85.1 percent at June 30, 2009, compared with 84.4 percent at December 31, 2008, and 79.7 percent at June 30, 2008.
As of June 30, 2009, MGIC’s primary insurance in force was $220.1 billion, compared with $227.0 billion at December 31, 2008, and $226.4 billion at June 30, 2008. The fair value of MGIC Investment Corporation’s investment portfolio, cash and cash equivalents was $8.5 billion at June 30, 2009, compared with $8.1 billion at December 31, 2008, and $7.8 billion at June 30, 2008.
At June 30, 2009, the percentage of loans that were delinquent, excluding bulk loans, was 12.04 percent, compared with 9.51 percent at December 31, 2008, and 6.02 percent at June 30, 2008. Including bulk loans, the percentage of loans that were delinquent at June 30, 2009 was 14.97 percent, compared to 12.37 percent at December 31, 2008, and 8.60 percent at June 30, 2008.
There was no income from joint ventures in the quarter as a result of the company selling its remaining interest in the Sherman joint venture in the third quarter of 2008 as compared to income from joint ventures, net of tax, of $11.2 million for the same period last year.
Losses incurred in the second quarter were $769.6 million, up from $688.1 million reported for the same period last year. Net underwriting and other expenses were $61.7 million in the second quarter as compared to $68.2 million reported for the same period last year.
Wall Street Bulk transactions, as of June 30, 2009, included approximately 108,000 loans with insurance in force of approximately $17.9 billion and risk in force of approximately $5.3 billion. During the quarter the premium deficiency reserve declined by $62.4 million from $289.5 million, as of March 31, 2009, to $227.1 million as of June 30, 2009. The $227.1 million premium deficiency reserve as of June 30, 2009 reflects the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future premium and already established loss reserves. Within the premium deficiency calculation, our present value of expected future paid losses and expenses was $2,491 million, offset by the present value of expected future premium of $595 million and already established loss reserves of $1,669 million. The premium deficiency reserve as of March 31, 2009 reflected the present value of expected future paid losses and expenses of $2,768 million, offset by the present value of expected future premium of $656 million and already established loss reserves of $1,822 million. The premium deficiency reserve of $1,210.8 million was initially established in the fourth quarter of 2007, and has declined by $983.7 million to $227.1 million as of June 30, 2009.
About MGIC
MGIC (www.mgic.com), the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corporation, is the nation’s leading provider of private mortgage insurance coverage with $220.1 billion primary insurance in force covering 1.4 million mortgages as of June 30, 2009. MGIC serves over 3,300 lenders with locations across the country, Puerto Rico, and other locations helping families achieve homeownership sooner by making affordable low-down-payment mortgages a reality.

 


 

Webcast Details
As previously announced, MGIC Investment Corporation will hold a webcast today at 10 a.m. ET to allow securities analysts and shareholders the opportunity to hear management discuss the company’s quarterly results. The call is being webcast and can be accessed at the company’s website at http://mtg.mgic.com. The webcast is also being distributed over CCBN’s Investor Distribution Network to both institutional and individual investors. Investors can listen to the call through CCBN’s individual investor center at www.companyboardroom.com or by visiting any of the investor sites in CCBN’s Individual Investor Network. The webcast will be available for replay on the company’s website through August 16, 2009 under Investor Information.
This press release, which includes certain additional statistical and other information, including non-GAAP financial information and a supplement that contains various portfolio statistics are both available on the Company’s website at http://mtg.mgic.com under Investor Information.
Safe Harbor Statement
Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors:
     Our actual results could be affected by the risk factors below. These risk factors should be reviewed in connection with this press release and our periodic reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risk factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact, including matters that inherently refer to future events. Among others, statements that include words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “will” or “expect”, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. No investor should rely on the fact that such statements are current at any time other than the time at which this press release was issued.
Safe Harbor Statement
Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors:
     Our actual results could be affected by the risk factors below. These risk factors should be reviewed in connection with this press release and our periodic reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risk factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact, including matters that inherently refer to future events. Among others, statements that include words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “will” or “expect”, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. No investor should rely on the fact that such statements are current at any time other than the time at which this press release was issued.
We may not receive the additional approvals necessary to execute our plan to write new insurance in an MGIC subsidiary.

 


 

     For some time we have been working with the OCI on a plan to write new mortgage insurance in a subsidiary of MGIC. This plan is driven by our concern that in the future MGIC will not meet regulatory capital requirements to write new business.
     The OCI has recently issued an order allowing MGIC to contribute up to $1 billion to MIC to enable MIC to begin writing new mortgage insurance as of January 1, 2010. However, before MIC can begin writing new business, the OCI must also specifically authorize MIC to do so. In addition, each state must approve MIC to write mortgage guaranty policies. As a practical matter, MIC’s ability to write mortgage insurance depends on being approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac. Neither GSE has yet approved MIC as an eligible insurer and we cannot predict whether these approvals will be obtained and if so on what conditions.
     If we are unable to do future business through MIC, we will need to continue to use MGIC to write new business. To do this MGIC will need either additional capital or relief from the regulatory capital requirements in 16 states. Regulatory capital relief will require, among other things, legislation in 12 of these states and changes to insurance regulations in two other states. With regard to external capital, we have not pursued raising capital from private sources, but beginning in 2008 have had discussions with officials at the US Treasury to seek a capital investment and/or reinsurance. At this point, our plan to write new business through MIC is our preferred alternative. However, if we cannot execute that plan, we will need to re-evaluate these other options. Our industry is working towards regulatory relief, but we cannot predict whether it will be achieved. We also cannot predict whether we will be successful in obtaining capital from any external source, but any sale of additional securities could dilute substantially the interest of existing shareholders and other forms of capital relief could also result in additional costs. See also the risk factor titled “Your ownership in our company may be diluted by additional capital that we could raise or if the holders of our convertible debentures convert their debentures into shares of our common stock.”
Changes in the business practices of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.
     The majority of our insurance written is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. As a result, the business practices of the GSEs affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
    the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of the GSEs’ charters (which may be changed by federal legislation) when private mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement on low down payment mortgages,
 
    the amount of loan level delivery fees (which result in higher costs to borrowers) that the GSEs assess on loans that require mortgage insurance,
 
    whether the GSEs influence the mortgage lender’s selection of the mortgage insurer providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that selection,
 
    the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by the GSEs, which can affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the availability of mortgage loans,
 
    the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law, and
 
    the programs established by the GSEs intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured mortgages and the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must implement such programs.
     In September 2008, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”) was appointed as the conservator of the GSEs. As their conservator, FHFA controls and directs the operations of the GSEs. The appointment of FHFA as conservator, the increasing role that the federal government has assumed in the residential mortgage market, our industry’s inability, due to capital constraints, to write sufficient business to meet the needs of the GSEs or other factors may increase the likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change in ways that may have a material

 


 

adverse effect on us. In addition, these factors may increase the likelihood that the charters of the GSEs are changed by new federal legislation. Such changes may allow the GSEs to reduce or eliminate the level of private mortgage insurance coverage that they use as credit enhancement.
     In addition, both of the GSEs have policies which provide guidelines on terms under which they can conduct business with mortgage insurers with financial strength ratings below Aa3/AA-. For information about how these policies could affect us, see the risk factor titled “MGIC may not continue to meet the GSEs’ mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.”
A downturn in the domestic economy or a decline in the value of borrowers’ homes from their value at the time their loans closed may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing.
     Losses result from events that reduce a borrower’s ability to continue to make mortgage payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale. In general, favorable economic conditions reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values, which in turn can influence the willingness of borrowers with sufficient resources to make mortgage payments to do so when the mortgage balance exceeds the value of the home. Housing values may decline even absent a deterioration in economic conditions due to declines in demand for homes, which in turn may result from changes in buyers’ perceptions of the potential for future appreciation, restrictions on mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards, liquidity issues affecting lenders or other factors. The residential mortgage market in the United States has for some time experienced a variety of worsening economic conditions and housing values continue to decline. The recession that began in December 2007, which has been exacerbated by the credit crisis that began in September 2008, may result in further deterioration in home values and employment.
The mix of business we write also affects the likelihood of losses occurring.
     Even when housing values are stable or rising, certain types of mortgages have higher probabilities of claims. These segments include loans with loan-to-value ratios over 95% (including loans with 100% loan-to-value ratios or in certain markets that have experienced declining housing values, over 90%), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors. As of June 30, 2009, approximately 60% of our primary risk in force consisted of loans with loan-to-value ratios equal to or greater than 95%, 8.9% had FICO credit scores below 620, and 13.0% had limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation. A material portion of these loans were written in 2005 — 2007 and through the first quarter of 2008. (In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSEs and other automated underwriting systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by us as “full documentation.” For additional information about such loans, see footnote (1) to the Additional Information at the end of this press release.)
     Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2007 we made a series of changes to our underwriting guidelines in an effort to improve the risk profile of our new business. Requirements imposed by new guidelines, however, only affect business written under commitments to insure loans that are issued after those guidelines become effective. Business for which commitments are issued after new guidelines are announced and before they become effective is insured by us in accordance with the guidelines in effect at time of the commitment even if that business would not meet the new guidelines. For commitments we issue for loans that close and are insured by us, a period longer than a calendar quarter can elapse between the time we issue a commitment to insure a loan and the time we receive the payment of the first premium and report the loan in our risk in force, although this period is generally shorter.
     As of June 30, 2009, approximately 3.5% of our primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and 43.6% of our primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consisted of adjustable rate mortgages in which the

 


 

initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years after the mortgage closing (“ARMs”). We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing. We believe that when the reset interest rate significantly exceeds the interest rate at loan origination, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans. Moreover, even if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs with a “teaser rate” (an initial interest rate that does not fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be substantially higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment that will occur when the fully indexed rate becomes effective. In addition, we have insured “interest-only” loans, which may also be ARMs, and loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs. We believe claim rates on these loans will be substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers of comparable credit quality.
     Although we attempt to incorporate these higher expected claim rates into our underwriting and pricing models, there can be no assurance that the premiums earned and the associated investment income will prove adequate to compensate for actual losses even under our current underwriting guidelines. We do, however, believe that given the various changes in our underwriting guidelines that were effective in 2008, our 2008 and 2009 books (a “book” consists of loans we committed to insure in a year that closed and become insured by us) will generate underwriting profit.
Because we establish loss reserves only upon a loan default rather than based on estimates of our ultimate losses, our earnings may be adversely affected by losses disproportionately in certain periods.
     In accordance with GAAP for the mortgage insurance industry, we establish loss reserves only for loans in default. Reserves are established for reported insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses based on when notices of default on insured mortgage loans are received. Reserves are also established for estimated losses incurred on notices of default that have not yet been reported to us by the servicers (this is what is referred to as “IBNR” in the mortgage insurance industry). We establish reserves using estimated claims rates and claims amounts in estimating the ultimate loss. Because our reserving method does not take account of the impact of future losses that could occur from loans that are not delinquent, our obligation for ultimate losses that we expect to occur under our policies in force at any period end is not reflected in our financial statements, except in the case where a premium deficiency exists. As a result, future losses may have a material impact on future results as losses emerge.
Because loss reserve estimates are subject to uncertainties and are based on assumptions that are currently very volatile, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves.
     We establish reserves using estimated claim rates and claim amounts in estimating the ultimate loss on delinquent loans. The estimated claim rates and claim amounts represent what we believe best reflect the estimate of what will actually be paid on the loans in default as of the reserve date and incorporates mitigation from rescissions.
     The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires judgment by management. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make the assumptions that we use to establish loss reserves more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, a drop in housing values that could materially reduce our ability to mitigate potential loss through property acquisition and resale or expose us to greater loss on resale of properties obtained through the claim settlement process and mitigation from rescissions being materially less than assumed. Changes to our estimates could result in material impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic environment, and there can be no assurance that actual claims paid by us will not be substantially different than our loss reserves.

 


 

The premiums we charge may not be adequate to compensate us for our liabilities for losses and as a result any inadequacy could materially affect our financial condition and results of operations.
     We set premiums at the time a policy is issued based on our expectations regarding likely performance over the long-term. Our premiums are subject to approval by state regulatory agencies, which can delay or limit our ability to increase our premiums. Generally, we cannot cancel the mortgage insurance coverage or adjust renewal premiums during the life of a mortgage insurance policy. As a result, higher than anticipated claims generally cannot be offset by premium increases on policies in force or mitigated by our non-renewal or cancellation of insurance coverage. The premiums we charge, and the associated investment income, may not be adequate to compensate us for the risks and costs associated with the insurance coverage provided to customers. An increase in the number or size of claims, compared to what we anticipate, could adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition.
     In January 2008, we announced that we had decided to stop writing the portion of our bulk business that insures loans which are included in Wall Street securitizations because the performance of loans included in such securitizations deteriorated materially in the fourth quarter of 2007 and this deterioration was materially worse than we experienced for loans insured through the flow channel or loans insured through the remainder of our bulk channel. As of December 31, 2007 we established a premium deficiency reserve of approximately $1.2 billion. As of June 30, 2009, the premium deficiency reserve was $227 million. At each date, the premium deficiency reserve is the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future premium and already established loss reserves on these bulk transactions.
     The mortgage insurance industry is experiencing material losses, especially on the 2006 and 2007 books. The ultimate amount of these losses will depend in part on general economic conditions, including unemployment, and the direction of home prices, which in turn will be influenced by general economic conditions and other factors. Because we cannot predict future home prices or general economic conditions with confidence, there is significant uncertainty surrounding what our ultimate losses will be on our 2006 and 2007 books. Our current expectation, however, is that these books will continue to generate material incurred and paid losses for a number of years. There can be no assurance that additional premium deficiency reserves on Wall Street Bulk or on other portions of our insurance portfolio will not be required.
We may not be able to repay the amounts that we owe under our Senior Notes due in September 2011.
     As of July 14, 2009, we had a total of approximately $120 million in short-term investments available at our holding company. These investments are virtually all of our holding company’s liquid assets. As of July 14, 2009, our holding company had approximately $124.4 million of Senior Notes due in September 2011 (during 2009 through July 14, our holding company purchased $75.6 million principal amount of these Notes) and $300 million of Senior Notes due in November 2015 outstanding. On an annual basis as of July 14, 2009, our holding company’s current use of funds for interest payments on its Senior Notes approximates $23 million. Covenants in the Senior Notes include the requirement that there be no liens on the stock of the designated subsidiaries unless the Senior Notes are equally and ratably secured; that there be no disposition of the stock of designated subsidiaries unless all of the stock is disposed of for consideration equal to the fair market value of the stock; and that we and the designated subsidiaries preserve their corporate existence, rights and franchises unless we or such subsidiary determines that such preservation is no longer necessary in the conduct of its business and that the loss thereof is not disadvantageous to the Senior Notes. A designated subsidiary is any of our consolidated subsidiaries which has shareholders’ equity of at least 15% of our consolidated shareholders’ equity.
     See our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2009 for more information regarding our holding company’s assets and liabilities as of that date, including information about its junior convertible debentures and its election to defer payment of interest on them that was scheduled to be paid April 1, 2009.

 


 

MGIC may not continue to meet the GSEs’ mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.
     The majority of our insurance written is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, each of which has mortgage insurer eligibility requirements. As result of MGIC’s financial strength rating being below Aa3/AA-, it is operating with each GSE as an eligible insurer under a remediation plan. We believe that the GSEs view remediation plans as a continuing process of interaction between a mortgage insurer and the GSE that continues until the mortgage insurer under the remediation plan once again has a rating of at least Aa3/AA-. There can be no assurance that MGIC will be able to continue to operate as an eligible mortgage insurer under a remediation plan. If MGIC ceases being eligible to insure loans purchased by one or both of the GSEs, it would significantly reduce the volume of our new business writings.
Loan modification and other similar programs may not provide material benefits to us.
     Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, the federal government, including through the FDIC and the GSEs, and several lenders have adopted programs to modify loans to make them more affordable to borrowers with the goal of reducing the number of foreclosures. All of these programs are in their early stages. For the quarter ending June 30, 2009, we modified loans with risk in force of $218 million.
     Even if a loan is modified, the effect on us of loan modifications depends on how many modified loans subsequently re-default, which in turn can be affected by changes in housing values. Re-defaults can result in losses for us that could be greater than we would have paid had the loan not been modified. At this point, we cannot predict with a high degree of confidence what the ultimate re-default rate will be, and therefore we cannot ascertain with confidence whether these programs will provide material benefits to us. In addition, because we do not have information in our database for all of the parameters used to determine which loans are eligible for modification programs, our estimates of the number of loans qualifying for modification programs are inherently uncertain. If legislation is enacted to permit a mortgage balance to be reduced in bankruptcy, we would still be responsible to pay the original balance if the borrower re-defaulted on that mortgage after its balance had been reduced. Various government entities and private parties have enacted foreclosure moratoriums. A moratorium does not affect the accrual of interest and other expenses on a loan. Unless a loan is modified during a moratorium to cure the default, at the expiration of the moratorium additional interest and expenses would be due which could result in our losses on loans subject to the moratorium being higher than if there had been no moratorium.
We may not continue to realize benefits from rescissions at the levels we have recently experienced.
     Historically, claims submitted to us on policies we rescinded were not a material portion of our claims paid during a year. However, beginning in 2008 and continuing through the end of the second quarter of 2009 rescissions have materially mitigated our paid losses. While we have a substantial pipeline of claims investigations that we expect will eventually result in rescissions during the remainder of 2009, we can give no assurance that rescissions will continue to mitigate paid losses at the same level we have recently experienced. In addition, if the insured disputes our right to rescind coverage, whether the requirements to rescind are met ultimately would be determined by arbitration or judicial proceedings. Objections to rescission may be made several years after we have rescinded an insurance policy.
     In addition, our loss reserving methodology includes estimates of the number of loans in our delinquency inventory that will be successfully rescinded. A variance between ultimate actual rescission rates and these estimates could materially affect our losses. See “Because loss reserve estimates are subject to uncertainties and are based on assumptions that are currently very volatile, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves.”
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements change, the length of time that our policies remain in force could decline and result in declines in our revenue.
     In each year, most of our premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As a result, the length of time insurance remains in force, which is also generally referred to as persistency, is a significant determinant of our revenues. The factors affecting the length of time our insurance remains in force include:

 


 

    the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates on the insurance in force, which affects the vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancings, and
 
    mortgage insurance cancellation policies of mortgage investors along with the current value of the homes underlying the mortgages in the insurance in force.
     During the 1990s, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to a low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. At June 30, 2009 persistency was at 85.1%, compared to the record low of 44.9% at September 30, 2003.
The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
     These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
    lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration,
 
    lenders and other investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring,
 
    investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance, using other credit enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage, or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement, and
 
    lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private mortgage insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%, 15% or 20% loan-to-value ratio (referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans, respectively) rather than a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% loan-to-value ratio that has private mortgage insurance.
     We believe the Federal Housing Administration (the “FHA”), which until 2008 was not viewed by us as a significant competitor, substantially increased its market share beginning in 2008. We believe that the FHA’s market share increased, in part, because mortgage insurers have tightened their underwriting guidelines (which has led to increased utilization of the FHA’s programs) and because of increases in the amount of loan level delivery fees that the GSEs assess on loans (which result in higher costs to borrowers). Recent federal legislation and programs have also provided the FHA with greater flexibility in establishing new products and have increased the FHA’s competitive position against private mortgage insurers.
Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.
     In recent years, the level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has been intense as many large mortgage lenders reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the mortgage lending market held by large lenders. Our private mortgage insurance competitors include:
    PMI Mortgage Insurance Company,
 
    Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation,
 
    United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company,
 
    Radian Guaranty Inc.,

 


 

    Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, whose parent, based on information filed with the SEC through July 14, 2009, is our largest shareholder, and
 
    CMG Mortgage Insurance Company.
     Our relationships with our customers could be adversely affected by a variety of factors, including continued tightening of and adherence to our underwriting guidelines, which have resulted in our declining to insure some of the loans originated by our customers, and our decision to discontinue ceding new business under excess of loss captive reinsurance programs. We believe the FHA, which in recent years was not viewed by us as a significant competitor, substantially increased its market share beginning in 2008.
     While the mortgage insurance industry has not had new entrants in many years, the perceived increase in credit quality of loans that are being insured today combined with the deterioration of the financial strength ratings of the existing mortgage insurance companies could encourage new entrants. One new mortgage insurance company has announced that it has received capital commitments and is in the process of being licensed and we understand that another potential new entrant has advertised for employees.
Your ownership in our company may be diluted by additional capital that we could raise or if the holders of our convertible debentures convert their debentures into shares of our common stock.
     We have filed, and the SEC has declared effective, a shelf registration statement that would allow us to sell up to $850 million of common stock, preferred stock, debt and other types of securities. While we have no current plans to sell any securities under this registration statement, any capital that we do raise through the sale of common stock or equity or equity-linked securities senior to our common stock or convertible into our common stock will dilute your ownership percentage in our company and may decrease the market price of our common shares. Furthermore, the securities may have rights, preferences and privileges that are senior or otherwise superior to those of our common shares.
     We have approximately $390 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures outstanding. The principal amount of the debentures is currently convertible, at the holder’s option, at an initial conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 74.0741 common shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures. This represents an initial conversion price of approximately $13.50 per share. We have elected to defer the payment of approximately $17.6 million of interest on these debentures that would have been due April 1, 2009 and may defer additional interest in the future. If a holder elects to convert its debentures, the interest that has been deferred on the debentures being converted is also converted into shares of our common stock. The conversion rate for such deferred interest is based on the average price that our shares traded at during a 5-day period immediately prior to the election to convert the associated debentures.
Our common stock could be delisted from the NYSE.
     The listing of our common stock on the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE, is subject to compliance with NYSE’s continued listing standards, including that the average closing price of our common stock during any 30 trading day period equal or exceed $1.00 and that our average market capitalization for any such period equal or exceed $15 million. The NYSE can also, in its discretion, discontinue listing a company’s common stock if the company discontinues a substantial portion of its operations. If we do not satisfy any of NYSE’s continued listing standards or if we cease writing new insurance, our common stock could be delisted from the NYSE unless we cure the deficiency during the time provided by the NYSE. If the NYSE were to delist our common stock, it likely would result in a significant decline in the trading price, trading volume and liquidity of our common stock. We also expect that the suspension and delisting of our common stock would lead to decreases in analyst coverage and market-making activity relating to our common stock, as well as reduced information about trading prices and volume. As a result, it could become significantly more difficult for our shareholders to sell their shares of our common stock at prices comparable to those in effect prior to delisting or at all.

 


 

If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that we write could decline, which would reduce our revenues.
     The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
    restrictions on mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards and liquidity issues affecting lenders,
 
    the level of home mortgage interest rates,
 
    the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies,
 
    housing affordability,
 
    population trends, including the rate of household formation,
 
    the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect whether refinance loans have loan-to-value ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and
 
    government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers.
We are subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory proceedings.
     Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement service providers. Seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGIC’s settlement of class action litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs’ claims in litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against a number of large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While we are not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that we will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a material adverse effect on us.
     We are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation by state insurance departments. These regulations are principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders, rather than for the benefit of investors. Although their scope varies, state insurance laws generally grant broad supervisory powers to agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business. Given the recent significant losses incurred by many insurers in the mortgage and financial guaranty industries, our insurance subsidiaries have been subject to heightened scrutiny by insurance regulators. State insurance regulatory authorities could take actions, including changes in capital requirements, that could have a material adverse effect on us.
     In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department, we provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the New York Insurance Department requested MGIC to review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years’ experience or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the New York Insurance Department that it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk, premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce, which regulates insurance, we provided the Department with information about captive mortgage reinsurance and certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to the Minnesota Department of Commerce, and beginning in March 2008 that Department has sought additional information as well as answers to

 


 

questions regarding captive mortgage reinsurance on several occasions. In June 2008, we received a subpoena from the Department of Housing and Urban Development, commonly referred to as HUD, seeking information about captive mortgage reinsurance similar to that requested by the Minnesota Department of Commerce, but not limited in scope to the state of Minnesota. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
     The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban Development as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance arrangements are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance industry.
     In October 2007, the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission requested that we voluntarily furnish documents and information primarily relating to C-BASS, the now-terminated merger with Radian and the subprime mortgage assets “in the Company’s various lines of business.” We have provided responsive documents and/or other information to the Securities and Exchange Commission and understand this matter is ongoing.
     In 2008, complaints in five separate purported stockholder class action lawsuits were filed against us, several of our officers and an officer of C-BASS. The allegations in the complaints are generally that through these individuals we violated the federal securities laws by failing to disclose or misrepresenting C-BASS’s liquidity, the impairment of our investment in C-BASS, the inadequacy of our loss reserves and that we were not adequately capitalized. The collective time period covered by these lawsuits begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The complaints seek damages based on purchases of our stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the purported misstatements and omissions. In March 2009, the five lawsuits were consolidated and a lead plaintiff was appointed. A consolidated complaint was filed in June 2009. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them of the type alleged in the complaints. We will be filing a motion to dismiss this consolidated complaint in August 2009. However, we are unable to predict the outcome of these consolidated cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses. Other lawsuits alleging violations of the securities laws could be brought against us.
     Two law firms have issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating whether the fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plan’s investment in or holding of our common stock. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that the plan fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them. We intend to defend vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations.
The Internal Revenue Service has proposed significant adjustments to our taxable income for 2000 through 2004.
     The Internal Revenue Service conducted an examination of our federal income tax returns for taxable years 2000 though 2004. On June 1, 2007, as a result of this examination, we received a revenue agent report. The adjustments reported on the revenue agent report would substantially increase taxable income for those tax years and resulted in the issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and accuracy related penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the Internal Revenue Service on certain issues and paid $10.5 million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue relates to our treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits, or REMICs. This portfolio has been managed and maintained during years prior to, during and subsequent to the examination period. The Internal Revenue Service has indicated that it does not believe, for various reasons, that we have established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss from these investments was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and have appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time and a final resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. In July 2007, we made a payment on account of

 


 

$65.2 million with the United States Department of the Treasury to eliminate the further accrual of interest. We believe, after discussions with outside counsel about the issues raised in the revenue agent report and the procedures for resolution of the disputed adjustments, that an adequate provision for income taxes has been made for potential liabilities that may result from these notices. If the outcome of this matter results in payments that differ materially from our expectations, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that we maintain is improperly disclosed.
     As part of our business, we maintain large amounts of personal information on consumers. While we believe we have appropriate information security policies and systems to prevent unauthorized disclosure, there can be no assurance that unauthorized disclosure, either through the actions of third parties or employees, will not occur. Unauthorized disclosure could adversely affect our reputation and expose us to material claims for damages.
The implementation of the Basel II capital accord, or other changes to our customers’ capital requirements, may discourage the use of mortgage insurance.
     In 1988, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision developed the Basel Capital Accord (Basel I), which set out international benchmarks for assessing banks’ capital adequacy requirements. In June 2005, the Basel Committee issued an update to Basel I (as revised in November 2005, Basel II). Basel II was implemented by many banks in the United States and many other countries in 2008 and may be implemented by the remaining banks in the United States and many other countries in 2009. Basel II affects the capital treatment provided to mortgage insurance by domestic and international banks in both their origination and securitization activities.
     The Basel II provisions related to residential mortgages and mortgage insurance, or other changes to our customers’ capital requirements, may provide incentives to certain of our bank customers not to insure mortgages having a lower risk of claim and to insure mortgages having a higher risk of claim. The Basel II provisions may also alter the competitive positions and financial performance of mortgage insurers in other ways.
We may not be able to recover the capital we invested in our Australian operations for many years and may not recover all of such capital.
     We have committed significant resources to begin international operations, primarily in Australia, where we started to write business in June 2007. In view of our need to dedicate capital to our domestic mortgage insurance operations, we have reduced our Australian headcount and are no longer writing new business in Australia. In addition to the general economic and insurance business-related factors discussed above, we are subject to a number of other risks from having deployed capital in Australia, including foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and interest-rate volatility particular to Australia.
We are susceptible to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans that we insure.
     We depend on reliable, consistent third-party servicing of the loans that we insure. A recent trend in the mortgage lending and mortgage loan servicing industry has been towards consolidation of loan servicers. This reduction in the number of servicers could lead to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans covered by our insurance policies. In addition, current housing market trends have led to significant increases in the number of delinquent mortgage loans requiring servicing. These increases have strained the resources of servicers, reducing their ability to undertake mitigation efforts that could help limit our losses. Future housing market conditions could lead to additional such increases. Managing a substantially higher volume of non-performing loans could lead to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans covered by our insurance policies. Disruptions in servicing, in turn, could contribute to a rise in delinquencies among those loans and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.

 


 

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
                                 
    Three Months Ended June 30,     Six Months Ended June 30,  
    2009     2008     2009     2008  
            (Unaudited)          
    (in thousands of dollars, except per share data)  
 
Net premiums written
  $ 330,383     $ 371,797     $ 677,896     $ 740,251  
 
                       
Net premiums earned
  $ 347,132     $ 350,292     $ 702,962     $ 695,780  
Investment income
    78,036       76,982       155,209       149,464  
Realized gains (losses), excluding other-than-temporary impairments
    23,920       (1,755 )     32,361       (2,949 )
Net impairment losses
    (9,401 )     (8,508 )     (35,103 )     (8,508 )
Other revenue
    14,795       7,522       34,237       14,621  
 
                       
Total revenues
    454,482       424,533       889,666       848,408  
 
Losses and expenses:
                               
Losses incurred
    769,631       688,143       1,527,524       1,379,791  
Change in premium deficiency reserve
    (62,386 )     (158,898 )     (227,187 )     (422,679 )
Underwriting and other expenses, net
    61,721       68,236       124,270       145,222  
Reinsurance fee
          363       26,407       363  
Interest expense
    23,930       22,946       47,856       34,019  
 
                       
Total losses and expenses
    792,896       620,790       1,498,870       1,136,716  
 
                       
Loss before tax and joint ventures
    (338,414 )     (196,257 )     (609,204 )     (288,308 )
Provision (credit) for income tax
    1,421       (85,215 )     (84,809 )     (132,792 )
Income from joint ventures, net of tax (1)
          11,157             21,134  
 
                       
Net loss
  $ (339,835 )   $ (99,885 )   $ (524,395 )   $ (134,382 )
 
                       
Diluted weighted average common shares outstanding (Shares in thousands)
    124,244       123,834       124,122       103,981  
 
                       
 
Diluted loss per share
  $ (2.74 )   $ (0.81 )   $ (4.22 )   $ (1.29 )
 
                       
 
                               
(1) Diluted EPS contribution from Sherman
  $     $ 0.09     $     $ 0.19  
 
NOTE:    During the second quarter of 2009, the Company adopted FASB Staff Position FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2, “Recognition and Presentation of Other- Than-Temporary Impairments.” The new accounting guidance revises the recognition and reporting requirements for other-than-temporary impairments on the Company’s fixed income securities. The revised presentation on realized gains and losses above is in accordance with this new guidance.
 
NOTE:    See “Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for diluted earnings per share contribution from realized gains and losses.

 


 

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET AS OF
                         
    June 30,     December 31,     June 30,  
    2009     2008     2008  
    (Unaudited)     (Unaudited)     (Unaudited)  
    (in thousands of dollars, except per share data)  
 
ASSETS
                       
Investments (1)
  $ 7,478,278     $ 7,045,536     $ 6,730,981  
Cash and cash equivalents
    1,008,190       1,097,334       1,060,663  
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves (2)
    363,520       232,988       170,573  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    3,857       4,416       8,122  
Home office and equipment, net
    30,146       32,255       33,067  
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
    9,973       11,504       10,393  
Other assets
    328,065       722,701       718,347  
 
                 
 
  $ 9,222,029     $ 9,146,734     $ 8,732,146  
 
                 
 
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
                       
Liabilities:
                       
Loss reserves (2)
    5,698,638       4,775,552       3,401,170  
Premium deficiency reserve
    227,149       454,336       788,162  
Unearned premiums
    313,084       336,098       320,385  
Short- and long-term debt
    426,948       698,446       798,368  
Convertible debentures
    281,486       272,465       264,074  
Other liabilities
    257,715       175,604       222,203  
 
                 
Total liabilities
    7,205,020       6,712,501       5,794,362  
Shareholders’ equity
    2,017,009       2,434,233       2,937,784  
 
                 
 
  $ 9,222,029     $ 9,146,734     $ 8,732,146  
 
                 
 
Book value per share (3)
  $ 16.12     $ 19.46     $ 23.49  
 
                 
 
                       
(1) Investments include net unrealized gains (losses) on securities
    61,097       (78,899 )     (1,666 )
(2) Loss reserves, net of reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves
    5,335,118       4,542,564       3,230,597  
(3) Shares outstanding
    125,102       125,068       125,068  
 
NOTE:    Certain amounts in the 2008 financials have been retrospectively adjusted to reflect the adoption of FSP APB 14-1. See next page for details.
ADOPTION OF FSP APB 14-1
Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted FSP APB 14-1 “Accounting for Convertible Debt Instruments That May Be Settled in Cash upon Conversion (Including Partial Cash Settlement).” This statement requires retrospective application. As such, amounts relating to 2008 have been retrospectively adjusted to reflect the Company’s adoption of this standard.

 


 

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
                                 
    Three Months Ended June 30,   Six Months Ended June 30,
            As originally           As originally
    As adjusted   reported   As adjusted   reported
    2008   2008   2008   2008
    (Unaudited)
    (in thousands of dollars, except per share data)
 
Interest expense
  $ 22,946     $ 19,891     $ 34,019     $ 30,805  
Credit for income tax
    (85,215 )     (84,146 )     (132,792 )     (131,667 )
Net loss
    (99,885 )     (97,899 )     (134,382 )     (132,293 )
Diluted loss per share
    (0.81 )     (0.79 )     (1.29 )     (1.27 )
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET AS OF
                                 
            As originally           As originally
    As adjusted   reported   As adjusted   reported
    December 31,   December 31,   June 30,   June 30,
    2008   2008   2008   2008
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
    (in thousands of dollars, except per share data)
Other assets
  $ 722,701     $ 758,796     $ 718,347     $ 756,785  
Convertible debentures
    272,465       375,593       264,074       373,898  
Shareholders’ equity
    2,434,233       2,367,200       2,937,784       2,866,398  
Book value per share
    19.46       18.93       23.49       22.92  
CERTAIN NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
                                 
    Three Months Ended June 30,     Six Months Ended June 30,  
    2009     2008     2009     2008  
    (Unaudited)  
    (in thousands of dollars, except per share data)  
Diluted earnings per share contribution from realized gains (losses):
                               
Realized gains (losses) and impairment losses
  $ 14,519     $ (10,263 )   $ (2,742 )   $ (11,457 )
Income taxes at 35% (1)
          (3,592 )     (6,041 )     (4,010 )
 
                       
After tax realized gains (losses)
    14,519       (6,671 )     3,299       (7,447 )
Weighted average shares
    124,244       123,834       124,122       103,981  
 
                       
Diluted EPS contribution from realized gains (losses) and impairment losses
  $ 0.12     $ (0.05 )   $ 0.03     $ (0.07 )
 
                       
 
(1)   Due to the establishment of a valuation allowance income taxes provided are not currently affected by realized gains or losses.
Management believes the diluted earnings per share contribution from realized gains or losses provides useful information to investors because it shows the after-tax effect of these items, which can be discretionary.
OTHER INFORMATION
                                 
    Three Months Ended June 30,     Six Months Ended June 30,  
    2009     2008     2009     2008  
 
New primary insurance written (“NIW”) (millions)
  $ 5,917     $ 13,985     $ 12,317     $ 33,051  
 
                       
 
New risk written (millions):
                               
Primary
  $ 1,231     $ 3,408     $ 2,528     $ 8,087  
 
                       
 
Product mix as a % of primary flow NIW
                               
> 95% LTVs
    1 %     15 %     1 %     24 %
ARMs
    1 %     2 %     1 %     1 %
Refinances
    44 %     26 %     51 %     31 %
The results of our operations in Australia are included in the financial statements in this document but the other information in this document does not include our Australian operations, which are immaterial.

 


 

Additional Information
                                                 
    Q1 2008   Q2 2008   Q3 2008   Q4 2008   Q1 2009   Q2 2009
New insurance written (billions)
                                               
Total
  $ 19.1     $ 14.0     $ 9.7     $ 5.5     $ 6.4     $ 5.9  
Flow
  $ 18.1     $ 13.4     $ 9.7     $ 5.5     $ 6.4     $ 5.9  
Bulk
  $ 1.0     $ 0.6     $     $     $     $  
 
                                               
Insurance in force (billions)
                                               
Total
  $ 221.4     $ 226.4     $ 228.2     $ 227.0     $ 223.9     $ 220.1  
Flow
  $ 185.4     $ 191.5     $ 194.9     $ 195.0     $ 193.1     $ 190.6  
Bulk
  $ 36.0     $ 34.9     $ 33.3     $ 32.0     $ 30.8     $ 29.5  
 
                                               
Annual Persistency
    77.5 %     79.7 %     82.1 %     84.4 %     85.1 %     85.1 %
 
                                               
Primary IIF (billions) (1)
  $ 221.4     $ 226.4     $ 228.2     $ 227.0     $ 223.9     $ 220.1  
Prime (620 & >)
  $ 171.7     $ 178.7     $ 182.7     $ 183.1     $ 181.8     $ 179.7  
A minus (575 - 619)
  $ 15.9     $ 15.2     $ 14.5     $ 14.0     $ 13.5     $ 13.0  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
  $ 4.4     $ 4.2     $ 3.9     $ 3.8     $ 3.5     $ 3.4  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
  $ 29.4     $ 28.3     $ 27.1     $ 26.1     $ 25.1     $ 24.0  
 
                                               
Primary RIF (billions) (1)
  $ 58.0     $ 59.1     $ 59.4     $ 59.0     $ 57.9     $ 56.7  
Prime (620 & >)
  $ 44.4     $ 46.1     $ 47.0     $ 47.0     $ 46.4     $ 45.7  
A minus (575 - 619)
  $ 4.3     $ 4.1     $ 3.9     $ 3.8     $ 3.7     $ 3.5  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
  $ 1.3     $ 1.2     $ 1.1     $ 1.1     $ 1.0     $ 1.0  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
  $ 8.0     $ 7.7     $ 7.4     $ 7.1     $ 6.8     $ 6.5  
 
                                               
Risk in force by FICO
                                               
% (FICO 620 & >)
    89.1 %     89.8 %     90.4 %     90.7 %     91.0 %     91.0 %
% (FICO 575 - 619)
    8.4 %     7.9 %     7.4 %     7.2 %     7.0 %     7.0 %
% (FICO < 575)
    2.5 %     2.3 %     2.2 %     2.1 %     2.0 %     2.0 %
 
                                               
Average Coverage Ratio (RIF/IIF) (1)
                                               
Total
    26.2 %     26.1 %     26.0 %     26.0 %     25.9 %     25.8 %
Prime (620 & >)
    25.9 %     25.8 %     25.7 %     25.7 %     25.5 %     25.4 %
A minus (575 - 619)
    27.2 %     27.2 %     27.2 %     27.5 %     27.8 %     26.9 %
Sub-Prime (< 575)
    28.9 %     28.9 %     28.9 %     28.3 %     28.6 %     29.4 %
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
    27.3 %     27.3 %     27.2 %     27.2 %     27.1 %     27.1 %
 
                                               
Average Loan Size (thousands) (1)
                                               
Total IIF
  $ 149.79     $ 151.77     $ 153.30     $ 154.10     $ 154.59     $ 155.23  
Flow
  $ 145.58     $ 148.03     $ 149.97     $ 151.10     $ 151.82     $ 152.68  
Bulk
  $ 175.71     $ 176.22     $ 176.23     $ 175.38     $ 174.52     $ 173.99  
Prime (620 & >)
  $ 145.05     $ 147.88     $ 150.04     $ 151.24     $ 152.08     $ 153.09  
A minus (575 - 619)
  $ 133.89     $ 133.41     $ 133.09     $ 132.38     $ 131.70     $ 131.22  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
  $ 123.57     $ 122.75     $ 121.99     $ 121.23     $ 120.48     $ 119.69  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
  $ 209.54     $ 209.38     $ 208.66     $ 208.02     $ 207.02     $ 205.89  
 
                                               
Primary IIF — # of loans (1)
    1,478,336       1,491,897       1,488,676       1,472,757       1,448,547       1,418,000  
Prime (620 & >)
    1,184,006       1,208,711       1,217,403       1,210,712       1,195,290       1,174,036  
A minus (575 - 619)
    118,353       114,010       109,475       105,698       102,339       98,835  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
    35,729       33,955       32,067       30,718       29,669       28,628  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
    140,248       135,221       129,731       125,629       121,249       116,501  
 
                                               
Primary IIF — # of Delinquent Loans (1)
    113,589       128,231       151,908       182,188       195,718       212,237  
Flow
    66,055       77,903       98,023       122,693       134,745       150,304  
Bulk
    47,534       50,328       53,885       59,495       60,973       61,933  
Prime (620 & >)
    52,571       60,505       76,110       95,672       106,184       119,174  
A minus (575 - 619)
    22,748       24,859       28,384       31,907       31,633       33,418  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
    12,267       12,425       12,705       13,300       12,666       12,819  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
    26,003       30,442       34,709       41,309       45,235       46,826  

 


 

                                                 
    Q1 2008   Q2 2008   Q3 2008   Q4 2008   Q1 2009   Q2 2009
Primary IIF Delinquency Rates (1)
    7.68 %     8.60 %     10.20 %     12.37 %     13.51 %     14.97 %
Flow
    5.19 %     6.02 %     7.54 %     9.51 %     10.59 %     12.04 %
Bulk
    23.19 %     25.38 %     28.53 %     32.64 %     34.53 %     36.54 %
 
Prime (620 & >)
    4.44 %     5.01 %     6.25 %     7.90 %     8.88 %     10.15 %
A minus (575 - 619)
    19.22 %     21.80 %     25.93 %     30.19 %     30.91 %     33.81 %
Sub-Prime (< 575)
    34.33 %     36.59 %     39.62 %     43.30 %     42.69 %     44.78 %
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
    18.54 %     22.51 %     26.75 %     32.88 %     37.31 %     40.19 %
 
                                               
Net Paid Claims (millions) (1) (6)
  $ 373     $ 388     $ 330     $ 310     $ 356     $ 380  
Flow
  $ 141     $ 149     $ 127     $ 155     $ 170     $ 209  
Bulk
  $ 210     $ 221     $ 184     $ 137     $ 165     $ 141  
Reinsurance
  $ (3 )   $ (6 )   $ (4 )   $ (6 )   $ (9 )   $ (10 )
Other
  $ 25     $ 24     $ 23     $ 24     $ 30     $ 40  
Reinsurance terminations (6)
  $ (2 )   $ (3 )   $     $ (260 )   $     $  
 
                                               
Prime (620 & >)
  $ 137     $ 144     $ 131     $ 135     $ 160     $ 188  
A minus (575 - 619)
  $ 68     $ 73     $ 54     $ 55     $ 59     $ 57  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
  $ 39     $ 37     $ 32     $ 24     $ 24     $ 26  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
  $ 107     $ 116     $ 94     $ 78     $ 92     $ 79  
 
                                               
Primary Average Claim Payment (thousands) (1)
  $ 51.2     $ 53.3     $ 53.9     $ 50.6     $ 53.6     $ 51.4  
Flow
  $ 37.8     $ 39.8     $ 39.1     $ 41.6     $ 42.1     $ 44.6  
Bulk
  $ 67.1     $ 69.1     $ 73.4     $ 66.9     $ 74.7     $ 66.4  
 
                                               
Prime (620 & >)
  $ 42.2     $ 44.2     $ 46.4     $ 44.1     $ 46.4     $ 47.7  
A minus (575 - 619)
  $ 48.4     $ 52.3     $ 50.4     $ 48.8     $ 53.3     $ 46.7  
Sub-Prime (< 575)
  $ 49.4     $ 47.3     $ 49.1     $ 46.2     $ 50.3     $ 51.5  
Reduced Doc (All FICOs)
  $ 75.5     $ 76.8     $ 77.0     $ 73.3     $ 75.2     $ 68.5  
 
                                               
Risk sharing Arrangements — Flow Only
                                               
% insurance inforce subject to risk sharing (2)
    46.8 %     46.1 %     45.1 %     30.0 %     28.9 %        
% Quarterly NIW subject to risk sharing (2)
    44.7 %     34.3 %     22.7 %     24.1 %     6.5 %        
Premium ceded (millions)
  $ 53.6     $ 54.2     $ 53.7     $ 42.4     $ 31.1     $ 29.4  
Captive trust fund assets (millions) (6)
  $ 687     $ 731     $ 796     $ 582     $ 605     $ 625  
 
                                               
Captive Reinsurance Ceded Losses Incurred — Flow Only (millions)
          $ 85.0     $ 153.0     $ 165.5     $ 70.6     $ 60.6  
Active excess of Loss
                                               
Book Year 2005
          $ 0.8     $ 2.0     $ 3.7     $ 5.2     $ 6.2  
Book Year 2006
          $ 55.5     $ 48.3     $ 13.7     $ 11.0     $ 9.9  
Book Year 2007
          $ 12.2     $ 77.1     $ 28.8     $ 27.1     $ 20.5  
Book Year 2008
                          $ 2.4     $ 3.4     $ 2.5  
Active quota Share
                                               
Book Year 2005
          $ 1.9     $ 2.9     $ 3.8     $ 3.2     $ 3.3  
Book Year 2006
          $ 2.6     $ 5.1     $ 5.8     $ 4.3     $ 5.1  
Book Year 2007
          $ 12.0     $ 15.2     $ 16.8     $ 14.3     $ 10.7  
Book Year 2008
                  $ 2.4     $ 2.7     $ 2.1     $ 2.4  
Terminated agreements
                          $ 87.8     $     $  
 
                                               
Other:
                                               
 
                                               
Direct Pool Risk in Force (millions) (3)
  $       2,727     $       2,419     $       2,206     $       1,902     $       1,799     $       1,763  
 
                                               
Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation — Risk to Capital (7)
    10.1:1       11.2:1       12.3:1       12.9:1       14.2:1       13.8:1  
Combined Insurance Companies — Risk to Capital (7)
    11.7:1       12.7:1       13.9:1       14.7:1       16.1:1       15.8:1  
 
                                               
Sherman Investment (millions) (4)
  $ 129.2     $ 124.3     $     $     $     $  
 
                                               
GAAP loss ratio (insurance operations only) (5)
    200.2 %     196.4 %     230.3 %     254.4 %     213.0 %     221.7 %
GAAP expense ratio (insurance operations only)
    16.0 %     14.0 %     13.5 %     13.4 %     14.7 %     15.2 %
 
(1)   In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting (AU) systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by MGIC as “full doc.” Based in part on information provided by the GSEs, MGIC estimates full doc loans of this type were approximately 4% of 2007 NIW. Information for other periods is not available. MGIC understands these AU systems grant such doc waivers for loans they judge to have higher credit quality. MGIC also understands that the GSEs terminated their “doc waiver” programs in the second half of 2008.
 
(2)   Latest Quarter data not available due to lag in reporting
 
(3)   Represents contractual aggregate loss limits and, at June 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and June 30, 2008, respectively, for $2.3 billion, $2.5 billion and $2.8 billion of risk without such limits, risk is calculated at $146 million, $150 million and $306 million, the estimated amounts that would credit enhance these loans to a ‘AA’ level based on a rating agency model.
 
(4)   Investments in joint ventures are included in Other assets on the Consolidated Balance Sheet.
 
(5)   As calculated, does not reflect any effects due to premium deficiency.
 
(6)   Net paid claims, as presented, does not include amounts received in conjunction with termination of reinsurance agreements. In a termination, the agreement is cancelled, with no future premium ceded and funds for any incurred but unpaid losses transferred to us. The transferred funds result in an increase in the investment portfolio (including cash and cash equivalents) and there is a corresponding decrease in reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves. This results in an increase in net loss reserves, which is offset by a decrease in net losses paid.
 
(7)   Beginning with our June 30, 2009 risk to capital calculations we have deducted risk in force on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established. Risk to capital ratios for prior periods were not recalculated.