e8vk
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) April 11, 2007
MGIC Investment Corporation
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Wisconsin
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
|
|
|
1-10816
|
|
39-1486475 |
|
(Commission File Number)
|
|
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
|
|
|
MGIC Plaza, 250 East Kilbourn Avenue, Milwaukee, WI
|
|
53202 |
|
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
|
|
(Zip Code) |
(414) 347-6480
(Registrants Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously
satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General
Instruction A.2. below):
þ |
|
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
|
o |
|
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
|
o |
|
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17
CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
|
o |
|
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17
CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
MGIC Investment Corporation issued a press release on April 11, 2007 announcing its
results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2007 and certain other information. The
portion of the press release that summarizes MGICs results of operations for the quarter ended
March 31, 2007 and the risk factors applicable to forward-looking statements in the press release
is filed as Exhibit 99.1. The remainder of the press release, which includes consolidated
financial statements as of, and for the three months ending, March 31, 2007 and certain other
information, is furnished as Exhibit 99.2.
Additional Information
MGIC Investment Corporation and Radian Group Inc. have filed a joint proxy
statement/prospectus and other relevant documents concerning the MGIC/Radian merger transaction
with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC). STOCKHOLDERS ARE URGED TO
READ THE JOINT PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS AND ANY OTHER DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC IN CONNECTION
WITH THE MERGER TRANSACTION OR INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE IN THE PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS BECAUSE
THEY CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Investors may obtain these documents free of charge at the
SECs website (http://www.sec.gov). In addition, documents filed with the SEC by MGIC are available
free of charge by contacting Investor Relations at MGIC Investment Corporation, 250 East Kilbourn
Avenue, Milwaukee, WI 53202. Documents filed with the SEC by Radian are available free of charge by
calling Investor Relations at (215) 231-1486.
Radian and MGIC and their respective directors and executive officers, certain members of
management and other employees are participants in the solicitation of proxies from Radian
stockholders and MGIC stockholders with respect to the proposed merger transaction. Information
regarding the directors and executive officers of Radian and MGIC and the interests of such
participants are included in the joint proxy statement/prospectus filed with the SEC (which relates
to the merger transaction, Radians 2007 annual meeting of stockholders and MGICs 2007 annual
meeting of stockholders) and in the other relevant documents filed with the SEC.
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits
(d) Exhibits
|
|
|
|
|
Exhibit No. |
|
|
|
Description |
Exhibit 99.1
|
|
-
|
|
Portions of the Press Release dated April 11, 2007. |
|
|
|
|
|
Exhibit 99.2
|
|
-
|
|
Portions of the Press Release dated April 11, 2007. (Pursuant to
General Instruction B.2 to Form 8-K, this Exhibit is furnished and is not
filed.) |
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly
caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
|
|
|
|
|
|
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
|
|
Date: April 11, 2007 |
By: |
\s\ Joseph J. Komanecki
|
|
|
|
Joseph J. Komanecki |
|
|
|
Senior Vice President, Controller and
Chief Accounting Officer |
|
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
|
|
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description of Exhibit |
Exhibit 99.1
|
|
-
|
|
Portions of the Press Release dated April 11, 2007. |
|
|
|
|
|
Exhibit 99.2
|
|
-
|
|
Portions of the Press Release dated April 11, 2007.
(Pursuant to General Instruction B.2 to Form 8-K,
this Exhibit is furnished and is not filed.) |
exv99w1
Exhibit 99.1
|
|
|
Investor Contact:
|
|
Michael J. Zimmerman, Investor Relations, (414) 347-6596, mike_zimmerman@mgic.com |
Media Contact:
|
|
Katie Monfre, Corporate Communications, (414) 347-2650, katie_monfre@mgic.com |
MGIC Investment Corporation
First Quarter Net Income of $92.4 Million
MILWAUKEE (April 11, 2007) ¾ MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) today reported net
income for the quarter ended March 31, 2007 of $92.4 million, compared with the $163.5 million for
the same quarter a year ago. Diluted earnings per share were $1.12 for the quarter ending March 31,
2007, compared to $1.87 for the same quarter a year ago.
Curt S. Culver, chairman and chief executive officer of MGIC Investment Corporation and Mortgage
Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), said the short-term financial results masked the long term
improvements in our business fundamentals, such as improving mortgage insurance penetration and
policy persistency as well as a renewed respect for credit quality and the value of our product.
Total revenues for the first quarter were $369.6 million, compared with $369.0 million in the first
quarter of 2006. Net premiums written for the quarter were $304.0 million, compared with $300.5
million in the first quarter last year.
New insurance written in the first quarter was $12.7 billion, compared to $10.0 billion in the
first quarter of 2006. New insurance written for the quarter included $2.3 billion of bulk business
compared with $2.1 billion in the same period last year.
Persistency, or the percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior, was 70.3
percent at March 31, 2007, compared with 69.6 percent at December 31, 2006, and 62.0 percent at
March 31, 2006.
As of March 31, 2007, MGICs primary insurance inforce was $178.3 billion, compared with $176.5
billion at December 31, 2006, and $166.9 billion at March 31, 2006. The book value of MGIC
Investment Corporations investment portfolio was $5.3 billion at March 31, 2007, compared with
$5.3 billion at December 31, 2006, and $5.2 billion at March 31, 2006.
At March 31, 2007, the percentage of loans that were delinquent, excluding bulk loans, was 3.89
percent, compared with 4.08 percent at December 31, 2006, and 4.00 percent at March 31, 2006.
Including bulk loans, the percentage of loans that were delinquent at March 31, 2007 was 5.92
percent, compared to 6.13 percent at December 31, 2006, and 6.00 percent at March 31, 2006.
Losses incurred in the first quarter were $181.8 million, up from $114.9 million reported for the
same period last year. Underwriting expenses were $76.0 million in the first quarter up from $75.4
million reported for the same period last year.
Income from joint ventures, net of tax in the quarter, was $14.1 million down from $39.1 million
for the same period last year, primarily as a result of the operating loss at C-BASS.
About MGIC
MGIC
(www.mgic.com), the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corporation, is the nations
leading provider of private mortgage insurance coverage with $178.3 billion primary insurance
inforce covering 1.3 million mortgages as of March 31, 2007. MGIC serves 5,000 lenders with
locations across the country and in Puerto Rico, helping families achieve homeownership sooner by
making affordable low-down-payment mortgages a reality.
Webcast Details
As previously announced, MGIC Investment Corporation will hold a webcast today at 10 a.m. ET to
allow securities analysts and shareholders the opportunity to hear management discuss the companys
quarterly results. The call is being webcast and can be accessed at the companys website at
www.mgic.com. The webcast is also being distributed over CCBNs Investor Distribution Network to
both institutional and individual investors. Investors can listen to the call through CCBNs
individual investor center at www.companyboardroom.com or by visiting any of the investor sites in
CCBNs Individual Investor Network. The webcast will be available for replay on the companys
website through May 12, 2007.
This press release, which includes certain additional statistical and other information, including
non-GAAP financial information, is available on the Companys website at www.mgic.com under
Investor News and Financials News Releases.
Additional Information
MGIC Investment Corporation and Radian Group Inc. have filed a joint proxy
statement/prospectus and other relevant documents concerning the MGIC/Radian merger transaction
with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC). STOCKHOLDERS ARE URGED TO
READ THE JOINT PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS AND ANY OTHER DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC IN CONNECTION
WITH THE MERGER TRANSACTION OR INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE IN THE PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS BECAUSE
THEY CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Investors may obtain these documents free of charge at the
SECs website (http://www.sec.gov). In addition, documents filed with the SEC by MGIC are available
free of charge by contacting Investor Relations at MGIC Investment Corporation, 250 East Kilbourn
Avenue, Milwaukee, WI 53202. Documents filed with the SEC by Radian are available free of charge by
calling Investor Relations at (215) 231-1486.
Radian and MGIC and their respective directors and executive officers, certain members of
management and other employees are participants in the solicitation of proxies from Radian
stockholders and MGIC stockholders with respect to the proposed merger transaction. Information
regarding the directors and executive officers of Radian and MGIC and the interests of such
participants are included in the joint proxy statement/prospectus filed with the SEC (which relates
to the merger transaction, Radians 2007 annual meeting of stockholders and MGICs 2007 annual
meeting of stockholders) and in the other relevant documents filed with the SEC.
Safe Harbor Statement
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
Our revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors discussed below that are applicable
to us, and our income from joint ventures could be affected by the risk factors discussed below
that are applicable to C-BASS and Sherman. These risk factors should be reviewed in connection with
this press release and our periodic reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission. These
factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward
looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate
to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words such as we
believe, anticipate or expect, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We
are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may make even though
these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking
statements were made.
Deterioration in home prices in the segment of the market we serve, a downturn in the domestic
economy or changes in our mix of business may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses
increasing.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage payments,
such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can be sold
for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale. Favorable
economic conditions generally reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient income to
pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in some
cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions
generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their
mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values. Housing values may decline even absent a
deterioration in economic conditions due to declines in demand for homes, which in turn may result
from changes in buyers perceptions of the potential for future appreciation, restrictions on
mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards or other factors.
The mix of business we write also affects the likelihood of losses occurring. In recent years, the
percentage of our volume written on a flow basis that includes segments we view as having a higher
probability of claim has continued to increase. These segments include loans with LTV ratios over
95% (including loans with 100% LTV ratios), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting,
including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well
as loans having combinations of higher risk factors.
Approximately 7% of our primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and 72% of our
primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consists of adjustable rate mortgages in
which the initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years after the mortgage closing
(ARMs). (We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest
rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing.) We believe that during a prolonged
period of rising interest rates, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate
loans, although the performance of ARMs has not been tested in such an environment. Moreover, even
if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs with a teaser rate (an initial interest rate
that does not fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be substantially
higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment that will occur when the fully indexed rate
becomes effective. In addition, we believe the volume of interest-only loans (which may also be
ARMs) and loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs, increased in 2005 and
2006. Because interest-only loans and pay option ARMs are a relatively recent development, we have
no data on their historical performance. We believe claim rates on certain of these loans will be
substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers
of comparable credit quality.
The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select
alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
|
|
|
lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private
mortgage insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%, 15% or 20% LTV ratio
(referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans, respectively) rather than
a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% LTV ratio that has private mortgage
insurance, |
|
|
|
|
lenders and other investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring, |
|
|
|
|
investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance,
using other credit enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of
private mortgage insurance coverage, or accepting credit risk without credit
enhancement, and |
|
|
|
|
lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the
Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration. |
While no data is publicly available, we believe that piggyback loans are a significant percentage
of mortgage originations in which borrowers make down payments of less than 20% and that their use
is primarily by borrowers with higher credit scores. During the fourth quarter of 2004, we
introduced on a national basis a program designed to recapture business lost to these mortgage
insurance avoidance products. This program accounted for 10.4% of flow new insurance written in the
first quarter of 2007 and 9.1% and 6.5% of flow new insurance written in 2006 and 2005,
respectively.
Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers
but also with mortgage lenders through captive mortgage reinsurance transactions. In these
transactions, a lenders affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private
mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender. As discussed under The
mortgage insurance industry is subject to risk from private litigation and regulatory proceedings
below, we provided information to the New York Insurance Department and the Minnesota Department of
Commerce about captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements. Other insurance departments or other
officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive
mortgage reinsurance.
The level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has also increased as many
large mortgage lenders have reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do
business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the
mortgage lending market held by large lenders.
Our private mortgage insurance competitors include:
|
|
PMI Mortgage Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation, |
|
|
|
United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
Radian Guaranty Inc., |
|
|
|
Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, and |
|
|
|
CMG Mortgage Insurance Company.
|
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation
requirements change, the length of time that our policies remain in force could decline and result
in declines in our revenue.
In each year, most of our premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As a
result, the length of time insurance remains in force (which is also generally referred to as
persistency) is an important determinant of revenues. The factors affecting the length of time our
insurance remains in force include:
|
|
|
the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage
coupon rates on the insurance in force, which affects the
vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancings, and |
|
|
|
|
mortgage insurance cancellation policies of mortgage investors along
with the rate of home price appreciation experienced by the homes
underlying the mortgages in the insurance in force. |
During the 1990s, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to a
low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. At March 31, 2007 persistency was at 70.3%, compared to the
record low of 44.9% at September 30, 2003. Over the past several years, refinancing has become
easier to accomplish and less costly for many consumers. Hence, even in an interest rate
environment favorable to persistency improvement, we do not expect persistency will approach its
December 31, 1990 level.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance
that we write could decline which would reduce our revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
|
|
|
the level of home mortgage interest rates, |
|
|
|
|
the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies, |
|
|
|
|
housing affordability, |
|
|
|
|
population trends, including the rate of household formation, |
|
|
|
|
the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect
whether refinance loans have LTV ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and |
|
|
|
|
government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers. |
In general, the majority of the underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book of
mortgage insurance generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of the
underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result in
modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results occurs because
relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience occur in the first few years of
the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium
revenues, as persistency decreases due to loan prepayments, and higher losses.
If all other things were equal, a decline in new insurance written in a year that followed a number
of years of higher volume could result in a lower contribution to the mortgage insurers overall
results. This effect may occur because the older books will be experiencing declines in revenue and
increases in losses with a lower amount of underwriting profit on the new book available to offset
these results.
Whether such a lower contribution would in fact occur depends in part on the extent of the volume
decline. Even with a substantial decline in volume, there may be offsetting factors that could
increase the contribution in the current year. These offsetting factors include higher persistency
and a mix of business with higher average premiums, which could have the effect of increasing
revenues, and improvements in the economy, which could have the effect of reducing losses. In
addition, the effect on the insurers overall results from such a lower contribution may be offset
by decreases in the mortgage insurers expenses that are unrelated to claim or default activity,
including those related to lower volume.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
The business practices of the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal
Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), each of which is a government sponsored entity
(GSE), affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
|
|
|
the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the
limitations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs charters, when private
mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement on low
down payment mortgages, |
|
|
|
|
whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac influence the mortgage lenders
selection of the mortgage insurer providing coverage and, if so, any
transactions that are related to that selection, |
|
|
|
|
whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac will give mortgage lenders an
incentive, such as a reduced guaranty fee, to select a mortgage
insurer that has a AAA claims-paying ability rating to benefit from
the lower capital requirements for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac when a
mortgage is insured by a company with that rating, |
|
|
|
|
the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for
purchase by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which thereby affect the
quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the
availability of mortgage loans, |
|
|
|
|
the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before
reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law, and |
|
|
|
|
the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must perform activities
intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured mortgages that are
delinquent. |
The mortgage insurance industry is subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory
proceedings.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement
service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit
Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. In December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against three large
lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While we are
not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to
future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a
material adverse effect on us. In 2005, the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit
decided a case under FCRA to which we were not a party that may make it more likely that we will be
subject to litigation regarding when notices to borrowers are required by FCRA. The Supreme Court
of the United States is reviewing this case, with a decision expected in the second quarter of
2007.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department (the NYID), we
provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the NYID requested MGIC to
review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years experience
or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the NYID that
it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk,
premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in
response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the MDC), which
regulates insurance, we provided the MDC with information about captive mortgage reinsurance and
certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to the MDC. Other insurance
departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or
investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may
bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of
many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms
to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance
arrangements are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict
the outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us
or the mortgage insurance industry.
Net premiums written could be adversely affected if the Department of Housing and Urban
Development reproposes and adopts a regulation under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act that
is equivalent to a proposed regulation that was withdrawn in 2004.
HUD regulations under RESPA prohibit paying lenders for the referral of settlement services,
including mortgage insurance, and prohibit lenders from receiving such payments. In July 2002, HUD
proposed a regulation that would exclude from these anti-referral fee provisions settlement
services included in a package of settlement services offered to a borrower at a guaranteed price.
HUD withdrew this proposed regulation in March 2004. Under the proposed regulation, if mortgage
insurance were required on a loan, the package must include any mortgage insurance premium paid at
settlement. Although certain state insurance regulations prohibit an insurers payment of referral
fees, had this regulation been adopted in this form, our revenues could have been adversely
affected to the extent that lenders offered such packages and received value from us in excess of
what they could have received were the anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA to apply and if such
state regulations were not applied to prohibit such payments.
We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that we maintain is
improperly disclosed.
As part of our business, we maintain large amounts of personal information on consumers. While we
believe we have appropriate information security policies and systems to prevent unauthorized
disclosure, there can be no assurance that unauthorized disclosure, either through the actions of
third parties or employees, will not occur. Unauthorized disclosure could adversely affect our
reputation and expose us to material claims for damages.
The implementation of the Basel II capital accord may discourage the use of mortgage
insurance.
In 1988, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) developed the Basel Capital Accord (the
Basel I), which set out international benchmarks for assessing banks capital adequacy
requirements. In June 2005, the BCBS issued an update to Basel I (as revised in November 2005,
Basel II). Basel II, which is scheduled to become effective in the United States and many other
countries in 2008, affects the capital treatment provided to mortgage insurance by domestic and
international banks in both their origination and securitization activities.
The Basel II provisions related to residential mortgages and mortgage insurance may provide
incentives to certain of our bank customers not to insure mortgages having a lower risk of claim
and to insure mortgages having a higher risk of claim. The Basel II provisions may also alter the
competitive positions and financial performance of mortgage insurers in other ways, including
reducing our ability to successfully establish or operate our planned international operations.
Our international operations will subject us to numerous risks.
We have committed significant resources to begin international operations, initially in Australia,
where we expect to start to write business in the second quarter of 2007. We plan to expand our
international activities to other countries. Accordingly, in addition to the general economic and
insurance business-related factors discussed above, we are subject to a number of risks associated
with our international business activities, including:
|
|
|
risks of war and civil disturbances or other events that may limit or disrupt markets; |
|
|
|
|
dependence on regulatory and third-party approvals; |
|
|
|
|
changes in rating or outlooks assigned to our foreign subsidiaries by rating agencies; |
|
|
|
|
challenges in attracting and retaining key foreign-based employees, customers and
business partners in international markets; |
|
|
|
|
foreign governments monetary policies and regulatory requirements; |
|
|
|
economic downturns in targeted foreign mortgage origination markets; |
|
|
|
|
interest-rate volatility in a variety of countries; |
|
|
|
|
the burdens of complying with a wide variety of foreign regulations and laws, some of
which may be materially different than the regulatory and statutory requirements we
face in our domestic business, and which may change unexpectedly; |
|
|
|
|
potentially adverse tax consequences; |
|
|
|
|
restrictions on the repatriation of earnings; |
|
|
|
|
foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; and |
|
|
|
|
the need to develop and market products appropriate to the various foreign markets. |
Any one or more of the risks listed above could limit or prohibit us from developing our
international operations profitably. In addition, we may not be able to effectively manage new
operations or successfully integrate them into our existing operations.
Our proposed merger with Radian could adversely affect us.
On February 6, 2007, we entered into a definitive agreement under which Radian Group, one of our
mortgage insurance competitors, would merge into us. We expect the merger to occur late in the
third quarter or early in the fourth quarter of 2007. Completion of the merger is subject to
various conditions, including the approval by our and Radians stockholders, as well as regulatory
approvals. There is no assurance that the merger will be approved, and there is no assurance that
the other conditions to the completion of the combination will be satisfied. If the merger is not
completed, we will be subject to risks such as the following:
|
|
|
because the current price of our common stock may reflect a market assumption
that we will complete the merger, a failure to complete the combination could
result in a negative perception of us and a decline in the price of our common
stock; |
|
|
|
|
we will have certain costs relating to the merger that will increase our expenses; |
|
|
|
|
the merger may distract us from day-to-day operations and require substantial
commitments of time and resources by our personnel, which they otherwise could
have devoted to other opportunities that could have been beneficial; |
|
|
|
|
we expect some lenders will reallocate mortgage insurance business to competitors
of MGIC and Radian as a result of the merger. |
In addition, if the merger is completed, we may not be able to efficiently integrate Radians
businesses with ours or we may incur substantial costs and delays in integrating Radians
businesses with ours. Radians business includes financial guaranty insurance, a business in which
we have not previously engaged and which has characteristics that are different from mortgage
guaranty insurance.
Certain rating agencies rate the financial strength rating of Radians mortgage insurance
operations Aa3 (or its equivalent). We expect that upon completion of the merger these rating
agencies will downgrade our financial strength rating so that it is the same as Radians. We do not
expect such a downgrade to affect our business. However, our ability to continue to write new
mortgage insurance business depends on our maintaining a financial strength rating of at least Aa3
(or its equivalent). Therefore, any further downgrade would have a material adverse affect on us.
Our income from joint ventures could be adversely affected by credit losses, insufficient
liquidity or competition affecting those businesses.
C-BASS: Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) is principally engaged in
the business of investing in the credit risk of credit sensitive single-family residential
mortgages. C-BASS is particularly exposed to funding risk and to credit risk through ownership of
the higher risk classes of mortgage backed securities from its own securitizations and those of
other issuers. In addition, C-BASSs results are sensitive to its ability to purchase
mortgage loans and securities on terms that it projects will meet its return targets. C-BASSs mortgage
purchases in 2005 and 2006 have primarily been of subprime mortgages, which bear a higher risk of
default. Further, a higher proportion of subprime mortgage originations in 2005 and in 2006, as
compared to 2004, were interest-only loans, which C-BASS views as having greater credit risk.
C-BASS has not purchased any pay option ARMs, which are another type of higher risk mortgage.
Credit losses are affected by housing prices. A higher house price at default than at loan
origination generally mitigates credit losses while a lower house price at default generally
increases losses. Over the last several years, in certain regions home prices have experienced
rates of increase greater than historical norms and greater than growth in median incomes. During
the period 2003 to the fourth quarter of 2006, according to the Office of Federal Housing
Oversight, home prices nationally increased 37%. Since the fourth quarter of 2006, according to
published reports, home prices have declined in certain areas and have experienced lower rates of
appreciation in others.
With respect to liquidity, the substantial majority of C-BASSs on-balance sheet financing for its
mortgage and securities portfolio is dependent on the value of the collateral that secures this
debt. C-BASS maintains substantial liquidity to cover margin calls in the event of substantial
declines in the value of its mortgages and securities. While C-BASSs policies governing the
management of capital at risk are intended to provide sufficient liquidity to cover an
instantaneous and substantial decline in value, such policies cannot guaranty that all liquidity
required will in fact be available. Further, at March 31, 2007, approximately 60% of C-BASSs
financing has a term of less than one year, and is subject to renewal risk.
At the end of each financial statement period, the carrying values of C-BASSs mortgage securities
are adjusted to fair value as estimated by C-BASSs management. Increases in credit spreads between
periods will generally result in declines in fair value that are reflected in C-BASSs results of
operations as unrealized losses. Increases in spreads can also result in unrealized losses in
C-BASSs whole loans, which are carried at the lower of cost or fair value as estimated by C-BASSs
management.
The interest expense on C-BASSs borrowings is primarily tied to short-term rates such as LIBOR. In
a period of rising interest rates, the interest expense could increase in different amounts and at
different rates and times than the interest that C-BASS earns on the related assets, which could
negatively impact C-BASSs earnings.
Since 2005, there has been an increasing amount of competition to purchase subprime mortgages, from
mortgage originators that formed real estate investment trusts and from firms, such as investment
banks and commercial banks, that in the past acted as mortgage securities intermediaries but which
are now establishing their own captive origination capacity. Many of these competitors are larger
and have a lower cost of capital.
Sherman: Sherman Financial Group LLC (Sherman) is engaged in the business of purchasing and
servicing delinquent consumer assets, and in originating and servicing subprime credit card
receivables. Among other factors. Shermans results are sensitive to its ability to purchase
receivable portfolios on terms that it projects will meet its return targets. While the volume of
charged-off consumer receivables and the portion of these receivables that have been sold to third
parties such as Sherman has grown in recent years, there is an increasing amount of competition to
purchase such portfolios, including from new entrants to the industry, which has resulted in
increases in the prices at which portfolios can be purchased.
exv99w2
Exhibit 99.2
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
304,034 |
|
|
$ |
300,472 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
299,021 |
|
|
$ |
299,667 |
|
Investment income |
|
|
62,970 |
|
|
|
57,964 |
|
Realized (losses) gains |
|
|
(3,010 |
) |
|
|
87 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
10,661 |
|
|
|
11,314 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
369,642 |
|
|
|
369,032 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred |
|
|
181,758 |
|
|
|
114,885 |
|
Underwriting, other expenses |
|
|
76,032 |
|
|
|
75,352 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
10,959 |
|
|
|
9,315 |
|
Ceding commission |
|
|
(960 |
) |
|
|
(1,087 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
267,789 |
|
|
|
198,465 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
101,853 |
|
|
|
170,567 |
|
Provision for income tax |
|
|
23,543 |
|
|
|
46,166 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax (1) |
|
|
14,053 |
|
|
|
39,052 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
92,363 |
|
|
$ |
163,453 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted weighted average common shares
outstanding (Shares in thousands) |
|
|
82,354 |
|
|
|
87,227 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings per share |
|
$ |
1.12 |
|
|
$ |
1.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Diluted EPS contribution from C-BASS |
|
$ |
(0.05 |
) |
|
$ |
0.22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted EPS contribution from Sherman |
|
$ |
0.22 |
|
|
$ |
0.21 |
|
|
|
|
NOTE: |
|
See Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures for diluted earnings per share contribution from realized (losses) gains. |
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET AS OF
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments (1) |
|
$ |
5,327,871 |
|
|
$ |
5,252,422 |
|
|
$ |
5,237,080 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
255,043 |
|
|
|
293,738 |
|
|
|
206,595 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves (2) |
|
|
13,621 |
|
|
|
13,417 |
|
|
|
14,039 |
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
9,122 |
|
|
|
9,620 |
|
|
|
9,110 |
|
Home office and equipment, net |
|
|
32,126 |
|
|
|
32,603 |
|
|
|
32,579 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
11,925 |
|
|
|
12,769 |
|
|
|
16,934 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
997,982 |
|
|
|
1,007,102 |
|
|
|
807,881 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
6,647,690 |
|
|
$ |
6,621,671 |
|
|
$ |
6,324,218 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss reserves (2) |
|
|
1,141,566 |
|
|
|
1,125,715 |
|
|
|
1,103,557 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
194,175 |
|
|
|
189,661 |
|
|
|
160,130 |
|
Short- and long-term debt |
|
|
607,886 |
|
|
|
781,277 |
|
|
|
597,674 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
248,647 |
|
|
|
229,141 |
|
|
|
267,331 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
2,192,274 |
|
|
|
2,325,794 |
|
|
|
2,128,692 |
|
Shareholders equity |
|
|
4,455,416 |
|
|
|
4,295,877 |
|
|
|
4,195,526 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
6,647,690 |
|
|
$ |
6,621,671 |
|
|
$ |
6,324,218 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Book value per share |
|
$ |
53.64 |
|
|
$ |
51.88 |
|
|
$ |
48.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Investments include unrealized
gains on securities marked to
market pursuant to FAS 115 |
|
|
119,733 |
|
|
|
128,752 |
|
|
|
70,086 |
|
(2) Loss reserves, net of reinsurance
recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
1,127,945 |
|
|
|
1,112,298 |
|
|
|
1,089,518 |
|
CERTAIN NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
|
Diluted earnings per share contribution from realized (losses) gains: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized (losses) gains |
|
$ |
(3,010 |
) |
|
$ |
87 |
|
Income taxes at 35% |
|
|
(1,054 |
) |
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
After tax (losses) realized gains |
|
|
(1,956 |
) |
|
|
57 |
|
Weighted average shares |
|
|
82,354 |
|
|
|
87,227 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted EPS contribution from realized (losses) gains |
|
$ |
(0.02 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Management believes the diluted earnings per share contribution from realized (losses) gains provides useful information to investors because it shows
the after-tax effect that sales of securities from the Companys investment portfolio, which are discretionary transactions, had on earnings.
OTHER INFORMATION
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New primary insurance written (NIW) ($ millions) |
|
$ |
12,693 |
|
|
$ |
10,032 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New risk written ($ millions): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary |
|
$ |
3,292 |
|
|
$ |
2,725 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pool (1) |
|
$ |
39 |
|
|
$ |
68 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Product mix as a % of primary flow NIW |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 95% LTVs |
|
|
40 |
% |
|
|
26 |
% |
ARMs |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
|
11 |
% |
Refinances |
|
|
27 |
% |
|
|
28 |
% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Represents contractual aggregate loss limits and, for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006, for $29 million and $19 million, respectively,
of risk without such limits, risk is calculated at $0.5 million and $1 million, respectively, the estimated amount that would credit enhance these loans
to a AA level based on a rating agency model. |
Additional Information
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q4 2005 |
|
Q1 2006 |
|
Q2 2006 |
|
Q3 2006 |
|
Q4 2006 |
|
Q1 2007 |
New insurance written (billions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
$ |
15.3 |
|
|
$ |
10.0 |
|
|
$ |
16.1 |
|
|
$ |
16.6 |
|
|
$ |
15.5 |
|
|
$ |
12.7 |
|
Flow |
|
$ |
9.4 |
|
|
$ |
7.9 |
|
|
$ |
10.1 |
|
|
$ |
10.8 |
|
|
$ |
10.4 |
|
|
$ |
10.4 |
|
Bulk |
|
$ |
5.9 |
|
|
$ |
2.1 |
|
|
$ |
6.0 |
|
|
$ |
5.8 |
|
|
$ |
5.1 |
|
|
$ |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance in force (billions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
$ |
170.0 |
|
|
$ |
166.9 |
|
|
$ |
169.8 |
|
|
$ |
173.4 |
|
|
$ |
176.5 |
|
|
$ |
178.3 |
|
Flow |
|
$ |
129.5 |
|
|
$ |
128.6 |
|
|
$ |
129.5 |
|
|
$ |
131.9 |
|
|
$ |
134.4 |
|
|
$ |
137.6 |
|
Bulk |
|
$ |
40.5 |
|
|
$ |
38.3 |
|
|
$ |
40.3 |
|
|
$ |
41.5 |
|
|
$ |
42.1 |
|
|
$ |
40.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annual Persistency |
|
|
61.3 |
% |
|
|
62.0 |
% |
|
|
64.1 |
% |
|
|
67.8 |
% |
|
|
69.6 |
% |
|
|
70.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary IIF (billions) |
|
$ |
170.0 |
|
|
$ |
166.9 |
|
|
$ |
169.8 |
|
|
$ |
173.4 |
|
|
$ |
176.5 |
|
|
$ |
178.3 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
$ |
126.4 |
|
|
$ |
124.5 |
|
|
$ |
124.8 |
|
|
$ |
126.3 |
|
|
$ |
128.3 |
|
|
$ |
130.3 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
$ |
14.8 |
|
|
$ |
14.1 |
|
|
$ |
13.9 |
|
|
$ |
13.5 |
|
|
$ |
14.0 |
|
|
$ |
14.0 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
$ |
6.8 |
|
|
$ |
6.4 |
|
|
$ |
6.2 |
|
|
$ |
5.8 |
|
|
$ |
5.8 |
|
|
$ |
5.5 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
$ |
22.0 |
|
|
$ |
21.9 |
|
|
$ |
24.8 |
|
|
$ |
27.9 |
|
|
$ |
28.5 |
|
|
$ |
28.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary RIF (billions) |
|
$ |
44.9 |
|
|
$ |
44.1 |
|
|
$ |
45.1 |
|
|
$ |
46.2 |
|
|
$ |
47.1 |
|
|
$ |
47.5 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
$ |
32.6 |
|
|
$ |
32.1 |
|
|
$ |
32.3 |
|
|
$ |
32.8 |
|
|
$ |
33.3 |
|
|
$ |
33.9 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
$ |
4.2 |
|
|
$ |
4.0 |
|
|
$ |
3.9 |
|
|
$ |
3.8 |
|
|
$ |
4.0 |
|
|
$ |
4.0 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
$ |
1.9 |
|
|
$ |
1.8 |
|
|
$ |
1.8 |
|
|
$ |
1.7 |
|
|
$ |
1.7 |
|
|
$ |
1.6 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
$ |
6.2 |
|
|
$ |
6.2 |
|
|
$ |
7.1 |
|
|
$ |
7.9 |
|
|
$ |
8.1 |
|
|
$ |
8.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk in force by FICO |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% (FICO 620 & >) |
|
|
84.3 |
% |
|
|
84.8 |
% |
|
|
85.1 |
% |
|
|
86.0 |
% |
|
|
85.8 |
% |
|
|
86.2 |
% |
% (FICO 575 - 619) |
|
|
10.9 |
% |
|
|
10.6 |
% |
|
|
10.4 |
% |
|
|
9.8 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
|
9.9 |
% |
% (FICO < 575) |
|
|
4.8 |
% |
|
|
4.6 |
% |
|
|
4.5 |
% |
|
|
4.2 |
% |
|
|
4.2 |
% |
|
|
3.9 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average Coverage Ratio (RIF/IIF) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
26.4 |
% |
|
|
26.4 |
% |
|
|
26.6 |
% |
|
|
26.6 |
% |
|
|
26.7 |
% |
|
|
26.6 |
% |
Prime (620 & >) |
|
|
25.8 |
% |
|
|
25.8 |
% |
|
|
25.9 |
% |
|
|
26.0 |
% |
|
|
26.0 |
% |
|
|
26.0 |
% |
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
28.5 |
% |
|
|
28.4 |
% |
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
|
27.9 |
% |
|
|
28.1 |
% |
|
|
28.5 |
% |
|
|
28.7 |
% |
|
|
29.1 |
% |
|
|
29.2 |
% |
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
28.4 |
% |
|
|
28.5 |
% |
|
|
28.4 |
% |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average Loan Size (thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total IIF |
|
$ |
130.48 |
|
|
$ |
131.05 |
|
|
$ |
133.59 |
|
|
$ |
135.93 |
|
|
$ |
137.57 |
|
|
$ |
138.74 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
$ |
125.46 |
|
|
$ |
125.88 |
|
|
$ |
127.09 |
|
|
$ |
128.36 |
|
|
$ |
129.70 |
|
|
$ |
131.07 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
$ |
125.28 |
|
|
$ |
125.18 |
|
|
$ |
126.51 |
|
|
$ |
126.19 |
|
|
$ |
129.12 |
|
|
$ |
129.72 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
$ |
124.24 |
|
|
$ |
124.13 |
|
|
$ |
125.93 |
|
|
$ |
125.16 |
|
|
$ |
127.30 |
|
|
$ |
126.29 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
$ |
179.60 |
|
|
$ |
182.10 |
|
|
$ |
191.88 |
|
|
$ |
200.65 |
|
|
$ |
202.98 |
|
|
$ |
204.58 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary IIF # of loans |
|
|
1,303,084 |
|
|
|
1,273,382 |
|
|
|
1,270,718 |
|
|
|
1,275,822 |
|
|
|
1,283,174 |
|
|
|
1,284,926 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
|
1,007,680 |
|
|
|
989,147 |
|
|
|
981,983 |
|
|
|
983,749 |
|
|
|
989,111 |
|
|
|
994,504 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
|
118,289 |
|
|
|
112,923 |
|
|
|
110,113 |
|
|
|
106,754 |
|
|
|
108,143 |
|
|
|
108,081 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
|
54,618 |
|
|
|
51,179 |
|
|
|
49,234 |
|
|
|
46,429 |
|
|
|
45,633 |
|
|
|
43,480 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
122,497 |
|
|
|
120,133 |
|
|
|
129,388 |
|
|
|
138,890 |
|
|
|
140,287 |
|
|
|
138,861 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary IIF # of Delinquent Loans |
|
|
85,788 |
|
|
|
76,362 |
|
|
|
73,354 |
|
|
|
76,301 |
|
|
|
78,628 |
|
|
|
76,122 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
|
41,395 |
|
|
|
36,114 |
|
|
|
34,268 |
|
|
|
35,838 |
|
|
|
36,727 |
|
|
|
35,436 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
|
20,358 |
|
|
|
18,109 |
|
|
|
17,575 |
|
|
|
18,063 |
|
|
|
18,182 |
|
|
|
17,047 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
|
13,762 |
|
|
|
12,297 |
|
|
|
12,001 |
|
|
|
12,150 |
|
|
|
12,227 |
|
|
|
11,246 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
10,273 |
|
|
|
9,842 |
|
|
|
9,510 |
|
|
|
10,250 |
|
|
|
11,492 |
|
|
|
12,393 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q4 2005 |
|
Q1 2006 |
|
Q2 2006 |
|
Q3 2006 |
|
Q4 2006 |
|
Q1 2007 |
Primary IIF Delinquency Rates |
|
|
6.58 |
% |
|
|
6.00 |
% |
|
|
5.77 |
% |
|
|
5.98 |
% |
|
|
6.13 |
% |
|
|
5.92 |
% |
Prime (620 & >) |
|
|
4.11 |
% |
|
|
3.65 |
% |
|
|
3.49 |
% |
|
|
3.64 |
% |
|
|
3.71 |
% |
|
|
3.56 |
% |
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
|
17.21 |
% |
|
|
16.04 |
% |
|
|
15.96 |
% |
|
|
16.92 |
% |
|
|
16.81 |
% |
|
|
15.77 |
% |
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
|
25.20 |
% |
|
|
24.03 |
% |
|
|
24.38 |
% |
|
|
26.17 |
% |
|
|
26.79 |
% |
|
|
25.86 |
% |
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
8.39 |
% |
|
|
8.19 |
% |
|
|
7.35 |
% |
|
|
7.38 |
% |
|
|
8.19 |
% |
|
|
8.92 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Paid Claims (millions) |
|
$ |
148 |
|
|
$ |
135 |
|
|
$ |
162 |
|
|
$ |
157 |
|
|
$ |
157 |
|
|
$ |
166 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
$ |
59 |
|
|
$ |
57 |
|
|
$ |
67 |
|
|
$ |
62 |
|
|
$ |
65 |
|
|
$ |
67 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
$ |
30 |
|
|
$ |
28 |
|
|
$ |
32 |
|
|
$ |
33 |
|
|
$ |
32 |
|
|
$ |
34 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
$ |
18 |
|
|
$ |
13 |
|
|
$ |
18 |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
|
$ |
17 |
|
|
$ |
19 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
$ |
19 |
|
|
$ |
17 |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
|
$ |
21 |
|
|
$ |
23 |
|
|
$ |
26 |
|
Other |
|
$ |
22 |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
|
$ |
25 |
|
|
$ |
21 |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary Average Claim Payment (thousands) |
|
$ |
27.0 |
|
|
$ |
26.9 |
|
|
$ |
27.2 |
|
|
$ |
29.6 |
|
|
$ |
29.3 |
|
|
$ |
30.8 |
|
Prime (620 & >) |
|
$ |
25.8 |
|
|
$ |
26.4 |
|
|
$ |
26.6 |
|
|
$ |
28.3 |
|
|
$ |
27.7 |
|
|
$ |
29.1 |
|
A minus (575 - 619) |
|
$ |
27.1 |
|
|
$ |
27.1 |
|
|
$ |
27.8 |
|
|
$ |
29.9 |
|
|
$ |
29.1 |
|
|
$ |
30.6 |
|
Sub-Prime (< 575) |
|
$ |
26.5 |
|
|
$ |
23.9 |
|
|
$ |
24.6 |
|
|
$ |
28.3 |
|
|
$ |
27.3 |
|
|
$ |
27.8 |
|
Reduced Doc (All FICOs) |
|
$ |
31.2 |
|
|
$ |
31.5 |
|
|
$ |
31.2 |
|
|
$ |
35.2 |
|
|
$ |
37.9 |
|
|
$ |
40.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk sharing Arrangements Flow Only |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% insurance inforce subject to risk sharing (1) |
|
|
47.8 |
% |
|
|
48.0 |
% |
|
|
47.6 |
% |
|
|
47.5 |
% |
|
|
47.6 |
% |
|
|
|
|
% Quarterly NIW subject to risk sharing (1) |
|
|
49.0 |
% |
|
|
48.0 |
% |
|
|
47.4 |
% |
|
|
46.5 |
% |
|
|
48.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
Premium ceded (millions) |
|
$ |
31.9 |
|
|
$ |
32.4 |
|
|
$ |
32.6 |
|
|
$ |
33.0 |
|
|
$ |
35.4 |
|
|
$ |
36.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct Pool Risk in Force (millions) (2) |
|
$ |
2,909 |
|
|
$ |
2,968 |
|
|
$ |
3,145 |
|
|
$ |
3,071 |
|
|
$ |
3,063 |
|
|
$ |
3,029 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation Risk to Capital |
|
6.3:1 |
|
|
6.2:1 |
|
|
|
6.3:1 |
|
|
|
6.4:1 |
|
|
|
6.4:1 |
|
|
|
6.4:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares repurchased |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# of shares (thousands) |
|
|
3,183.1 |
|
|
|
1,372.9 |
|
|
|
1,824.8 |
|
|
|
2,697.0 |
|
|
|
216.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Average price |
|
$ |
60.35 |
|
|
$ |
66.67 |
|
|
$ |
67.25 |
|
|
$ |
58.88 |
|
|
$ |
58.00 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C-BASS Investment (millions) |
|
$ |
362.6 |
|
|
$ |
385.5 |
|
|
$ |
413.9 |
|
|
$ |
430.1 |
|
|
$ |
449.5 |
|
|
$ |
442.9 |
|
Sherman Investment (millions) |
|
$ |
79.3 |
|
|
$ |
47.2 |
|
|
$ |
74.4 |
|
|
$ |
124.9 |
|
|
$ |
163.8 |
|
|
$ |
138.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP loss ratio (insurance operations only) |
|
|
56.2 |
% |
|
|
38.3 |
% |
|
|
49.7 |
% |
|
|
55.7 |
% |
|
|
63.0 |
% |
|
|
60.8 |
% |
GAAP expense ratio (insurance operations only) |
|
|
16.9 |
% |
|
|
17.5 |
% |
|
|
16.7 |
% |
|
|
16.4 |
% |
|
|
17.2 |
% |
|
|
17.8 |
% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Latest Quarter data not available due to lag in reporting |
|
(2) |
|
Represents contractual aggregate loss limits and, at March 31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and
March 31, 2006, respectively, for $4.3 billion, $4.4 billion and $4.8 billion of risk
without such limits, risk is calculated at $473 million, $473 million and $470 million, the
estimated amounts that would credit enhance these loans to a AA level based on a
rating agency model. |