e10vq
FORM 10-Q
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
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þ |
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QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended MARCH 31, 2007
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-10816
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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WISCONSIN
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
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39-1486475
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE
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53202 |
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN
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(Zip Code) |
(Address of principal executive offices) |
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(414) 347-6480
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by
Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for
such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer,
or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of accelerated filer and large accelerated filer in
Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
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Large accelerated filer þ
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Accelerated filer o
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Non-accelerated filer o |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act).
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of
the latest practicable date.
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CLASS OF STOCK
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PAR VALUE
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DATE
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NUMBER OF SHARES |
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Common stock
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$1.00
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04/30/07
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83,067,157 |
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page 2
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
March 31, 2007 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2006
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March 31, |
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December 31, |
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2007 |
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2006 |
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(In thousands of dollars) |
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ASSETS |
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Investment portfolio: |
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Securities, available-for-sale, at market value: |
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Fixed maturities (amortized cost, 2007-$5,355,893;
2006-$5,121,074) |
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$ |
5,267,073 |
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$ |
5,249,854 |
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Equity securities (cost, 2007-$2,616; 2006-$2,594) |
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2,583 |
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2,568 |
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Collateral held under securities lending (cost, 2007-$58,215) |
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58,215 |
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Total investment portfolio |
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5,327,871 |
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5,252,422 |
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Cash and cash equivalents |
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255,043 |
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293,738 |
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Accrued investment income |
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65,604 |
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64,646 |
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Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
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13,621 |
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13,417 |
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Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
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9,122 |
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9,620 |
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Premiums receivable |
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87,870 |
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88,071 |
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Home office and equipment, net |
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32,126 |
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32,603 |
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Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
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11,925 |
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12,769 |
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Investments in joint ventures |
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622,090 |
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655,884 |
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Income taxes recoverable |
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19,012 |
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Other assets |
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203,406 |
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198,501 |
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Total assets |
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$ |
6,647,690 |
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$ |
6,621,671 |
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LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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Liabilities: |
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Loss reserves |
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$ |
1,141,566 |
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$ |
1,125,715 |
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Unearned premiums |
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194,175 |
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189,661 |
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Short- and long-term debt (note 2) |
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607,886 |
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781,277 |
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Obligations under securities lending |
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58,215 |
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Income taxes payable |
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34,480 |
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Other liabilities |
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190,432 |
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194,661 |
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Total liabilities |
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2,192,274 |
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2,325,794 |
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Contingencies (note 3) |
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Shareholders equity: |
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Common stock, $1 par value, shares authorized
300,000,000; shares issued, 3/31/07 - 123,064,226
12/31/06 - 123,028,976; |
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shares outstanding, 3/31/07 - 83,067,337
12/31/06 - 82,799,919 |
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123,064 |
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123,029 |
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Paid-in capital |
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305,512 |
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310,394 |
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Treasury stock (shares at cost, 3/31/07 - 39,996,889
12/31/06 - 40,229,057) |
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(2,190,036 |
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(2,201,966 |
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Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax (note 5) |
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61,121 |
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65,789 |
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Retained earnings (note 7) |
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6,155,755 |
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5,998,631 |
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Total shareholders equity |
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4,455,416 |
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4,295,877 |
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Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
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$ |
6,647,690 |
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$ |
6,621,671 |
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See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 3
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months Ended March 31, 2007 and 2006
(Unaudited)
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Three Months Ended |
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March 31, |
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2007 |
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2006 |
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(In thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
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Revenues: |
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Premiums written: |
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Direct |
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$ |
341,838 |
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$ |
333,576 |
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Assumed |
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684 |
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397 |
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Ceded |
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(38,488 |
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(33,501 |
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Net premiums written |
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304,034 |
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300,472 |
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Increase in unearned premiums, net |
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(5,013 |
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(805 |
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Net premiums earned |
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299,021 |
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299,667 |
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Investment income, net of expenses |
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62,970 |
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57,964 |
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Realized investment (losses) gains, net |
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(3,010 |
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87 |
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Other revenue |
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10,661 |
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11,314 |
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Total revenues |
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369,642 |
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369,032 |
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Losses and expenses: |
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Losses incurred, net |
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181,758 |
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114,885 |
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Underwriting and other expenses, net |
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75,072 |
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74,265 |
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Interest expense |
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10,959 |
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9,315 |
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Total losses and expenses |
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267,789 |
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198,465 |
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Income before tax and joint ventures |
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101,853 |
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170,567 |
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Provision for income tax |
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23,543 |
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46,166 |
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Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
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14,053 |
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39,052 |
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Net income |
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$ |
92,363 |
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$ |
163,453 |
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Earnings per share (note 4): |
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Basic |
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$ |
1.13 |
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$ |
1.89 |
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Diluted |
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$ |
1.12 |
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$ |
1.87 |
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Weighted average common shares
outstanding diluted (shares in
thousands, note 4) |
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82,354 |
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87,227 |
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Dividends per share |
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$ |
0.25 |
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$ |
0.25 |
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See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 4
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Three Months Ended March 31, 2007 and 2006
(Unaudited)
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Three Months Ended |
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March 31, |
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2007 |
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2006 |
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(In thousands of dollars) |
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Cash flows from operating activities: |
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Net income |
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$ |
92,363 |
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$ |
163,453 |
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Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash
provided by operating activities: |
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Amortization of deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
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2,660 |
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3,521 |
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Increase in deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
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(1,816 |
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(2,039 |
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Depreciation and amortization |
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4,708 |
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6,854 |
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(Increase) decrease in accrued investment income |
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(958 |
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104 |
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(Increase) decrease in reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
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(204 |
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748 |
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Decrease in prepaid reinsurance premiums |
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498 |
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498 |
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Decrease (increase) premium receivable |
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201 |
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(1,237 |
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Increase (decrease) in loss reserves |
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15,851 |
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(20,897 |
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Increase in unearned premiums |
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4,514 |
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307 |
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Increase in income taxes payable |
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32,074 |
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50,006 |
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Equity earnings in joint ventures |
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(19,338 |
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(57,251 |
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Distributions from joint ventures |
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51,512 |
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67,862 |
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Other |
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(3,077 |
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(19,910 |
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Net cash provided by operating activities |
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178,988 |
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192,019 |
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Cash flows from investing activities: |
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Purchase of fixed maturities |
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(466,702 |
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(386,062 |
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Purchase of equity securities |
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(22 |
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Increase in collateral under securities lending |
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(58,215 |
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Additional investment in joint ventures |
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(210 |
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(984 |
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Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities |
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294,516 |
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350,525 |
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Proceeds from maturity of fixed maturities |
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142,880 |
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40,125 |
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Other |
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4,087 |
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9,114 |
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Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities |
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(83,666 |
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12,718 |
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Cash flows from financing activities: |
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Dividends paid to shareholders |
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(20,760 |
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(21,954 |
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Repayment of long-term debt |
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(200,000 |
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Net proceeds from (repayment of) short-term debt |
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25,376 |
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(89,583 |
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Increase in obligations under securities lending |
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58,215 |
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Reissuance of treasury stock |
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1,255 |
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1,275 |
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Repurchase of common stock |
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(91,534 |
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Common stock issued |
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1,942 |
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5,532 |
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Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements |
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(45 |
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2,866 |
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Net cash used in financing activities |
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(134,017 |
) |
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(193,398 |
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Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents |
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(38,695 |
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11,339 |
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Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
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293,738 |
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195,256 |
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Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
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$ |
255,043 |
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$ |
206,595 |
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See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 5
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
March 31, 2007
(Unaudited)
Note 1 Basis of presentation and summary of certain significant accounting policies
The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation (the
Company) and its wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the instructions
to Form 10-Q as prescribed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for interim reporting
and do not include all of the other information and disclosures required by accounting principles
generally accepted in the United States of America. These statements should be read in conjunction
with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2006
included in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K.
In the opinion of management such financial statements include all adjustments, consisting
primarily of normal recurring accruals, necessary to fairly present the Companys financial
position and results of operations for the periods indicated. The results of operations for the
three months ended March 31, 2007 may not be indicative of the results that may be expected for the
year ending December 31, 2007.
Business Combination
On February 6, 2007 the Company and Radian Group Inc. (Radian) announced that they have agreed to
merge. The agreement provides for a merger of Radian into the Company in which 0.9658 shares of
the Companys common stock will be exchanged for each share of Radian common stock. The shares of
the Companys common stock to be issued to effect the merger will be recorded at $66.41 per share.
This stock price is based on an average of the closing prices of the Companys common stock for the
two trading days before through the two trading days after the Company and Radian announced their
merger. The transaction has been unanimously approved by each companys board of directors and is
expected to be completed late in the third quarter or early in the fourth quarter of 2007, subject
to regulatory and shareholder approvals.
Securities Lending
The Company participates in securities lending, primarily as an investment yield enhancement,
through a program administered by the Companys custodian. The program obtains collateral in an
amount generally equal to 102% and 105% of the fair market value of domestic and foreign
securities, respectively, and monitors the market value of the securities loaned on a daily basis
with additional collateral obtained as necessary. The collateral received for securities loaned is
included in the investment portfolio, and the offsetting obligation to return the collateral is
reported as a liability, on the consolidated balance sheet. At March 31, 2007, the amount of the
securities lending collateral and
offsetting obligation was $58.2 million. The fair value of securities on loan at March 31, 2007 was
$57.1 million.
Page 6
New Accounting Standards
In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159 The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and
Financial Liabilities. This statement provides companies with an option to report selected
financial assets and liabilities at fair value. The objective of this statement is to reduce both
complexity in accounting for financial instruments and the volatility in earnings caused by
measuring related assets and liabilities differently. The statement also establishes presentation
and disclosure requirements designed to facilitate comparisons between companies that choose
different measurement attributes for similar types of assets and liabilities. The statement is
effective for a companys first fiscal year beginning after November 15, 2007. The Company is
currently evaluating the provisions of this statement and the impact, if any, this statement will
have on the Companys results of operations and financial position.
In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157 Fair Value Measurements. This statement provides
enhanced guidance for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities. This statement also
provides expanded disclosure about the extent to which companies measure assets and liabilities at
fair value, the information used to measure fair value, and the effect of fair value measurements
on earnings. This statement applies whenever other standards require or permit assets or
liabilities to be measured at fair value. The statement does not expand the use of fair value in
any new circumstances. The statement is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years
beginning after November 15, 2007. The Company is currently evaluating the provisions of this
statement and the impact, if any, this statement will have on the Companys results of operations
and financial position.
Reclassifications
Certain reclassifications have been made in the accompanying financial statements to 2006
amounts to conform to 2007 presentation.
Note 2 Short- and long-term debt
The Company has a $300 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by Standard and
Poors (S&P) and P-1 by Moodys. At March 31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, the
Company had $110.3 million, $84.1 million and $100.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a
weighted average interest rate of 5.34%, 5.35% and 4.74%, respectively.
The Company has a $300 million, five year revolving credit facility, expiring in 2010. Under the
terms of the credit facility, the Company must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25
billion and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio
of not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders position (which includes
MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by
Wisconsin insurance regulation. At March 31, 2007, these requirements were met. The facility will
continue to be used as a liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. The
remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount
Page 7
necessary to support
the commercial paper was $189.7 million, $215.9 million and $200.0 million at March 31, 2007,
December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, respectively.
In March 2007 the Company repaid the $200 million, 6% Senior Notes that came due with funds raised
from the September 2006 public debt offering. At March 31, 2007 the Company had $200 million,
5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011 and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November
2015. At March 31, 2006 the Company had $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015 and
$200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in March 2007. At March 31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31
2006, the market value of the outstanding debt (which also includes commercial paper) was $609.5
million, $783.2 million and $588.4 million, respectively.
Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt were $12.5 million and $8.3 million for the
three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
During 2006, an outstanding interest rate swap contract was terminated. This swap was placed into
service to coincide with the committed credit facility, used as a backup for the commercial paper
program. Under the terms of the swap contract, the Company paid a fixed rate of 5.07% and received
a variable interest rate based on the London Inter Bank Offering Rate (LIBOR). The swap had an
expiration date coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and was designated as a cash
flow hedge for accounting purposes. At March 31, 2007 the Company had no interest rate swaps
outstanding.
(Income) expense on the interest rate swaps for the three months ended March 31, 2006 of
approximately ($0.1) million was included in interest expense. Gains or losses arising from the
amendment or termination of interest rate swaps are deferred and amortized to interest expense over
the life of the hedged items.
Note 3 Litigation and contingencies
The Company is involved in litigation in the ordinary course of business. In the opinion of
management, the ultimate resolution of this pending litigation will not have a material adverse
effect on the financial position or results of operations of the Company.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement
service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit
Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. In December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against three large
lenders
alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While we are not a
defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to future
litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a material
adverse effect on us. In 2005, the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit decided a
case under FCRA to which we were not a party that may make it more likely that we will be subject
Page 8
to litigation regarding when notices to borrowers are required by FCRA. The Supreme Court of the
United States is reviewing this case, with a decision expected in the second quarter of 2007.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department (the NYID), we
provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the NYID requested MGIC to
review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years experience
or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the NYID that
it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk,
premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in
response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the MDC), which
regulates insurance, we provided the MDC with information about captive mortgage reinsurance and
certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to the MDC. Other insurance
departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or
investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may
bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of
many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms
to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance arrangements are in
conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any
such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage
insurance industry.
Under its contract underwriting agreements, the Company may be required to provide certain remedies
to its customers if certain standards relating to the quality of the Companys underwriting work
are not met. The cost of remedies provided by the Company to customers for failing to meet these
standards has not been material to the Companys financial position or results of operations for
the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006.
See note 7 for a description of federal income tax contingencies.
Note 4 Earnings per share
The Companys basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been calculated in accordance with
SFAS No. 128, Earnings Per Share. The Companys net income is the same for both basic and diluted
EPS. Basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Diluted EPS
is based on the weighted average
number of common shares outstanding plus common stock equivalents which include stock awards and
stock options. The following is a reconciliation of the weighted average number of shares used for
basic EPS and diluted EPS.
Page 9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
|
|
(in thousands) |
Weighted-average shares Basic |
|
|
81,890 |
|
|
|
86,577 |
|
Common stock equivalents |
|
|
464 |
|
|
|
650 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares Diluted |
|
|
82,354 |
|
|
|
87,227 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note 5 Comprehensive income
The Companys total comprehensive income, as calculated per SFAS No. 130, Reporting Comprehensive
Income, was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Net income |
|
$ |
92,363 |
|
|
$ |
163,453 |
|
Other comprehensive loss |
|
|
(4,668 |
) |
|
|
(31,523 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total comprehensive income |
|
$ |
87,695 |
|
|
$ |
131,930 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(net of tax): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized net derivative gains
and losses |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
777 |
|
Change in unrealized gains and losses
on investments |
|
|
(5,914 |
) |
|
|
(32,336 |
) |
Other |
|
|
1,246 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive loss |
|
$ |
(4,668 |
) |
|
$ |
(31,523 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At March 31, 2007, accumulated other comprehensive income of $61.1 million included $77.8
million of net unrealized gains on investments, $2.4 million relating to a foreign currency
translation adjustment, ($17.8) million relating to defined benefit plans and ($1.3) million
relating to the accumulated other comprehensive loss of the Companys joint venture investments,
all net of tax. At December 31, 2006, accumulated other comprehensive income of $65.8 million
included $83.7 million of net unrealized gains on investments, ($17.8) million relating to defined
benefit plans and ($0.1) million relating to the accumulated other comprehensive loss of the
Companys joint venture investments.
Page 10
Note 6 Benefit Plans
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension,
supplemental executive retirement and other postretirement benefit plans:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
|
Pension and Supplemental |
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Executive Retirement Plans |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
2,504 |
|
|
$ |
2,463 |
|
|
$ |
890 |
|
|
$ |
898 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
3,016 |
|
|
|
2,741 |
|
|
|
1,112 |
|
|
|
1,024 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(4,370 |
) |
|
|
(3,709 |
) |
|
|
(804 |
) |
|
|
(649 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss (gain) |
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
26 |
|
|
|
111 |
|
Amortization of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71 |
|
|
|
71 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
141 |
|
|
|
141 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
1,354 |
|
|
$ |
1,734 |
|
|
$ |
1,295 |
|
|
$ |
1,455 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Company previously disclosed in its financial statements for the year ended December 31,
2006 that it expected to contribute approximately $10.7 million and $3.5 million, respectively, to
its pension and postretirement plans in 2007. As of March 31, 2007, no contributions have been
made.
Note 7 Income Taxes
Effective January 1, 2007, the Company has adopted FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting
for Uncertainty in Income Taxes. The Interpretation seeks to reduce the significant diversity in
practice associated with recognition and measurement in the accounting for income taxes. The
interpretation applies to all tax positions accounted for in accordance with SFAS No. 109,
Accounting for Income Taxes. When evaluating a tax position for recognition and measurement, an
entity shall presume that the tax position will be examined by the relevant taxing authority that
has full knowledge of all relevant information. The interpretation adopts a benefit recognition
model with a two-step approach, a more-likely-than-not threshold for recognition and derecognition,
and a measurement attribute that is the greatest amount of benefit that is cumulatively greater
than 50% likely of being realized. The Company as a result of the adoption recognized a decrease
of $85.5 million in the liability for unrecognized tax benefits, which was accounted for as an
increase to the January 1, 2007 balance of retained earnings.
The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of January 1, 2007 was $81.0 million. Included in
that total are $71.3 million in benefits that would affect the Companys effective tax rate. The
Company recognizes interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in income
taxes. The Company has $16.5 million for the payment of interest accrued as of January 1, 2007. It
is reasonably possible that the
Page 11
Company could make a deposit of taxes during the next twelve months
to eliminate the further accrual of interest.
The occurrence, amount and timing of any deposit are discretionary and cannot be determined at this
time.
The establishment of this liability requires estimates of potential outcomes of various issues and
requires significant judgment. Although the resolutions of these issues are uncertain, the Company
believes that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that
may result. If the resolutions of these matters differ materially from the Companys estimates, it
could have a material impact on the Companys effective tax rate, results of operations and cash
flows.
On April 30, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for
taxable years 2000 through 2004, the Company received several Notices of Proposed Adjustment. The
notices would greatly increase reported taxable income for those years and, if upheld, would
require the Company to pay a total of $188 million in taxes and accuracy related penalties, plus
applicable interest. The IRS disagrees with the Companys treatment of the flow through income and
loss from an investment in a portfolio of the residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment
Conduits (REMICS). The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, the
Company has established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses
from taxable income. The Company disagrees with this conclusion and believes that the flow through
income and loss from these investments was properly reported on its federal income tax returns in
accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and
intends to use appropriate means to appeal these adjustments. Radian holds an interest in a
substantially similar portfolio of REMICs that was purchased from the same seller in a transaction
that closed at the same time.
Note 8 Condensed consolidating financial statements
The following condensed financial information sets forth, on a consolidating basis, the balance
sheet, statement of operations, and statement of cash flows for MGIC Investment Corporation
(Parent Company), which represents the Parent Companys investments in all of its subsidiaries
under the equity method, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation and Subsidiaries (MGIC
Consolidated), and all other subsidiaries of the Company (Other) on a combined basis. The
eliminations column represents entries eliminating investments in subsidiaries, intercompany
balances, and intercompany revenues and expenses.
Page 12
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheets
At March 31, 2007
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments |
|
$ |
2,331 |
|
|
$ |
5,023,278 |
|
|
$ |
302,262 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
5,327,871 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
11,279 |
|
|
|
208,426 |
|
|
|
35,338 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
255,043 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
84,089 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
(70,487 |
) |
|
|
13,621 |
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,088 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(14,969 |
) |
|
|
9,122 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,925 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,925 |
|
Investments in subsidiaries/joint ventures |
|
|
5,007,564 |
|
|
|
619,273 |
|
|
|
2,817 |
|
|
|
(5,007,564 |
) |
|
|
622,090 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
49,279 |
|
|
|
397,205 |
|
|
|
27,064 |
|
|
|
(65,530 |
) |
|
|
408,018 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
5,070,453 |
|
|
$ |
6,368,284 |
|
|
$ |
367,503 |
|
|
$ |
(5,158,550 |
) |
|
$ |
6,647,690 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss reserves |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
1,141,565 |
|
|
$ |
70,488 |
|
|
$ |
(70,487 |
) |
|
$ |
1,141,566 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
194,175 |
|
|
|
14,969 |
|
|
|
(14,969 |
) |
|
|
194,175 |
|
Short- and long-term debt |
|
|
607,847 |
|
|
|
9,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9,325 |
) |
|
|
607,886 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
7,190 |
|
|
|
250,784 |
|
|
|
39,467 |
|
|
|
(48,794 |
) |
|
|
248,647 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
615,037 |
|
|
|
1,595,888 |
|
|
|
124,924 |
|
|
|
(143,575 |
) |
|
|
2,192,274 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity |
|
|
4,455,416 |
|
|
|
4,772,396 |
|
|
|
242,579 |
|
|
|
(5,014,975 |
) |
|
|
4,455,416 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
5,070,453 |
|
|
$ |
6,368,284 |
|
|
$ |
367,503 |
|
|
$ |
(5,158,550 |
) |
|
$ |
6,647,690 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheets
At December 31, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments |
|
$ |
27,374 |
|
|
$ |
4,935,881 |
|
|
$ |
289,167 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
5,252,422 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
162,198 |
|
|
|
99,286 |
|
|
|
32,254 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
293,738 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
78,114 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
(64,718 |
) |
|
|
13,417 |
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,779 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
(15,163 |
) |
|
|
9,620 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
12,769 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12,769 |
|
Investments in subsidiaries/joint ventures |
|
|
4,882,408 |
|
|
|
652,910 |
|
|
|
2,974 |
|
|
|
(4,882,408 |
) |
|
|
655,884 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
15,228 |
|
|
|
391,247 |
|
|
|
27,598 |
|
|
|
(50,252 |
) |
|
|
383,821 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
5,087,208 |
|
|
$ |
6,194,986 |
|
|
$ |
352,018 |
|
|
$ |
(5,012,541 |
) |
|
$ |
6,621,671 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss reserves |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
1,125,715 |
|
|
$ |
64,718 |
|
|
$ |
(64,718 |
) |
|
$ |
1,125,715 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
189,661 |
|
|
|
15,163 |
|
|
|
(15,163 |
) |
|
|
189,661 |
|
Short- and long-term debt |
|
|
781,238 |
|
|
|
9,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9,325 |
) |
|
|
781,277 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
10,093 |
|
|
|
219,105 |
|
|
|
31,651 |
|
|
|
(31,708 |
) |
|
|
229,141 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
791,331 |
|
|
|
1,543,845 |
|
|
|
111,532 |
|
|
|
(120,914 |
) |
|
|
2,325,794 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity |
|
|
4,295,877 |
|
|
|
4,651,141 |
|
|
|
240,486 |
|
|
|
(4,891,627 |
) |
|
|
4,295,877 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
5,087,208 |
|
|
$ |
6,194,986 |
|
|
$ |
352,018 |
|
|
$ |
(5,012,541 |
) |
|
$ |
6,621,671 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 13
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Operations
Three Months Ended March 31, 2007
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
285,998 |
|
|
$ |
18,074 |
|
|
$ |
(38 |
) |
|
$ |
304,034 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
280,792 |
|
|
|
18,267 |
|
|
|
(38 |
) |
|
|
299,021 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity in undistributed
net income of subsidiaries |
|
|
42,623 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(42,623 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Dividends received from subsidiaries |
|
|
55,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(55,000 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
2,368 |
|
|
|
56,328 |
|
|
|
4,274 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62,970 |
|
Realized investment losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(377 |
) |
|
|
(2,633 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3,010 |
) |
Other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,598 |
|
|
|
8,063 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10,661 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
99,991 |
|
|
|
339,341 |
|
|
|
27,971 |
|
|
|
(97,661 |
) |
|
|
369,642 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
166,787 |
|
|
|
14,971 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
181,758 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
|
|
70 |
|
|
|
54,756 |
|
|
|
20,295 |
|
|
|
(49 |
) |
|
|
75,072 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
10,959 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10,959 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
11,029 |
|
|
|
221,543 |
|
|
|
35,266 |
|
|
|
(49 |
) |
|
|
267,789 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
88,962 |
|
|
|
117,798 |
|
|
|
(7,295 |
) |
|
|
(97,612 |
) |
|
|
101,853 |
|
Provision (credit) for income tax |
|
|
(3,401 |
) |
|
|
29,742 |
|
|
|
(2,241 |
) |
|
|
(557 |
) |
|
|
23,543 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
14,049 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14,053 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
92,363 |
|
|
$ |
102,105 |
|
|
$ |
(5,050 |
) |
|
$ |
(97,055 |
) |
|
$ |
92,363 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Operations
Three Months Ended March 31, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
282,653 |
|
|
$ |
17,841 |
|
|
$ |
(22 |
) |
|
$ |
300,472 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
283,202 |
|
|
|
16,487 |
|
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
299,667 |
|
Equity in undistributed
net income of subsidiaries |
|
|
(35,515 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35,515 |
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends received from subsidiaries |
|
|
205,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(205,000 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
55,072 |
|
|
|
2,793 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57,964 |
|
Realized investment gains, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
57 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,665 |
|
|
|
8,649 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,314 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
169,584 |
|
|
|
340,996 |
|
|
|
27,959 |
|
|
|
(169,507 |
) |
|
|
369,032 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
110,599 |
|
|
|
4,286 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
114,885 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
54,108 |
|
|
|
20,126 |
|
|
|
(33 |
) |
|
|
74,265 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
9,315 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9,315 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
9,379 |
|
|
|
164,707 |
|
|
|
24,412 |
|
|
|
(33 |
) |
|
|
198,465 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
160,205 |
|
|
|
176,289 |
|
|
|
3,547 |
|
|
|
(169,474 |
) |
|
|
170,567 |
|
Provision (credit) for income tax |
|
|
(3,248 |
) |
|
|
48,738 |
|
|
|
659 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
46,166 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
39,052 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
39,052 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
163,453 |
|
|
$ |
166,603 |
|
|
$ |
2,888 |
|
|
$ |
(169,491 |
) |
|
$ |
163,453 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 14
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flows
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2007
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Net cash from operating activities: |
|
$ |
23,725 |
(1) |
|
$ |
204,214 |
|
|
$ |
13,504 |
|
|
$ |
(62,455 |
) |
|
$ |
178,988 |
|
Net cash from (used in) investing activities: |
|
|
17,543 |
|
|
|
(98,289 |
) |
|
|
(10,420 |
) |
|
|
7,500 |
|
|
|
(83,666 |
) |
Net cash (used in) financing activities: |
|
|
(192,187 |
) |
|
|
3,215 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54,955 |
|
|
|
(134,017 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net (decrease) increase in Cash |
|
$ |
(150,919 |
) |
|
$ |
109,140 |
|
|
$ |
3,084 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
(38,695 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes dividends received from subsidiaries of $55,000. |
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flows
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Net cash from operating activities: |
|
$ |
199,443 |
(1) |
|
$ |
194,629 |
|
|
$ |
5,813 |
|
|
$ |
(207,866 |
) |
|
$ |
192,019 |
|
Net cash from (used in) investing activities: |
|
|
44 |
|
|
|
30,188 |
|
|
|
(17,514 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
12,718 |
|
Net cash (used in) financing activities: |
|
|
(196,264 |
) |
|
|
(205,000 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
207,866 |
|
|
|
(193,398 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in Cash |
|
$ |
3,223 |
|
|
$ |
19,817 |
|
|
$ |
(11,701 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
11,339 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes dividends received from subsidiaries of $205,000. |
Page 15
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
MGIC Investment Corporation and Radian Group Inc. have filed a joint proxy
statement/prospectus and other relevant documents concerning the MGIC/Radian merger transaction
with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC). STOCKHOLDERS ARE URGED TO
READ THE JOINT PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS AND ANY OTHER DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC IN CONNECTION
WITH THE MERGER TRANSACTION OR INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE IN THE PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS BECAUSE
THEY CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Investors may obtain these documents free of charge at the
SECs website (http://www.sec.gov). In addition, documents filed with the SEC by MGIC are available
free of charge by contacting Investor Relations at MGIC Investment Corporation, 250 East Kilbourn
Avenue, Milwaukee, WI 53202. Documents filed with the SEC by Radian are available free of charge by
calling Investor Relations at (215) 231-1486.
Radian and MGIC and their respective directors and executive officers, certain members of
management and other employees may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from
Radian stockholders and MGIC stockholders with respect to the proposed merger transaction.
Information regarding the directors and executive officers of Radian and MGIC and the interests of
such participants are included in the joint proxy statement/prospectus filed with the SEC (which
relates to the merger transaction, Radians 2007 annual meeting of stockholders and MGICs 2007
annual meeting of stockholders) and in the other relevant documents filed with the SEC.
Overview
Proposed Merger with Radian Group
In early February 2007 we announced that we agreed to merge (the Merger) with Radian Group
Inc. (Radian). The agreement provides for a merger of Radian into us in which 0.9658 shares of
our common stock will be exchanged for each share of Radian common stock. Radian has publicly
reported that at March 19, 2007 it had 80.3 million shares of common stock outstanding and eligible
to vote at its shareholder meeting. The transaction has been unanimously approved by each companys
board of directors and is expected to be completed late in the third quarter or early in the fourth
quarter of 2007, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. At our 2007 annual meeting, which
will be held on May 10, 2007, we will ask our shareholders to approve the Merger Agreement. Radian
will ask the same of their shareholders at their annual meeting on May 9, 2007. The results of the
shareholder votes were not known at the time we finalized this Quarterly Report.
We would almost double in size if the Merger occurs. See Note 16 to our consolidated
financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006. We
would also be engaged in the financial guaranty business and intend to dispose of certain of the
interests that the combined company would have held in the Credit-Based Asset Servicing and
Securitization LLC (C-BASS) and Sherman Financial Group LLC
(Sherman) joint ventures to avoid the potentially adverse impact that owning more than 50%
may have on the combined companys financial ratings. The
Page 16
business description, financial results
and any forward looking statements that follow apply only to our business, and do not reflect the
effects of the Merger. For further information regarding the Merger, you should read our Current
Reports on Form 8-K filed on February 6 and 12, 2007, as well as our S-4/A filed on April 5, 2007
and our Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus on Form 424B3 filed on April 9, 2007.
Business and General Environment
Through our subsidiary Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), we are the leading
provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry.
Our principal products are primary mortgage insurance and pool mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage
insurance may be written through the flow market channel, in which loans are insured in individual,
loan-by-loan transactions. Primary mortgage insurance may also be written through the bulk market
channel, in which portfolios of loans are individually insured in single, bulk transactions.
As used below, we and our refer to MGIC Investment Corporations consolidated operations.
The discussion below should be read in conjunction with Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2006. We refer to this Discussion as the 10-K MD&A.
Our results of operations are affected by:
|
|
|
Premiums written and earned |
Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by:
|
|
|
New insurance written, which increases the size of the in force book of insurance.
New insurance written is the aggregate principal amount of the mortgages that are
insured during a period and is referred to as NIW. NIW is affected by many factors,
including the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations and competition to
provide credit enhancement on those mortgages, including competition from other
mortgage insurers and alternatives to mortgage insurance, such as piggyback loans. |
|
|
|
|
Cancellations, which reduce the size of the in force book of insurance that
generates premiums. Cancellations due to refinancings are affected by the level of
current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in
force book, as well as by home price appreciation. |
|
|
|
|
Premium rates, which are affected by the risk characteristics of the loans insured
and the percentage of coverage on the loans. |
|
|
|
|
Premiums ceded to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders and risk
sharing arrangements with the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal
Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (government sponsored entities or GSEs). |
Page 17
Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the
period. Hence, lower average insurance in force in one period compared to another is a factor
that will reduce premiums written and earned, although this effect may be mitigated (or
enhanced) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by
premium that is ceded. Also, NIW and cancellations during a period will generally have a greater
effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent periods than in the period in which these
events occur.
The investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of highly rated, fixed income
securities. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio
and its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair market value, such
as from changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio is mainly a function of
cash generated from operations, including investment earnings, less cash used for non-investment
purposes, such as share repurchases. Realized gains and losses are a function of the difference
between the amount received on sale of a security and the securitys amortized cost. The amount
received on sale is affected by the coupon rate of the security compared to the yield of
comparable securities.
Losses incurred are the expense that results from a payment delinquency on an insured loan.
As explained under Critical Accounting Policies in the 10-K MD&A, this expense is recognized
only when a loan is delinquent. Losses incurred are generally affected by:
|
|
|
The state of the economy, which affects the likelihood that loans will become
delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their delinquency. The level of
delinquencies has historically followed a seasonal pattern, with a reduction in
delinquencies in the first part of the year, followed by an increase in the latter part
of the year. |
|
|
|
|
The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk characteristics
generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims. |
|
|
|
|
The average claim payment, which is affected by the size of loans insured (higher
average loan amounts tend to increase losses incurred), the percentage coverage on
insured loans (deeper average coverage tends to increase incurred losses), and housing
values, which affect our ability to mitigate our losses through sales of properties
with delinquent mortgages. |
|
|
|
|
The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first two
years after a loan is originated are a period of relatively low claims, with claims
increasing substantially for several years subsequent and then declining, although
persistency and the condition of the economy can affect this pattern. |
Page 18
|
|
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
Our operating expenses generally vary with the level of mortgage origination activity,
contract underwriting volume and expansion into international markets. Contract underwriting
generates fee income included in Other revenue.
|
|
|
Income from joint ventures |
Our results of operations are also affected by income from joint ventures. Joint venture
income principally consists of the aggregate results of our investment in two less than majority
owned joint ventures, C-BASS and Sherman.
C-BASS: C-BASS is primarily an investor in the credit risk of credit-sensitive
single-family residential mortgages. It finances these activities through borrowings included on
its balance sheet and by securitization activities generally conducted through off-balance sheet
entities. C-BASS generally retains the first-loss and other subordinate securities created in
the securitization. The mortgage loans owned by C-BASS and underlying C-BASSs mortgage
securities investments are generally serviced by Litton Loan Servicing LP, a subsidiary of
C-BASS (Litton). Littons servicing operations primarily support C-BASSs investment in credit
risk, and investments made by funds managed or co-managed by C-BASS, rather than generating fees
for servicing loans owned by third-parties.
C-BASSs consolidated results of operations are affected by:
|
|
|
Portfolio revenue, which in turn is primarily affected by net interest income, gain on
sale and liquidation, gain on securitization and hedging gains and losses related to
portfolio assets and securitization, net of mark-to-market and whole loan reserve changes. |
|
|
|
Net interest income |
|
|
|
|
Net interest income is principally a function of the size of C-BASSs portfolio of
whole loans and mortgages and other securities, and the spread between the interest
income generated by these assets and the interest expense of funding them. Interest
income from a particular security is recognized based on the expected yield for the
security. |
|
|
|
|
Gain on sale and liquidation |
|
|
|
|
Gain on sale and liquidation results from sales of mortgage and other securities,
and liquidation of mortgage loans. Securities may be sold in the normal course of
business or because of the exercise of call rights by third
parties. Mortgage loan liquidations result from loan payoffs, from foreclosure or
from sales of real estate acquired through foreclosure. |
|
|
|
|
Gain on securitization |
|
|
|
|
Gain on securitization is a function of the face amount of the collateral in the
securitization and the margin realized in the securitization. This margin |
Page 19
|
|
|
depends on
the difference between the proceeds realized in the securitization and the purchase
price paid by C-BASS for the collateral. The proceeds realized in a securitization
include the value of securities created in the securitization that are retained by
C-BASS. |
|
|
|
|
Hedging gains and losses, net of mark-to-market and whole loan reserve changes |
|
|
|
|
Hedging gains and losses primarily consist of changes in the value of derivative
instruments (including interest rate swaps, interest rate caps and futures) and
short positions, as well as realized gains and losses from the closing of hedging
positions. C-BASS uses derivative instruments and short sales in a strategy to
reduce the impact of changes in interest rates on the value of its mortgage loans
and securities. Changes in value of derivative instruments are subject to current
recognition through the income statement because C-BASS does not account for the
derivatives as hedges under SFAS No. 133. Mortgage and other securities are
classified by C-BASS as trading securities and are carried at fair value, as
estimated by C-BASS. Changes in fair value between period ends (a mark-to-market)
are reflected in C-BASSs statement of operations as unrealized gains or losses.
Changes in fair value of mortgage and other securities may relate to changes in
credit spreads or to changes in the level of interest rates or the slope of the
yield curve. Mortgage loans are not marked-to-market and are carried at the lower of
cost or fair value on a portfolio basis, as estimated by C-BASS. During a period in
which short-term interest rates decline, in general, C-BASSs hedging positions will
decline in value and the change in value, to the extent that the hedges related to
whole loans, will be reflected in C-BASSs earnings for the period as an unrealized
loss. The related increase, if any, in the value of mortgage loans will not be
reflected in earnings but, absent any countervailing factors, when mortgage loans
owned during the period are securitized, the proceeds realized in the securitization
should increase to reflect the increased value of the collateral. |
|
|
|
Servicing revenue |
|
|
|
|
Servicing revenue is a function of the unpaid principal balance of mortgage loans serviced
and servicing fees and charges. The unpaid principal balance of mortgage loans serviced by
Litton is affected by mortgages acquired by C-BASS because servicing on subprime and other
mortgages acquired is generally transferred to Litton. Litton also services or provides
special servicing on loans in mortgage securities owned by funds managed or co-managed by
C-BASS. Litton also may obtain servicing on loans in third party mortgage securities
acquired by C-BASS or
when the loans become delinquent by a specified number of payments (known as special
servicing). |
|
|
|
|
Revenues from money management activities |
Page 20
|
|
|
These revenues include management fees from C-BASS issued collateralized bond obligations
(CBOs), equity in earnings from C-BASS investments in investment funds managed or
co-managed by C-BASS and management fees and incentive income from investment funds managed
or co-managed by C-BASS. |
Sherman: Sherman is principally engaged in purchasing and collecting for its own account
delinquent consumer receivables, which are primarily unsecured, and in originating and servicing
subprime credit card receivables. The borrowings used to finance these activities are included in
Shermans balance sheet.
Shermans consolidated results of operations are affected by:
|
|
|
Revenues from delinquent receivable portfolios |
|
|
|
|
These revenues are the cash collections on such portfolios, and depend on the aggregate
amount of delinquent receivables owned by Sherman, the type of receivable and the length of
time that the receivable has been owned by Sherman. |
|
|
|
|
Amortization of delinquent receivable portfolios |
|
|
|
|
Amortization is the recovery of the cost to purchase the receivable portfolios. Amortization
expense is a function of estimated collections from the portfolios over their estimated
lives. If estimated collections cannot be reasonably predicted, cost is fully recovered
before any net revenue (the difference between revenues from a receivable portfolio and that
portfolios amortization) is recognized. |
|
|
|
|
Credit card interest and fees, along with the coincident provision for losses for
uncollectible amounts. |
|
|
|
|
Costs of collection, which include servicing fees paid to third parties to collect
receivables. |
2007 First Quarter Results
Our results of operations in the first quarter of 2007 were principally affected by:
Losses incurred for the first quarter of 2007 increased compared to the same period in 2006
primarily due to a smaller decrease in the default inventory and a larger increase in the
estimates regarding how much will be paid on claims (severity), when
each are compared to the same period in 2006. The increase in estimated severity is
primarily the result of the default inventory containing higher loan exposures with expected
higher average claim payments as well as a decrease in our ability to mitigate losses through
the sale of properties in some geographical areas due to slowing home price appreciation in such
areas.
Page 21
|
|
Premiums written and earned |
Premiums written and earned during the first quarter of 2007 were flat when compared to the
same period in 2006. The average insurance in force continues to increase, but has been offset
by lower average premium yields due to a higher proportion of insurance in force written through
the flow channel compared to the same period a year ago.
|
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
Underwriting and other expenses for the first quarter of 2007 increased slightly when
compared to the same period in 2006. The increase was primarily due to international expansion.
Investment income in the first quarter of 2007 was higher when compared to the same period
2006 due to an increase in the pre-tax yield.
|
|
Income from joint ventures |
Income from joint ventures decreased in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the same
period in 2006. This decrease was primarily due to an operating loss at C-BASS in the first
quarter of 2007, our portion of which was $6.6 million, compared to operating income in the
first quarter of 2006, our portion of which was $30.1 million. C-BASSs loss during the first
quarter of 2007 was primarily due to a write down in their securities portfolio due to spread
widening and an increase in loss assumptions, securitization losses, negative mark-to-market
adjustments on their whole loan portfolio and write-offs of claims against certain
counterparties whose creditworthiness became impaired.
Page 22
RESULTS OF CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS
As discussed under Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors below, actual results may
differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are not
undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may make in the following
discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or
circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements were made.
NIW
The amount of our NIW (this term is defined under Premiums written and earned in the
OverviewBusiness and General Environment section) during the three months ended March 31, 2007
and 2006 was as follows:
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
($ billions) |
|
NIW-Flow Channel |
|
$ |
10.4 |
|
|
$ |
7.9 |
|
NIW-Bulk Channel |
|
|
2.3 |
|
|
|
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total NIW |
|
$ |
12.7 |
|
|
$ |
10.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Refinance volume as a % of primary
flow NIW |
|
|
27 |
% |
|
|
28 |
% |
The increase in NIW on a flow basis in the first quarter of 2007, compared to the same
period in 2006, was primarily due to a renewed interest in credit quality protection, along with
changes in interest rates, slowing property appreciation and mortgage insurance tax deductibility.
For a discussion of NIW written through the bulk channel, see Bulk transactions below.
Page 23
Cancellations and insurance in force
NIW and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three months ended March 31,
2007 and 2006 were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(in billions) |
|
NIW |
|
$ |
12.7 |
|
|
$ |
10.0 |
|
Cancellations |
|
|
(10.9 |
) |
|
|
(13.1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in primary insurance
in force |
|
$ |
1.8 |
|
|
$ |
(3.1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct primary insurance in force
as of March 31, |
|
$ |
178.3 |
|
|
$ |
166.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In the first quarter of 2007 insurance in force increased $1.8 billion. This was the fourth
consecutive quarter of growth in the in force book.
Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates
and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in
the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. Our persistency
rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior) was 70.3% at March 31, 2007,
an increase from 69.6% at December 31, 2006 and 62.0% at March 31, 2006. These persistency rate
improvements and the related decline in cancellations reflect the general upward trend in mortgage
interest rates and declining rate of home price appreciation over these periods. We continue to
expect modest improvement in the persistency rate in 2007, although this expectation assumes the
absence of significant declines in the level of mortgage interest rates from their level in late
April 2007.
Bulk transactions
Our writings of bulk insurance are in part sensitive to the volume of securitization
transactions involving non-conforming loans. Our writings of bulk insurance are, in part, also
sensitive to competition from other methods of providing credit enhancement in a securitization,
including an execution in which the subordinate tranches in the securitization rather than mortgage
insurance bear the first loss from mortgage defaults. Competition from such an execution depends
on, among other factors, the yield at which investors are willing to purchase tranches of the
securitization that involve a higher degree of credit risk
compared to the yield for tranches involving the lowest credit
Page 24
risk (the difference in such
yields is referred to as the spread), the amount of higher risk tranches that investors are willing
to purchase, and the amount of credit for losses that a rating agency will give to mortgage
insurance. As the spread narrows, competition from an execution in which the subordinate tranches
bear the first loss increases. The competitiveness of the mortgage insurance execution in the bulk
channel may also be impacted by changes in our view of the risk of the business, which is affected
by the historical performance of previously insured pools and our expectations for regional and
local real estate values. As a result of the sensitivities discussed above, bulk volume can vary
materially from period to period.
NIW for bulk transactions was $2.3 billion in the first quarter of 2007 compared to $2.1
billion in the first quarter of 2006. We price our bulk business to generate acceptable returns;
there can be no assurance, however, that the assumptions underlying the premium rates will achieve
this objective.
Pool insurance
In addition to providing primary insurance coverage, we also insure pools of mortgage loans.
New pool risk written during the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006 was $39 million and $68
million, respectively. Our direct pool risk in force was $3.0 billion, $3.1 billion and $3.0
billion at March 31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, respectively. These risk amounts
represent pools of loans with contractual aggregate loss limits and those without such limits. For
pools of loans without such limits, risk is estimated based on the amount that would credit enhance
the loans in the pool to a AA level based on a rating agency model. Under this model, at March
31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, for $4.3 billion, $4.4 billion and $4.8 billion,
respectively, of risk without such limits, risk in force is calculated at $473 million, $473
million and $470 million, respectively. For the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006 for $13
million and $21 million, respectively, of risk without contractual aggregate loss limits, new risk
written under this model was $0.5 million and $1.2 million, respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
Net premiums written and earned during the first quarter of 2007 were flat when compared to
the same period in 2006. The average insurance in force continues to increase, but has been offset
by lower average premium yields due to a higher proportion of insurance in force written through
the flow channel compared to the same period a year ago. Assuming no significant decline in
interest rates from their level at the end of April 2007, we expect the average insurance in force
during 2007 to continue to be higher than in 2006 based on our expectation that private mortgage
insurance will be used on a greater percentage of mortgage originations in 2007.
Risk sharing arrangements
For the quarter ended December 31, 2006, approximately 48.3% of our new insurance written on a
flow basis was subject to arrangements with reinsurance
Page 25
subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders or
risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs compared to 48.0% for the quarter ended March 31, 2006. The
percentage of new insurance written during a period covered by such arrangements normally increases
after the end of the period because, among other reasons, the transfer of a loan in the secondary
market can result in a mortgage insured during a period becoming part of such an arrangement in a
subsequent period. Therefore, the percentage of new insurance written covered by such arrangements
is not shown for the most recently ended quarter. Premiums ceded in such arrangements are reported
in the period in which they are ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured.
Investment income
Investment income for the first quarter of 2007 increased when compared to the same period in
2006 due to an increase in the average investment yield. The portfolios average pre-tax investment
yield was 4.54% at March 31, 2007 and 4.35% at March 31, 2006. The portfolios average after-tax
investment yield was 4.06% at March 31, 2007 and 3.87% at March 31, 2006.
Other revenue
Other revenue for the first quarter of 2007 decreased when compared to the same period in
2006. The decrease in other revenue is primarily the result of a decrease in revenue from contract
underwriting.
Losses
As discussed in Critical Accounting Policies in the 10-K MD&A, consistent with industry
practices, loss reserves for future claims are established only for loans that are currently
delinquent. (The terms delinquent and default are used interchangeably by us and are defined as
an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due.) Loss reserves are
established by managements estimation of the number of loans in our inventory of delinquent loans
that will not cure their delinquency and thus result in a claim (historically, a substantial
majority of delinquent loans have cured), which is referred to as the claim rate, and further
estimating the amount that we will pay in claims on the loans that do not cure, which is referred
to as claim severity. Estimation of losses that we will pay in the future is inherently judgmental.
The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state
of the domestic economy and the current and future strength of local housing markets.
Losses incurred for the first quarter of 2007 increased compared to the same period in 2006
primarily due to a smaller decrease in the default inventory and a larger increase in the estimates
regarding how much will be paid on claims (severity), when each are compared to the same period in
2006. Our estimates are determined based upon
historical experience. The increase in estimated severity is primarily the result of the
default inventory containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments as
well as a decrease in our ability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties in some
geographical areas. Although the total default inventory has
Page 26
decreased we have experienced
increases in certain markets. In California we have experienced an increase in delinquencies, from
1,900 as of March 31, 2006 to 3,400 as of March 31, 2007. Also the average claim paid on California
loans is twice as high as the average claim paid for the remainder of the country. We have also
experienced an increase in delinquencies in Arizona, Florida and Massachusetts and those
delinquencies also have above average loan balances.
We anticipate that losses incurred during the remainder of 2007 will exceed net paid claims
during this period and exceed the 2006 level of losses incurred.
Page 27
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at March 31,
2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
December 31, |
|
March 31, |
|
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
|
2006 |
Total loans delinquent |
|
|
76,122 |
|
|
|
78,628 |
|
|
|
76,362 |
|
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
5.92 |
% |
|
|
6.13 |
% |
|
|
6.00 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prime loans delinquent* |
|
|
35,436 |
|
|
|
36,727 |
|
|
|
36,114 |
|
Percentage of prime loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
3.56 |
% |
|
|
3.71 |
% |
|
|
3.65 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A-minus loans delinquent* |
|
|
17,047 |
|
|
|
18,182 |
|
|
|
18,109 |
|
Percentage of A-minus loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
15.77 |
% |
|
|
16.81 |
% |
|
|
16.04 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subprime credit loans delinquent* |
|
|
11,246 |
|
|
|
12,227 |
|
|
|
12,297 |
|
Percentage of subprime credit loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
25.86 |
% |
|
|
26.79 |
% |
|
|
24.03 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reduced documentation loans delinquent |
|
|
12,393 |
|
|
|
11,492 |
|
|
|
9,842 |
|
Percentage of reduced doc loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
8.92 |
% |
|
|
8.19 |
% |
|
|
8.19 |
% |
|
|
|
* |
|
Prime loans have FICO credit scores of 620 or greater, as reported to us at the time a
commitment to insure is issued. A-minus loans have FICO credit scores of 575-619, and subprime
credit loans have FICO credit scores of less than 575. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans are
written through the bulk channel. |
The average primary claim paid for the three months ended March 31, 2007 was $30,841 compared
to $26,857 for the same period in 2006. We expect increases in the average primary claim paid
throughout 2007 and beyond. These increases are expected to be driven by our higher average insured
loan sizes as well as decreases in our ability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties in
some geographical regions, as certain housing markets, like California and Florida, become less
favorable. The average loan size on our bulk business has grown from $147,000 in 2003 to $236,000
in 2006 and the flow average loan size has increased from $144,000 in 2003 to $161,000 in 2006.
The pool notice inventory increased slightly from 20,458 at December 31, 2006 to 20,665 at
March 31, 2007; the pool notice inventory was 21,127 at March 31, 2006.
Page 28
Information about net losses paid during the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006
appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
Net paid claims ($ millions) |
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
Prime (FICO 620 & >) |
|
$ |
67 |
|
|
$ |
57 |
|
A-Minus (FICO 575-619) |
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
Subprime (FICO < 575) |
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
Reduced doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
26 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
Other |
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
166 |
|
|
$ |
135 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We anticipate that net paid claims in the remainder of 2007 will exceed their 2006 level.
As of March 31, 2007, 72% of our primary insurance in force was written subsequent to December
31, 2003. On our flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third and
fourth year after the year of loan origination. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be
affected by many factors, including low persistency (which can have the effect of accelerating the
period in the life of a book during which the highest claim frequency occurs) and deteriorating
economic conditions (which can result in increasing claims following a period of declining claims).
On our bulk business, the period of highest claims frequency has generally occurred earlier than in
the historical pattern on our flow business.
Underwriting and other expenses
Underwriting and other expenses for the first quarter of 2007 increased slightly when compared
to the same period in 2006. We anticipate that expenses for the remainder of 2007 will increase
compared to 2006, due primarily to international expansion.
Page 29
Consolidated ratios
The table below presents our consolidated loss, expense and combined ratios for the three
months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
March 31, |
Consolidated Insurance Operations: |
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
Loss ratio |
|
|
60.8 |
% |
|
|
38.3 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
|
17.8 |
% |
|
|
17.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
78.6 |
% |
|
|
55.8 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The loss ratio (expressed as a percentage) is the ratio of the sum of incurred losses and loss
adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The increase in the loss ratio in the first quarter of
2007, compared to the same period in 2006, is due to an increase in losses incurred. The expense
ratio (expressed as a percentage) is the ratio of underwriting expenses to net premiums written.
The increase in the expense ratio in the first quarter of 2007, compared to the same period in
2006, is due to an increase in our expenses. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and
the expense ratio.
Income taxes
The effective tax rate was 23.1% in the first quarter of 2007, compared to 27.1% in the first
quarter of 2006. During those periods, the effective tax rate was below the statutory rate of 35%,
reflecting the benefits recognized from tax-preferenced investments. Our tax-preferenced
investments that impact the effective tax rate consist almost entirely of tax-exempt municipal
bonds. Changes in the effective tax rate principally result from a higher or lower percentage of
total income before tax being generated from tax-preferenced investments. The lower effective tax
rate in the first quarter of 2007 resulted from a higher percentage of total income before tax
being generated from tax-preferenced investments, which resulted from lower levels of underwriting
income.
Joint ventures
Our equity in the earnings from the C-BASS and Sherman joint ventures with Radian and certain
other joint ventures and investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of
accounting, is shown separately, net of tax, on our consolidated statement of operations. Income
from joint ventures decreased in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the same period in 2006.
This decrease was primarily due to an operating loss at C-BASS in the first quarter of 2007, our
portion of which was $6.6 million, compared to operating income in the first quarter of 2006, our
portion of which was $30.1 million. C-BASSs loss during the first quarter of 2007 was primarily
due to a write down in their securities portfolio due to spread widening and an increase in loss
assumptions, securitization losses, negative mark-to-market adjustments on their whole loan
portfolio
and write-offs of claims against certain counterparties whose creditworthiness became
impaired.
Page 30
C-BASS
Fieldstone: On February 15, 2007, C-BASS and Fieldstone Investment Corporation (Fieldstone)
entered into a merger agreement, which was subsequently amended to reduce the purchase price on
March 13, 2007. The reduction in purchase price reflects the cost to provide Fieldstone with needed
additional liquidity, pending the closing of the merger. This additional liquidity will be provided
through the sale to C-BASS, at Fieldstones option, of securities and mortgage loans owned by
Fieldstone. Under the terms of the amended agreement, C-BASS will acquire all of the outstanding
common stock of Fieldstone for approximately $188 million in cash. Completion of the transaction,
which is currently expected to occur in the second quarter of 2007, is contingent on various
closing conditions, including regulatory approvals and the approval of Fieldstones stockholders.
At the close of the transaction, Fieldstone will become a wholly owned subsidiary of C-BASS. At
December 31, 2006, Fieldstone owned and managed a portfolio of over $5.7 billion of non-conforming
mortgage loans originated primarily by a Fieldstone subsidiary. These mortgage loans are financed
through securitizations that are structured as debt with the result that both the mortgage loans
and the related debt appear on Fieldstones balance sheet. The closing of the acquisition will not
change this balance sheet treatment. At December 31, 2006, according to information filed by
Fieldstone with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Fieldstones assets were $6.4 billion; its
liabilities were $6.0 billion; and its shareholders equity was $0.4 billion. At the closing,
Fieldstones assets and liabilities will be adjusted to reflect the purchase price, as required by
generally accepted accounting principles.
Subprime
Market: Significant dislocation occurred in the subprime mortgage
market during the first quarter of 2007. This was primarily due to
the poor performance of subprime mortgage loans originated in 2006,
as demonstrated by a significant increase in early pay/first pay
defaults. Spreads on non-investment grade and non-rated subprime
mortgage securities, which are the bulk of C-BASSs mortgage
securities portfolio, increased dramatically during the latter part
of February and through March 2007. This created liquidity issues in
the subprime industry, resulting in a significant decline in the
volume of originations, and impairment of the financial strength of
many subprime originators.
Page 31
Results of Operations and Financial Condition
Summary C-BASS balance sheets and income statements at the dates and for the periods indicated
appear below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C-BASS Summary Balance Sheet: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(March 31, 2007 unaudited |
|
March 31, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
December 31, 2006 audited) |
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Assets: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Whole loans |
|
$ |
3,066 |
|
|
$ |
4,596 |
|
Securities |
|
|
2,331 |
|
|
|
2,422 |
|
Servicing |
|
|
671 |
|
|
|
656 |
|
Other |
|
|
800 |
|
|
|
1,127 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Assets |
|
$ |
6,868 |
|
|
$ |
8,801 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Liabilities |
|
$ |
5,956 |
|
|
$ |
7,875 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt (1) |
|
$ |
4,778 |
|
|
$ |
6,140 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Owners Equity |
|
$ |
912 |
|
|
$ |
926 |
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Most of which is scheduled to mature within one year or less. |
Included in whole loans and total liabilities at March 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006 were
approximately $530 million and $741 million, respectively, of assets and $511 million and $720
million, respectively, of liabilities from third party securitizations that did not qualify for
off-balance sheet treatment. The liabilities from these securitizations are not included in Debt in
the table above.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
C-BASS Summary Income Statement:
|
|
March 31, |
|
(unaudited) |
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
Portfolio |
|
$ |
(16.1 |
) |
|
$ |
76.3 |
|
Net servicing |
|
|
52.0 |
|
|
|
44.9 |
|
Money management and other |
|
|
3.1 |
|
|
|
8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenue |
|
|
39.0 |
|
|
|
129.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total expense |
|
|
53.7 |
|
|
|
63.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (loss) before tax |
|
$ |
(14.7 |
) |
|
$ |
65.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Companys share of pre-tax income (loss) |
|
$ |
(6.6 |
) |
|
$ |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 32
See OverviewBusiness and General EnvironmentIncome from Joint VenturesC-BASS for a
description of the components of the revenue lines.
The $14.7 million pre-tax loss in the first quarter of 2007 was primarily due to a write down
in their securities portfolio due to spread widening and an increase in loss assumptions,
securitization losses, negative mark-to-market adjustments on their whole loan portfolio and
write-offs of claims against certain counterparties whose creditworthiness became impaired. These
losses were offset by an operating profit, loan servicing, interest income on portfolios and
reduced compensation expenses.
Our investment in C-BASS on an equity basis at March 31, 2007 was $442.9 million. There were
no distributions from C-BASS during the first quarter of 2007.
Sherman
Summary Sherman balance sheets and income statements at the dates and for the periods
indicated appear below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sherman Summary Balance Sheet:
(March 31, 2007 unaudited
|
|
March 31, |
|
December 31, |
December 31, 2006 audited) |
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
|
|
($ millions) |
Total Assets |
|
$ |
1,234 |
|
|
$ |
1,204 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Liabilities |
|
$ |
1,001 |
|
|
$ |
923 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt |
|
$ |
845 |
|
|
$ |
761 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Members Equity |
|
$ |
233 |
|
|
$ |
281 |
|
Page 33
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Sherman Summary Income Statement:
|
|
March 31, |
|
(unaudited) |
|
($ millions) |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
Revenues from receivable portfolios |
|
$ |
281.0 |
|
|
$ |
284.9 |
|
Portfolio amortization |
|
|
122.1 |
|
|
|
101.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues, net of amortization |
|
|
158.9 |
|
|
|
183.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit card interest income and fees |
|
|
118.5 |
|
|
|
72.3 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
8.0 |
|
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
285.4 |
|
|
|
260.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total expenses |
|
|
204.3 |
|
|
|
178.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax |
|
$ |
81.1 |
|
|
$ |
81.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Companys share of pre-tax income |
|
$ |
27.7 |
|
|
$ |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shermans increased revenues in the first quarter of 2007, compared to the same period in
2006, was primarily due to increased credit card income and fees generated by Credit One Bank
(Credit One). The increase in expenses from the first quarter of 2006 to the first quarter of
2007 was also related to Credit One.
Our investment in Sherman on an equity basis at March 31, 2007 was $138.2 million. We received
$51.5 million of distributions from Sherman during the first quarter of 2007.
The Companys share of pre-tax income line item in the table above includes $5.4 million of
additional amortization expense for the three months ended March 31, 2007, above Shermans actual
amortization expense, related to additional interests in Sherman that we purchased during the third
quarter of 2006 at a price in excess of book value. Due to the additional interest purchased in
2006, we hold a greater equity interest in Sherman during the first quarter of 2007,
compared to the first quarter of 2006.
Financial Condition
In March 2007 we repaid the $200 million, 6% Senior Notes that came due with funds raised from
the September 2006 public debt offering. At March 31, 2007 we had $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes
due in September 2011 and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015. At March 31, 2006
we had $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due
in March 2007. At
Page 34
March 31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, the market value of the outstanding debt
(which also includes commercial paper) was $609.5 million, $783.2 million and $588.4 million,
respectively.
See Results of OperationsJoint ventures above for information about the financial condition
of C-BASS and Sherman.
As of March 31, 2007, 85% of our investment portfolio was invested in tax-preferenced
securities. In addition, at March 31, 2007, based on book value, approximately 96% of our fixed
income securities were invested in A rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated
in maturities of less than 15 years.
At March 31, 2007, our derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were
immaterial. We primarily place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality
standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of
credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At March 31, 2007, the effective
duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.7 years. This means that for an
instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points there would be an approximate
4.7% change in the market value of our fixed income portfolio.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our consolidated sources of funds consist primarily of premiums written and investment income.
Positive cash flows are invested pending future payments of claims and other expenses. Management
believes that future cash inflows from premiums will be sufficient to meet future claim payments.
Cash flow shortfalls, if any, could be funded through sales of short-term investments and other
investment portfolio securities subject to insurance regulatory requirements regarding the payment
of dividends to the extent funds were required by other than the seller. Substantially all of the
investment portfolio securities are held by our insurance subsidiaries.
We have a $300 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by S&P and P-1 by
Moodys. At March 31, 2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, we had $110.3 million, $84.1
million and $100.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of
5.34%, 5.35% and 4.74%, respectively.
We have a $300 million, five year revolving credit facility expiring in 2010 which will
continue to be used as a liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. Under the
terms of the credit facility, we must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25 billion and
MGIC must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders
position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than the
amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulation. At March 31, 2007, these requirements were met.
The remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount necessary to
support the commercial paper was $189.7 million, $215.9 million and $200.0 million at March 31,
2007, December 31, 2006 and March 31, 2006, respectively.
Page 35
During 2006, an outstanding interest rate swap contract was terminated. This swap was placed
into service to coincide with our committed credit facility, used as a backup for the commercial
paper program. Under the terms of the swap contract, we paid a fixed rate of 5.07% and received a
variable interest rate based on LIBOR. The swap had an expiration date coinciding with the maturity
of our credit facility and was designated as a cash flow hedge. At March 31, 2007 we had no
interest rate swaps outstanding.
(Income) expense on interest rate swaps for the three months ended March 31, 2006 of
approximately ($0.1) million was included in interest expense. Gains or losses arising from the
amendment or termination of interest rate swaps are deferred and amortized to interest expense over
the life of the hedged items.
The commercial paper, back-up credit facility and the Senior Notes are obligations of MGIC
Investment Corporation and not of its subsidiaries. We are a holding company and the payment of
dividends from our insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the
principal source of dividend-paying capacity. In February 2007, MGIC paid a quarterly dividend of
$55 million. As a result of extraordinary dividends paid, MGIC cannot currently pay any dividends
without regulatory approval. For additional information about our financial condition, results of
operations and cash flows on a parent company basis, and MGIC, on a consolidated basis, see Note 8
to our consolidated financial statements in Item 1.
Effective January 1, 2007, we adopted FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for
Uncertainty in Income Taxes. As a result of the adoption we recognized a decrease of $85.5 million
in the liability for unrecognized tax benefits, which was accounted for as an increase to the
January 1, 2007 balance of retained earnings. The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of
January 1, 2007 is $81.0 million. Included in that total are $71.3 million in benefits that would
affect the effective tax rate. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized
tax benefits in income taxes. We have $16.5 million for the payment of interest accrued as of
January 1, 2007. It is reasonably possible that we could make a deposit of taxes during the next
twelve months to eliminate the further accrual of interest. The occurrence, amount and timing of
any deposit are discretionary and cannot be determined at this time.
The establishment of this liability requires estimates of potential outcomes of various issues
and requires significant judgment. Although the resolutions of these issues are uncertain, we
believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that
may result. If the resolutions of these matters differ materially from these estimates, it could
have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
On April 30, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for
taxable years 2000 through 2004, we received several Notices of Proposed Adjustment. The notices
would greatly increase reported taxable income for those years and, if upheld, would require us to
pay a total of $188 million in taxes and accuracy related penalties, plus applicable interest. The
IRS disagrees with our treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment in a
portfolio of the residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICS). The
IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established
sufficient tax basis in
Page 36
the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion
and believe that the flow through income and loss from these investments was properly reported on
our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect
during the periods involved and intend to use appropriate means to appeal these adjustments.
During the first quarter of 2007, we did not repurchase any shares of Common Stock under
publicly announced programs due to our pending merger with Radian. While in discussions with Radian
in January, we were unable to buy any of our shares and after the transaction was announced, we
were limited by SEC rules to an immaterial level of purchases. At March 31, 2007, we had Board
approval to purchase an additional 4.7 million shares under these programs.
In connection with the merger, we agreed not to purchase Radian stock prior to July 13, 2007
without approval from Radian. Radians board has authorized certain of its officers to allow us to
purchase Radian shares, but only in an amount not to exceed two million shares in the aggregate,
subject to certain conditions. We expect that Radians officers will authorize us to begin
purchasing shares of Radian stock shortly after our annual meeting of shareholders on May 10, 2007.
For additional information regarding stock repurchases, see Item 2(c) of Part II of this
Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. From mid-1997 through December 31, 2006, we repurchased 41.6 million
shares under publicly announced programs at a cost of $2.3 billion. Funds for the shares
repurchased by us since mid-1997 have been provided through a combination of debt, including the
Senior Notes and the commercial paper, and internally generated funds.
Our principal exposure to loss is our obligation to pay claims under MGICs mortgage guaranty
insurance policies. At March 31, 2007, MGICs direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool risk
in force (which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in our records
multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit) was approximately
$54.3 billion. In addition, as part of our contract underwriting activities, we are responsible for
the quality of our underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting
agreements with customers. Through March 31, 2007, the cost of remedies provided by us to customers
for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material. However, the decreasing
trend of home mortgage interest rates over the last several years may have mitigated the effect of
some of these costs since the general effect of lower interest rates can be to increase the value
of certain loans on which remedies are provided. There can be no assurance that contract
underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Our consolidated risk-to-capital ratio was 7.5:1 at both March 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006.
The risk-to-capital ratios set forth above have been computed on a statutory basis. However,
the methodology used by the rating agencies to assign claims-paying ability ratings permits less
leverage than under statutory requirements. As a result, the amount of capital required under
statutory regulations may be lower than the capital required for rating agency purposes. In
addition to capital adequacy, the rating agencies consider other
factors in determining a mortgage insurers claims-paying rating, including its
Page 37
historical and
projected operating performance, business outlook, competitive position, management and corporate
strategy.
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
General: Our revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors referred to under
Location of Risk Factors below that are applicable to us, and our income from joint ventures
could be affected by the risk factors referred to under Location of Risk Factors that are
applicable to C-BASS and Sherman. These risk factors are an integral part of Managements
Discussion and Analysis.
These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated
by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements
which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words
such as we believe, anticipate or expect, or words of similar import, are forward looking
statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may
make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the
forward looking statements were made.
Location of Risk Factors: The risk factors are in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2006, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of this Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by this 10-Q and through updating of
various statistical and other information, are reproduced in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
At March 31, 2007, derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were
immaterial. We primarily place our investments in instruments that meet investment grade credit
quality standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the
amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At March 31, 2007, the
effective duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.7 years. This means that for
each instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points there would be an
approximate 4.7% change in the market value of our fixed income investment portfolio.
Our borrowings under our commercial paper program are subject to interest rates that are
variable. See the fourth and fifth paragraphs under Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Liquidity and Capital Resources for a discussion of
our interest rate swaps.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal
financial officer, has evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule
13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the period
covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, our
Page 38
principal executive
officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were effective
as of the end of such period. There was no change in our internal control over financial reporting
that occurred during the first quarter of 2007 that materially affected, or is reasonably likely to
materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1 A. Risk Factors
With the possible exception of the changes set forth below, there have been no material
changes in our risk factors from the risk factors disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2006. The principal changes to the risk factors that are set forth
below were also included in Exhibit 99 to our Current Report on Form 8-K dated April 11, 2007.
Exhibit 99 sets forth our risk factors as part of our press release announcing earnings for the
first quarter of 2007. Some of the information in the risk factors in the 10-K has been updated by
information in the same risk factor included in that Exhibit 99.
The Internal Revenue Service has proposed significant adjustments to our taxable income for
2000 through 2004.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has been conducting an examination of our federal income tax
returns for taxable years 2000 though 2004. The examination is related to a portfolio of
investments in the residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICs). This
portfolio has been managed and maintained during years prior to, during and subsequent to the
examination period. On April 30, 2007, we received several Notices of Proposed Adjustment from the
IRS for taxable years 2000 through 2004. The notices, if upheld, would greatly increase reported
taxable income for those years and require us to pay a total of $188 million in taxes and accuracy
related penalties, plus applicable interest. The IRS disagrees with our treatment of the flow
through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of the residual interests of the REMICs.
The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established
sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We
disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss from this
investment was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable
tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and intend to use appropriate means
to appeal these adjustments. The process to appeal these adjustments may take some time and a final
resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. We believe, after
discussions with outside counsel about the issues raised in the notices and the procedures for
resolution of the disputed adjustments, that an adequate provision for income taxes has been made
for potential liabilities that may result from these notices. If the outcome of this matter results
in payments that differ materially
from our expectations, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of
operations and cash flows.
Page 39
ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALE OF EQUITY SECURITIES & USE OF PROCEEDS
(c) Repurchase of common stock:
We did not repurchase any shares of Common Stock during the first quarter of 2007. On January
26, 2006 we announced that our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to ten million
shares of our Common Stock in the open market or in private transactions. As of March 31, 2007 4.7
million of these 10 million shares remained available to be purchased.
In connection with the merger, we agreed not to purchase Radian stock prior to July 13, 2007
without approval from Radian. Radians board has authorized certain of its officers to allow us to
purchase Radian shares, but only in an amount not to exceed two million shares in the aggregate,
subject to certain conditions. We expect that Radians officers will authorize us to begin
purchasing shares of Radian stock shortly after our annual meeting of shareholders on May 10, 2007.
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of
this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such
Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but
accompanies this Form 10-Q.
Page 40
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused
this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on May 10,
2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
|
|
|
\s\ J. Michael Lauer
|
|
|
J. Michael Lauer |
|
|
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
\s\ Joseph J. Komanecki
|
|
|
Joseph J. Komanecki |
|
|
Senior Vice President, Controller and
Chief Accounting Officer |
|
|
Page 41
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Part II, Item 6)
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description of Exhibit |
|
|
|
2
|
|
Agreement and Plan of Merger, dated as of February 6, 2007, by and between, MGIC Investment
Corporation and Radian Group Inc. (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 2.1 in the Companys
Current Report on Form 8-K filed on February 12, 2007) |
|
|
|
11
|
|
Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share |
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
31.2
|
|
Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
32
|
|
Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in
Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being filed) |
|
|
|
99
|
|
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2006, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q
for the quarter ended March 31, 2007 |
exv11
EXHIBIT 11
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
STATEMENT RE COMPUTATION OF NET INCOME PER SHARE
Three Months Ended March 31,2007 and 2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average common shares outstanding |
|
|
81,890 |
|
|
|
86,577 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
92,363 |
|
|
$ |
163,453 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic earnings per share |
|
$ |
1.13 |
|
|
$ |
1.89 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted weighted average shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average common shares outstanding |
|
|
81,890 |
|
|
|
86,577 |
|
Common stock equivalents |
|
|
464 |
|
|
|
650 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted weighted average diluted shares
outstanding |
|
|
82,354 |
|
|
|
87,227 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
92,363 |
|
|
$ |
163,453 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings per share |
|
$ |
1.12 |
|
|
$ |
1.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
exv31w1
Exhibit 31.1
I, Curt S. Culver, certify that:
1. |
|
I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of MGIC Investment Corporation; |
2. |
|
Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light
of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the
period covered by this quarterly report; |
3. |
|
Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in
this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition,
results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented
in this quarterly report; |
4. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I are responsible for establishing and
maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and
15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and we have: |
|
a) |
|
Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls
and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information
relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by
others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report
is being prepared; |
|
|
b) |
|
Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation
of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles; |
|
|
c) |
|
Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrants disclosure controls and procedures and
presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls
and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such
evaluation; and |
|
|
d) |
|
Disclosed in this report any change in the registrants internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the registrants most recent fiscal quarter (the
registrants fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially
affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrants internal control
over financial reporting; and |
5. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I have disclosed, based on our most recent
evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrants |
|
|
auditors and the audit committee of registrants board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions): |
|
a) |
|
all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of
internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect
the registrants ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information;
and |
|
|
b) |
|
any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who
have a significant role in the registrants internal control over financial reporting. |
Date: May 10, 2007
|
|
|
\s\ Curt S. Culver |
|
|
|
|
|
Chief Executive Officer |
|
|
exv31w2
Exhibit 31.2
CERTIFICATIONS
I, J. Michael Lauer, certify that:
1. |
|
I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of MGIC Investment Corporation; |
2. |
|
Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light
of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the
period covered by this quarterly report; |
3. |
|
Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in
this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition,
results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented
in this quarterly report; |
4. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I are responsible for establishing and
maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and
15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and we have: |
|
(a) |
|
Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls
and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information
relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by
others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report
is being prepared; |
|
|
(b) |
|
Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation
of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles; |
|
|
(c) |
|
Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrants disclosure controls and procedures and
presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls
and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such
evaluation; and |
|
|
(d) |
|
Disclosed in this report any change in the registrants internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the registrants most recent fiscal quarter (the
registrants fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially
affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrants internal control
over financial reporting; and |
5. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I have disclosed, based on our most recent
evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrants auditors
and the audit committee of registrants board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions): |
|
(a) |
|
all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of
internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect
the registrants ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information;
and |
|
|
(b) |
|
any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who
have a significant role in the registrants internal control over financial reporting. |
Date: May 10, 2007
|
|
|
\s\ J. Michael Lauer |
|
|
|
|
|
Chief Financial Officer |
|
|
exv32
Exhibit 32
SECTION 1350 CERTIFICATIONS
The undersigned, Curt S. Culver, Chief Executive Officer of MGIC Investment Corporation (the
Company), and J. Michael Lauer, Chief Financial Officer of the Company, certify, pursuant to
Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002,
18 U.S. C. Section 1350, that to our knowledge:
(1) |
|
the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q of the Company for the three months ended March 31, 2007
(the Report) fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934; and |
(2) |
|
the information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the
financial condition and results of operations of the Company. |
Date: May 10, 2007
|
|
|
\s\ Curt S. Culver |
|
|
|
|
|
Chief Executive Officer |
|
|
|
|
|
\s\ J. Michael Lauer |
|
|
|
|
|
Chief Financial Officer |
|
|
exv99
Exhibit 99
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
2006, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter
ended March 31, 2007 and through updating of various statistical and other information
Deterioration in home prices in the segment of the market we serve, a downturn in the domestic
economy or changes in our mix of business may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses
increasing.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage payments,
such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can be sold
for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale. Favorable
economic conditions generally reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient income to
pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in some
cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions
generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their
mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values. Housing values may decline even absent a
deterioration in economic conditions due to declines in demand for homes, which in turn may result
from changes in buyers perceptions of the potential for future appreciation, restrictions on
mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards or other factors.
The mix of business we write also affects the likelihood of losses occurring. In recent years, the
percentage of our volume written on a flow basis that includes segments we view as having a higher
probability of claim has continued to increase. These segments include loans with LTV ratios over
95% (including loans with 100% LTV ratios), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting,
including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well
as loans having combinations of higher risk factors.
Approximately 7% of our primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and 72% of our
primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consists of adjustable rate mortgages in
which the initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years after the mortgage closing
(ARMs). (We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest
rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing.) We believe that during a prolonged
period of rising interest rates, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate
loans, although the performance of ARMs has not been tested in such an environment. Moreover, even
if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs with a teaser rate (an initial interest rate
that does not fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be substantially
higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment that will occur when the fully indexed rate
becomes effective. In addition, we believe the volume of interest-only loans (which may also be
ARMs) and loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs, increased in 2005 and
2006. Because interest-only loans and pay option ARMs are a relatively recent development, we have
no data on their historical performance. We believe claim rates on certain of these loans will be
substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers
of comparable credit quality.
The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select
alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
|
|
|
lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private
mortgage insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%, 15% or 20% LTV ratio
(referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans, respectively) rather than
a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% LTV ratio that has private mortgage
insurance, |
|
|
|
|
lenders and other investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring, |
|
|
|
|
investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance,
using other credit enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of
private mortgage insurance coverage, or accepting credit risk without credit
enhancement, and |
|
|
|
|
lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the
Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration. |
While no data is publicly available, we believe that piggyback loans are a significant percentage
of mortgage originations in which borrowers make down payments of less than 20% and that their use
is primarily by borrowers with higher credit scores. During the fourth quarter of 2004, we
introduced on a national basis a program designed to recapture business lost to these mortgage
insurance avoidance products. This program accounted for 10.4% of flow new insurance written in the
first quarter of 2007 and 9.1% and 6.5% of flow new insurance written in 2006 and 2005,
respectively.
Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers
but also with mortgage lenders through captive mortgage reinsurance transactions. In these
transactions, a lenders affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private
mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender. As discussed under The
mortgage insurance industry is subject to risk from private litigation and regulatory proceedings
below, we provided information to the New York Insurance Department and the Minnesota Department of
Commerce about captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements. Other insurance departments or other
officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive
mortgage reinsurance.
The level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has also increased as many
large mortgage lenders have reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do
business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the
mortgage lending market held by large lenders.
Our private mortgage insurance competitors include:
|
|
PMI Mortgage Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation, |
|
|
|
United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
Radian Guaranty Inc., |
|
|
|
Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, and |
|
|
|
CMG Mortgage Insurance Company. |
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation
requirements change, the length of time that our policies remain in force could decline and result
in declines in our revenue.
In each year, most of our premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As a
result, the length of time insurance remains in force (which is also generally referred to as
persistency) is an important determinant of revenues. The factors affecting the length of time our
insurance remains in force include:
|
|
|
the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage
coupon rates on the insurance in force, which affects the
vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancings, and |
|
|
|
|
mortgage insurance cancellation policies of mortgage investors along
with the rate of home price appreciation experienced by the homes
underlying the mortgages in the insurance in force. |
During the 1990s, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to a
low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. At March 31, 2007 persistency was at 70.3%, compared to the
record low of 44.9% at September 30, 2003. Over the past several years, refinancing has become
easier to accomplish and less costly for many consumers. Hence, even in an interest rate
environment favorable to persistency improvement, we do not expect persistency will approach its
December 31, 1990 level.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance
that we write could decline which would reduce our revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
|
|
|
the level of home mortgage interest rates, |
|
|
|
|
the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies, |
|
|
|
housing affordability, |
|
|
|
|
population trends, including the rate of household formation, |
|
|
|
|
the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect
whether refinance loans have LTV ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and |
|
|
|
|
government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers. |
In general, the majority of the underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book of
mortgage insurance generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of the
underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result in
modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results occurs because
relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience occur in the first few years of
the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium
revenues, as persistency decreases due to loan prepayments, and higher losses.
If all other things were equal, a decline in new insurance written in a year that followed a number
of years of higher volume could result in a lower contribution to the mortgage insurers overall
results. This effect may occur because the older books will be experiencing declines in revenue and
increases in losses with a lower amount of underwriting profit on the new book available to offset
these results.
Whether such a lower contribution would in fact occur depends in part on the extent of the volume
decline. Even with a substantial decline in volume, there may be offsetting factors that could
increase the contribution in the current year. These offsetting factors include higher persistency
and a mix of business with higher average premiums, which could have the effect of increasing
revenues, and improvements in the economy, which could have the effect of reducing losses. In
addition, the effect on the insurers overall results from such a lower contribution may be offset
by decreases in the mortgage insurers expenses that are unrelated to claim or default activity,
including those related to lower volume.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
The business practices of the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal
Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), each of which is a government sponsored entity
(GSE), affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
|
|
|
the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the
limitations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs charters, when private
mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement on low
down payment mortgages, |
|
|
|
|
whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac influence the mortgage lenders
selection of the mortgage insurer providing coverage and, if so, any
transactions that are related to that selection, |
|
|
|
whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac will give mortgage lenders an
incentive, such as a reduced guaranty fee, to select a mortgage
insurer that has a AAA claims-paying ability rating to benefit from
the lower capital requirements for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac when a
mortgage is insured by a company with that rating, |
|
|
|
|
the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for
purchase by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which thereby affect the
quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the
availability of mortgage loans, |
|
|
|
|
the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before
reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law, and |
|
|
|
|
the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must perform activities
intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured mortgages that are
delinquent. |
The mortgage insurance industry is subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory
proceedings.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement
service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit
Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. In December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against three large
lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While we are
not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to
future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a
material adverse effect on us. In 2005, the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit
decided a case under FCRA to which we were not a party that may make it more likely that we will be
subject to litigation regarding when notices to borrowers are required by FCRA. The Supreme Court
of the United States is reviewing this case, with a decision expected in the second quarter of
2007.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department (the NYID), we
provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the NYID requested MGIC to
review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years experience
or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the NYID that
it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk,
premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in
response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the MDC), which
regulates insurance, we provided the MDC with information about captive mortgage reinsurance and
certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to the MDC. Other
insurance
departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or
investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may
bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of
many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms
to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance arrangements are in
conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any
such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage
insurance industry.
The Internal Revenue Service has proposed significant adjustments to our taxable income for
2000 through 2004.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has been conducting an examination of our federal income tax
returns for taxable years 2000 though 2004. The examination is related to a portfolio of
investments in the residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICs). This
portfolio has been managed and maintained during years prior to, during and subsequent to the
examination period. On April 30, 2007, we received several Notices of Proposed Adjustment from the
IRS for taxable years 2000 through 2004. The notices, if upheld, would greatly increase reported
taxable income for those years and require us to pay a total of $188 million in taxes and accuracy
related penalties, plus applicable interest. The IRS disagrees with our treatment of the flow
through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of the residual interests of the REMICs.
The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established
sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We
disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss from this
investment was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable
tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and intend to use appropriate means
to appeal these adjustments. The process to appeal these adjustments may take some time and a final
resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. We believe, after
discussions with outside counsel about the issues raised in the notices and the procedures for
resolution of the disputed adjustments, that an adequate provision for income taxes has been made
for potential liabilities that may result from these notices. If the outcome of this matter results
in payments that differ materially from our expectations, it could have a material impact on our
effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
Net premiums written could be adversely affected if the Department of Housing and Urban
Development reproposes and adopts a regulation under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act that
is equivalent to a proposed regulation that was withdrawn in 2004.
HUD regulations under RESPA prohibit paying lenders for the referral of settlement services,
including mortgage insurance, and prohibit lenders from receiving such payments. In July 2002, HUD
proposed a regulation that would exclude from these anti-referral fee provisions settlement
services included in a package of settlement services
offered to a borrower at a guaranteed price.
HUD withdrew this proposed regulation in March 2004. Under the proposed regulation, if mortgage
insurance were required on a loan, the package must include any mortgage insurance premium paid at
settlement. Although certain state insurance regulations prohibit an insurers payment of referral
fees,
had this regulation been adopted in this form, our revenues could have been adversely affected to
the extent that lenders offered such packages and received value from us in excess of what they
could have received were the anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA to apply and if such state
regulations were not applied to prohibit such payments.
We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that we maintain is
improperly disclosed.
As part of our business, we maintain large amounts of personal information on consumers. While we
believe we have appropriate information security policies and systems to prevent unauthorized
disclosure, there can be no assurance that unauthorized disclosure, either through the actions of
third parties or employees, will not occur. Unauthorized disclosure could adversely affect our
reputation and expose us to material claims for damages.
The implementation of the Basel II capital accord may discourage the use of mortgage
insurance.
In 1988, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) developed the Basel Capital Accord (the
Basel I), which set out international benchmarks for assessing banks capital adequacy
requirements. In June 2005, the BCBS issued an update to Basel I (as revised in November 2005,
Basel II). Basel II, which is scheduled to become effective in the United States and many other
countries in 2008, affects the capital treatment provided to mortgage insurance by domestic and
international banks in both their origination and securitization activities.
The Basel II provisions related to residential mortgages and mortgage insurance may provide
incentives to certain of our bank customers not to insure mortgages having a lower risk of claim
and to insure mortgages having a higher risk of claim. The Basel II provisions may also alter the
competitive positions and financial performance of mortgage insurers in other ways, including
reducing our ability to successfully establish or operate our planned international operations.
Our international operations will subject us to numerous risks.
We have committed significant resources to begin international operations, initially in Australia,
where we expect to start to write business in the second quarter of 2007. We plan to expand our
international activities to other countries. Accordingly, in addition to the general economic and
insurance business-related factors discussed above, we are subject to a number of risks associated
with our international business activities, including:
|
|
|
risks of war and civil disturbances or other events that may limit or disrupt markets; |
|
|
|
|
dependence on regulatory and third-party approvals;
|
|
|
|
changes in rating or outlooks assigned to our foreign subsidiaries by rating agencies; |
|
|
|
|
challenges in attracting and retaining key foreign-based employees, customers and
business partners in international markets; |
|
|
|
|
foreign governments monetary policies and regulatory requirements; |
|
|
|
|
economic downturns in targeted foreign mortgage origination markets; |
|
|
|
|
interest-rate volatility in a variety of countries; |
|
|
|
|
the burdens of complying with a wide variety of foreign regulations and laws, some of
which may be materially different than the regulatory and statutory requirements we
face in our domestic business, and which may change unexpectedly; |
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potentially adverse tax consequences; |
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restrictions on the repatriation of earnings; |
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foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; and |
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the need to develop and market products appropriate to the various foreign markets. |
Any one or more of the risks listed above could limit or prohibit us from developing our
international operations profitably. In addition, we may not be able to effectively manage new
operations or successfully integrate them into our existing operations.
Our proposed merger with Radian could adversely affect us.
On February 6, 2007, we entered into a definitive agreement under which Radian Group, one of our
mortgage insurance competitors, would merge into us. We expect the merger to occur late in the
third quarter or early in the fourth quarter of 2007. Completion of the merger is subject to
various conditions, including the approval by our and Radians stockholders, as well as regulatory
approvals. There is no assurance that the merger will be approved, and there is no assurance that
the other conditions to the completion of the combination will be satisfied. If the merger is not
completed, we will be subject to risks such as the following:
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because the current price of our common stock may reflect a market assumption
that we will complete the merger, a failure to complete the combination could
result in a negative perception of us and a decline in the price of our common
stock; |
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we will have certain costs relating to the merger that will increase our expenses; |
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the merger may distract us from day-to-day operations and require substantial
commitments of time and resources by our personnel, which they otherwise could
have devoted to other opportunities that could have been beneficial to us; and |
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we expect some lenders will reallocate mortgage insurance business to competitors
of MGIC and Radian as a result of the merger. |
In addition, if the merger is completed, we may not be able to efficiently integrate Radians
businesses with ours or we may incur substantial costs and delays in integrating Radians
businesses with ours. Radians business includes financial guaranty insurance, a business in which
we have not previously engaged and which has characteristics that are different from mortgage
guaranty insurance.
Certain rating agencies rate the financial strength rating of Radians mortgage insurance
operations Aa3 (or its equivalent). We expect that upon completion of the merger these rating
agencies will downgrade our financial strength rating so that it is the same as Radians. We do not
expect such a downgrade to affect our business. However, our ability to continue to write new
mortgage insurance business depends on our maintaining a financial strength rating of at least Aa3
(or its equivalent). Therefore, any further downgrade would have a material adverse affect on us.
Our income from joint ventures could be adversely affected by credit losses, insufficient
liquidity or competition affecting those businesses.
C-BASS: Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) is principally engaged in
the business of investing in the credit risk of credit sensitive single-family residential
mortgages. C-BASS is particularly exposed to funding risk and to credit risk through ownership of
the higher risk classes of mortgage backed securities from its own securitizations and those of
other issuers. In addition, C-BASSs results are sensitive to its ability to purchase mortgage
loans and securities on terms that it projects will meet its return targets. C-BASSs mortgage
purchases in 2005 and 2006 have primarily been of subprime mortgages, which bear a higher risk of
default. Further, a higher proportion of subprime mortgage originations in 2005 and in 2006, as
compared to 2004, were interest-only loans, which C-BASS views as having greater credit risk.
C-BASS has not purchased any pay option ARMs, which are another type of higher risk mortgage.
Credit losses are affected by housing prices. A higher house price at default than at loan
origination generally mitigates credit losses while a lower house price at default generally
increases losses. Over the last several years, in certain regions home prices have experienced
rates of increase greater than historical norms and greater than growth in median incomes. During
the period 2003 to the fourth quarter of 2006, according to the Office of Federal Housing
Oversight, home prices nationally increased 37%. Since the fourth quarter of 2006, according to
published reports, home prices have declined in certain areas and have experienced lower rates of
appreciation in others.
With respect to liquidity, the substantial majority of C-BASSs on-balance sheet financing for its
mortgage and securities portfolio is dependent on the value of the collateral that secures this
debt. C-BASS maintains substantial liquidity to cover margin calls in the event of substantial
declines in the value of its mortgages and securities. While C-BASSs policies governing the
management of capital at risk are intended to provide sufficient liquidity to cover an
instantaneous and substantial decline in value, such policies cannot guaranty that all liquidity
required will in fact be available. Further, at March 31, 2007, approximately 60% of C-BASSs
financing has a term of less than one year, and is subject to renewal risk. Many of C-BASSs
competitors are larger and have a lower cost of capital.
At the end of each financial statement period, the carrying values of C-BASSs mortgage securities
are adjusted to fair value as estimated by C-BASSs management. Increases in credit spreads between
periods will generally result in declines in fair value that are reflected in C-BASSs results of
operations as unrealized losses. Increases in spreads can also result in unrealized losses in
C-BASSs whole loans, which are carried at the lower of cost or fair value as estimated by C-BASSs
management.
The interest expense on C-BASSs borrowings is primarily tied to short-term rates such as LIBOR. In
a period of rising interest rates, the interest expense could increase in different amounts and at
different rates and times than the interest that C-BASS earns on the related assets, which could
negatively impact C-BASSs earnings.
Sherman: Sherman Financial Group LLC (Sherman) is engaged in the business of purchasing and
servicing delinquent consumer assets, and in originating and servicing subprime credit card
receivables. Among other factors. Shermans results are sensitive to its ability to purchase
receivable portfolios on terms that it projects will meet its return targets. While the volume of
charged-off consumer receivables and the portion of these receivables that have been sold to third
parties such as Sherman has grown in recent years, there is an increasing amount of competition to
purchase such portfolios, including from new entrants to the industry, which has resulted in
increases in the prices at which portfolios can be purchased.