e10vq
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
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þ |
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QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended SEPTEMBER 30, 2009
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o |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-10816
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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WISCONSIN
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
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39-1486475
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN
(Address of principal executive offices)
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53202
(Zip Code) |
(414) 347-6480
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by
Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for
such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
YES þ NO o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its
corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted
pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter
period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).
Yes o No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a
non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of large accelerated
filer, accelerated filer and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
(Check one):
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Large accelerated filer þ
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Accelerated filer o
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Non-accelerated filer o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
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Smaller reporting company o |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act).
YES o NO þ
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of
the latest practicable date.
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CLASS OF STOCK |
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PAR VALUE |
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DATE |
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NUMBER OF SHARES |
Common stock
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$ |
1.00 |
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|
10/31/09
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|
125,101,817 |
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008
(Unaudited)
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As adjusted |
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(note 1) |
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September 30, |
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December 31, |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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(In thousands of dollars) |
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ASSETS |
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Investment portfolio (notes 7 and 8): |
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Securities, available-for-sale, at fair value: |
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Fixed maturities (amortized cost, 2009-$7,572,232; 2008-$7,120,690) |
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$ |
7,851,897 |
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$ |
7,042,903 |
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Equity securities (cost, 2009-$2,861; 2008-$2,778) |
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2,894 |
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|
2,633 |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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Total investment portfolio |
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7,854,791 |
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|
7,045,536 |
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Cash and cash equivalents |
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869,722 |
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1,097,334 |
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Accrued investment income |
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|
90,447 |
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|
90,856 |
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Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
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|
384,400 |
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|
232,988 |
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Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
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|
3,782 |
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|
4,416 |
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Premiums receivable |
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95,312 |
|
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|
97,601 |
|
Home office and equipment, net |
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|
29,425 |
|
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|
32,255 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
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9,303 |
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|
11,504 |
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Income taxes recoverable |
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|
370,473 |
|
Other assets |
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143,809 |
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163,771 |
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Total assets |
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$ |
9,480,991 |
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$ |
9,146,734 |
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LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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Liabilities: |
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Loss reserves (note 12) |
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$ |
6,314,445 |
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$ |
4,775,552 |
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Premium deficiency reserves (note 12) |
|
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207,803 |
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|
454,336 |
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Unearned premiums |
|
|
299,591 |
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|
336,098 |
|
Short- and long-term debt (note 2) |
|
|
384,690 |
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|
698,446 |
|
Convertible debentures (note 3) |
|
|
286,512 |
|
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|
272,465 |
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Income taxes payable |
|
|
13,873 |
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|
|
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Other liabilities |
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324,976 |
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175,604 |
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Total liabilities |
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7,831,890 |
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6,712,501 |
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Contingencies (note 5) |
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Shareholders equity: |
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Common stock, $1 par value, shares authorized
460,000,000; shares issued, 09/30/2009 - 130,162,973
12/31/08 - 130,118,744;
shares outstanding, 09/30/09 - 125,101,730
12/31/08 - 125,068,350 |
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130,163 |
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130,119 |
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Paid-in capital |
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439,267 |
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440,542 |
|
Treasury stock (shares at cost, 09/30/09 - 5,061,243
12/31/08 - 5,050,394) |
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|
(269,698 |
) |
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|
(276,873 |
) |
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax (note 9) |
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|
144,545 |
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|
(106,789 |
) |
Retained earnings |
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1,204,824 |
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2,247,234 |
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Total shareholders equity |
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1,649,101 |
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2,434,233 |
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Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
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$ |
9,480,991 |
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$ |
9,146,734 |
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See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
2
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 and 2008
(Unaudited)
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Three Months Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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September 30, |
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September 30, |
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As adjusted |
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As adjusted |
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(note 1) |
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(note 1) |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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(In thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
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Revenues: |
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Premiums written: |
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Direct |
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$ |
301,747 |
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$ |
416,094 |
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$ |
1,039,482 |
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$ |
1,260,406 |
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Assumed |
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|
826 |
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|
3,315 |
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3,133 |
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9,317 |
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Ceded |
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(24,319 |
) |
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(54,367 |
) |
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(86,465 |
) |
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(164,430 |
) |
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Net premiums written |
|
|
278,254 |
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|
365,042 |
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|
956,150 |
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|
|
1,105,293 |
|
Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums, net |
|
|
15,261 |
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|
(22,730 |
) |
|
|
40,327 |
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|
(67,201 |
) |
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Net premiums earned |
|
|
293,515 |
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|
|
342,312 |
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|
|
996,477 |
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|
|
1,038,092 |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
75,528 |
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|
|
78,612 |
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|
|
230,737 |
|
|
|
228,076 |
|
Realized
investment gains, excluding other-than-temporary impairments (note 7) |
|
|
33,483 |
|
|
|
59,582 |
|
|
|
65,844 |
|
|
|
56,633 |
|
Net investment impairment losses (note 7) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(31,669 |
) |
|
|
(35,103 |
) |
|
|
(40,177 |
) |
Other revenue |
|
|
10,811 |
|
|
|
12,795 |
|
|
|
45,048 |
|
|
|
27,416 |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
Total revenues |
|
|
413,337 |
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|
|
461,632 |
|
|
|
1,303,003 |
|
|
|
1,310,040 |
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Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
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Losses incurred, net |
|
|
971,043 |
|
|
|
788,272 |
|
|
|
2,498,567 |
|
|
|
2,168,063 |
|
Change in premium deficiency reserves (note 12) |
|
|
(19,346 |
) |
|
|
(204,240 |
) |
|
|
(246,533 |
) |
|
|
(626,919 |
) |
Underwriting and other expenses, net |
|
|
59,133 |
|
|
|
62,424 |
|
|
|
183,403 |
|
|
|
207,646 |
|
Reinsurance fee (note 4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
607 |
|
|
|
26,407 |
|
|
|
970 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
20,586 |
|
|
|
23,366 |
|
|
|
68,442 |
|
|
|
57,385 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
1,031,416 |
|
|
|
670,429 |
|
|
|
2,530,286 |
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|
|
1,807,145 |
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
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|
Loss before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
(618,079 |
) |
|
|
(208,797 |
) |
|
|
(1,227,283 |
) |
|
|
(497,105 |
) |
Benefit from income taxes (note 11) |
|
|
(100,311 |
) |
|
|
(90,060 |
) |
|
|
(185,120 |
) |
|
|
(222,852 |
) |
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,352 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,486 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
$ |
(517,768 |
) |
|
$ |
(115,385 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,042,163 |
) |
|
$ |
(249,767 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
Loss per share (note 6): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
$ |
(4.17 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.93 |
) |
|
$ |
(8.39 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.26 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted |
|
$ |
(4.17 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.93 |
) |
|
$ |
(8.39 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.26 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
Weighted average common shares
outstanding diluted (shares in
thousands, note 6) |
|
|
124,296 |
|
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
124,180 |
|
|
|
110,647 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
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Dividends per share |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
0.025 |
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|
$ |
|
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|
$ |
0.075 |
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|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
3
MGIC
INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Year Ended December 31, 2008 and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 (unaudited)
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Accumulated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
other |
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Common |
|
|
Paid-in |
|
|
Treasury |
|
|
comprehensive |
|
|
Retained |
|
|
Comprehensive |
|
|
|
stock |
|
|
capital |
|
|
stock |
|
|
income (loss) |
|
|
earnings |
|
|
(loss) income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
(In thousands of dollars) |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance, December 31, 2007 |
|
$ |
123,067 |
|
|
$ |
316,649 |
|
|
$ |
(2,266,364 |
) |
|
$ |
70,675 |
|
|
$ |
4,350,316 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(525,356 |
) |
|
$ |
(525,356 |
) |
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(116,939 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(116,939 |
) |
Dividends declared |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(8,159 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Common stock shares issued |
|
|
7,052 |
|
|
|
68,706 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reissuance of treasury stock, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(41,686 |
) |
|
|
1,989,491 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,569,567 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Equity compensation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
20,562 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Defined benefit plan adjustments, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(44,649 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(44,649 |
) |
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(16,354 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(16,354 |
) |
Convertible debentures issued (note 3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
77,300 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(989 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
478 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
478 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(702,820 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance, December 31, 2008, as adjusted (note 1) |
|
$ |
130,119 |
|
|
$ |
440,542 |
|
|
$ |
(276,873 |
) |
|
$ |
(106,789 |
) |
|
$ |
2,247,234 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,042,163 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,042,163 |
) |
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
230,870 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
230,870 |
|
Common stock shares issued |
|
|
44 |
|
|
|
167 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reissuance of treasury stock, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(11,652 |
) |
|
|
7,175 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(541 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Equity compensation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
10,210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20,464 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20,464 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
294 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(790,829 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance, September 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
130,163 |
|
|
$ |
439,267 |
|
|
$ |
(269,698 |
) |
|
$ |
144,545 |
|
|
$ |
1,204,824 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements
4
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 and 2008
(Unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
As
adjusted (note 1) 2008 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Cash flows from operating activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
$ |
(1,042,163 |
) |
|
$ |
(249,767 |
) |
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash
provided by operating activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of deferred insurance policy acquisition |
|
|
5,974 |
|
|
|
7,736 |
|
Increase in deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
(3,773 |
) |
|
|
(9,019 |
) |
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
47,376 |
|
|
|
23,058 |
|
Decrease (increase) in accrued investment income |
|
|
409 |
|
|
|
(20,303 |
) |
Increase in reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
(151,412 |
) |
|
|
(289,129 |
) |
Decrease in prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
634 |
|
|
|
1,165 |
|
Decrease in premium receivable |
|
|
2,289 |
|
|
|
6,625 |
|
Decrease in book value of real estate owned |
|
|
29,595 |
|
|
|
95,755 |
|
Increase in loss reserves |
|
|
1,538,893 |
|
|
|
1,370,772 |
|
Decrease in premium deficiency reserve |
|
|
(246,533 |
) |
|
|
(626,919 |
) |
(Decrease) increase in unearned premiums |
|
|
(36,507 |
) |
|
|
63,851 |
|
Deferred tax provision |
|
|
146,217 |
|
|
|
280,621 |
|
Decrease in income taxes recoverable (current) |
|
|
108,785 |
|
|
|
268,919 |
|
Equity earnings in joint ventures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(33,794 |
) |
Distributions from joint ventures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
22,195 |
|
Realized investment gains, excluding other-than-temporary impairments |
|
|
(65,844 |
) |
|
|
(56,633 |
) |
Net investment impairment losses |
|
|
35,103 |
|
|
|
40,177 |
|
Other |
|
|
48,422 |
|
|
|
(2,341 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by operating activities |
|
|
417,465 |
|
|
|
892,969 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows from investing activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchase of fixed maturities |
|
|
(3,362,579 |
) |
|
|
(2,703,798 |
) |
Purchase of equity securities |
|
|
(1,356 |
) |
|
|
(65 |
) |
Additional investment in joint ventures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(546 |
) |
Sale of investment in joint ventures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
150,316 |
|
Proceeds from sale of equity securities |
|
|
1,273 |
|
|
|
|
|
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities |
|
|
2,525,731 |
|
|
|
1,287,236 |
|
Proceeds from maturity of fixed maturities |
|
|
411,445 |
|
|
|
324,093 |
|
Increase in payable for securities |
|
|
68,334 |
|
|
|
120,139 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash used in investing activities |
|
|
(357,152 |
) |
|
|
(822,625 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows from financing activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends paid to shareholders |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(8,159 |
) |
Repayment of note payable |
|
|
(200,000 |
) |
|
|
(100,000 |
) |
Repayment of long-term debt |
|
|
(87,659 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(Repayment of) net proceeds from convertible debentures |
|
|
(477 |
) |
|
|
377,199 |
|
Reissuance of treasury stock |
|
|
|
|
|
|
383,959 |
|
Common stock issued |
|
|
211 |
|
|
|
75,758 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities |
|
|
(287,925 |
) |
|
|
728,757 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
(227,612 |
) |
|
|
799,101 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
|
|
1,097,334 |
|
|
|
288,933 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
|
$ |
869,722 |
|
|
$ |
1,088,034 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
5
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
September 30, 2009
(Unaudited)
Note 1 Basis of presentation and summary of certain significant accounting policies
The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation
and its wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to
Form 10-Q as prescribed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for interim
reporting and do not include all of the other information and disclosures required by
accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. These statements
should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto
for the year ended December 31, 2008 included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K.
In the opinion of management such financial statements include all adjustments, consisting
primarily of normal recurring accruals, necessary to fairly present our financial position
and results of operations for the periods indicated. We have considered subsequent events
through the date of this filing, November 9, 2009. The results of operations for the nine
months ended September 30, 2009 may not be indicative of the results that may be expected
for the year ending December 31, 2009.
Capital
At September 30, 2009, MGICs policyholders position exceeded the required regulatory
minimum by approximately $456 million, and we exceeded the required minimum by approximately
$543 million on a combined statutory basis. (The combined figures give effect to reinsurance
with subsidiaries of our holding company.) At September 30, 2009 MGICs risk-to-capital was
17.3:1 and was 19.7:1 on a combined statutory basis.
For some time, we have been working to implement a plan to write new mortgage insurance in
MGIC Indemnity Corporation (MIC), a wholly owned subsidiary of MGIC. This plan is driven
by our belief that MGIC will not meet regulatory capital requirements in Wisconsin (which
would prevent MGIC from writing new business anywhere) or in certain jurisdictions (which
would prevent MGIC from writing business in the particular jurisdiction) and may not be able
to obtain appropriate waivers of these requirements. This could occur in the first quarter
of 2010, or earlier; the timing will primarily depend on the level of new loan default
notices and the claim rate associated with loans in default. In addition to Wisconsin, these
capital requirements are present in 16 jurisdictions while the remaining jurisdictions in
which MGIC does business do not have specific capital requirements applicable to mortgage
insurers. Before MIC can begin writing new business, the Office of the Commissioner of
Insurance for the State of Wisconsin (OCI) must specifically authorize MIC to do so and
MIC must obtain or reactivate licenses in the jurisdictions where it will transact business.
In addition, as a practical matter, MICs ability to write mortgage insurance depends on
being approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac (together,
the GSEs).
6
On October 14, 2009, we, MGIC and MIC entered into an agreement (the Agreement) with
Fannie Mae under which MGIC agreed to contribute $200 million to MIC and Fannie Mae approved
MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer through December 31, 2011 subject to the terms of the
Agreement. The contribution to MIC was made on October 21, 2009. Under the Agreement, MIC
will be eligible to write mortgage insurance only if the OCI grants MGIC a waiver from
Wisconsins capital requirements and only in those 16 jurisdictions in which MGIC cannot
write new insurance due to MGICs failure to meet regulatory capital requirements applicable
to mortgage insurers and if MGIC fails to obtain relief from those requirements or a
specified waiver of them. We expect MGIC will be able to obtain waivers in a number of
these jurisdictions such that MGIC, rather than MIC, will write new business there. The
Agreement, including certain restrictions imposed on us, MGIC and MIC, is summarized more
fully in, and included as an exhibit to, our Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on October 16, 2009.
Under the Agreement, MIC has been approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae
only though December 31, 2011. Whether MIC will continue as an eligible mortgage insurer
after that date will be determined by Fannie Maes mortgage insurer eligibility requirements
then in effect. Further, under the Agreement we cannot capitalize MIC with more than a $200
million contribution, without prior approval from Fannie Mae, which limits the amount of
business MIC can write. We believe that the amount of capital that we have contributed to
MIC will be more than sufficient to write business for the term of
the Agreement in the
jurisdictions in which, giving effect to our expectation that MGIC will obtain waivers of
regulatory capital requirements in certain jurisdictions as referred to above, MIC is
eligible to do so under the Agreement. There can be no assurances, however, that in fact
MICs capital will be sufficient to permit this level of writings.
We have been working closely with Freddie Mac to approve MIC as an eligible mortgage
insurer. Freddie Mac has informed us that they will need additional analysis prior to
approving MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer. This analysis could take some time to
complete. There can be no assurance that Freddie Mac will approve MIC as an eligible
mortgage insurer.
We are also working closely with the OCI to receive the approvals that MIC requires to begin
writing new insurance. While in July 2009 the OCI approved a transaction under which we
would have contributed more than $200 million to MIC and MIC would have written mortgage
insurance in all jurisdictions in place of MGIC, the OCI has not approved the plan to write
mortgage insurance through MIC contemplated by the Agreement nor has it yet granted MGIC a
waiver from the regulatory capital requirements in Wisconsin. There can be no assurance
that we will be able to obtain, in a timely fashion or at all, the approvals from OCI
necessary to allow MGIC to continue to write new insurance or the approvals necessary for
MIC to write new insurance in any jurisdiction. Similarly, there can be no assurances that
MIC will receive the necessary approvals from any or all of the jurisdictions in which MGIC
would be prohibited from doing so due to MGICs failure to meet applicable regulatory
capital requirements.
Depending on the level of losses that MGIC experiences in the future, it is possible that
regulatory action by one or more jurisdictions, including those that do not have specific
regulatory capital requirements applicable to mortgage insurers, may prevent MGIC
from continuing to write new insurance in some or all of the jurisdictions in which MIC
7
will not write business. It is also possible that the OCI could take actions that would prohibit
MGIC and/or MIC from writing new business in any jurisdiction.
A failure to meet regulatory capital requirements does not mean that MGIC does not have
sufficient resources to pay claims on its insurance. Even in scenarios in which losses
materially exceed those that would result in not meeting regulatory requirements, we believe
that we have claims paying resources at MGIC that exceed our claim obligations on our
insurance in force. Our estimates of our claims paying resources and claim obligations are
based on various assumptions, including our anticipated rescission activity.
New Accounting Guidance
Beginning with this quarterly filing, our financial statement disclosures have been modified
to eliminate references to legacy accounting pronouncements in accordance with the
Codification of accounting standards issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB). The Codification, which is effective for financial statements issued for interim and
annual periods ending after September 15, 2009, is now the source of authoritative U.S.
generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) recognized by the FASB to be applied by
nongovernmental entities. Rules and interpretive releases of the SEC under authority of
federal securities laws are also sources of authoritative GAAP for SEC registrants.
In June 2009 new accounting guidance intended to improve financial reporting by companies
involved with variable interest entities was issued. The guidance is effective for annual
reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2009. We are currently evaluating the
provisions of this guidance and the impact, if any, on our financial statements and
disclosures.
In May 2009 new accounting guidance regarding subsequent events was issued. The objective of
the guidance is to establish general standards of accounting for and disclosure of events
that occur after the balance sheet date but before financial statements are issued. We have
applied these requirements beginning with the quarter ended June 30, 2009.
Effective January 1, 2009 we adopted new accounting guidance regarding accounting for
convertible debt instruments that may be settled in cash upon conversion, including partial
cash settlement. The guidance requires the issuer of certain convertible debt instruments
that may be settled in cash (or other assets) on conversion to separately account for the
liability (debt) and equity (conversion option) components of the instrument in a manner
that reflects the issuers non-convertible debt borrowing rate. The guidance requires
retrospective application. As such, amounts relating to 2008 have been retrospectively
adjusted to reflect our adoption of this guidance.
The following tables show the impact of our adoption of this guidance on our 2008 financial
results:
8
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As originally |
|
|
As adjusted |
|
reported |
|
|
December 31, |
|
December 31, |
|
|
2008 |
|
2008 |
|
|
(Unaudited) |
|
(Audited) |
|
|
(in thousand of dollars) |
Income taxes recoverable |
|
$ |
370,473 |
|
|
$ |
406,568 |
|
Convertible debentures |
|
|
272,465 |
|
|
|
375,593 |
|
Shareholders equity |
|
|
2,434,233 |
|
|
|
2,367,200 |
|
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
September 30, 2008 |
|
September 30, 2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
As originally |
|
|
|
|
|
As originally |
|
|
As adjusted |
|
reported |
|
As adjusted |
|
reported |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Unaudited) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousand of dollars, except per share data) |
|
|
|
|
Interest expense |
|
$ |
23,366 |
|
|
$ |
20,119 |
|
|
$ |
57,385 |
|
|
$ |
50,924 |
|
Benefit from
income taxes |
|
|
(90,060 |
) |
|
|
(88,924 |
) |
|
|
(222,852 |
) |
|
|
(220,591 |
) |
Net loss |
|
|
(115,385 |
) |
|
|
(113,274 |
) |
|
|
(249,767 |
) |
|
|
(245,567 |
) |
Diluted loss per share |
|
|
(0.93 |
) |
|
|
(0.91 |
) |
|
|
(2.26 |
) |
|
|
(2.22 |
) |
In addition the adoption of this guidance will result in an increase to interest
expense of $16.3 million for 2009, $20.4 million for 2010, $25.5 million for 2011, $31.7
million for 2012 and $9.0 million for 2013. These increases, and those shown in the tables
above, result from our Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures issued in 2008 and
discussed in Note 3.
Effective January 1, 2009 we adopted new accounting guidance regarding participating
securities. The standard clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle holders to
receive nonforfeitable dividends before vesting should be considered participating
securities. As participating securities, these instruments should be included in the
calculation of basic earnings per share. The guidance is effective for financial statements
issued for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008, interim periods within those
years, and on a retrospective basis for all historical periods presented. The adoption of
this guidance did not have an impact on our calculations of basic and diluted earnings per
share due to our current net loss position.
During the second quarter of 2009, we adopted new accounting guidance regarding the
recognition and presentation of other-than-temporary impairments. The new guidance revises
the recognition and reporting requirements for other-than-temporary impairments on our fixed
income securities. In the second quarter of 2009, we also adopted additional application
guidance on measuring fair value in less active markets.
9
The adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations. (See Note
7.)
In December 2008, new guidance that provides additional information on an employers
disclosures about plan assets of a defined benefit pension or other postretirement plan was
issued. The guidance is effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2009. We are
currently evaluating the provisions of this statement and the impact this statement will
have on our disclosures.
Reclassifications
Certain reclassifications have been made in the accompanying financial statements to
2008 amounts to conform to 2009 presentation.
Note 2 Short- and long-term debt, excluding convertible debentures discussed in
Note 3
In June 2009 we repaid the $200 million that was then outstanding under our bank revolving
credit facility and terminated the facility. At December 31, 2008 we had $200 million
outstanding under that facility, which was scheduled to expire in March 2010.
In 2009, through September 30, 2009, we repurchased approximately $113.9 million in par
value of our 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011. We recognized a gain on the
repurchases of approximately $26.3 million, which is included in other revenue on the
Consolidated Statement of Operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2009. At
September 30, 2009 we had approximately $86.1 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September
2011 and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015 outstanding. At December 31,
2008 we had $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011 and $300 million, 5.375%
Senior Notes due in November 2015 outstanding. Covenants in the Senior Notes include the
requirement that there be no liens on the stock of the designated subsidiaries unless the
Senior Notes are equally and ratably secured; that there be no disposition of the stock of
designated subsidiaries unless all of the stock is disposed of for consideration equal to
the fair market value of the stock; and that we and the designated subsidiaries preserve our corporate existence,
rights and franchises unless we or such subsidiary determines that such preservation is no
longer necessary in the conduct of its business and that the loss thereof is not
disadvantageous to the Senior Notes. A designated subsidiary is any of our consolidated
subsidiaries which has shareholders equity of at least 15% of our consolidated shareholders
equity. We believe we were in compliance with all covenants at September 30, 2009.
If (i) we fail to meet any of the covenants of the Senior Notes discussed above or (ii) we
fail to make a payment of principal of the Senior Notes when due or a payment of interest on
the Senior Notes within thirty days after due and we are not successful in obtaining an
agreement from holders of a majority of the applicable series of Senior Notes to change (or
waive) the applicable requirement or payment default, then the holders of 25% or more of
either series of our Senior Notes each would have the right to accelerate the maturity of
that debt. In addition, the Trustee of these two issues of
10
Senior Notes could, independent of any action by holders of Senior Notes, accelerate the maturity of the Senior Notes.
At September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, the fair value of the amount outstanding under
our Senior Notes was $288.9 million and $338.3 million, respectively. The fair value of
amounts outstanding under our credit facility at December 31, 2008 was $200 million. The
fair value of our credit facility was approximated at par and the fair value of our Senior
Notes was determined using publicly available trade information.
Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt, excluding the convertible
debentures, were $22.7 million and $29.8 million for the nine months ended September 30,
2009 and 2008, respectively.
Note 3 Convertible debentures and related derivatives
In March and April 2008 we completed the sale of $390 million principal amount of 9%
Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063. The debentures have an effective
interest rate of 19% that reflects our non-convertible debt borrowing rate at the time of
issuance. For more information about the effective interest rate and related effect on
interest expense, see the discussion of convertible debt instruments in Note 1 New
Accounting Guidance. At September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 we had $389.5 million and
$390.0 million, respectively, of principal amount outstanding on the convertible debentures
with the amortized value reflected as a liability on our consolidated balance sheet of
$286.5 million and $272.5 million, respectively, with the unamortized discount reflected in
equity. At September 30, 2009 we also had $18.3 million of deferred interest outstanding on
the convertible debentures which is included in other liabilities on the consolidated
balance sheet.
The debentures were sold in private placements to qualified institutional buyers pursuant to
Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Interest on the debentures is
payable semi-annually in arrears on April 1 and October 1 of each year. As long as no event
of default with respect to the debentures has occurred and is continuing, we may defer
interest, under an optional deferral provision, for one or more consecutive interest periods
up to ten years without giving rise to an event of default. Deferred interest will accrue additional interest at the rate then applicable to the
debentures. Violations of the covenants under the Indenture governing the debentures,
including covenants to provide certain documents to the trustee, are not events of default
under the Indenture and would not allow the acceleration of amounts that we owe under the
debentures. Similarly, events of default under, or acceleration of, any of our other
obligations, including those described in Note 2 Short- and long-term debt, excluding
convertible debentures discussed in Note 3 would not allow the acceleration of amounts that
we owe under the debentures. However, violations of the events of default under the
Indenture, including a failure to pay principal when due under the debentures and certain
events of bankruptcy, insolvency or receivership involving our holding company would allow
acceleration of amounts that we owe under the debentures.
Interest on the debentures that would have been payable on the scheduled interest payment
dates has been deferred for 10 years past the scheduled payment date. During this 10-year
deferral period the deferred interest will continue to accrue and
11
compound semi-annually to the extent permitted by applicable law at an annual rate of 9%. We also have the right to
defer interest that is payable on subsequent scheduled interest payment dates if we give
notice as required by the debentures. Any deferral of such interest would be on terms
equivalent to those described above.
When interest on the debentures is deferred, we are required, not later than a specified
time, to use reasonable commercial efforts to begin selling qualifying securities to persons
who are not our affiliates. The specified time is one business day after we pay interest on
the debentures that was not deferred, or if earlier, the fifth anniversary of the scheduled
interest payment date on which the deferral started. Qualifying securities are common stock,
certain warrants and certain non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock. The requirement to
use such efforts to sell such securities is called the Alternative Payment Mechanism.
The net proceeds of Alternative Payment Mechanism sales are to be applied to the payment of
deferred interest, including the compound portion. We cannot pay deferred interest other
than from the net proceeds of Alternative Payment Mechanism sales, except at the final
maturity of the debentures or at the tenth anniversary of the start of the interest
deferral. The Alternative Payment Mechanism does not require us to sell common stock or
warrants before the fifth anniversary of the interest payment date on which that deferral
started if the net proceeds (counting any net proceeds of those securities previously sold
under the Alternative Payment Mechanism) would exceed the 2% cap. The 2% cap is 2% of the
average closing price of our common stock times the number of our outstanding shares of
common stock. The average price is determined over a specified period ending before the
issuance of the common stock or warrants being sold, and the number of outstanding shares is
determined as of the date of our most recent publicly released financial statements.
We are not required to issue under the Alternative Payment Mechanism a total of more than 10
million shares of common stock, including shares underlying qualifying warrants. In
addition, we may not issue under the Alternative Payment Mechanism qualifying preferred
stock if the total net proceeds of all issuances would exceed 25% of the aggregate principal
amount of the debentures.
The Alternative Payment Mechanism does not apply during any period between scheduled
interest payment dates if there is a market disruption event that occurs
over a specified portion of such period. Market disruption events include any material
adverse change in domestic or international economic or financial conditions.
The provisions of the Alternative Payment Mechanism are complex. The description above is
not intended to be complete in all respects. Moreover, that description is qualified in its
entirety by the terms of the debentures, which are contained in the Indenture, dated as of
March 28, 2008, between us and U.S. Bank National Association. The Indenture is filed as
Exhibit 4.6 to our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2008.
The debentures rank junior to all of our existing and future senior indebtedness. The net
proceeds of the debentures were approximately $377 million. A portion of the net proceeds of
the debentures and a concurrent offering of common stock was used to increase the capital of
MGIC and a portion was used for our general corporate purposes. Debt issuance costs are
being amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense.
12
We may redeem the debentures prior to April 6, 2013, in whole but not in part, only in the
event of a specified tax or rating agency event, as defined in the Indenture. In any such
event, the redemption price will be equal to the greater of (1) 100% of the principal amount
of the debentures being redeemed and (2) the applicable make-whole amount, as defined in the
Indenture, in each case plus any accrued but unpaid interest. On or after April 6, 2013, we
may redeem the debentures in whole or in part from time to time, at our option, at a
redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the debentures being redeemed plus
any accrued and unpaid interest if the closing sale price of our common stock exceeds 130%
of the then prevailing conversion price of the debentures for at least 20 of the 30 trading
days preceding notice of the redemption. We will not be able to redeem the debentures, other
than in the event of a specified tax event or rating agency event, during an optional
deferral period.
The debentures are currently convertible, at the holders option, at an initial conversion
rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 74.0741 common shares per $1,000 principal amount
of debentures at any time prior to the maturity date. This represents an initial conversion
price of approximately $13.50 per share. If a holder elects to convert their debentures,
deferred interest owed on the debentures being converted is also converted into shares of
our common stock. The conversion rate for the deferred interest is based on the average
price that our shares traded at during a 5-day period immediately prior to the election to
convert. In the second quarter of 2009, we issued 44,220 shares of our common stock on
conversion of $477,000 principal amount of our convertible debentures.
In lieu of issuing shares of common stock upon conversion of the debentures occurring after
April 6, 2013, we may, at our option, make a cash payment to converting holders equal to the
value of all or some of the shares of our common stock otherwise issuable upon conversion.
The fair value of the convertible debentures was approximately $290.2 million and $145.7
million, respectively, at September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, as determined using
available pricing for these debentures or similar instruments.
Note 4 Reinsurance
Effective January 1, 2009, we are no longer ceding new business under excess of loss
reinsurance treaties with lender captive reinsurers. Loans reinsured on an excess of loss
basis through December 31, 2008 will run off pursuant to the terms of the particular captive
arrangement. New business remains eligible to be ceded under quota share reinsurance
arrangements, limited to a 25% cede rate.
The reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves related to captive agreements was approximately
$354 million at September 30, 2009. The total fair value of the trust fund assets under our
captive agreements at September 30, 2009 was approximately $604 million. During the first
nine months of 2009, $41 million of trust fund assets were transferred to us as a result of
captive terminations. The transferred funds resulted in an increase in our investment
portfolio (including cash and cash equivalents) and there was a corresponding decrease in
our reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves, which is offset by a decrease in our net
losses paid. Subsequent to the third quarter of 2009, through the date that this quarterly
report was finalized, an additional $74 million of trust fund assets were transferred to us
as a result of captive terminations.
13
In June 2008 we entered into a reinsurance agreement that was effective on the risk
associated with up to $50 billion of qualifying new insurance written each calendar year.
The term of the reinsurance agreement began April 1, 2008 and was scheduled to end on
December 31, 2010, subject to two one-year extensions that could have been exercised by the
reinsurer. Effective March 20, 2009, we terminated this reinsurance agreement. The
termination resulted in a reinsurance fee of $26.4 million as reflected in our results of
operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2009. There are no further obligations
under this reinsurance agreement.
Note 5 Litigation and contingencies
In addition to the matters described below, we are involved in other litigation in the
ordinary course of business. In our opinion, the ultimate resolution of this ordinary course
litigation will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position or results of
operations.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and
settlement service providers. Seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate
Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of
the Fair Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class
action litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the
named plaintiffs claims in litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following
denial of class certification in June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation was
separately brought against a number of large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage
reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While we are not a defendant in any of these cases,
there can be no assurance that we will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA or
FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a material adverse effect on
us.
We are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation by state insurance departments. These
regulations are principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders, rather
than for the benefit of investors. Although their scope varies, state
insurance laws generally grant broad supervisory powers to agencies or officials to examine
insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every
significant aspect of the insurance business. Given the recent significant losses incurred
by many insurers in the mortgage and financial guaranty industries, our insurance
subsidiaries have been subject to heightened scrutiny by insurance regulators. State
insurance regulatory authorities could take actions, including changes in capital
requirements or termination of waivers of capital requirements, that could have a material
adverse effect on us.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department, we provided
information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the New York Insurance
Department requested MGIC to review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates
based on recent years experience or to explain why such experience would not alter rates.
In March 2006, MGIC advised the New York Insurance Department that it believes its premium
rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk, premium rates
should not be determined only by the
14
experience of recent years. In February 2006, in response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce, which
regulates insurance, we provided the Department with information about captive mortgage
reinsurance and certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to
the Minnesota Department of Commerce, and beginning in March 2008 that Department has sought
additional information as well as answers to questions regarding captive mortgage
reinsurance on several occasions. In June 2008, we received a subpoena from the Department
of Housing and Urban Development, commonly referred to as HUD, seeking information about
captive mortgage reinsurance similar to that requested by the Minnesota Department of
Commerce, but not limited in scope to the state of Minnesota. Other insurance departments or
other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate
captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that HUD as well as the insurance
commissioner or attorney general of any state may bring an action to enjoin violations of
these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for
the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to enforce this
prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance arrangements are in conformity with
applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any such
reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage
insurance industry.
In October 2007, the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission
requested that we voluntarily furnish documents and information primarily relating to
C-BASS, the now-terminated merger with Radian and the subprime mortgage assets in the
Companys various lines of business. We have provided responsive documents and/or other
information to the Securities and Exchange Commission and understand this matter is ongoing.
Five previously-filed purported class action complaints filed against us and several of our
executive officers were consolidated in March 2009 in the United States District Court for
the Eastern District of Wisconsin and Fulton County Employees Retirement System was
appointed as the lead plaintiff. The lead plaintiff filed a Consolidated Class Action
Complaint (the Complaint) on June 22, 2009. Due in part to its length and
structure, it is difficult to summarize briefly the allegations in the Complaint but it
appears the allegations are that we and our officers named in the Complaint violated the
federal securities laws by misrepresenting or failing to disclose material information about
(i) loss development in our insurance in force, and (ii) C-BASS, including its liquidity.
The Complaint also names two officers of C-BASS with respect to the Complaints allegations
regarding C-BASS. The purported class period covered by the Complaint begins on October 12,
2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The Complaint seeks damages based on purchases of our
stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the
purported misstatements and omissions. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our
officers are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them of the type alleged
in the Complaint. We filed a motion to dismiss the Complaint in August 2009 and briefing is
expected to be completed in November 2009. We are unable to predict the outcome of these
consolidated cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses. Other lawsuits
alleging violations of the securities laws could be brought against us.
15
Two law firms have issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating whether
the fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plans
investment in or holding of our common stock. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide
that the plan fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them.
We intend to defend vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations.
Historically, claims submitted to us on policies we rescinded were not a material portion of
our claims resolved during a year. However, beginning in 2008 rescissions have materially
mitigated our paid losses. If an insured disputes our right to rescind coverage, whether the
requirements to rescind are met ultimately would be determined by arbitration or judicial
proceedings. Objections to rescission may be made several years after we have rescinded an
insurance policy. We are not involved in arbitration or judicial proceedings regarding a
material amount of our rescissions. However, we continue to have discussions with lenders
regarding their objections to rescissions that in the aggregate are material.
On June 1, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for
taxable years 2000 through 2004, we received a Revenue Agent Report (RAR). The adjustments
reported on the RAR substantially increase taxable income for those tax years and resulted
in the issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and
accuracy-related penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the IRS on certain
issues and paid $10.5 million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue
relates to our treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment in a
portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICs). The
IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established
sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable
income. We disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss
from these investments was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance
with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and have
appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time and a final resolution
may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. On July 2, 2007, we
made a payment of $65.2 million to the United States Department of the Treasury to eliminate
the further accrual of interest. Although the resolution of this issue is
uncertain, we believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for
potential liabilities that may result. If the resolution of this matter differs materially
from our estimates, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of
operations and cash flows.
The IRS is presently examining our federal income tax returns for 2005 through 2007. We have
not received any proposed adjustments to taxable income or assessments from the IRS related
to these years. We believe that income taxes related to these years have been properly
provided for in our financial statements.
Under our contract underwriting agreements, we may be required to provide certain remedies
to our customers if certain standards relating to the quality of our underwriting work are
not met. The cost of remedies provided by us to customers for failing to meet these
standards has not been material to our financial position or results of operations for the
nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008. However, a generally positive economic
environment for residential real estate that continued until
16
approximately 2007 may have mitigated the effect of some of these costs, and claims for remedies may be made a number of
years after the underwriting work was performed. A material portion of our new insurance
written through the flow channel in recent years involved loans for which we provided
contract underwriting services. We believe the rescission of mortgage
insurance coverage on loans on which we also provided
contract underwriting services makes a claim for a contract underwriting remedy more likely
to occur. In the third quarter of 2009, we experienced an increase in claims for contract
underwriting remedies, which may continue. Hence, there can be no assurance that contract
underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Note 6 Earnings (loss) per share
Our basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding, which
excludes participating securities with non-forfeitable rights to dividends of 1.8 million
and 1.6 million, respectively, for the three months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 and
1.9 million and 1.4 million, respectively for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 and
2008 because they were anti-dilutive due to our reported net loss. Typically, diluted EPS
is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding plus common stock
equivalents which include certain stock awards, stock options and the dilutive effect of our
convertible debentures (issued in March 2008). In accordance with accounting guidance, if we
report a net loss from continuing operations then our diluted EPS is computed in the same
manner as the basic EPS. The following is a reconciliation of the weighted average number of
shares; however for the three months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 common stock
equivalents of 32.1 million and 27.3 million, respectively, and for the nine months ended
September 30, 2009 and 2008 common stock equivalents of 33.5 million and 20.8 million,
respectively, were not included because they were anti-dilutive.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares Basic |
|
|
124,296 |
|
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
124,180 |
|
|
|
110,647 |
|
Common stock equivalents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares Diluted |
|
|
124,296 |
|
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
124,180 |
|
|
|
110,647 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note 7 Investments
The amortized cost, gross unrealized gains and losses and fair value of the investment
portfolio at September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 are shown below. Debt securities
consist of fixed maturities and short-term investments.
17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross |
|
|
Gross |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortized |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Fair |
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
Cost |
|
|
Gains |
|
|
Losses (1) |
|
|
Value |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
U.S. Treasury securities
and obligations of U.S.
government corporations
and agencies |
|
$ |
569,285 |
|
|
$ |
9,364 |
|
|
$ |
(1,333 |
) |
|
$ |
577,316 |
|
Obligations of U.S. states and
political subdivisions |
|
|
5,165,290 |
|
|
|
268,570 |
|
|
|
(36,179 |
) |
|
|
5,397,681 |
|
Corporate debt securities |
|
|
1,599,410 |
|
|
|
45,135 |
|
|
|
(5,243 |
) |
|
|
1,639,302 |
|
Residential mortgage-backed
securities |
|
|
126,566 |
|
|
|
4,485 |
|
|
|
(6,731 |
) |
|
|
124,320 |
|
Debt securities issued
by foreign sovereign
governments |
|
|
111,681 |
|
|
|
2,180 |
|
|
|
(583 |
) |
|
|
113,278 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total debt securities |
|
|
7,572,232 |
|
|
|
329,734 |
|
|
|
(50,069 |
) |
|
|
7,851,897 |
|
Equity securities |
|
|
2,861 |
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
2,894 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment portfolio |
|
$ |
7,575,093 |
|
|
$ |
329,768 |
|
|
$ |
(50,070 |
) |
|
$ |
7,854,791 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
There were no other-than-temporary losses included in other comprehensive income at September
30, 2009. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross |
|
|
Gross |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortized |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Fair |
|
December 31, 2008: |
|
Cost |
|
|
Gains |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
Value |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
U.S. Treasury securities
and obligations of U.S.
government corporations
and agencies |
|
$ |
168,917 |
|
|
$ |
21,297 |
|
|
$ |
(405 |
) |
|
$ |
189,809 |
|
Obligations of U.S. states and
political subdivisions |
|
|
6,401,903 |
|
|
|
141,612 |
|
|
|
(237,575 |
) |
|
|
6,305,940 |
|
Corporate debt securities |
|
|
314,648 |
|
|
|
6,278 |
|
|
|
(4,253 |
) |
|
|
316,673 |
|
Residential mortgage-backed
securities |
|
|
151,774 |
|
|
|
3,307 |
|
|
|
(14,251 |
) |
|
|
140,830 |
|
Debt securities issued
by foreign sovereign
governments |
|
|
83,448 |
|
|
|
6,203 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
89,651 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total debt securities |
|
|
7,120,690 |
|
|
|
178,697 |
|
|
|
(256,484 |
) |
|
|
7,042,903 |
|
Equity securities |
|
|
2,778 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(145 |
) |
|
|
2,633 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment portfolio |
|
$ |
7,123,468 |
|
|
$ |
178,697 |
|
|
$ |
(256,629 |
) |
|
$ |
7,045,536 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The amortized cost and fair values of debt securities at September 30, 2009 and
December 31, 2008, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Expected maturities will differ
from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay
obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. Because most auction rate and
mortgage-backed securities provide for periodic payments throughout their lives, they are
listed below in separate categories.
18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortized |
|
|
Fair |
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
Cost |
|
|
Value |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Due in one year or less |
|
$ |
48,591 |
|
|
$ |
49,009 |
|
Due after one year through
five years |
|
|
2,297,023 |
|
|
|
2,361,658 |
|
Due after five years through
ten years |
|
|
1,658,842 |
|
|
|
1,737,149 |
|
Due after ten years |
|
|
2,925,260 |
|
|
|
3,079,805 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6,929,716 |
|
|
|
7,227,621 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Auction rate securities (1) |
|
|
515,950 |
|
|
|
499,956 |
|
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
|
|
126,566 |
|
|
|
124,320 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total at September 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
7,572,232 |
|
|
$ |
7,851,897 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortized |
|
|
Fair |
|
December 31, 2008 |
|
Cost |
|
|
Value |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Due in one year or less |
|
$ |
432,727 |
|
|
$ |
435,045 |
|
Due after one year through
five years |
|
|
1,606,915 |
|
|
|
1,630,086 |
|
Due after five years through
ten years |
|
|
1,230,379 |
|
|
|
1,283,317 |
|
Due after ten years |
|
|
3,174,995 |
|
|
|
3,029,725 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6,445,016 |
|
|
|
6,378,173 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Auction rate securities (1) |
|
|
523,900 |
|
|
|
523,900 |
|
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
|
|
151,774 |
|
|
|
140,830 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total at December 31, 2008 |
|
$ |
7,120,690 |
|
|
$ |
7,042,903 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
At September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, 98% of auction rate securities had
a contractual maturity greater than 10 years. |
At September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, the investment portfolio had gross
unrealized losses of $50.1 million and $256.6 million, respectively. For those securities
in an unrealized loss position, the length of time the securities were in such a position,
as measured by their month-end fair values, is as follows:
19
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less Than 12 Months |
|
|
12 Months or Greater |
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
Fair |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Fair |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Fair |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
Value |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
Value |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
Value |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
U.S. Treasury securities
and obligations of U.S.
government corporations
and agencies |
|
$ |
150,178 |
|
|
$ |
1,161 |
|
|
$ |
1,459 |
|
|
$ |
172 |
|
|
$ |
151,637 |
|
|
$ |
1,333 |
|
Obligations of U.S. states
and political subdivisions |
|
|
460,684 |
|
|
|
12,638 |
|
|
|
484,067 |
|
|
|
23,541 |
|
|
|
944,751 |
|
|
|
36,179 |
|
Corporate debt securities |
|
|
260,662 |
|
|
|
5,189 |
|
|
|
1,540 |
|
|
|
54 |
|
|
|
262,202 |
|
|
|
5,243 |
|
Residential mortgage-backed
securities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33,479 |
|
|
|
6,731 |
|
|
|
33,479 |
|
|
|
6,731 |
|
Debt issued by foreign
sovereign governments |
|
|
30,542 |
|
|
|
583 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30,542 |
|
|
|
583 |
|
Equity securities |
|
|
1,285 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,285 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment portfolio |
|
$ |
903,351 |
|
|
$ |
19,572 |
|
|
$ |
520,545 |
|
|
$ |
30,498 |
|
|
$ |
1,423,896 |
|
|
$ |
50,070 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less Than 12 Months |
|
|
12 Months or Greater |
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
Fair |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Fair |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
|
Fair |
|
|
Unrealized |
|
December 31, 2008 |
|
Value |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
Value |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
Value |
|
|
Losses |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
U.S. Treasury securities
and obligations of U.S.
government corporations
and agencies |
|
$ |
13,106 |
|
|
$ |
245 |
|
|
$ |
1,242 |
|
|
$ |
160 |
|
|
$ |
14,348 |
|
|
$ |
405 |
|
Obligations of U.S. states
and political subdivisions |
|
|
1,640,406 |
|
|
|
102,437 |
|
|
|
552,191 |
|
|
|
135,138 |
|
|
|
2,192,597 |
|
|
|
237,575 |
|
Corporate debt securities |
|
|
72,711 |
|
|
|
4,127 |
|
|
|
1,677 |
|
|
|
126 |
|
|
|
74,388 |
|
|
|
4,253 |
|
Residential mortgage-backed
securities |
|
|
41,867 |
|
|
|
14,251 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
41,867 |
|
|
|
14,251 |
|
Debt issued by foreign
sovereign governments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity securities |
|
|
227 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
2,062 |
|
|
|
135 |
|
|
|
2,289 |
|
|
|
145 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment portfolio |
|
$ |
1,768,317 |
|
|
$ |
121,070 |
|
|
$ |
557,172 |
|
|
$ |
135,559 |
|
|
$ |
2,325,489 |
|
|
$ |
256,629 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
There were 261 securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2009. The
unrealized losses in all categories of our investments were primarily caused by the
difference in interest rates at September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, compared to the
interest rates at the time of purchase. Of those securities in an unrealized loss position
greater than 12 months at September 30, 2009, 109 securities had a fair value greater than
80% of amortized cost and 7 securities had a fair value less than 80% of amortized cost.
In April 2009, new accounting guidance regarding the recognition and presentation of
other-than-temporary impairments were issued. The new guidance require us to separate an
other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) of a debt security into two components when there
are credit related losses associated with the impaired debt security for which we assert
that we do not have the intent to sell the security, and it is more likely than not that we
will not be required to sell the security before recovery of
20
our cost basis. Under this guidance the amount of the OTTI related to a credit loss is
recognized in earnings, and the amount of the OTTI related to other factors (such as changes
in interest rates or market conditions) is recorded as a component of other comprehensive
income (loss). In instances where no credit loss exists but it is more likely than not that
we will have to sell the debt security prior to the anticipated recovery, the decline in
fair value below amortized cost is recognized as an OTTI in earnings. In periods after
recognition of an OTTI on debt securities, we account for such securities as if they had
been purchased on the measurement date of the OTTI at an amortized cost basis equal to the
previous amortized cost basis less the OTTI recognized in earnings. For debt securities for
which OTTI were recognized in earnings, the difference between the new amortized cost basis
and the cash flows expected to be collected will be accreted or amortized into net
investment income. This guidance was effective beginning with the quarter ending June 30,
2009.
Each quarter we perform reviews of our investments in order to determine whether declines in
fair value below amortized cost were considered other-than-temporary in accordance with
applicable guidance. In evaluating whether a decline in fair value is other-than-temporary,
we consider several factors including, but not limited to:
|
|
|
our intent to sell the security or whether it is more likely than not that we
will be required to sell the security before recovery; |
|
|
|
|
extent and duration of the decline; |
|
|
|
|
failure of the issuer to make scheduled interest or principal payments; |
|
|
|
|
change in rating below investment grade; and |
|
|
|
|
adverse conditions specifically related to the security, an industry, or a
geographic area. |
Under the current guidance a debt security impairment is deemed other than temporary if (1)
we either intend to sell the security, or its is more likely than not that we will be
required to sell the security before recovery or (2) we do not expect to collect cash flows
sufficient to recover the amortized cost basis of the security. During the third quarter of
2009 we had no OTTI recognized in earnings. During the first nine months of 2009 we
recognized OTTI in earnings of $35.1 million.
The net realized investment gains (losses) are as follows:
21
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized
investment gains (losses) and OTTI on investments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities |
|
$ |
33,074 |
|
|
$ |
(34,209 |
) |
|
$ |
30,035 |
|
|
|
(45,097 |
) |
Equity securities |
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
58 |
|
|
|
181 |
|
|
|
51 |
|
Joint ventures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
62,769 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62,495 |
|
Other |
|
|
369 |
|
|
|
(705 |
) |
|
|
525 |
|
|
|
(993 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
33,483 |
|
|
$ |
27,913 |
|
|
$ |
30,741 |
|
|
|
16,456 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In the third quarter of 2009, there were gross realized gains on the sale of fixed
income investments of $34.8 million offset by gross realized losses on the sale of fixed
income securities of $1.3 million. In the first nine months of 2009, there were gross
realized gains on the sale of fixed income investments of $82.2 million offset by gross
realized losses on the sale of fixed income securities of $16.4 million and OTTI impairments
of $35.1 million. The net realized gains on investments during 2009 was primarily the result
of reducing the proportion of our investment portfolio in tax exempt municipal securities
while increasing the proportion of taxable securities principally since the tax benefits
of holding tax exempt municipal securities are no longer available based on our current net
loss position. The majority of the gross realized losses on sales during 2009 were due to
credit concerns related to these securities which became more pronounced in the first half
of 2009.
Note 8 Fair value measurements
We adopted fair value accounting guidance that became effective January 1, 2008. This
guidance address aspects of the expanding application of fair-value accounting. The
guidance defines fair value, establishes a consistent framework for measuring fair value and
expands disclosure requirements regarding fair-value measurements and provides companies
with an option to report selected financial assets and liabilities at fair value with
changes in fair value reported in earnings. The option to account for selected financial
assets and liabilities at fair value is made on an instrument-by-instrument basis at the
time of acquisition. For the nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008, we did not
elect the fair value option for any financial instruments acquired for which the primary
basis of accounting is not fair value.
In accordance with fair value guidance, we applied the following fair value hierarchy in
order to measure fair value for assets and liabilities:
|
|
|
Level 1 Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we have the
ability to access. Financial assets utilizing Level 1 inputs include certain U.S.
Treasury securities and obligations of the U.S. government. |
|
|
|
|
Level 2 Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for
identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs,
|
22
|
|
|
other
than quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the financial
instrument. The observable inputs are used in valuation models to
calculate the fair value of the financial instruments. Financial assets utilizing Level 2 inputs
include certain municipal and corporate bonds. |
|
|
|
|
Level 3 Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more
significant inputs or value drivers are unobservable. Level 3 inputs reflect our own
assumptions about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset
or liability. Financial assets utilizing Level 3 inputs include certain state,
corporate, auction rate (backed by student loans) and mortgage-backed securities.
Non-financial assets which utilize Level 3 inputs include real estate acquired
through claim settlement. Additionally, financial liabilities utilizing Level 3
inputs consisted of derivative financial instruments. |
To determine the fair value of securities available-for-sale in Level 1 and Level 2 of the
fair value hierarchy, independent pricing sources have been utilized. One price is provided
per security based on observable market data. To ensure securities are appropriately
classified in the fair value hierarchy, we review the pricing techniques and methodologies
of the independent pricing sources and believe that their policies adequately consider
market activity, either based on specific transactions for the issue valued or based on
modeling of securities with similar credit quality, duration, yield and structure that were
recently traded. A variety of inputs are utilized including benchmark yields, reported
trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two sided markets, benchmark securities, bids,
offers and reference data including market research publications. Inputs may be weighted
differently for any security, and not all inputs are used for each security evaluation.
Market indicators, industry and economic events are also considered. This information is
evaluated using a multidimensional pricing model. Quality controls are performed throughout
this process which includes reviewing tolerance reports, trading information and data
changes, and directional moves compared to market moves. This model combines all inputs to
arrive at a value assigned to each security. On a quarterly basis, we perform quality
controls over values received from the pricing sources which include reviewing tolerance
reports, trading information and data changes, and directional moves compared to market
moves. We have not made any adjustments to the prices obtained from the independent pricing
sources.
Assets and liabilities classified as Level 3 are as follows:
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale classified in Level 3 are not readily marketable
and are valued using internally developed models based on the present value of
expected cash flows. Our Level 3 securities primarily consist of auction rate
securities as observable inputs or value drivers are unavailable due to events
described in Note 4 of our Notes to Financial Statements for the year ended December
31, 2008 included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K. Due to limited market
information, we utilized a discounted cash flow (DCF) model to derive an estimate
of fair value of these assets at December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2009. The
assumptions used in preparing the DCF model included estimates with respect to the
amount and timing of future interest and principal payments, the probability of full
repayment of the principal considering the credit quality and guarantees in place,
and the rate of return required by investors to own such
|
23
|
|
|
securities given the current liquidity risk associated with them. The DCF model is
based on the following key assumptions. |
|
|
|
Nominal credit risk as securities are ultimately guaranteed by the
United States Department of Education; |
|
|
|
|
Liquidity by December 31, 2012; |
|
|
|
|
Continued receipt of contractual interest; and |
|
|
|
|
Discount rates incorporating at least a 2.00% spread for liquidity risk. |
|
|
|
The remainder of our level 3 securities are valued based on the present value of
expected cash flows utilizing data provided by the trustees. |
|
|
|
Real estate acquired through claim settlement is fair valued at the lower of our
acquisition cost or a percentage of appraised value. The percentage applied to
appraised value is based upon our historical sales experience adjusted for current
trends. |
Fair value measurements for items measured at fair value included the following as of
September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008:
24
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quoted Prices in |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Significant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Active Markets for |
|
|
Significant Other |
|
|
Unobservable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Identical Assets |
|
|
Observable Inputs |
|
|
Inputs |
|
|
|
Fair Value |
|
|
(Level 1) |
|
|
(Level 2) |
|
|
(Level 3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousand of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S.
Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies |
|
$ |
577,316 |
|
|
$ |
577,316 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obligations
of U.S. states and political subdivisions |
|
|
5,397,681 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,019,180 |
|
|
|
378,501 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate debt securities |
|
|
1,639,302 |
|
|
|
2,329 |
|
|
|
1,505,141 |
|
|
|
131,832 |
|
Residential
mortgage-backed securities |
|
|
124,320 |
|
|
|
26,698 |
|
|
|
97,622 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt
securities issued by foreign sovereign governments |
|
|
113,278 |
|
|
|
102,147 |
|
|
|
11,131 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total debt securities |
|
|
7,851,897 |
|
|
|
708,490 |
|
|
|
6,633,074 |
|
|
|
510,333 |
|
Equity securities |
|
|
2,894 |
|
|
|
2,573 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
321 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments |
|
$ |
7,854,791 |
|
|
$ |
711,063 |
|
|
$ |
6,633,074 |
|
|
$ |
510,654 |
|
Real estate acquired (1) |
|
|
3,263 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,263 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments |
|
$ |
7,045,536 |
|
|
$ |
281,248 |
|
|
$ |
6,218,338 |
|
|
$ |
545,950 |
|
Real estate acquired (1) |
|
|
32,858 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32,858 |
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Real estate acquired through claim settlement, which is held
for sale, is reported in Other Assets on the consolidated balance sheet. |
For assets and liabilities measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs
(Level 3), a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 is as follows:
25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obligations of U.S. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
States and Political |
|
|
Corporate Debt |
|
|
Equity |
|
|
Total |
|
|
Real Estate |
|
|
|
Subdivisions |
|
|
Securities |
|
|
Securities |
|
|
Investments |
|
|
Acquired |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousand of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at June 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
386,338 |
|
|
$ |
134,070 |
|
|
$ |
321 |
|
|
$ |
520,729 |
|
|
$ |
7,858 |
|
Total realized/unrealized losses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in
earnings and reported as realized investment losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in
earnings and reported as
losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
585 |
|
Included in
other comprehensive income |
|
|
(5,674 |
) |
|
|
(2,038 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(7,712 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases, issuances and settlements |
|
|
(2,163 |
) |
|
|
(200 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2,363 |
) |
|
|
(5,180 |
) |
Transfers in and/or out of Level 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at September 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
378,501 |
|
|
$ |
131,832 |
|
|
$ |
321 |
|
|
$ |
510,654 |
|
|
$ |
3,263 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount of
total losses included in earnings for the three month period
ended September 30, 2009 attributable
to the change in unrealized losses on
assets still held at September 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
(122 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obligations of U.S. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
States and Political |
|
|
Corporate Debt |
|
|
Equity |
|
|
Total |
|
|
Real Estate |
|
|
|
Subdivisions |
|
|
Securities |
|
|
Securities |
|
|
Investments |
|
|
Acquired |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2008 |
|
$ |
395,388 |
|
|
$ |
150,241 |
|
|
$ |
321 |
|
|
$ |
545,950 |
|
|
$ |
32,858 |
|
Total realized/unrealized losses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in
earnings and reported as
realized investment losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(10,107 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(10,107 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in
earnings and reported as losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,304 |
) |
Included in
other comprehensive income |
|
|
(11,777 |
) |
|
|
(3,467 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(15,244 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases, issuances and settlements |
|
|
(5,110 |
) |
|
|
(4,835 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9,945 |
) |
|
|
(28,291 |
) |
Transfers in and/or out of Level 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at September 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
378,501 |
|
|
$ |
131,832 |
|
|
$ |
321 |
|
|
$ |
510,654 |
|
|
$ |
3,263 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount of
total losses included in earnings for the nine month period
ended September 30, 2009 attributable
to the change in unrealized losses on
assets still held at September 30, 2009 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
(10,107 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
(10,107 |
) |
|
$ |
(413 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Real Estate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Investments |
|
|
Acquired |
|
|
Other Liabilities |
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars) |
|
Balance at June 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
37,348 |
|
|
$ |
64,619 |
|
|
$ |
(22,157 |
) |
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as realized
investment losses, net |
|
|
(8,157 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as other
revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as losses
incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(837 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Included in other comprehensive income |
|
|
(750 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases, issuances and settlements |
|
|
323 |
|
|
|
(14,339 |
) |
|
|
22,157 |
|
Transfers in and/or out of Level 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at September 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
28,764 |
|
|
$ |
49,443 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount of total losses included in earnings for
the three month period ended September 30, 2008
attributable to the change in unrealized gains
(losses) on assets (liabilities) still held at
September 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
(6,278 |
) |
|
$ |
(4,230 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Real Estate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Investments |
|
|
Acquired |
|
|
Other Liabilities |
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars) |
|
Balance at January 1, 2008 |
|
$ |
37,195 |
|
|
$ |
145,198 |
|
|
$ |
(12,132 |
) |
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as realized
investment losses, net |
|
|
(14,211 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as other
revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(6,823 |
) |
Included in earnings and reported as losses
incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(18,595 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Included in other comprehensive income |
|
|
2,793 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases, issuances and settlements |
|
|
2,987 |
|
|
|
(77,160 |
) |
|
|
18,955 |
|
Transfers in and/or out of Level 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at September 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
28,764 |
|
|
$ |
49,443 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount of total losses included in earnings for
the nine month period ended September 30, 2008
attributable to the change in unrealized gains
(losses) on assets (liabilities) still held at
September 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
(12,156 |
) |
|
$ |
(12,388 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note 9 Comprehensive income
Our total comprehensive income was as follows:
27
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
Septemer 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
$ |
(517,768 |
) |
|
$ |
(115,385 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,042,163 |
) |
|
$ |
(249,767 |
) |
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
|
|
146,004 |
|
|
|
(126,219 |
) |
|
|
251,334 |
|
|
|
(185,967 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total comprehensive loss |
|
$ |
(371,764 |
) |
|
$ |
(241,604 |
) |
|
$ |
(790,829 |
) |
|
$ |
(435,734 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income (loss) (net of tax): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized gains and losses
on investments |
|
$ |
140,193 |
|
|
$ |
(110,989 |
) |
|
|
230,870 |
|
|
|
(178,293 |
) |
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment |
|
|
5,811 |
|
|
|
(15,607 |
) |
|
|
20,464 |
|
|
|
(7,761 |
) |
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
377 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
|
$ |
146,004 |
|
|
$ |
(126,219 |
) |
|
$ |
251,334 |
|
|
$ |
(185,967 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At September 30, 2009, accumulated other comprehensive loss of $144.5 million included
$179.8 million of net unrealized gains on investments and $12.6 million related to foreign
currency translation adjustment, offset by ($47.9) million relating to defined benefit
plans. At December 31, 2008, accumulated other comprehensive loss of ($106.8) million
included ($51.0) million of net unrealized losses on investments, ($47.9) million relating
to defined benefit plans and ($7.9) million related to foreign currency translation
adjustment.
Note 10 Benefit Plans
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension,
supplemental executive retirement and other postretirement benefit plans:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
Pension and Supplemental |
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Executive Retirement Plans |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
2,039 |
|
|
$ |
2,303 |
|
|
$ |
320 |
|
|
$ |
1,055 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
3,575 |
|
|
|
3,643 |
|
|
|
366 |
|
|
|
1,304 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(3,835 |
) |
|
|
(4,869 |
) |
|
|
(558 |
) |
|
|
(942 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss |
|
|
1,583 |
|
|
|
141 |
|
|
|
426 |
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
180 |
|
|
|
170 |
|
|
|
(1,515 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
3,542 |
|
|
$ |
1,388 |
|
|
$ |
(961 |
) |
|
$ |
1,487 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
Pension and Supplemental |
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Executive Retirement Plans |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
6,116 |
|
|
$ |
6,375 |
|
|
$ |
960 |
|
|
$ |
2,831 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
10,725 |
|
|
|
10,307 |
|
|
|
1,098 |
|
|
|
3,662 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(11,505 |
) |
|
|
(14,479 |
) |
|
|
(1,673 |
) |
|
|
(2,824 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss |
|
|
4,748 |
|
|
|
369 |
|
|
|
1,278 |
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
212 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
539 |
|
|
|
512 |
|
|
|
(4,545 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
10,623 |
|
|
$ |
3,084 |
|
|
$ |
(2,882 |
) |
|
$ |
3,881 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In October 2008 we amended our postretirement benefit plan under which we provide both
medical and dental benefits for our retired employees and their spouses. Under this plan
retirees pay a premium for these benefits. The amendment, which was effective January 1,
2009, includes the termination of benefits provided to retirees once they reach the age of
65. This amendment significantly reduced our accumulated postretirement benefit obligation.
The amendment also reduces our net periodic benefit cost in future periods beginning in
2009. The 2008 net periodic benefits costs in the table above are not affected by the
amendment.
We previously disclosed in our financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2008
that we expected to contribute approximately $10.0 million and zero, respectively, to our
pension and postretirement plans in 2009. We contributed $10.0 million to the pension plan
in the third quarter of 2009.
In May 2009 we amended our profit sharing and 401(k) savings plan such that no new
investments can be made in company stock.
Note 11 Income Taxes
Valuation Allowance
We review the need to establish a deferred tax asset valuation allowance on a quarterly
basis. We include an analysis of several factors, among which are the severity and frequency
of operating losses, our capacity for the carryback or carryforward of any losses, the
expected occurrence of future income or loss and available tax planning alternatives. As
discussed below, we have reduced our benefit from income tax by establishing a valuation
allowance in the first nine months of 2009.
In periods prior to 2008, we deducted significant amounts of statutory contingency reserves
on our federal income tax returns. The reserves were deducted to the extent we purchased tax
and loss bonds in an amount equal to the tax benefit of the deduction. The reserves are
included in taxable income in future years when they are released for statutory accounting
purposes (see Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Liquidity and Capital Resources Risk-to-Capital) or when the taxpayer
elects to redeem the tax and loss bonds that
29
were purchased in connection with the deduction for the reserves. Since the tax effect on
these reserves exceeded the gross deferred tax assets less deferred tax liabilities, we
believe that all gross deferred tax assets recorded in periods prior to the quarter ended
March 31, 2009 were fully realizable. Therefore, we established no valuation reserve.
In the first quarter of 2009, we redeemed the remaining balance of our tax and loss bonds of
$432 million. Therefore, the remaining contingency reserves will be released and are no
longer available to support any net deferred tax assets. Beginning with the first quarter of
2009, any benefit from income taxes, relating to operating losses, has been reduced or
eliminated by the establishment of a valuation allowance. The valuation allowance,
established in the first nine months of 2009, reduced our benefit from income taxes by
$297.6 million, as shown in the table below. In the third quarter of 2009, our deferred tax
asset valuation allowance decreased by the deferred tax liability related to $279.7 million
of unrealized gains that were recorded to equity. This decrease in the valuation allowance
resulted in a tax benefit of $100.3 million in the third quarter of 2009. In the event of
future operating losses, it is likely that a tax provision (benefit) will be recorded as an
offset to any taxes recorded to equity for changes in unrealized gains or other items in
other comprehensive income.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
($ in millions) |
|
Benefit from income taxes |
|
$ |
(233.8 |
) |
|
$ |
(482.7 |
) |
Valuation allowance |
|
|
133.5 |
|
|
|
297.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax provision (benefit) |
|
$ |
(100.3 |
) |
|
$ |
(185.1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Recently
enacted legislation will expand the carryback period for certain net operating losses from
2 years to 5 years.
Based on results through September 2009, we estimate that
approximately $178 million will be recovered due to this change. The exact amount of the
recovery will be determined by results for the remainder of this
year, with any tax benefit being recorded in the fourth
quarter of 2009. Since the carryback period includes years where we
have not reached final agreements on the amount of taxes due with the
IRS, the receipt of any taxes recoverable may be delayed and subject
to any final settlement.
Giving
full effect to the carryback of net operating losses under the new
legislation described above, for
federal income tax purposes, we have approximately $136 million of net operating
loss carryforwards as of September 30, 2009. Any unutilized carryforwards are scheduled to
expire at the end of tax year 2029.
Note 12 Loss Reserves and Premium Deficiency Reserve
Loss Reserves
Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2009 increased compared to the third quarter of
2008. The default inventory increased by 23,373 delinquencies in the third quarter of 2009,
compared to an increase of 23,677 in the third quarter of 2008. We believe that the default
inventory will continue to increase in the fourth quarter of 2009. The
30
estimated severity remained relatively stable in the third quarter of 2009 and increased in
the third quarter of 2008, but the estimated severity was higher at September 30, 2009 than
at September 30, 2008. The estimated claim rate remained flat in the third quarter of 2009
and decreased in the third quarter of 2008.
Losses incurred for the first nine months of 2009 increased compared to the same periods in
2008 primarily due to a larger increase in the default inventory. The default inventory
increased by 53,422 delinquencies in the first nine months of 2009, compared to an increase
of 44,788 in the first nine months of 2008. The estimated severity continued to increase
slightly in the first nine months of 2009 primarily as a result of the default inventory
containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments. The increase
in estimated severity was less substantial than the increase experienced during the first
nine months of 2008. The estimated claim rate remained flat for the first nine months of
2009 and 2008.
Our loss estimates are established based upon historical experience. We continue to
experience increases in delinquencies in certain markets with higher than average loan
balances, such as Florida and California. In California we have experienced an increase in
delinquencies, from 14,960 as of December 31, 2008 to 17,892 as of June 30, 2009 and 19,083
as of September 30, 2009. Our Florida delinquencies increased from 29,380 as of December 31,
2008 to 34,901 as of June 30, 2009 and 37,503 as of September 30, 2009. The average claim
paid on California loans in 2008 and 2009 was more than twice as high as the average claim
paid for the remainder of the country.
Historically, claim rescissions and denials, which we collectively refer to as rescissions,
were not a material portion of our claims resolved during a year. However, beginning in 2008
rescissions have materially mitigated our paid and incurred losses. While we have a
substantial pipeline of claims investigations that we expect will eventually result in
rescissions during the remainder of 2009, we can give no assurance that rescissions will
continue to mitigate paid and incurred losses at the same level we have recently
experienced. In addition, if an insured disputes our right to rescind coverage, whether the
requirements to rescind are met ultimately would be determined by arbitration or judicial
proceedings. Rescissions mitigated our paid losses by approximately $390 million and $839
million, respectively, during the third quarter and first nine months of 2009, compared to
$45 million and $97 million, respectively during the third quarter and first nine months of
2008. These figures include amounts that would have resulted in either a claim payment or
been charged to a deductible under a bulk or pool policy, and may have been charged to a
captive reinsurer. Our loss reserving methodology incorporates the effects rescission
activity are expected to have on the losses we will pay on our delinquent inventory.
Variances between our ultimate actual rescission rates and these estimates could materially
affect our losses incurred. The liability associated with our estimate of premiums to be
refunded on expected future rescissions is accrued for separately and included in Other
liabilities on our consolidated balance sheet.
Information regarding the ever-to-date rescission rates by the quarter in which the claim
was received appears in the table below. No information is presented for claims received two
quarters or less before the end of our most recently completed quarter to allow sufficient
time for a substantial percentage of the claims received in those two quarters to reach
resolution.
31
As of September 30, 2009
Ever to Date Rescission Rates on Claims Received
(based on count)
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter in Which the |
|
ETD Rescission |
|
ETD Claims Resolution |
Claim was Received |
|
Rate (1) |
|
Percentage (2) |
Q1 2008
|
|
12.7%
|
|
100.0% |
Q2 2008
|
|
15.9%
|
|
99.8% |
Q3 2008
|
|
20.8%
|
|
98.9% |
Q4 2008
|
|
22.0%
|
|
94.9% |
Q1 2009
|
|
20.0%
|
|
84.6% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
This percentage is claims received during the quarter shown that have been
rescinded as of our most recently completed quarter divided by the total claims received
during the quarter shown. |
|
(2) |
|
This percentage is claims received during the quarter shown that have been resolved as
of our most recently completed quarter divided by the total claims received during the
quarter shown. Claims resolved principally consist of claims paid plus claims rescinded. |
We anticipate that the ever-to-date rescission rate in the more recent quarters will
increase as the ever-to-date resolution percentage approaches 100%.
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at
September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008 appears in the table below.
Reduced documentation loans only appear in the reduced documentation category and do not
appear in any of the other categories.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
September 30, |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2008 |
Total loans delinquent (1) |
|
|
235,610 |
|
|
|
182,188 |
|
|
|
151,908 |
|
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
16.92 |
% |
|
|
12.37 |
% |
|
|
10.20 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prime loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
137,789 |
|
|
|
95,672 |
|
|
|
76,110 |
|
Percentage of prime loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
11.91 |
% |
|
|
7.90 |
% |
|
|
6.25 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A-minus loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
36,335 |
|
|
|
31,907 |
|
|
|
28,384 |
|
Percentage of A-minus loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
37.95 |
% |
|
|
30.19 |
% |
|
|
25.93 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subprime credit loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
13,432 |
|
|
|
13,300 |
|
|
|
12,705 |
|
Percentage of subprime credit loans delinquent
(default rate) |
|
|
48.26 |
% |
|
|
43.30 |
% |
|
|
39.62 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reduced documentation loans delinquent (3) |
|
|
48,054 |
|
|
|
41,309 |
|
|
|
34,709 |
|
Percentage of reduced doc loans delinquent (default
rate) |
|
|
42.85 |
% |
|
|
32.88 |
% |
|
|
26.75 |
% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
At September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008, 46,167, 45,482 and
42,899 loans in default, respectively, related to Wall Street bulk transactions and 16,802,
13,275 and 9,923 loans in default, respectively, were in our claims received inventory. |
|
(2) |
|
We define prime loans as those having FICO credit scores of 620 or greater, A-minus
loans as those having FICO credit scores of 575-619, and subprime credit loans as those
having FICO credit scores of |
32
|
|
|
|
|
less than 575, all as reported to us at the time a commitment
to insure is issued. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans were written through the bulk
channel. |
|
(3) |
|
In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated
underwriting (AU) systems under doc waiver programs that do not require verification of
borrower income are classified by us as full documentation. Based in part on information
provided by the GSEs, we estimate full documentation loans of this type were approximately
4% of 2007 new insurance written. Information for other periods is not available. We
understand these AU systems grant such doc waivers for loans they judge to have higher
credit quality. We also understand that the GSEs terminated their doc waiver programs,
with respect to new commitments, in the second half of 2008. |
Premium Deficiency Reserve
The
components of the premium deficiency reserve at September 30, 2009, June 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Present value of expected future premium |
|
$ |
489 |
|
|
$ |
595 |
|
|
$ |
712 |
|
Present value of expected future paid losses
and expenses |
|
|
(2,341 |
) |
|
|
(2,491 |
) |
|
|
(3,063 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net present value of future cash flows |
|
|
(1,852 |
) |
|
|
(1,896 |
) |
|
|
(2,351 |
) |
Established loss reserves |
|
|
1,644 |
|
|
|
1,669 |
|
|
|
1,897 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net deficiency |
|
$ |
(208 |
) |
|
$ |
(227 |
) |
|
$ |
(454 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The decrease in the premium deficiency reserve for the three and nine months ended September
30, 2009 was $19 million and $246 million, respectively, as shown in the chart below, which
represents the net result of actual premiums, losses and expenses as well as a net change in
assumptions for these periods. The change in assumptions for the third quarter is primarily
related to lower estimated ultimate premiums and the change in assumptions for the nine
months ended September 30, 2009 is primarily related to lower estimated ultimate losses,
offset by lower estimated ultimate premiums. The lower estimated ultimate losses and lower
estimated ultimate premiums were primarily due to higher expected rates of rescissions.
33
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at June 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(227 |
) |
Paid claims and LAE |
|
|
136 |
|
|
|
|
|
Decrease in loss reserves |
|
|
(25 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Premium earned |
|
|
(35 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Effects of present valuing on future premiums, losses and expenses |
|
|
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect
actual premium, losses and expenses recognized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect change in
assumptions relating to future premiums, losses and expenses and discount rate (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(88 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at September 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(208 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
A negative number for changes in assumptions relating to premiums, losses, expenses and
discount rate indicates a deficiency of prior premium deficiency reserves. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at December 31, 2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(454 |
) |
Paid claims and LAE |
|
|
441 |
|
|
|
|
|
Decrease in loss reserves |
|
|
(253 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Premium earned |
|
|
(122 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Effects of present valuing on future premiums, losses and expenses |
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect
actual premium, losses and expenses recognized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect change in
assumptions relating to future premiums, losses and expenses and
discount rate (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
151 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at September 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(208 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2) |
|
A positive number for changes in assumptions relating to premiums, losses, expenses and
discount rate indicates a redundancy of prior premium deficiency reserves. |
34
|
|
|
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS |
Overview
Through our subsidiary MGIC, we are the leading provider of private mortgage insurance
in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry.
As used below, we and our refer to MGIC Investment Corporations consolidated
operations. The discussion below should be read in conjunction with Managements Discussion
and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008. We refer to this Discussion as the 10-K MD&A.
In the discussion below, we classify, in accordance with industry practice, as full
documentation loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting systems under doc
waiver programs that do not require verification of borrower income. For additional
information about such loans, see footnote (3) to the delinquency table under Results of
Consolidated Operations-Losses-Losses Incurred. The discussion of our business in this
document generally does not apply to our international operations which are immaterial. The
results of our operations in Australia are included in the consolidated results disclosed.
For additional information about our Australian operations, see OverviewAustralia in our
10-K MD&A.
Forward Looking Statements
As discussed under Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors below, actual results
may differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are
not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements
we may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these
statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking
statements or other statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely
on these statements being accurate as of any time other than the time at which this document
was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Outlook
At this time, we are facing two particularly significant challenges, which we believe
are shared by the other participants in our industry:
|
|
|
Whether we will have access to sufficient capital to continue to write new
business. This challenge is discussed under Capital below. |
|
|
|
|
Whether private mortgage insurance will remain a significant credit
enhancement alternative for low down payment single family mortgages. This
challenge is discussed under Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac below. |
35
For additional information about these challenges, see the portions of our 10-K MD&A
titled Overview Future of the Domestic Housing Finance System, Overview Debt at our
Holding Company and Holding Company Capital Resources and Overview Private and Public
Efforts to Modify Mortgage Loans and Reduce Foreclosure.
Capital
At September 30, 2009, MGICs policyholders position exceeded the required regulatory
minimum by approximately $456 million, and we exceeded the required minimum by approximately
$543 million on a combined statutory basis. (The combined figures give effect to reinsurance
with subsidiaries of our holding company.) At September 30, 2009 MGICs risk-to-capital was
17.3:1 and was 19.7:1 on a combined statutory basis. Beginning with our June 30, 2009
risk-to-capital calculations we have deducted risk in force on policies currently in default
and for which loss reserves have been established. For additional information about how we
calculate risk-to-capital, see Liquidity and Capital Resources Risk to Capital below.
For some time, we have been working to implement a plan to write new mortgage insurance
in MGIC Indemnity Corporation (MIC), a wholly owned subsidiary of MGIC. This plan is
driven by our belief that MGIC will not meet regulatory capital requirements in Wisconsin
(which would prevent MGIC from writing new business anywhere) or in certain jurisdictions
(which would prevent MGIC from writing business in the particular jurisdiction) and may not
be able to obtain appropriate waivers of these requirements. This could occur in the first
quarter of 2010, or earlier; the timing will primarily depend on the level of new loan
default notices and the claim rate associated with loans in default. In addition to
Wisconsin, these capital requirements are present in 16 jurisdictions while the remaining
jurisdictions in which MGIC does business do not have specific capital requirements
applicable to mortgage insurers. Before MIC can begin writing new business, the Office of
the Commissioner of Insurance for the State of Wisconsin (OCI) must specifically authorize
MIC to do so and MIC must obtain or reactivate licenses in the jurisdictions where it will
transact business. In addition, as a practical matter, MICs ability to write mortgage
insurance depends on being approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae and/or
Freddie Mac (together, the GSEs).
On October 14, 2009, we, MGIC and MIC entered into an agreement (the Agreement) with
Fannie Mae under which MGIC agreed to contribute $200 million to MIC and Fannie Mae approved
MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer through December 31, 2011 subject to the terms of the Agreement. The contribution to MIC was
made on October 21, 2009. Under the Agreement, MIC will be eligible to write mortgage
insurance only if the OCI grants MGIC a waiver from Wisconsins capital requirements and
only in those 16 jurisdictions in which MGIC cannot write new insurance due to MGICs
failure to meet regulatory capital requirements applicable to mortgage insurers and if MGIC
fails to obtain relief from those requirements or a specified waiver of them. We expect
MGIC will be able to obtain waivers in a number of these jurisdictions such that MGIC,
rather than MIC, will write new business there. The Agreement, including certain
restrictions imposed on us, MGIC and MIC, is summarized more fully in, and included as an
exhibit to, our Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 16,
2009.
36
Under the Agreement, MIC has been approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie
Mae only though December 31, 2011. Whether MIC will continue as an eligible mortgage
insurer after that date will be determined by Fannie Maes mortgage insurer eligibility
requirements then in effect. Further, under the Agreement we cannot capitalize MIC with more
than a $200 million contribution, without prior approval from Fannie Mae, which limits the
amount of business MIC can write. We believe that the amount of capital that we have
contributed to MIC will be more than sufficient to write business for
the term of the Agreement
in the jurisdictions in which, giving effect to our expectation that MGIC will obtain
waivers of regulatory capital requirements in certain jurisdictions as referred to above,
MIC is eligible to do so under the Agreement. There can be no assurance, however, that in
fact MICs capital will be sufficient to permit this level of writings.
We have been working closely with Freddie Mac to approve MIC as an eligible mortgage
insurer. Freddie Mac has informed us that they will need additional analysis prior to
approving MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer. This analysis could take some time to
complete. There can be no assurance that Freddie Mac will approve MIC as an eligible
mortgage insurer.
We are also working closely with the OCI to receive the approvals that MIC requires to
begin writing new insurance. While in July 2009 the OCI approved a transaction under which
we would have contributed more than $200 million to MIC and MIC would have written mortgage
insurance in all jurisdictions in place of MGIC, the OCI has not approved the plan to write
mortgage insurance through MIC contemplated by the Agreement nor has it yet granted MGIC a
waiver from the regulatory capital requirements in Wisconsin. There can be no assurance
that we will be able to obtain, in a timely fashion or at all, the approvals from OCI
necessary to allow MGIC to continue to write new insurance or the approvals necessary for
MIC to write new insurance in any jurisdiction. Similarly, there can be no assurances that
MIC will receive the necessary approvals from any or all of the jurisdictions in which MGIC
would be prohibited from doing so due to MGICs failure to meet applicable regulatory
capital requirements.
Depending on the level of losses that MGIC experiences in the future, it is possible
that regulatory action by one or more jurisdictions, including those that do not have
specific regulatory capital requirements applicable to mortgage insurers, may prevent MGIC
from continuing to write new insurance in some or all of the jurisdictions in which MIC will
not write business. It is also possible that the OCI could take actions that would prohibit
MGIC and/or MIC from writing new business in any jurisdiction.
A failure to meet regulatory capital requirements does not mean that MGIC does not have
sufficient resources to pay claims on its insurance. Even in scenarios in which losses
materially exceed those that would result in not meeting regulatory requirements, we believe
that we have claims paying resources at MGIC that exceed our claim obligations on our
insurance in force. Our estimates of our claims paying resources and claim obligations are
based on various assumptions, including our anticipated rescission activity.
37
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
In September 2008, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) was appointed as the
conservator of the GSEs. As their conservator, FHFA controls and directs the operations of
the GSEs. The appointment of FHFA as conservator, the increasing role that the federal
government has assumed in the residential mortgage market, our industrys inability, due to
capital constraints, to write sufficient business to meet the needs of the GSEs or other
factors may increase the likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change in ways
that may have a material adverse effect on us. In addition, these factors may increase the
likelihood that the charters of the GSEs are changed by new federal legislation. Such
changes may allow the GSEs to reduce or eliminate the level of private mortgage insurance
coverage that they use as credit enhancement. The Obama administration has announced that it
will announce its plans regarding the future of the GSEs in early 2010.
For a number of years, the GSEs have had programs under which on certain loans
lenders could choose a mortgage insurance coverage percentage that was only the minimum
required by their charters, with the GSEs paying a lower price for these loans (charter
coverage). The GSEs have also had programs under which on certain loans they would accept
a level of mortgage insurance above the requirements of their charters but below their
standard coverage without any decrease in the purchase price they would pay for these loans
(reduced coverage). In September 2009, Fannie Mae announced that, effective January 1,
2010, it would expand broadly the types of loans eligible for charter coverage. Fannie
Maes announcement also said it would eliminate its reduced coverage program in the second
quarter of 2010. During the third quarter of 2009, a majority of our volume has been on
loans with GSE standard coverage, a substantial portion of our volume has been on loans with reduced coverage, and a minor
portion of our volume has been on loans with charter coverage. We charge higher premium
rates for higher coverages. To the extent lenders selling loans to Fannie Mae chose charter
coverage for loans that we insure, our revenues would be reduced and we could experience
other adverse effects.
Factors Affecting Our Results
Our results of operations are affected by:
|
|
|
Premiums written and earned |
|
|
|
|
Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by: |
|
|
|
New insurance written, which increases insurance in force, is the aggregate
principal amount of the mortgages that are insured during a period. Many factors
affect new insurance written, including the volume of low down payment home
mortgage originations and competition to provide credit enhancement on those
mortgages, including competition from the FHA, other mortgage insurers, GSE
programs that may reduce or eliminate the demand for mortgage insurance and
other alternatives to mortgage insurance. New insurance written does not include
loans previously insured by us which are modified, such as loans modified under
the Home Affordable Refinance Program. |
38
|
|
|
Cancellations, which reduce insurance in force. Cancellations due to
refinancings are affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates
compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in force book. Refinancings
are also affected by current home values compared to values when the loans in
the in force book became insured and the terms on which mortgage credit is
available. Cancellations also include rescissions, which require us to return
any premiums received related to the rescinded policy, and policies canceled due
to claim payment. |
|
|
|
|
Premium rates, which are affected by the risk characteristics of the loans
insured and the percentage of coverage on the loans. |
|
|
|
|
Premiums ceded to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders
(captives) and risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs. |
Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the
period. Hence, changes in the average insurance in force in the current period compared to
an earlier period is a factor that will increase (when the average in force is higher) or
reduce (when it is lower) premiums written and earned in the current period, although this
effect may be enhanced (or mitigated) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by
premiums that are returned or expected to be returned in connection with rescissions and
premiums ceded to captives or the GSEs. Also, new insurance written and cancellations during
a period will generally have a greater effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent
periods than in the period in which these events occur.
Our investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of fixed income securities rated
A or higher. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the
portfolio and its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair
market value, such as from changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio
is mainly a function of cash generated from (or used in) operations, such as net premiums
received, investment earnings, net claim payments and expenses, less cash provided by (or
used for) non-operating activities, such as debt or stock issuance or dividend payments.
Realized gains and losses are a function of the difference between the amount received on
sale of a security and the securitys amortized cost, as well as any other than temporary
impairments recognized in earnings. The amount received on sale of fixed income securities
is affected by the coupon rate of the security compared to the yield of comparable
securities at the time of sale.
Losses incurred are the current expense that reflects estimated payments that will
ultimately be made as a result of delinquencies on insured loans. As explained under
Critical Accounting Policies in the 10-K MD&A, except in the case of premium deficiency
reserves, we recognize an estimate of this expense only for delinquent loans. Losses
incurred are generally affected by:
39
|
|
|
The state of the economy, including unemployment, and housing values, each of
which affects the likelihood that loans will become delinquent and whether loans
that are delinquent cure their delinquency. The level of new delinquencies has
historically followed a seasonal pattern, with new delinquencies in the first
part of the year lower than new delinquencies in the latter part of the year. |
|
|
|
|
The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk
characteristics generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims. |
|
|
|
|
The size of loans insured, with higher average loan amounts tending to
increase losses incurred. |
|
|
|
|
The percentage of coverage on insured loans, with deeper average coverage
tending to increase incurred losses. |
|
|
|
|
Changes in housing values, which affect our ability to mitigate our losses
through sales of properties with delinquent mortgages as well as borrower
willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is
below the mortgage balance. |
|
|
|
|
The rates at which we rescind policies. Our estimated loss reserves reflect
mitigation from rescissions and denials, which we collectively refer to as
rescissions, of coverage using the rate at which we have rescinded claims during
recent periods. |
|
|
|
|
The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first
two years after loans are originated are a period of relatively low claims, with
claims increasing substantially for several years subsequent and then declining,
although persistency, the condition of the economy, including unemployment, and
other factors can affect this pattern. For example, a weak economy can lead to
claims from older books increasing, continuing at stable levels or experiencing
a lower rate of decline. We are currently seeing such performance as it relates
to delinquencies from our older books. See Mortgage Insurance Earnings and
Cash Flow Cycle and Losses Incurred below. |
|
|
|
Changes in premium deficiency reserves |
Each quarter, we re-estimate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall
Street bulk insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from
quarter to quarter as a result of two factors. First, it changes as the actual premiums,
losses and expenses that were previously estimated are recognized. Each period such items
are reflected in our financial statements as earned premium, losses incurred and expenses.
The difference between the amount and timing of actual earned premiums, losses incurred and
expenses and our previous estimates used to establish the premium deficiency reserves has an
effect (either positive or negative) on that periods results. Second, the premium
deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to the present value of expected
future premiums, losses and expenses on the
40
remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force
change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that periods results.
|
|
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
The majority of our operating expenses are fixed, with some variability due to contract
underwriting volume. Contract underwriting generates fee income included in Other revenue.
Interest expense reflects the interest associated with our outstanding debt
obligations. Our long-term debt obligations at September 30, 2009 include approximately
$86.1 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011, $300 million of 5.375% Senior
Notes due in November 2015, and $390 million in convertible debentures due in 2063 (interest
on these debentures accrues even if we defer the payment of interest and compounds), as
discussed in Notes 2 and 3 of our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and under
Liquidity and Capital Resources below. Also as discussed in Note 1 of the Consolidated
Financial Statements, we adopted new guidance regarding the accounting for convertible
debt instruments that may be settled in cash upon conversion (including partial cash
settlement), on a retrospective basis, and our interest expense now reflects our
non-convertible debt borrowing rate on the convertible debentures of approximately 19% at
the time of issuance. At September 30, 2009, the convertible debentures are reflected as a
liability on our consolidated balance sheet at the current amortized
value of $286.5 million,
with the unamortized discount reflected in equity.
|
|
|
Income from joint ventures |
During the period in which we held an equity interest in Sherman Financial Group,
Sherman was principally engaged in purchasing and collecting for its own account delinquent
consumer receivables, which are primarily unsecured, and in originating and servicing
subprime credit card receivables. The factors that affect Shermans consolidated results of
operations are discussed in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended June 30,
2008, to which you should refer.
Beginning in the first quarter of 2008, our joint venture income principally consisted
of income from Sherman. In the third quarter of 2008, we sold our entire interest in Sherman
to Sherman. As a result, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, our results of operations
are no longer affected by any joint venture results. See Results of Consolidated Operations
Joint Ventures Sherman for discussion of our sale of interest in Sherman and related
note receivable.
Mortgage Insurance Earnings and Cash Flow Cycle
In our industry, a book is the group of loans insured in a particular calendar year.
In general, the majority of any underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a
book generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of any
underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result
41
in modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results typically
occurs because relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience typically
occur in the first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent
years are affected by declining premium revenues, as the number of insured loans decreases (primarily due to
loan prepayments), and losses increase.
2009 Third Quarter Results
Our results of operations in the third quarter of 2009 were principally affected by:
|
|
Net premiums written and earned |
Net premiums written and earned during the third quarter of 2009 decreased when
compared to the third quarter of 2008 due to a lower average insurance in force, due to
reduced levels of new insurance written, and lower average premium yields which are a result
of the shift in the mix of newer writings to loans with lower loan-to-value ratios, higher
FICO scores and full documentation, which carry lower premium rates, offset by lower ceded
premiums due to captive terminations and run-offs. Our net premiums written and earned
during the third quarter of 2009 were also negatively impacted as a result of higher levels
of rescissions in the quarter as well as an increase in our estimate for expected premium
refunds due to an increase in our expected rescission levels.
Investment income in the third quarter of 2009 was lower when compared to the third
quarter of 2008 due to a decrease in the pre-tax yield, offset by an increase in the average
amortized cost of invested assets.
|
|
Realized gains (losses) and other-than-temporary impairments |
Realized gains for the third quarter of 2009 included $33.5 million in net realized
gains on the sale of fixed income investments. Realized gains for the third quarter of 2008
included $62.8 million from the sale of our interest in Sherman, which was offset by
realized losses on sales of investments of $3.2 million and other-than-temporary impairments
on our investment portfolio of $31.7 million.
Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2009 increased compared to the third quarter
of 2008. The default inventory increased by 23,373 delinquencies in the third quarter of
2009, compared to an increase of 23,677 in the third quarter of 2008. The estimated severity
remained relatively stable in the third quarter of 2009, but was higher than the comparable
period in 2008. The estimated claim rate remained flat in the third quarter of 2009 and decreased in the third quarter of
2008.
42
During the third quarter of 2009 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk
transactions declined by $19 million from $227 million, as of June 30, 2009, to $208 million
as of September 30, 2009. The decrease in the premium deficiency represents the net result
of actual premiums, losses and expenses as well as a net change in assumptions primarily
related to lower estimated premiums. The $208 million premium deficiency reserve as of
September 30, 2009 reflects the present value of expected future losses and expenses that
exceeded the present value of expected future premium and already established loss reserves.
|
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
Underwriting and other expenses for the third quarter of 2009 decreased when compared
to the same period in 2008. The decrease reflects our lower contract underwriting volume as
well as a reduction in headcount and a focus on expenses in difficult market conditions.
Interest expense for the third quarter of 2009 decreased when compared to the third
quarter of 2008. The decrease is primarily the result of repaying the $200 million credit
facility in the second quarter of 2009 as well as the repurchase, during 2009, of
approximately $113.9 million of our Senior Notes due in September 2011. These reductions
were somewhat offset by an increase in interest on our convertible debentures (interest on
these debentures accrues even if we defer the payment of interest). As discussed in Note 1
of the Consolidated Financial Statements, we adopted new guidance regarding accounting for
convertible debt instruments, on a retrospective basis, and our interest expense now
reflects our non-convertible debt borrowing rate on the convertible debentures of
approximately 19%.
|
|
Income from joint ventures |
We had no income from joint ventures in the third quarter of 2009. Income from joint
ventures, net of tax, was $3.3 million in the third quarter of 2008. The income from joint
ventures in 2008 was related to our interest in Sherman that was sold in the third quarter
of 2008.
|
|
Provision for (benefit) from income tax |
We had a benefit from income taxes of $100.3 million in the third quarter of 2009,
compared to a benefit from income taxes of $90.1 million in the third quarter of 2008. In
the third quarter of 2009, our deferred tax asset valuation allowance decreased by the
deferred tax liability related to $279.7 million of unrealized gains that were recorded to
equity. This decrease in the valuation allowance resulted in a tax benefit of $100.3 million
in the third quarter of 2009. Any tax credit on our operating losses is reduced due to the
establishment of a valuation allowance for deferred taxes of $133.5 million.
43
Results of Consolidated Operations
New insurance written
The amount of our primary new insurance written during the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2009 and 2008 was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ billions) |
|
|
|
|
|
NIW Flow Channel |
|
$ |
4.6 |
|
|
$ |
9.7 |
|
|
$ |
17.0 |
|
|
$ |
41.2 |
|
NIW Bulk Channel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Primary NIW |
|
$ |
4.6 |
|
|
$ |
9.7 |
|
|
$ |
17.0 |
|
|
$ |
42.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Refinance volume as a % of primary
flow NIW |
|
|
23 |
% |
|
|
12 |
% |
|
|
43 |
% |
|
|
27 |
% |
The decrease in new insurance written on a flow basis in the third quarter and
first nine months of 2009, compared to the same periods in 2008, was primarily due to
changes in our underwriting guidelines as well as premium rate increases discussed below. We
believe our changes in guidelines and premium rates have lead to greater usage of FHA
insurance programs as an alternative to private mortgage insurance. Additionally, both GSEs
have implemented adverse market charges on all loans and credit risk-based loan level price
adjustments on loans with certain risk characteristics which include loans that qualify for
private mortgage insurance. The application of these loan level price adjustments results
in a materially higher monthly payment for the borrower, which we also believe has lead to
greater usage of FHA insurance programs as an alternative to private mortgage insurance. For
a discussion of new insurance written through the bulk channel, see Bulk transactions
below.
We anticipate our flow new insurance written for the remainder of 2009 will continue to
be significantly below the level written in the corresponding period in 2008 due to the
reasons noted in the preceding paragraph. Our level of new insurance written could also be
affected by other items, including those noted in our Risk Factors.
Beginning in late 2007 and continuing through the first quarter of 2009, we implemented
a series of changes to our underwriting guidelines that are designed to improve the credit
risk profile of our new insurance written. The changes primarily affect borrowers who have multiple risk factors such as a high loan-to-value
ratio, a lower FICO score and limited documentation or are financing a home in a market we
categorize as higher risk. We also implemented premium rate increases during 2008.
As shown in the table below, the percentage of our volume written on a flow basis that includes
certain segments that we view as having a higher probability of claim
44
declined significantly in 2008 and 2009 as a result of the changes we made in our
underwriting guidelines.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
Year ended |
|
|
Year ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
Product mix as a % of flow NIW |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 95% LTVs |
|
|
1 |
% |
|
|
18 |
% |
|
|
42 |
% |
ARMs (1) |
|
|
1 |
% |
|
|
1 |
% |
|
|
3 |
% |
FICO < 620 |
|
|
0 |
% |
|
|
2 |
% |
|
|
8 |
% |
Reduced documentation (2) |
|
|
0 |
% |
|
|
2 |
% |
|
|
10 |
% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Consists of adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate may be adjusted
during the five years after the mortgage closing (ARMs). |
|
(2) |
|
In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other
automated underwriting (AU) systems under doc waiver programs that do not require
verification of borrower income are classified by us as full documentation. Based in part
on information provided by the GSEs, we estimate full documentation loans of this type were
approximately 4% of 2007 new insurance written. Information for other periods is not
available. We understand these AU systems grant such doc waivers for loans they judge to
have higher credit quality. We also understand that the GSEs terminated their doc waiver
programs, with respect to new commitments, in the second half of 2008. |
We believe that given the various changes in our underwriting guidelines noted
above, our business written beginning in the second quarter of 2008 will generate
underwriting profit.
Cancellations and insurance in force
New insurance written and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three
and nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
Sepember 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
($ billions) |
|
NIW |
|
$ |
4.6 |
|
|
$ |
9.7 |
|
|
$ |
17.0 |
|
|
$ |
42.8 |
|
Cancellations |
|
|
(7.9 |
) |
|
|
(7.9 |
) |
|
|
(27.2 |
) |
|
|
(26.3 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in primary insurance
in force |
|
$ |
(3.3 |
) |
|
$ |
1.8 |
|
|
$ |
(10.2 |
) |
|
$ |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct primary insurance in force was $216.8 billion at September 30, 2009
compared to $227.0 billion at December 31, 2008 and $228.2 billion at September 30, 2008.
Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest
rates and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to
the change in the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in
45
direction. Cancellations also include rescissions and policies cancelled due to claim
payment.
Our persistency rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior)
was 85.2% at September 30, 2009, an increase from 84.4% at December 31, 2008 and 82.1% at
September 30, 2008. These persistency rate improvements reflect the more restrictive credit
policies of lenders (which make it more difficult for homeowners to refinance loans), as
well as declines in housing values.
Bulk transactions
We ceased writing Wall Street bulk business in the fourth quarter of 2007. In addition,
we wrote no new business through the bulk channel since the second quarter of 2008. We
expect the volume of any future business written through the bulk channel will be
insignificant. Wall Street bulk transactions, as of September 30, 2009, included
approximately 104,000 loans with insurance in force of approximately $17.2 billion and risk
in force of approximately $5.1 billion, which is approximately 63% of our bulk risk in
force.
Pool insurance
We are currently not issuing new commitments for pool insurance and expect that the
volume of any future pool business will be insignificant.
Our direct pool risk in force was $1.7 billion, $1.9 billion and $2.2 billion at
September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008, respectively. These risk
amounts represent pools of loans with contractual aggregate loss limits and in some cases
those without these limits. For pools of loans without these limits, risk is estimated
based on the amount that would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA level based on
a rating agency model. Under this model, at September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and
September 30, 2008, for $2.1 billion, $2.5 billion and $2.7 billion, respectively, of risk
without these limits, risk in force is calculated at $142 million, $150 million and $306
million, respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
Net premiums written during the third quarter and first nine months of 2009 decreased
when compared to the comparable periods in 2008 due to a lower average insurance in force,
due to reduced levels of new insurance written, and lower average premium yields which are a
result of the shift in the mix of newer writings to loans with lower loan-to-value ratios,
higher FICO scores and full documentation, which carry lower premium rates, offset by
increases, in 2008, of our premium rates and lower ceded premiums due to captive
terminations and run-offs. In a captive termination, the arrangement is cancelled, with no
future premium ceded and funds for any incurred but unpaid losses transferred to us. In a
run-off, no new loans are reinsured by the captive but loans previously reinsured continue
to be covered, with premium and losses continuing to be ceded on those loans. Net premiums
written and earned have also decreased in the third quarter and first nine months of 2009
compared to the same
46
periods in 2008 due to higher levels of rescissions and expected rescissions, which
result in a return of premium.
We expect our average insurance in force in the fourth quarter of 2009 to be below our
average insurance in force for the comparable period in 2008 and the third quarter of 2009.
We expect our premium yields (net premiums written or earned, expressed on an annual basis,
divided by the average insurance in force) in the fourth quarter of 2009 to continue at
approximately the level experienced during the first nine months of 2009 and to be higher
than the level experienced during the third quarter of 2009. We anticipate that the increase
in our expected premium refunds related to expected rescissions in the fourth quarter of
2009 will be smaller than the increase experienced during the third quarter of 2009.
Risk sharing arrangements
For the six months ended June 30, 2009, approximately 5.5% of our flow new insurance
written was subject to arrangements with captives or risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs
compared to 34.4% for the year ended December 31, 2008. We expect the percentage of new
insurance written subject to risk sharing arrangements to continue to decline in 2009 for
the reasons discussed below. The percentage of new insurance written covered by these
arrangements is shown only for the six months ended June 30, 2009 because this percentage
normally increases after the end of a quarter. Such increases can be caused by, among other
things, the transfer of a loan in the secondary market, which can result in a mortgage
insured during a quarter becoming part of a risk sharing arrangement in a subsequent
quarter. Premiums ceded in these arrangements are reported in the period in which they are
ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured.
Effective January 1, 2009, we are no longer ceding new business under excess of loss
reinsurance treaties with lender captive reinsurers. Loans reinsured through December 31,
2008 under excess of loss agreements will run off pursuant to the terms of the particular
captive arrangement. New business will continue to be ceded under quota share reinsurance
arrangements, limited to a 25% cede rate. Beginning in 2008, many of our captive
arrangements were either terminated or placed into run-off.
We anticipate that our ceded premiums related to risk sharing agreements will be
significantly less in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared to amounts ceded in fourth quarter
of 2008 for the reasons discussed above.
See discussion under Losses regarding losses assumed by captives.
In June 2008 we entered into a reinsurance agreement that was effective on the risk
associated with up to $50 billion of qualifying new insurance written each calendar year.
The term of the reinsurance agreement began on April 1, 2008 and was scheduled to end on
December 31, 2010, subject to two one-year extensions that could have been exercised by the
reinsurer. Due to our rating agency downgrades in the first quarter of 2009, under the terms
of the reinsurance agreement we ceased being entitled to a profit commission, making the
agreement less favorable to us. Effective March 20, 2009, we terminated this reinsurance
agreement. The termination resulted in a reinsurance fee of
47
$26.4 million as reflected in our results of operations for the nine months ended
September 30, 2009. There are no further obligations under this reinsurance agreement.
Investment income
Investment income for the third quarter of 2009 decreased when compared to the same
period in 2008 due to a decrease in the average investment yield, offset by an increase in
the average amortized cost of invested assets. The decrease in the average investment yield
was caused both by decreases in prevailing interest rates and a decrease in the average
maturity of our investments. The portfolios average pre-tax investment yield was 3.76% at
September 30, 2009 and 4.05% at September 30, 2008. We expect a decline in investment
income as the average amortized cost of invested assets decreases due to claims payments
exceeding premiums received in future periods. See further discussion under Liquidity and
Capital Resources below.
Investment income for the first nine months of 2009 increased when compared to the same
period in 2008 due to an increase in the average amortized cost of invested assets, offset
by a decrease in the average investment yield.
Realized gains (losses) and other-than-temporary impairments
Realized gains for the third quarter of 2009 were primarily the result of $33.5 million
of net realized gains on the sales of fixed income investments. The net realized gains on
investments are primarily the result of the sale of fixed income securities. We are in the
process of reducing the proportion of our investment portfolio in tax exempt municipal
securities while increasing the proportion of taxable securities. We are shifting the
portfolio to corporate securities since the tax benefits of holding tax exempt municipal
securities are no longer available based on our current net loss position. Realized gains
for the third quarter of 2008 included $62.8 million from the sale of our interest in
Sherman, which was offset by other-than-temporary impairments on our investment portfolio
of $31.7 million and realized losses on sales of investments of $3.2 million.
Realized losses for the first nine months of 2009 included $65.8 million of net
realized gains on the sale of fixed income investments, offset by $35.1 million in other
than temporary impairments on our investment portfolio. Realized gains for the first nine
months of 2008 included $62.8 million from the sale of our interest in Sherman, which was
offset by $40.2 million in other than temporary impairment losses and realized losses on
the sale of investments.
Other revenue
Other revenue for the third quarter of 2009 decreased when compared to the third
quarter of 2008 due to decreases in contract underwriting and other non-insurance revenues,
offset by gains recognized in the third quarter of 2009 from the repurchases of $42.3
million in par value of our September 2011 Senior Notes.
48
Other revenue for the first nine months of 2009 increased when compared to the same
period in 2008. The increase in other revenue was primarily the result of $26.3 million in
gains recognized from the repurchases of $113.9 million in par value of our Senior Notes due
in September 2011, offset by decreases in contract underwriting and other non-insurance
revenues.
Losses
As discussed in Critical Accounting Policies in our 10-K MD&A, and consistent with
industry practices, we establish loss reserves for future claims only for loans that are
currently delinquent. The terms delinquent and default are used interchangeably by us
and are defined as an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due.
Loss reserves are established based on our estimate of the number of loans in our default
inventory that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and
further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity.
Historically, a substantial majority of borrowers have eventually cured their delinquent
loans by making their overdue payments, but this percentage has decreased significantly.
Estimation of losses that we will pay in the future is inherently judgmental. The
conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future
state of the domestic economy, including unemployment, and the current and future strength
of local housing markets. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make
these assumptions more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim
payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could
be adversely affected by several factors, including a further deterioration of regional or
national economic conditions, including unemployment, leading to a reduction in borrowers
income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a further drop in housing
values, which expose us to greater losses on resale of properties obtained through the claim
settlement process and may affect borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments
when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. Changes to our estimates could
result in a material impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic
environment.
Our estimates could also be positively affected by government efforts to assist current
borrowers in refinancing to new loans, assisting delinquent borrowers and lenders in
reducing their mortgage payments, and forestalling foreclosures. In addition, private
company efforts may have a positive impact on our loss development.
One such program is the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), which was
announced by the US Treasury early this year. Some of HAMPs eligibility criteria require
current information about borrowers, such as his or her current income and non-mortgage debt
payments. Because the GSEs and servicers do not share such information with us, we cannot
determine with certainty the number of loans in our delinquent inventory that are eligible
to participate in HAMP. We believe that it could take several months from the time a
borrower has made all of the payments during HAMPs three month trial modification period
for the loan to be reported to us as a cured delinquency. We are aware of approximately
14,500 loans in our delinquent
49
inventory
at September 30, 2009 for which the HAMP trial period has begun and that an immaterial number of
loans have successfully completed the trial period. We rely on information provided to us by the GSEs and
servicers. We do not receive all of the information from such sources that is required to
determine with certainty the number of loans that are participating in, or have successfully
completed, HAMP.
Under HAMP, a net present value test (the NPV Test) is used to determine if loan
modifications will be offered. For loans owned or guaranteed by the GSEs, servicers may,
depending on the results of the NPV Test and other factors, be required to offer loan
modifications, as defined by HAMP, to borrowers. The GSEs have announced that beginning
December 1, 2009 they will change how the NPV Test is used. These changes will make it more
difficult for some loans to be modified under HAMP. While we lack sufficient data to
determine the impact of these changes, we believe that they may materially decrease the
number of our loans that will participate in HAMP.
All of the programs, including HAMP, designed to assist current borrowers in
refinancing to new loans, assist delinquent borrowers and lenders in reducing their mortgage
payments, and forestall foreclosures are in their early stages and therefore we are unsure
of their magnitude or the benefit to us or our industry, and as a result are not factored
into our current reserving. For additional information about the potential impact that any
plans and programs enacted by legislation may have on us, see the risk factor titled Loan
modification and other similar programs may not provide material benefits to us.
Losses incurred
Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2009 increased compared to the third quarter
of 2008. The default inventory increased by 23,373 delinquencies in the third quarter of
2009, compared to an increase of 23,677 in the third quarter of 2008. The estimated severity
remained relatively stable in the third quarter of 2009 and increased during the third
quarter of 2008, but the estimated severity was higher at September 30, 2009 than at
September 30, 2008. The estimated claim rate remained flat in the third quarter of 2009 and
decreased in the third quarter of 2008.
Losses incurred for the first nine months of 2009 increased compared to the same
periods in 2008 primarily due to a larger increase in the default inventory. The default
inventory increased by 53,422 delinquencies in the first nine months of 2009, compared to an
increase of 44,788 in the first nine months of 2008. The estimated severity continued to
increase slightly in the first nine months of 2009 primarily as a result of the default
inventory containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments. The
increase in estimated severity was less substantial than the increase experienced during the
first nine months of 2008. The estimated claim rate remained flat for the first nine months
of 2009 and 2008.
Our loss estimates are established based upon historical experience. We continue to
experience increases in delinquencies in certain markets with higher than average loan
balances, such as Florida and California. In California we have experienced an increase in
delinquencies, from 14,960 as of December 31, 2008 to 17,892 as of June 30, 2009 and 19,083
as of September 30, 2009. Our Florida delinquencies increased from 29,380 as of December 31,
2008 to 34,901 as of June 30, 2009 and 37,503 as of September
50
30, 2009. The average claim paid on California loans in 2008 and 2009 was more than
twice as high as the average claim paid for the remainder of the country.
Historically, claim rescissions and denials, which we collectively refer to as
rescissions, were not a material portion of our claims resolved during a year. However,
beginning in 2008 rescissions have materially mitigated our paid and incurred losses. While
we have a substantial pipeline of claims investigations that we expect will eventually
result in rescissions during the remainder of 2009, we can give no assurance that
rescissions will continue to mitigate paid and incurred losses at the same level we have
recently experienced. In addition, if an insured disputes our right to rescind coverage,
whether the requirements to rescind are met ultimately would be determined by arbitration or
judicial proceedings. See our risk factor titled We may not continue to realize benefits
from rescissions at the level we have recently experienced. Rescissions mitigated our paid
losses by approximately $390 million and $839 million, respectively, during the third
quarter and first nine months of 2009, compared to $45 million and $97 million,
respectively, during the third quarter and first nine months of 2008. These figures include
amounts that would have resulted either in a claim payment or been charged to a deductible under a
bulk or pool policy, and may have been charged to a captive reinsurer. Our loss reserving methodology
incorporates the effects rescission activity are expected to have on the losses we will pay
on our delinquent inventory. Variances between our ultimate actual rescission rates and
these estimates could materially affect our losses incurred. The liability associated with
our estimate of premiums to be refunded on expected future rescissions is accrued for
separately and included in Other liabilities on our consolidated balance sheet.
Information regarding the ever-to-date rescission rates by the quarter in which the
claim was received appears in the table below. No information is presented for claims
received two quarters or less before the end of our most recently completed quarter to allow
sufficient time for a substantial percentage of the claims received in those two quarters to
reach resolution.
As of September 30, 2009
Ever-to-Date Rescission Rates on Claims Received
(based on count)
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter in Which the |
|
ETD Rescission |
|
ETD Claims Resolution |
Claim was Received |
|
Rate (1) |
|
Percentage (2) |
Q1 2008
|
|
12.7%
|
|
100.0% |
Q2 2008
|
|
15.9%
|
|
99.8% |
Q3 2008
|
|
20.8%
|
|
98.9% |
Q4 2008
|
|
22.0%
|
|
94.9% |
Q1 2009
|
|
20.0%
|
|
84.6% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
This percentage is claims received during the quarter shown that have been
rescinded as of our most recently completed quarter divided by the total claims received
during the quarter shown. |
|
(2) |
|
This percentage is claims received during the quarter shown that have been resolved as
of our most recently completed quarter divided by the total claims received during the
quarter shown. Claims resolved principally consist of claims paid plus claims rescinded. |
We
anticipate that the ever-to-date rescission rate in the more recent quarters
will increase as the ever-to-date resolution percentage approaches 100%.
51
As discussed under Risk Sharing Arrangements, a portion of our flow new insurance
written is subject to reinsurance arrangements with lender captives. The majority of these
reinsurance arrangements have, historically, been aggregate excess of loss reinsurance
agreements, and the remainder were quota share agreements. As discussed under Risk
Sharing Arrangements effective January 1, 2009 we are no longer ceding new business under
excess of loss reinsurance treaties with lender captives. Loans reinsured through December
31, 2008 under excess of loss agreements will run off pursuant to the terms of the
particular captive arrangement. Under the aggregate excess of loss agreements, we are
responsible for the first aggregate layer of loss, which is typically between 4% and 5%, the
captives are responsible for the second aggregate layer of loss, which is typically 5% or
10%, and we are responsible for any remaining loss. The layers are typically expressed as a
percentage of the original risk on an annual book of business reinsured by the captive. The
premium cessions on these agreements typically ranged from 25% to 40% of the direct premium.
Under a quota share arrangement premiums and losses are shared on a pro-rata basis between
us and the captives, with the captives portion of both premiums and losses typically
ranging from 25% to 50%. Beginning June 1, 2008 new loans insured through quota share
captive arrangements are limited to a 25% cede rate.
Under these agreements the captives are required to maintain a separate trust account,
of which we are the sole beneficiary. Premiums ceded to a captive are deposited into the
applicable trust account to support the captives layer of insured risk. These amounts are
held in the trust account and are available to pay reinsured losses. The captives ultimate
liability is limited to the assets in the trust account. When specific time periods are met
and the individual trust account balance has reached a required level, then the individual
captive may make authorized withdrawals from its applicable trust account. In most cases,
the captives are also allowed to withdraw funds from the trust account to pay verifiable
federal income taxes and operational expenses. Conversely, if the account balance falls
below certain thresholds, the individual captive may be required to contribute funds to the
trust account. However, in most cases, our sole remedy if a captive does not contribute
such funds is to put the captive into run-off, in which case no new business would be ceded
to the captive. In the event that the captives incurred but unpaid losses exceed the funds
in the trust account, and the captive does not deposit adequate funds, we may also be
allowed to terminate the captive agreement, assume the captives obligations, transfer the
assets in the trust accounts to us, and retain all future premium payments. We intend to
exercise this additional remedy when it is available to us. However, if the captive would
challenge our right to do so, the matter would be determined by arbitration. The reinsurance
recoverable on loss reserves related to captive agreements was approximately $354 million at
September 30, 2009. The total fair value of the trust fund assets under these agreements at
September 30, 2009 was approximately $604 million. During 2008, $265 million of trust fund
assets were transferred to us as a result of captive terminations. During the first nine
months of 2009, $41 million of trust fund assets were transferred to us. The transferred
funds resulted in an increase in our investment portfolio (including cash and cash
equivalents) and there was a corresponding decrease in our reinsurance recoverable on loss
reserves, which is offset by a decrease in our net losses paid. Subsequent to the third
quarter of 2009, through the date this quarterly report was
finalized, an additional $74
million of trust fund assets were transferred to us as a result of captive terminations.
52
In the third quarter and first nine months of 2009 the captive arrangements
reduced our losses incurred by approximately $64 million and $203 million, respectively,
compared to $157 million and $306 million, respectively, during the third quarter and first
nine months of 2008. We anticipate that the reduction in losses incurred will continue to
be lower in fourth quarter of 2009, compared to the same period in 2008, as some of our
captive arrangements were terminated in 2008 and 2009.
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at
September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008 appears in the table below.
Within the tables below, reduced documentation loans only appear in the reduced
documentation category and do not appear in any of the other categories.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2008 |
|
Total loans delinquent (1) |
|
|
235,610 |
|
|
|
182,188 |
|
|
|
151,908 |
|
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
16.92 |
% |
|
|
12.37 |
% |
|
|
10.20 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prime loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
137,789 |
|
|
|
95,672 |
|
|
|
76,110 |
|
Percentage of prime loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
11.91 |
% |
|
|
7.90 |
% |
|
|
6.25 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A-minus loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
36,335 |
|
|
|
31,907 |
|
|
|
28,384 |
|
Percentage of A-minus loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
37.95 |
% |
|
|
30.19 |
% |
|
|
25.93 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subprime credit loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
13,432 |
|
|
|
13,300 |
|
|
|
12,705 |
|
Percentage of subprime credit loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
48.26 |
% |
|
|
43.30 |
% |
|
|
39.62 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reduced documentation loans delinquent (3) |
|
|
48,054 |
|
|
|
41,309 |
|
|
|
34,709 |
|
Percentage of reduced doc loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
42.85 |
% |
|
|
32.88 |
% |
|
|
26.75 |
% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
At September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008, 46,167, 45,482 and
42,899 loans in default, respectively, related to Wall Street bulk transactions and 16,802,
13,275 and 9,923 loans in default, respectively, were in our claims received inventory. |
|
(2) |
|
We define prime loans as those having FICO credit scores of 620 or greater, A-minus
loans as those having FICO credit scores of 575-619, and subprime credit loans as those
having FICO credit scores of less than 575, all as reported to us at the time a commitment
to insure is issued. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans were written through the bulk
channel. |
|
(3) |
|
In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated
underwriting (AU) systems under doc waiver programs that do not require verification of
borrower income are classified by us as full documentation. Based in part on information
provided by the GSEs, we estimate full documentation loans of this type were approximately
4% of 2007 new insurance written. Information for other periods is not available. We
understand these AU systems grant such doc waivers for loans they judge to have higher
credit quality. We also understand that the GSEs terminated their doc waiver programs,
with respect to new commitments, in the second half of 2008. |
The pool notice inventory increased from 33,884 at December 31, 2008 to 40,820 at
September 30, 2009; the pool notice inventory was 29,916 at September 30, 2008.
53
The average primary claim paid for the third quarter and first nine months of 2009 was
$53,016 and $52,636, respectively, compared to $53,930 and $52,737, respectively, for the
third quarter and first nine months of 2008. The average claim paid can vary materially
from period to period based upon a variety of factors, on both a national and state basis,
including the geographic mix, average loan amount and average coverage percentage of loans
for which claims are paid.
The average claim paid for the top 5 states (based on 2009 paid claims) for the three
and nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 appears in the table below.
Average claim paid
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
California |
|
$ |
105,317 |
|
|
$ |
116,058 |
|
|
$ |
110,072 |
|
|
$ |
116,641 |
|
Florida |
|
|
65,706 |
|
|
|
68,810 |
|
|
|
66,386 |
|
|
|
69,886 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
38,995 |
|
|
|
36,067 |
|
|
|
38,116 |
|
|
|
36,918 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
62,839 |
|
|
|
64,170 |
|
|
|
61,860 |
|
|
|
69,900 |
|
Nevada |
|
|
76,141 |
|
|
|
84,472 |
|
|
|
76,744 |
|
|
|
85,231 |
|
Other states |
|
|
43,671 |
|
|
|
40,816 |
|
|
|
43,477 |
|
|
|
40,562 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All states |
|
$ |
53,016 |
|
|
$ |
53,930 |
|
|
$ |
52,636 |
|
|
$ |
52,737 |
|
The average loan size of our insurance in force at September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and
September 30, 2008 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
Average loan size |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2008 |
|
Total insurance in force |
|
$ |
155,740 |
|
|
$ |
154,100 |
|
|
|
$153,290 |
|
Prime (FICO 620 & >) |
|
|
153,930 |
|
|
|
151,240 |
|
|
|
150,040 |
|
A-Minus (FICO 575-619) |
|
|
130,850 |
|
|
|
132,380 |
|
|
|
133,090 |
|
Subprime (FICO < 575) |
|
|
119,100 |
|
|
|
121,230 |
|
|
|
121,990 |
|
Reduced doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
204,700 |
|
|
|
208,020 |
|
|
|
208,660 |
|
The average loan size of our insurance in force at September 30, 2009, December 31,
2008 and September 30, 2008 for the top 5 states (based on 2009 paid claims) appears in the
table below.
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
Average loan size |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2008 |
|
California |
|
$ |
290,085 |
|
|
$ |
293,442 |
|
|
$ |
293,425 |
|
Florida |
|
|
178,905 |
|
|
|
180,261 |
|
|
|
180,475 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
121,249 |
|
|
|
121,001 |
|
|
|
120,982 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
189,215 |
|
|
|
190,339 |
|
|
|
190,673 |
|
Nevada |
|
|
221,217 |
|
|
|
223,861 |
|
|
|
224,511 |
|
All other states |
|
|
147,286 |
|
|
|
145,201 |
|
|
|
143,650 |
|
Information about net paid claims during the three and nine months ended September 30,
2009 and 2008 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
Net paid claims ($ millions) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
Prime (FICO 620 & >) |
|
$ |
204 |
|
|
$ |
131 |
|
|
$ |
552 |
|
|
$ |
412 |
|
A-Minus (FICO 575-619) |
|
|
57 |
|
|
|
54 |
|
|
|
173 |
|
|
|
195 |
|
Subprime (FICO < 575) |
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
32 |
|
|
|
71 |
|
|
|
108 |
|
Reduced doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
100 |
|
|
|
94 |
|
|
|
271 |
|
|
|
317 |
|
Other |
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
75 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct losses paid |
|
|
412 |
|
|
|
323 |
|
|
|
1,142 |
|
|
|
1,068 |
|
Reinsurance |
|
|
(12 |
) |
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
|
(31 |
) |
|
|
(13 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses paid |
|
|
400 |
|
|
|
319 |
|
|
|
1,111 |
|
|
|
1,055 |
|
LAE |
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses and LAE paid before terminations |
|
|
417 |
|
|
|
330 |
|
|
|
1,153 |
|
|
|
1,091 |
|
Reinsurance terminations |
|
|
(41 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(41 |
) |
|
|
(5 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses and LAE paid |
|
$ |
376 |
|
|
$ |
330 |
|
|
$ |
1,112 |
|
|
$ |
1,086 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary claims paid for the top 15 states (based on 2009 paid claims) and all
other states for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 appear in the
table below.
55
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
Paid Claims by state ($ millions) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
California |
|
$ |
59.6 |
|
|
$ |
81.9 |
|
|
$ |
180.3 |
|
|
$ |
256.1 |
|
Florida |
|
|
52.3 |
|
|
|
32.6 |
|
|
|
125.9 |
|
|
|
98.6 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
26.6 |
|
|
|
20.8 |
|
|
|
83.4 |
|
|
|
77.3 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
28.6 |
|
|
|
15.9 |
|
|
|
76.8 |
|
|
|
45.3 |
|
Nevada |
|
|
21.8 |
|
|
|
12.0 |
|
|
|
50.8 |
|
|
|
34.8 |
|
Georgia |
|
|
12.6 |
|
|
|
8.9 |
|
|
|
43.7 |
|
|
|
38.3 |
|
Illinois |
|
|
13.0 |
|
|
|
11.9 |
|
|
|
40.1 |
|
|
|
39.3 |
|
Ohio |
|
|
13.4 |
|
|
|
12.2 |
|
|
|
39.5 |
|
|
|
47.6 |
|
Texas |
|
|
13.0 |
|
|
|
10.9 |
|
|
|
36.2 |
|
|
|
37.6 |
|
Minnesota |
|
|
13.0 |
|
|
|
8.6 |
|
|
|
35.9 |
|
|
|
34.4 |
|
Virginia |
|
|
11.4 |
|
|
|
7.9 |
|
|
|
29.6 |
|
|
|
24.9 |
|
Indiana |
|
|
8.3 |
|
|
|
5.7 |
|
|
|
21.7 |
|
|
|
19.9 |
|
Massachusetts |
|
|
7.7 |
|
|
|
5.9 |
|
|
|
18.6 |
|
|
|
23.0 |
|
New York |
|
|
6.5 |
|
|
|
5.3 |
|
|
|
18.2 |
|
|
|
17.5 |
|
Colorado |
|
|
5.4 |
|
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
17.7 |
|
|
|
26.0 |
|
Other states |
|
|
88.6 |
|
|
|
64.0 |
|
|
|
248.5 |
|
|
|
211.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
381.8 |
|
|
|
310.9 |
|
|
|
1,066.9 |
|
|
|
1,031.9 |
|
Other (Pool, LAE, Reinsurance) |
|
|
(6.0 |
) |
|
|
19.0 |
|
|
|
45.0 |
|
|
|
54.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
375.8 |
|
|
$ |
329.9 |
|
|
$ |
1,111.9 |
|
|
$ |
1,085.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
56
The default inventory in those same states at September 30, 2009, December 31,
2008 and September 30, 2008 appears in the table below.
Default inventory by state
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
September 30, |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2008 |
California |
|
|
19,083 |
|
|
|
14,960 |
|
|
|
12,037 |
|
Florida |
|
|
37,503 |
|
|
|
29,384 |
|
|
|
23,799 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
12,145 |
|
|
|
9,853 |
|
|
|
8,672 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
8,474 |
|
|
|
6,338 |
|
|
|
4,776 |
|
Nevada |
|
|
5,664 |
|
|
|
3,916 |
|
|
|
2,865 |
|
Georgia |
|
|
10,021 |
|
|
|
7,622 |
|
|
|
6,283 |
|
Illinois |
|
|
12,715 |
|
|
|
9,130 |
|
|
|
7,586 |
|
Ohio |
|
|
10,434 |
|
|
|
8,555 |
|
|
|
7,637 |
|
Texas |
|
|
12,600 |
|
|
|
10,540 |
|
|
|
8,634 |
|
Minnesota |
|
|
4,558 |
|
|
|
3,642 |
|
|
|
3,205 |
|
Virginia |
|
|
4,304 |
|
|
|
3,360 |
|
|
|
2,782 |
|
Indiana |
|
|
6,756 |
|
|
|
5,497 |
|
|
|
4,832 |
|
Massachusetts |
|
|
3,460 |
|
|
|
2,634 |
|
|
|
2,260 |
|
New York |
|
|
5,849 |
|
|
|
4,493 |
|
|
|
3,909 |
|
Colorado |
|
|
3,283 |
|
|
|
2,328 |
|
|
|
1,996 |
|
Other states |
|
|
78,761 |
|
|
|
59,936 |
|
|
|
50,635 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
235,610 |
|
|
|
182,188 |
|
|
|
151,908 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The default inventory at September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30,
2008 separated between our flow and bulk business appears in the table below.
Default inventory
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
September 30, |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2008 |
Flow |
|
|
171,584 |
|
|
|
122,693 |
|
|
|
98,023 |
|
Bulk |
|
|
64,026 |
|
|
|
59,495 |
|
|
|
53,885 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
235,610 |
|
|
|
182,188 |
|
|
|
151,908 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The flow default inventory by policy year at September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008
and September 30, 2008 appears in the table below.
Flow Default inventory by Policy Year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
September 30, |
Policy year: |
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2008 |
2003 and prior |
|
|
26,565 |
|
|
|
24,042 |
|
|
|
21,769 |
|
2004 |
|
|
12,932 |
|
|
|
10,266 |
|
|
|
8,875 |
|
2005 |
|
|
19,941 |
|
|
|
15,462 |
|
|
|
12,998 |
|
2006 |
|
|
31,529 |
|
|
|
24,315 |
|
|
|
20,005 |
|
2007 |
|
|
67,485 |
|
|
|
43,211 |
|
|
|
31,494 |
|
2008 |
|
|
13,044 |
|
|
|
5,397 |
|
|
|
2,882 |
|
2009 |
|
|
88 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
171,584 |
|
|
|
122,693 |
|
|
|
98,023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57
Our 2008 paid claims were lower than we anticipated at the beginning of 2008 due
to a combination of reasons that have slowed the rate at which claims are received and paid,
including foreclosure moratoriums, servicing delays, court delays, loan modifications and
our claims investigations. These factors continue to affect our paid claims in 2009,
however, we believe that paid claims in each of 2009 and 2010 will exceed the $1.4 billion
paid in 2008.
As of September 30, 2009, 70% of our primary insurance in force was written subsequent
to December 31, 2005. On our flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically
been the third and fourth year after the year of loan origination. On our bulk business, the
period of highest claims frequency has generally occurred earlier than in the historical
pattern on our flow business. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be affected by
many factors, including persistency and deteriorating economic conditions. Low persistency
can have the effect of accelerating the period in the life of a book during which the
highest claim frequency occurs. Deteriorating economic conditions can result in increasing
claims following a period of declining claims. We are currently experiencing such
performance as it relates to delinquencies from our older books.
Premium deficiency
During the third quarter of 2009 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk
transactions declined by $19 million from $227 million, as of June 30, 2009, to $208 million
as of September 30, 2009. During the first nine months of 2009 the premium deficiency
reserve on Wall Street bulk transaction declined by $246 million from $454 million as of
December 31, 2008. During the third quarter of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall
Street bulk transactions declined by $204 million from $788 million, as of June 30, 2008, to
$584 million as of September 30, 2008. During the first nine months of 2008 the premium
deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk transaction declined by $627 million from $1,211
million as of December 31, 2007. The premium deficiency reserve as of each date reflects the
present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of
expected future premium and already established loss reserves.
The components of the premium deficiency reserve at September 30, 2009, June 30, 2009
and December 31, 2008 appear in the table below.
58
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Present value of expected future premium |
|
$ |
489 |
|
|
$ |
595 |
|
|
$ |
712 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present value of expected future paid losses
and expenses |
|
|
(2,341 |
) |
|
|
(2,491 |
) |
|
|
(3,063 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net present value of future cash flows |
|
|
(1,852 |
) |
|
|
(1,896 |
) |
|
|
(2,351 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Established loss reserves |
|
|
1,644 |
|
|
|
1,669 |
|
|
|
1,897 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net deficiency |
|
$ |
(208 |
) |
|
$ |
(227 |
) |
|
$ |
(454 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Each quarter, we re-estimate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall
Street bulk insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from
quarter to quarter as a result of two factors. First, it changes as the actual premiums,
losses and expenses that were previously estimated are recognized. Each period such
items are reflected in our financial statements as earned premium, losses incurred and
expenses. The difference between the amount and timing of actual earned premiums, losses
incurred and expenses and our previous estimates used to establish the premium deficiency
reserves has an effect (either positive or negative) on that periods results. Second, the
premium deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to the present value of
expected future premiums, losses and expenses on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in
force change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that periods results.
The decrease in the premium deficiency reserve for the three and nine months ended September
30, 2009 was $19 million and $246 million, respectively, as shown in the chart below, which
represents the net result of actual premiums, losses and expenses as well as a net change in
assumptions for these periods. The change in assumptions for the third quarter is primarily
related to lower estimated ultimate premiums and the change in assumptions for the nine
months ended September 30, 2009 is primarily related to lower estimated ultimate losses,
offset by lower estimated ultimate premiums. The lower estimated ultimate losses and lower
estimated ultimate premiums were primarily due to higher expected rates of rescissions.
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at June 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(227 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paid Claims and LAE |
|
|
136 |
|
|
|
|
|
Decrease in loss reserves |
|
|
(25 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Premium earned |
|
|
(35 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Effects of present valuing on future premiums, losses and expenses |
|
|
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect
actual premium, losses and expenses recognized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect change in
assumptions relating to future premiums, losses and expenses and
discount rate (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(88 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at September 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(208 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
A negative number for changes in assumptions relating to premiums, losses, expenses and
discount rate indicates a deficiency of prior premium deficiency reserves. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at December 31, 2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(454 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paid Claims and LAE |
|
|
441 |
|
|
|
|
|
Decrease in loss reserves |
|
|
(253 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Premium earned |
|
|
(122 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Effects of present valuing on future premiums, losses and expenses |
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect
actual premium, losses and expenses recognized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in premium deficiency reserve to reflect change in
assumptions relating to future premiums, losses and expenses and
discount rate (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
151 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premium Deficiency Reserve at September 30, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(208 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2) |
|
A positive number for changes in assumptions relating to premiums, losses, expenses and
discount rate indicates a redundancy of prior premium deficiency reserves. |
At the end of the third quarter of 2009, we performed a premium deficiency
analysis on the portion of our book of business not covered by the premium deficiency
described above. That analysis concluded that, as September 30, 2009, there was no premium
deficiency on such portion of our book of business. For the reasons discussed below, our
analysis of any potential deficiency reserve is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires
significant judgment by management. To the extent, in a future period, expected losses are
higher or expected premiums are lower than the assumptions we
60
used in our analysis, we could
be required to record a premium deficiency reserve on this portion of our book of business
in such period.
The calculation of premium deficiency reserves requires the use of significant
judgments and estimates to determine the present value of future premium and present value
of expected losses and expenses on our business. The present value of future premium relies
on, among other things, assumptions about persistency and repayment patterns on underlying
loans. The present value of expected losses and expenses depends on assumptions relating to
severity of claims and claim rates on current defaults, and expected defaults in future
periods. Similar to our loss reserve estimates, our estimates for premium deficiency
reserves could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of
regional or economic conditions, including unemployment, leading to a reduction in
borrowers income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing
values that could expose us to greater losses. Assumptions used in calculating the
deficiency reserves can also be affected by volatility in the current housing and mortgage
lending industries. To the extent premium patterns and actual loss experience differ from
the assumptions used in calculating the premium deficiency reserves, the differences between
the actual results and our estimate will affect future period earnings and could be
material.
Underwriting and other expenses
Underwriting and other expenses for the third quarter and first nine months of 2009
decreased when compared to the same periods in 2008. The decrease reflects our lower
contract underwriting volume as well as reductions in headcount and a focus on expenses in
difficult market conditions.
Ratios
The table below presents our loss, expense and combined ratios for our combined
insurance operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
Loss ratio |
|
|
330.8 |
% |
|
|
230.3 |
% |
|
|
250.7 |
% |
|
|
208.8 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
|
16.4 |
% |
|
|
13.5 |
% |
|
|
15.4 |
% |
|
|
14.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
347.2 |
% |
|
|
243.8 |
% |
|
|
266.1 |
% |
|
|
223.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the sum of incurred
losses and loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The loss ratio does not reflect
any effects due to premium deficiency. The increase in the loss ratio in the third quarter
and first nine months of 2009, compared to the same periods in 2008 is primarily due to an
increase in losses incurred, as well a decrease in premium earned. The expense ratio is the
ratio, expressed as a percentage, of underwriting expenses to net premiums
61
written. The
increase in the third quarter and first nine months of 2009, compared to the same periods in
2008, is due to a decrease in premiums written, which was partially offset by a decrease in
underwriting and other expenses. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the
expense ratio.
Interest expense
Interest expense for the third quarter of 2009 decreased when compared to the third
quarter of 2008. The decrease is primarily the result of repaying the $200 million credit
facility in the second quarter of 2009 as well as the repurchase, in the first three
quarters of 2009, of approximately $113.9 million of our Senior Notes due in September 2011.
These reductions were somewhat offset by an increase in interest on our convertible
debentures (interest on these debentures accrues even if we defer the payment of interest).
As discussed in Note 1 of the Consolidated Financial Statements, we
adopted new guidance
regarding accounting for convertible debt instruments, on a retrospective basis, and our
interest expense now reflects our non-convertible debt borrowing rate on the convertible
debentures of approximately 19%.
Interest expense for the first nine months of 2009 increased when compared to the same
period in 2008. The increase primarily reflects the issuance of our convertible debentures
in late March and April of 2008. The increase in interest expense has been partially offset
by the repayment of our credit facility and the repurchase of our Senior Notes due in
September 2011.
Income taxes
The effective tax rate (benefit) on our pre-tax loss was (16.2%) in the third quarter
of 2009, compared to (43.1%) in the third quarter of 2008. The effective tax rate (benefit)
in the first nine months of 2009 was (15.1%) compared to (44.8%) for the first nine
months of 2008. The difference in the rate was primarily the result of the establishment of
a valuation allowance, which reduced the amount of tax benefits provided during the third
quarter and first nine months of 2009.
We review the need to establish a deferred tax asset valuation allowance on a quarterly
basis. We include an analysis of several factors, among which are the severity and frequency
of operating losses, our capacity for the carryback or carryforward of any losses, the
expected occurrence of future income or loss and available tax planning alternatives. In
periods prior to 2008, we deducted significant amounts of statutory contingency reserves on
our federal income tax returns. The reserves were deducted to the extent we purchased tax
and loss bonds in an amount equal to the tax benefit of the deduction. The reserves are
included in taxable income in future years when they are released for statutory accounting
purposes (see Liquidity and Capital Resources Risk-to-Capital) or when the taxpayer
elects to redeem the tax and loss bonds that were purchased in connection with the deduction
for the reserves. Since the tax effect on these reserves exceeded the gross deferred tax
assets less deferred tax liabilities, we believe that all gross deferred tax assets recorded
in periods prior to the quarter ended March 31, 2009 were fully realizable. Therefore, we
established no valuation reserve.
62
In the first quarter of 2009, we redeemed the remaining balance of our tax and loss
bonds of $432 million. Therefore, the remaining contingency reserves will be released and
are no longer available to support any net deferred tax assets. Beginning with the first
quarter of 2009, any benefit from income taxes, relating to operating losses, has been
reduced or eliminated by the establishment of a valuation allowance. The valuation
allowance, established in the first nine months of 2009, reduced our benefit from income
taxes by $297.6 million. In the third quarter of 2009, our deferred tax asset valuation
allowance decreased by the deferred tax liability related to $279.7 million of unrealized
gains that were recorded to equity. This decrease in the valuation allowance resulted in a
tax benefit of $100.3 million in the third quarter of 2009. In the event of future operating
losses, it is likely that a tax provision (benefit) will be recorded as an offset to any
taxes recorded to equity for changes in unrealized gains or other items in other
comprehensive income.
Recently enacted legislation will expand the carryback period for certain net operating losses from
2 years to 5 years. Based on results through September 2009, we estimate that
approximately $178 million will be recovered due to this change. The exact amount of the
recovery will be determined by results for the remainder of this
year, with any tax benefit being recorded in the fourth
quarter of 2009. Since the carryback period includes years where we have not reached final agreements on the amount of taxes due with the IRS, the receipt of any taxes recoverable may be delayed and subject to any final settlement.
Giving full effect to the carryback of
net operating losses under the new legislation described above, for
federal income tax purposes, we have approximately $136 million of net operating
loss carryforwards as of September 30, 2009. Any unutilized carryforwards are scheduled to
expire at the end of tax year 2029.
Joint ventures
In the third quarter of 2008, we sold our remaining interest in Sherman to Sherman. As
a result, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, we no longer have income or loss from
joint ventures. Our equity in the earnings from Sherman and certain other joint
ventures and investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of
accounting, was previously shown separately, net of tax, on our consolidated statement of
operations. Income from joint ventures, net of tax, was $3.3 million and $24.5 million,
respectively, in the third quarter and first nine months of 2008.
Our interest in Sherman sold represented approximately 24.25% of Shermans equity. The
sale price was paid $124.5 million in cash and by delivery of Shermans unsecured promissory
note in the principal amount of $85 million. The scheduled maturity of the Note is February
13, 2011 and it bears interest, payable monthly, at the annual rate equal to three-month
LIBOR plus 500 basis points. The Note is issued under a Credit Agreement, dated August 13,
2008, between Sherman and MGIC. For additional information regarding the sale of our
interest please refer to our 10-K MD&A and our Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission on August 14, 2008.
A summary Sherman income statement for the period indicated appears below. Prior to the
sale of our interest, we did not consolidate Sherman with us for financial reporting
purposes, and we did not control Sherman. Shermans internal controls over its financial
reporting were not part of our internal controls over our financial reporting. However, our
internal controls over our financial reporting included processes to assess
63
the effectiveness of our financial reporting as it pertains to Sherman. We believe
those processes were effective in the context of our overall internal controls.
Sherman Summary Income Statement:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Revenues from receivable portfolios |
|
$ |
86.6 |
|
|
$ |
660.3 |
|
Portfolio amortization |
|
|
30.9 |
|
|
|
264.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues, net of amortization |
|
|
55.7 |
|
|
|
395.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit card interest income and fees |
|
|
66.7 |
|
|
|
475.6 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
1.1 |
|
|
|
35.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
123.5 |
|
|
|
906.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total expenses |
|
|
101.3 |
|
|
|
740.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax |
|
$ |
22.2 |
|
|
$ |
166.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Companys income from Sherman |
|
$ |
4.5 |
|
|
$ |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial Condition
At September 30, 2009, based on fair value, approximately 94% of our fixed income
securities were invested in A rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated
in maturities of less than 15 years. The composition of ratings at September 30, 2009 and
December 31, 2008 are shown in the table below. While the percentage of our investment
portfolio rated A or better has not changed materially since December 31, 2008, the
percentage of our investment portfolio rated AAA has declined and the percentage rated
AA and A has increased. Contributing to the changes in ratings is an increase in
corporate bond investments (we expect such increases to continue and to lead to the
percentage of the investment portfolio rated AAA to continue to decline), and downgrades
of municipal investments. The municipal downgrades can be attributed to downgrades of the
financial guaranty insurers and downgrades to the underlying credit.
64
Investment Portfolio Ratings
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At |
|
|
At |
|
|
|
September 30, 2009 |
|
|
December 31, 2008 |
|
AAA |
|
|
44 |
% |
|
|
58 |
% |
AA |
|
|
31 |
% |
|
|
24 |
% |
A |
|
|
19 |
% |
|
|
13 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A or better |
|
|
94 |
% |
|
|
95 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BBB and below |
|
|
6 |
% |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
100 |
% |
|
|
100 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Approximately 24% of our investment portfolio is covered by the financial guaranty
industry. We evaluate the credit risk of securities through analysis of the underlying
fundamentals. The extent of our analysis depends on a variety of factors, including the
issuers sector, scale, profitability, debt cover, ratings and the tenor of the investment.
A breakdown of the portion of our investment portfolio covered by the financial guaranty
industry by credit rating, including the rating without the guarantee is shown below. The
ratings are provided by one or more of the following major rating agencies: Moodys,
Standard & Poors and Fitch Ratings.
September 30, 2009
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guarantor Rating |
Underlying Rating |
|
AA |
|
Baa1 |
|
CC |
|
R |
|
NR |
|
All |
|
|
($ millions) |
AAA
|
|
$ |
2 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
22 |
|
AA
|
|
|
288 |
|
|
|
454 |
|
|
|
161 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
905 |
|
A
|
|
|
203 |
|
|
|
392 |
|
|
|
238 |
|
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
871 |
|
BBB
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
84 |
|
BB
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
499 |
|
|
$ |
886 |
|
|
$ |
448 |
|
|
$ |
40 |
|
|
$ |
15 |
|
|
$ |
1,888 |
|
At September 30, 2009, based on fair value, $6 million of fixed income securities
are relying on financial guaranty insurance to elevate their rating to A and above. Any
future downgrades of these financial guarantor ratings would leave the percentage of fixed
income securities A and above effectively unchanged.
At September 30, 2009, derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio
were immaterial. We primarily place our investments in instruments that meet high credit
quality standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines. The policy guidelines
also limit the amount of our credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of
instrument. At September 30, 2009, the modified duration of our fixed income investment
portfolio was 3.7 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve
of 100 basis points would result in a change of 3.7% in the fair value of
65
our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the fair value of
our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the fair value
would increase.
We held approximately $500 million in auction rate securities (ARS) backed by student
loans at September 30, 2009. ARS are intended to behave like short-term debt instruments
because their interest rates are reset periodically through an auction process, most
commonly at intervals of 7, 28 and 35 days. The same auction process has historically
provided a means by which we may rollover the investment or sell these securities at par in
order to provide us with liquidity as needed. The ARS we hold are collateralized by
portfolios of student loans, all of which are ultimately guaranteed by the United States
Department of Education. At September 30, 2009, approximately 90% of our ARS portfolio was
AAA/Aaa-rated by one or more of the following major rating agencies: Moodys, Standard &
Poors and Fitch Ratings. See additional discussion of auction rate securities backed by
student loans in Notes 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements
contained in Item 8 of Part II of our Annual Report on Form 10-K.
At September 30, 2009, our total assets included $870 million of cash and cash
equivalents as shown on our consolidated balance sheet. In addition, included in Other
assets is $76.6 million of principal and interest receivable related to the sale of our
remaining interest in Sherman.
At September 30, 2009 we had $86.1 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011
and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, with a combined fair value of
$288.9 million, outstanding. At September 30, 2009, we also had $389.5 million principal
amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063 outstanding, which at
September 30, 2009 are reflected as a liability on our consolidated balance sheet at the
current amortized value of $286.5 million, with the unamortized discount reflected in
equity. The fair value of the convertible debentures was approximately $290.2 million at
September 30, 2009. At September 30, 2009 we also had $18.3 million of deferred interest
outstanding on the convertible debentures which is included in other liabilities on the
consolidated balance sheet.
On June 1, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS)
for taxable years 2000 through 2004, we received a Revenue Agent Report (RAR). The
adjustments reported on the RAR substantially increase taxable income for those tax years
and resulted in the issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in
taxes and accuracy-related penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the IRS
on certain issues and paid $10.5 million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining
open issue relates to our treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment
in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICs).
The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have
established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from
taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income
and loss from these investments was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in
accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved
and have appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time and a final
resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. On July 2,
2007, we made a payment of $65.2 million to the United States Department of
66
the Treasury to eliminate the further accrual of interest. Although the resolution of
this issue is uncertain, we believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been
made for potential liabilities that may result. If the resolution of this matter differs
materially from our estimates, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate,
results of operations and cash flows.
The IRS is presently examining our federal income tax returns for 2005 through 2007. We
have not received any proposed adjustments to taxable income or assessments from the IRS
related to these years. We believe that income taxes related to these years have been
properly provided for in our financial statements.
The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of September 30, 2009 is $90.5
million. All of the benefits would affect our effective tax rate. We recognize interest
accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in income taxes. We have accrued
$22.4 million for the payment of interest as of September 30, 2009. The establishment of
this liability required estimates of potential outcomes of various issues and required
significant judgment. Although the resolutions of these issues are uncertain, we believe
that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that
may result. If the resolutions of these matters differ materially from these estimates, it
could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash
flows.
Our principal exposure to loss is our obligation to pay claims under MGICs mortgage
guaranty insurance policies. At September 30, 2009, MGICs direct (before any reinsurance)
primary and pool risk in force, which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as
reflected in our records multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any
loss limit, was approximately $59.4 billion. In addition, as part of our contract
underwriting activities, we are responsible for the quality of our underwriting decisions in
accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. Through
September 30, 2009, the cost of remedies provided by us to customers for failing to meet the
standards of the contracts has not been material. However, a generally positive economic
environment for residential real estate that continued until approximately 2007 may have
mitigated the effect of some of these costs, and claims for remedies may be made a number of
years after the underwriting work was performed. A material portion of our new insurance
written through the flow channel in recent years involved loans for which we provided
contract underwriting services. We believe the rescission of mortgage insurance coverage
on loans on which we also provided
contract underwriting services makes a claim for a contract underwriting remedy more likely
to occur. In the third quarter of 2009, we experienced an increase in claims for contract
underwriting remedies, which may continue. Hence, there can be no assurance that contract
underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Overview
Our sources of funds consist primarily of:
67
|
|
|
our investment portfolio (which is discussed in Financial Condition above),
and interest income on the portfolio, |
|
|
|
|
premiums that we will receive from our existing insurance in force as well as
policies that we write in the future and |
|
|
|
|
amounts that we expect to recover from captives (which is discussed in
Results of Consolidated Operations Risk-Sharing Arrangements and Results
of Consolidated Operations Losses Losses Incurred above). |
Our obligations at September 30, 2009 consist primarily of:
|
|
|
claim payments under MGICs mortgage guaranty insurance policies, |
|
|
|
|
$86.1 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011, |
|
|
|
|
$300 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, |
|
|
|
|
$389.5 million of convertible debentures due in 2063, |
|
|
|
|
interest on the foregoing debt instruments, including $18.3 million of
deferred interest on our convertible debentures and |
|
|
|
|
the other costs and operating expenses of our business. |
For the first time in many years, in 2009, claim payments exceeded premiums received.
We expect that this trend will continue. As discussed under Results of Consolidated
Operations Losses Losses incurred above, due to the uncertainty regarding how certain
factors, such as foreclosure moratoriums, servicing and court delays, loan modifications,
claims investigations and rescissions, will affect our future paid claims it has become even
more difficult to estimate the amount and timing of future claim payments. When we
experience cash shortfalls, we can fund them through sales of short-term investments and
other investment portfolio securities, subject to insurance regulatory requirements
regarding the payment of dividends to the extent funds were required by an entity other than
the seller. Substantially all of the investment portfolio securities are held by our
insurance subsidiaries.
During the first quarter of 2009, we redeemed in exchange for cash from the US Treasury
approximately $432 million of tax and loss bonds. We no longer hold any tax and loss bonds.
Tax and loss bonds that we purchased were not assets on our balance sheet but were recorded
as payments of current federal taxes. For further information about tax and loss bonds, see
Note 2, Income taxes, to our consolidated financial statements in Item 8 of our Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.
We anticipate that any taxes recovered due to the change in the net operating loss
carryback period, as discussed under Income Taxes above, will primarily be credited to our
operating subsidiaries.
68
Debt at Our Holding Company and Holding Company Capital Resources
For information about debt at our holding company, see Notes 2 and 3 of the Notes to
the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The senior notes and convertible debentures are obligations of MGIC Investment
Corporation and not of its subsidiaries. We are a holding company and the payment of
dividends from our insurance subsidiaries, which historically has been the principal source
of our holding company cash inflow, is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the
principal source of dividend-paying capacity. During the first three quarters of 2008, MGIC
paid three dividends of $15 million each to our holding company, which increased the cash
resources of our holding company. MGIC cannot currently pay any dividends without regulatory
approval. In light of the matters discussed under Overview of this Form 10-Q and our 10-K
MD&A, we do not anticipate seeking approval for any additional dividends from MGIC that
would increase the cash resources at the holding company in 2009. In addition, under the
terms of our Agreement with Fannie Mae, discussed under Overview of this Form 10-Q, MGIC
may not pay dividends to our holding company without Fannie Maes consent, however Fannie
Mae has consented to dividends of not more than $100 million in the aggregate to purchase
existing debt obligations of our holding company or to pay such obligations at maturity. Any
such dividends would require regulatory approval and may require other approvals.
As of September 30, 2009, we had a total of approximately $97 million in short-term
investments at our holding company ($92 million as of October 31, 2009). These investments
are virtually all of our holding companys liquid assets. As of September 30, 2009, our
holding companys obligations included $86.1 million of debt ($78.4 million as of October
31, 2009) which is scheduled to mature before the end of 2011 and must be serviced pending
scheduled maturity. On an annual basis, as of September 30, 2009 our use of funds at the
holding company for interest payments on our Senior Notes approximated $21 million. See note
3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion of our election to
defer payment of interest on our junior convertible debentures. The annual interest payments
on these debentures approximate $35 million, excluding interest on the interest payments
that have been deferred.
In the first nine months of 2009, we repurchased for cash approximately $113.9 million
in par value of our 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011. We recognized a gain on the
repurchases of approximately $26.3 million, which is included in other revenue on the
Consolidated Statement of Operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2009. We may
from time to time continue to seek to acquire our debt obligations through cash purchases
and/or exchanges for other securities. We may do this in open market purchases, privately
negotiated acquisitions or other transactions. The amounts involved may be material.
Risk-to-Capital
Our risk-to-capital ratio is computed on a statutory basis for our combined insurance
operations and is our net risk in force divided by our policyholders position. Our net risk
in force includes both primary and pool risk in force, and excludes risk on policies that
are currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established. The risk amount
represents pools of loans or bulk deals with contractual aggregate loss limits
69
and in some cases without these limits. For pools of loans without such limits, risk is
estimated based on the amount that would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA
level based on a rating agency model. Policyholders position consists primarily of
statutory policyholders surplus (which increases as a result of statutory net income and
decreases as a result of statutory net loss and dividends paid), plus the statutory
contingency reserve. The statutory contingency reserve is reported as a liability on the
statutory balance sheet. A mortgage insurance company is required to make annual
contributions to the contingency reserve of approximately 50% of net earned premiums. These
contributions must generally be maintained for a period of ten years. However, with
regulatory approval a mortgage insurance company may make early withdrawals from the
contingency reserve when incurred losses exceed 35% of net earned premium in a calendar
year.
The premium deficiency reserve discussed under Results of Consolidated Operations
Losses Premium deficiency above is not recorded as a liability on the statutory balance
sheet and is not a component of statutory net income. The present value of expected future
premiums and already established loss reserves and statutory contingency reserves, exceeds
the present value of expected future losses and expenses, so no deficiency is recorded on a
statutory basis.
Our combined insurance companies risk-to-capital calculation appears in the table
below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
($ in millions) |
|
Risk in force net (1) |
|
$ |
43,193 |
|
|
$ |
54,496 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory policyholders surplus |
|
$ |
945 |
|
|
$ |
1,613 |
|
Statutory contingency reserve |
|
|
1,246 |
|
|
|
2,086 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory policyholders position |
|
$ |
2,191 |
|
|
$ |
3,699 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk-to-capital: |
|
|
19.7:1 |
|
|
|
14.7:1 |
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Risk in force net, as shown in the table above, for September 30, 2009 is net
of reinsurance and exposure on policies currently in default and for which loss
reserves have been established. Risk in force net for December 31, 2008 is net of
reinsurance and established loss reserves. |
State insurance regulators have clarified that a mortgage insurers risk
outstanding does not include the companys risk on policies that are currently in default
and for which loss reserves have been established. Beginning with our June 30, 2009
risk-to-capital calculations we have deducted risk in force on policies currently in default
and for which loss reserves have been established. The risk-to-capital calculation for
December 31, 2008 includes a reduction to risk in force for established reserves only and
not the full exposure of loans in default.
70
Statutory policyholders position decreased in the third quarter and first nine months
of 2009, primarily due to losses incurred. If our statutory policyholders position
decreases at a greater rate than our risk in force, then our risk-to-capital ratio will
continue to increase.
For additional information regarding regulatory capital see Overview-Capital above as
well as our Risk Factor titled While our plan to write new insurance in an MGIC subsidiary
is moving forward, we cannot guarantee that it will allow us to continue to write new
insurance in the future.
Financial Strength Ratings
The financial strength of MGIC, our principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, is rated
Ba2 by Moodys Investors Service and the rating is under review. Standard & Poors Rating
Services insurer financial strength rating of MGIC is B+ and the outlook for this rating is
negative. The financial strength of MGIC is rated BB- by Fitch Ratings with a negative
outlook.
For further information about the importance of MGICs ratings, see our Risk Factor
titled MGIC may not continue to meet the GSEs mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.
Contractual Obligations
At September 30, 2009, the approximate future payments under our contractual
obligations of the type described in the table below are as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Payments due by period |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less than |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
More than |
|
Contractual Obligations ($ millions): |
|
Total |
|
|
1 year |
|
|
1-3 years |
|
|
3-5 years |
|
|
5 years |
|
Long-term debt obligations |
|
$ |
2,812 |
|
|
$ |
38 |
|
|
$ |
193 |
|
|
$ |
102 |
|
|
$ |
2,479 |
|
Operating lease obligations |
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Purchase obligations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pension, SERP and other post-retirement
benefit plans |
|
|
141 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
89 |
|
Other long-term liabilities |
|
|
6,314 |
|
|
|
2,083 |
|
|
|
2,968 |
|
|
|
1,263 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
$ |
9,283 |
|
|
$ |
2,135 |
|
|
$ |
3,187 |
|
|
$ |
1,393 |
|
|
$ |
2,568 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Our long-term debt obligations at September 30, 2009 include our
approximately $86.1 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011, $300 million of
5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015 and $389.5 million in convertible debentures due in
2063, including related interest, as discussed in Notes 2 and 3 to our consolidated
financial statements and under Liquidity and Capital Resources above. The interest
71
payments on our convertible debentures that were scheduled to be paid on April 1 and October
1, 2009, but which we elected to defer for 10 years as discussed in Note 3 to our
consolidated financial statements, is included in the More than 5 years column in the
table above. Our operating lease obligations include operating leases on certain office
space, data processing equipment and autos, as discussed in Note 14 to our consolidated
financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.
See Note 11 to our consolidated financial statement in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2008 for discussion of expected benefit payments under our
benefit plans.
Our other long-term liabilities represent the loss reserves established to recognize
the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to defaults on insured
mortgage loans. We are including these liabilities because we agreed to do so in 2005 to
resolve a comment from the staff of the SEC. The timing of the future claim payments
associated with the established loss reserves was determined primarily based on two key
assumptions: the length of time it takes for a notice of default to develop into a received
claim and the length of time it takes for a received claim to be ultimately paid. The future
claim payment periods are estimated based on historical experience, and could emerge
significantly different than this estimate. As discussed under Losses incurred above,
due to the uncertainty regarding how certain factors, such as foreclosure moratoriums,
servicing and court delays, loan modifications, claims investigations and claim rescissions,
will affect our future paid claims it has become even more difficult to estimate the amount
and timing of future claim payments. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage
industries make all of the assumptions discussed in this paragraph more volatile than they
would otherwise be. See Note 8 to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report
on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 and -Critical Accounting Policies in our
10-K MD&A. In accordance with GAAP for the mortgage insurance industry, we establish loss
reserves only for loans in default. Because our reserving method does not take account of
the impact of future losses that could occur from loans that are not delinquent, our
obligation for ultimate losses that we expect to occur under our policies in force at any
period end is not reflected in our financial statements or in the table above.
The table above does not reflect the liability for unrecognized tax benefits due to
uncertainties in the timing of the effective settlement of tax positions. We can not make a
reasonably reliable estimate of the timing of payment for the liability for unrecognized tax
benefits, net of payments on account, of $22.4 million. See Note 12 to our consolidated
financial statement in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008
for additional discussion on unrecognized tax benefits.
Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors
General: Our revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors referred to
under Location of Risk Factors below. These risk factors are an integral part of
Managements Discussion and Analysis.
These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results
contemplated by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements
consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others,
statements that include words such as we believe, anticipate or
72
expect, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We are not undertaking
any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may make even though these
statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking
statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these statements
being accurate as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
Location of Risk Factors: The risk factors are in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our
Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the Quarters Ended March 31 and June 30, 2009 and in Part
II, Item 1 A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as
supplemented by those 10-Qs and through updating of various statistical and other
information, are reproduced in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
At September 30, 2009, the derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio
were immaterial. We place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality
standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines; the
policy guidelines also limit the
amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30,
2009, the modified duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 3.7 years, which
means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would
result in a change of 3.7% in the fair value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward
shift in the yield curve, the fair value of our portfolio would decrease and for a
downward shift in the yield curve, the fair value would increase.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal
financial officer, has evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule
13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the
period covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, our
principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and
procedures were effective as of the end of such period. There was no change in our internal
control over financial reporting that occurred during the third quarter of 2009 that
materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over
financial reporting.
73
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Five previously-filed purported class action complaints filed against us and several of
our executive officers were consolidated in March 2009 in the United States District Court
for the Eastern District of Wisconsin and Fulton County Employees Retirement System was
appointed as the lead plaintiff. The lead plaintiff filed a Consolidated Class Action
Complaint (the Complaint) on June 22, 2009. Due in part to its length and structure, it
is difficult to summarize briefly the allegations in the Complaint but it appears the
allegations are that we and our officers named in the Complaint, violated the federal
securities laws by misrepresenting or failing to disclose material information about (i)
loss development in our insurance in force, and (ii) C-BASS, including its liquidity. The
Complaint also names two officers of C-BASS with respect to the Complaints allegations
regarding C-BASS. The purported class period covered by the Complaint begins on October 12,
2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The Complaint seeks damages based on purchases of our
stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the
purported misstatements and omissions. We filed a motion to dismiss the Complaint in August
2009 and briefing is expected to be completed in November 2009.
With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to
indemnification from us for claims against them of the type alleged in the complaint. We
believe, among other things, that the allegations in the complaint are not sufficient to
prevent their dismissal and intend to defend against them vigorously. However, we are unable
to predict the outcome of this case or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
In addition to the above litigation, we face other litigation and regulatory risks. For
additional information about such other litigation and regulatory risks you should review
our Risk Factor titled We are subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory
proceedings.
Item 1 A. Risk Factors
With
the exception of changes to the risk factors included below, there have been no material
changes in our risk factors from the risk factors disclosed in the Companys Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarters Ended March 31 and June 30, 2009. The risk factors in the
10-K, as supplemented by these 10-Qs and through updating of various statistical and other
information, are reproduced in their entirety in Exhibit 99.1 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
While our plan to write new insurance in an MGIC subsidiary is moving forward, we cannot
guarantee that even if it is implemented it will allow us to continue to write new insurance
in the future.
74
For some time, we have been working to implement a plan to write new mortgage insurance
in MGIC Indemnity Corporation (MIC), a wholly owned subsidiary of MGIC. This plan is
driven by our belief that in the future MGIC will not meet regulatory capital requirements
in Wisconsin (which would prevent MGIC from writing new business anywhere) or in certain
jurisdictions (which would prevent MGIC from writing business in the particular
jurisdiction) and may not be able to obtain appropriate waivers of these requirements. In
addition to Wisconsin, these capital requirements are present in 16 jurisdictions while the
remaining jurisdictions in which MGIC does business do not have specific capital
requirements applicable to mortgage insurers. Before MIC can begin writing new business, the
Office of the Commissioner of Insurance for the State of Wisconsin (OCI) must specifically
authorize MIC to do so and MIC must obtain or reactivate licenses in the jurisdictions where
it will transact business. In addition, as a practical matter, MICs ability to write
mortgage insurance depends on being approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae
and/or Freddie Mac (together, the GSEs).
On October 14, 2009, we, MGIC and MIC entered into an agreement (the Agreement) with
Fannie Mae under which MGIC agreed to contribute $200 million to MIC and Fannie Mae approved
MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer through December 31, 2011 subject to the terms of the
Agreement. The contribution to MIC was made on October 21, 2009. Under the Agreement, MIC
will be eligible to write mortgage insurance only if the OCI grants MGIC a waiver from
Wisconsins capital requirements and only in those 16 jurisdictions in which MGIC cannot
write new insurance due to MGICs failure to meet regulatory capital requirements applicable
to mortgage insurers and if MGIC fails to obtain relief from those requirements or a
specified waiver of them. We expect MGIC will be able to obtain waivers in a number of
these jurisdictions such that MGIC, rather than MIC, will write new business there. The
Agreement, including certain restrictions imposed on us, MGIC and MIC, is summarized more
fully in, and included as an exhibit to, our Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on October 16, 2009.
We have been working closely with Freddie Mac to approve MIC as an eligible mortgage
insurer. Freddie Mac has informed us that they will need additional analysis prior to
approving MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer. This analysis could take some time to
complete. There can be no assurance that Freddie Mac will approve MIC as an eligible
mortgage insurer.
We are also working closely with the OCI to receive the approvals that MIC requires to
begin writing new insurance. While in July 2009 the OCI approved a transaction under which
we would have contributed more than $200 million to MIC and MIC would have written mortgage
insurance in all jurisdictions in place of MGIC, the OCI has not approved the plan to write
mortgage insurance through MIC contemplated by the Agreement nor has it yet granted MGIC a
waiver from the regulatory capital requirements in Wisconsin. There can be no assurance
that we will be able to obtain, in a timely fashion or at all, the approvals from OCI
necessary to allow MGIC to continue to write new insurance or the approvals necessary for
MIC to write new insurance in any jurisdiction. Similarly, there can be no assurances that
MIC will receive the necessary approvals from any or all of the jurisdictions in which MGIC
would be prohibited from doing so due to MGICs failure to meet applicable regulatory
capital requirements.
75
Under the Agreement, MIC has been approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie
Mae only though December 31, 2011. Whether MIC will continue as an eligible mortgage
insurer after that date will be determined by Fannie Maes mortgage insurer eligibility
requirements then in effect. Further, under the Agreement we cannot capitalize MIC with more
than a $200 million contribution, without prior approval from Fannie Mae, which limits the
amount of business MIC can write. While we believe that the amount of capital that we have
contributed to MIC will be more than sufficient to write business for
the term of the Agreement
in the jurisdictions in which MIC is eligible to do so under the Agreement, depending on the
level of losses that MGIC experiences in the future, it is possible that regulatory action
by one or more jurisdictions, including those that do not have specific regulatory capital
requirements applicable to mortgage insurers, may prevent MGIC from continuing to write new
insurance in some or all of the jurisdictions in which MIC will not write business.
A failure to meet regulatory capital requirements does not mean that MGIC does not have
sufficient resources to pay claims on its insurance. Even in scenarios in which losses
materially exceed those that would result in not meeting regulatory requirements, we believe
that we have claims paying resources at MGIC that exceed our claim obligations on our
insurance in force. Our estimates of our claims paying resources and claim obligations are
based on various assumptions, including our anticipated rescission activity.
Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, federal legislation that changes their
charters or a restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.
The majority of our insurance written is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
As a result, the business practices of the GSEs affect the entire relationship between them
and mortgage insurers and include:
|
|
|
the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of
the GSEs charters (which may be changed by federal legislation) when private
mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement on low down payment
mortgages, |
|
|
|
|
the amount of loan level delivery fees (which result in higher costs to
borrowers) that the GSEs assess on loans that require mortgage insurance, |
|
|
|
|
whether the GSEs influence the mortgage lenders selection of the mortgage
insurer providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that
selection, |
|
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|
|
the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by
the GSEs, which can affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer
and the availability of mortgage loans, |
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|
|
the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching
the cancellation thresholds established by law, and |
|
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|
|
the programs established by the GSEs intended to avoid or mitigate loss on
insured mortgages and the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must implement
such programs. |
In September 2008, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) was appointed as the
conservator of the GSEs. As their conservator, FHFA controls and directs the
76
operations of the GSEs. The appointment of FHFA as conservator, the increasing role that the
federal government has assumed in the residential mortgage market, our industrys inability,
due to capital constraints, to write sufficient business to meet the needs of the GSEs or
other factors may increase the likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change in
ways that may have a material adverse effect on us. In addition, these factors may increase
the likelihood that the charters of the GSEs are changed by new federal legislation. Such
changes may allow the GSEs to reduce or eliminate the level of private mortgage insurance
coverage that they use as credit enhancement. The Obama administration has announced that it
will announce its plans regarding the future of the GSEs in early 2010.
For a number of years, the GSEs have had programs under which on certain loans lenders
could choose a mortgage insurance coverage percentage that was only the minimum required by
their charters, with the GSEs paying a lower price for these loans (charter coverage).
The GSEs have also had programs under which on certain loans they would accept a level of
mortgage insurance above the requirements of their charters but below their standard
coverage without any decrease in the purchase price they would pay for these loans (reduced
coverage). In September 2009, Fannie Mae announced that, effective January 1, 2010, it
would expand broadly the types of loans eligible for charter coverage. Fannie Maes
announcement also said it would eliminate its reduced coverage program in the second quarter
of 2010. During the third quarter of 2009, a majority of our volume has been on loans with
GSE standard coverage, a substantial portion of our volume has been on loans with reduced
coverage, and a minor portion of our volume has been on loans with charter coverage. We
charge higher premium rates for higher coverages. To the extent lenders selling loans to
Fannie Mae chose charter coverage for loans that we insure, our revenues would be reduced
and we could experience other adverse effects.
Both of the GSEs have policies which provide guidelines on terms under which they can
conduct business with mortgage insurers with financial strength ratings below Aa3/AA-. For
information about how these policies could affect us, see the risk factor titled MGIC may
not continue to meet the GSEs mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.
We may not be able to repay the amounts that we owe under our Senior Notes due in September
2011.
As of October 31, 2009, we had a total of approximately $92 million in short-term
investments available at our holding company. These investments are virtually all of our
holding companys liquid assets. As of October 31, 2009, our holding company had
approximately $78.4 million of Senior Notes due in September 2011 (during 2009 through
October 31, our holding company purchased $121.6 million principal amount of these Notes)
and $300 million of Senior Notes due in November 2015 outstanding. On an annual basis as of
October 31, 2009, our holding companys current use of funds for interest payments on its
Senior Notes approximates $21 million.
While under the Agreement (see the risk factor titled While our plan to write new
insurance in an MGIC subsidiary is moving forward, we cannot guarantee that even if it is
implemented it will allow us to continue to write new insurance in the future.), MGIC may
not pay dividends to our holding company without Fannie Maes consent, Fannie Mae has
consented to dividends of not more than $100 million in the aggregate to
77
purchase existing debt obligations of our holding company or to pay such obligations at
maturity. Any dividends from MGIC to our holding company would require the approval of the
OCI, and may require other approvals.
Covenants in the Senior Notes include the requirement that there be no liens on the
stock of the designated subsidiaries unless the Senior Notes are equally and ratably
secured; that there be no disposition of the stock of designated subsidiaries unless all of
the stock is disposed of for consideration equal to the fair market value of the stock; and
that we and the designated subsidiaries preserve our corporate existence, rights and
franchises unless we or such subsidiary determines that such preservation is no longer
necessary in the conduct of its business and that the loss thereof is not disadvantageous to
the Senior Notes. A designated subsidiary is any of our consolidated subsidiaries which has
shareholders equity of at least 15% of our consolidated shareholders equity.
See Note 3, Convertible debentures and related derivatives, to our consolidated
financial statements for more information regarding our holding companys assets and
liabilities as of that date, including information about its junior convertible debentures
and its election to defer payment of interest on them that was scheduled to be paid April 1,
2009. As previously announced, our holding company also elected to defer payment of
interest on these debentures that was scheduled to be paid October 1, 2009.
Loan modification and other similar programs may not provide material benefits to us.
Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, the federal government, including through the
FDIC and the GSEs, and several lenders have adopted programs to modify loans to make them
more affordable to borrowers with the goal of reducing the number of foreclosures. All of
these programs are in their early stages. For the quarter ending September 30, 2009, we
modified loans with risk in force of $244 million.
One such program is the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), which was
announced by the US Treasury early this year. Some of HAMPs eligibility criteria require
current information about borrowers, such as his or her current income and non-mortgage debt
payments. Because the GSEs and servicers do not share such information with us, we cannot
determine with certainty the number of loans in our delinquent inventory that are eligible
to participate in HAMP. We believe that it could take several months from the time a
borrower has made all of the payments during HAMPs three month trial modification period
for the loan to be reported to us as a cured delinquency. We are aware of approximately
14,500 loans in our delinquent inventory at September 30, 2009
for which the HAMP trial period has begun and that
an immaterial number of loans have successfully completed the trial
period. We rely on information
provided to us by the GSEs and servicers. We do not receive all of the information from
such sources that is required to determine with certainty the number of loans that are
participating in, or have successfully completed, HAMP.
Under HAMP, a net present value test (the NPV Test) is used to determine if loan
modifications will be offered. For loans owned or guaranteed by the GSEs, servicers may,
depending on the results of the NPV Test and other factors, be required to offer loan
modifications, as defined by HAMP, to borrowers. The GSEs have announced that
78
beginning December 1, 2009 they will change how the NPV Test is used. These
changes will make it more difficult for some loans to be modified under HAMP. While we lack
sufficient data to determine the impact of these changes, we believe that they may
materially decrease the number of our loans that will participate in HAMP.
Even if a loan is modified, the effect on us of loan modifications depends on how many
modified loans subsequently re-default, which in turn can be affected by changes in housing
values. Re-defaults can result in losses for us that could be greater than we would have
paid had the loan not been modified. At this point, we cannot predict with a high degree of
confidence what the ultimate re-default rate will be, and therefore we cannot ascertain with
confidence whether these programs will provide material benefits to us. In addition, because
we do not have information in our database for all of the parameters used to determine which
loans are eligible for modification programs, our estimates of the number of loans
qualifying for modification programs are inherently uncertain. If legislation is enacted to
permit a mortgage balance to be reduced in bankruptcy, we would still be responsible to pay
the original balance if the borrower re-defaulted on that mortgage after its balance had
been reduced. Various government entities and private parties have enacted foreclosure
moratoriums. A moratorium does not affect the accrual of interest and other expenses on a
loan. Unless a loan is modified during a moratorium to cure the default, at the expiration
of the moratorium additional interest and expenses would be due which could result in our
losses on loans subject to the moratorium being higher than if there had been no moratorium.
79
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of
this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such
Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but
accompanies this Form 10-Q.
80
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused
this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on November 9,
2009.
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|
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
|
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/s/ J. Michael Lauer
|
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J. Michael Lauer |
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|
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer |
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/s/ Timothy J. Mattke
|
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Timothy J. Mattke |
|
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Vice President and Controller |
|
81
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Part II, Item 6)
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description of Exhibit |
4.1
|
|
Amended and Restated Rights Agreement, dated as of July 7, 2009, between MGIC Investment
Corporation and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association [Incorporated by reference to Exhibit
(4.1) to Amendment No. 3 to the Registration Statement on Form 8-A/A of MGIC Investment
Corporation (Commission File No. 1-10816)] |
|
|
|
11
|
|
Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share |
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
31.2
|
|
Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
32
|
|
Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in
Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being filed) |
|
|
|
99.1
|
|
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2008, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q
for the quarters ended March 31 and September 30, 2009, and through updating of various
statistical and other information |
|
|
|
99.2
|
|
Letter Agreement dated as of October 14, 2009, by and between MGIC Investment Corporation,
Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation and MGIC Indemnity Corporation and Federal National
Mortgage Association [Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 99.2 to the companys Current
Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 16, 2009] |
exv11
EXHIBIT 11
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
STATEMENT RE COMPUTATION OF NET INCOME (LOSS) PER SHARE
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 and 2008
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As adjusted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
As adjusted |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars,
except per share data) |
|
BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average common shares outstanding |
|
|
124,296 |
|
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
124,180 |
|
|
|
110,647 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
$ |
(517,768 |
) |
|
$ |
(115,385 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,042,163 |
) |
|
$ |
(249,767 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
Basic (loss) earnings per share |
|
$ |
(4.17 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.93 |
) |
|
$ |
(8.39 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.26 |
) |
|
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|
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|
DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE |
|
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|
Adjusted weighted average shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average common shares outstanding |
|
|
124,296 |
|
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
124,180 |
|
|
|
110,647 |
|
Common stock equivalents |
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
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|
Adjusted weighted average diluted shares
outstanding (1) |
|
|
124,296 |
|
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
124,180 |
|
|
|
110,647 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
$ |
(517,768 |
) |
|
$ |
(115,385 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,042,163 |
) |
|
$ |
(249,767 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted (loss) earnings per share |
|
$ |
(4.17 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.93 |
) |
|
$ |
(8.39 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.26 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Under current accounting guidance for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008 the diluted weighted-average shares are equivalent to the basic
weighted average shares due to a net loss from continuing operations. |
exv31w1
Exhibit 31.1
I, Curt S. Culver, certify that:
1. |
|
I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of MGIC Investment Corporation; |
|
2. |
|
Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light
of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the
period covered by this quarterly report; |
|
3. |
|
Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in
this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition,
results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented
in this quarterly report; |
|
4. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I are responsible for establishing and
maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and
15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and we have: |
|
a) |
|
Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls
and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information
relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by
others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report
is being prepared; |
|
|
b) |
|
Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation
of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles; |
|
|
c) |
|
Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrants disclosure controls and procedures and
presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls
and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such
evaluation; and |
|
|
d) |
|
Disclosed in this report any change in the registrants internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the registrants most recent fiscal quarter (the
registrants fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially
affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrants internal control
over financial reporting; and |
5. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I have disclosed, based on our most recent
evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrants auditors and the
audit committee of registrants board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions): |
|
a) |
|
all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of
internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect
the registrants ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information;
and |
|
|
b) |
|
any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who
have a significant role in the registrants internal control over financial reporting. |
Date: November 9, 2009
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
/s/ Curt S. Culver
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|
Curt S. Culver |
|
Chief Executive Officer |
|
exv31w2
Exhibit 31.2
CERTIFICATIONS
I, J. Michael Lauer, certify that:
1. |
|
I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of MGIC Investment Corporation; |
|
2. |
|
Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light
of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the
period covered by this quarterly report; |
|
3. |
|
Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in
this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition,
results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented
in this quarterly report; |
|
4. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I are responsible for establishing and
maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and
15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and we have: |
|
(a) |
|
Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls
and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information
relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by
others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report
is being prepared; |
|
|
(b) |
|
Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation
of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles; |
|
|
(c) |
|
Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrants disclosure controls and procedures and
presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls
and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such
evaluation; and |
|
|
(d) |
|
Disclosed in this report any change in the registrants internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the registrants most recent fiscal quarter (the
registrants fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially
affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrants internal control
over financial reporting; and |
5. |
|
The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I have disclosed, based on our most recent
evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrants auditors and the
audit committee of registrants board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions): |
|
(a) |
|
all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of
internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect
the registrants ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information;
and |
|
|
(b) |
|
any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who
have a significant role in the registrants internal control over financial reporting. |
Date: November 9, 2009
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/s/ J. Michael Lauer
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|
J. Michael Lauer |
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Chief Financial Officer |
|
exv32
Exhibit 32
SECTION 1350 CERTIFICATIONS
The undersigned, Curt S. Culver, Chief Executive Officer of MGIC Investment Corporation (the
Company), and J. Michael Lauer, Chief Financial Officer of the Company, certify, pursuant to
Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002,
18 U.S. C. Section 1350, that to our knowledge:
(1) |
|
the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q of the Company for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2009 (the Report) fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or
15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934; and |
|
(2) |
|
the information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the
financial condition and results of operations of the Company. |
Date: November 9, 2009
|
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|
|
/s/ Curt S. Culver
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|
Curt S. Culver |
|
Chief Executive Officer |
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|
/s/ J. Michael Lauer
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|
J. Michael Lauer |
|
Chief Financial Officer |
|
|
exv99w1
Exhibit 99.1
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
2008, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters
ended March 31, June 30 and September 30, 2009 and through updating of various statistical and
other information.
While our plan to write new insurance in an MGIC subsidiary is moving forward, we cannot guarantee
that even if it is implemented it will allow us to continue to write new insurance in the future.
For some time, we have been working to implement a plan to write new mortgage insurance in
MGIC Indemnity Corporation (MIC), a wholly owned subsidiary of MGIC. This plan is driven by our
belief that in the future MGIC will not meet regulatory capital requirements in Wisconsin (which
would prevent MGIC from writing new business anywhere) or in certain jurisdictions (which would
prevent MGIC from writing business in the particular jurisdiction) and may not be able to obtain
appropriate waivers of these requirements. In addition to Wisconsin, these capital requirements are
present in 16 jurisdictions while the remaining jurisdictions in which MGIC does business do not
have specific capital requirements applicable to mortgage insurers. Before MIC can begin writing
new business, the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance for the State of Wisconsin (OCI) must
specifically authorize MIC to do so and MIC must obtain or reactivate licenses in the jurisdictions
where it will transact business. In addition, as a practical matter, MICs ability to write
mortgage insurance depends on being approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae and/or
Freddie Mac (together, the GSEs).
On October 14, 2009, we, MGIC and MIC entered into an agreement (the Agreement) with Fannie
Mae under which MGIC agreed to contribute $200 million to MIC and Fannie Mae approved MIC as an
eligible mortgage insurer through December 31, 2011 subject to the terms of the Agreement. The
contribution to MIC was made on October 21, 2009. Under the Agreement, MIC will be eligible to
write mortgage insurance only if the OCI grants MGIC a waiver from Wisconsins capital requirements
and only in those 16 jurisdictions in which MGIC cannot write new insurance due to MGICs failure
to meet regulatory capital requirements applicable to mortgage insurers and if MGIC fails to obtain
relief from those requirements or a specified waiver of them. We expect MGIC will be able to
obtain waivers in a number of these jurisdictions such that MGIC, rather than MIC, will write new
business there. The Agreement, including certain restrictions imposed on us, MGIC and MIC, is
summarized more fully in, and included as an exhibit to, our Form 8-K filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on October 16, 2009.
We have been working closely with Freddie Mac to approve MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer.
Freddie Mac has informed us that they will need additional analysis prior to approving MIC as an
eligible mortgage insurer. This analysis could take some time to complete. There can be no
assurance that Freddie Mac will approve MIC as an eligible mortgage insurer.
We are also working closely with the OCI to receive the approvals that MIC requires to begin
writing new insurance. While in July 2009 the OCI approved a transaction under which we would have
contributed more than $200 million to MIC and MIC would have written mortgage insurance in all
jurisdictions in place of MGIC, the OCI has not approved the plan to write mortgage insurance
through MIC contemplated by the Agreement nor has it yet granted MGIC a waiver from the regulatory
capital requirements in Wisconsin. There can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain, in a
timely fashion or at all, the approvals from OCI necessary to allow MGIC to continue to write new
insurance or the approvals necessary for MIC to write new insurance in any jurisdiction. Similarly,
there can be no assurances that MIC will receive the necessary approvals from any or all of the
jurisdictions in which MGIC would be prohibited from doing so due to MGICs failure to meet
applicable regulatory capital requirements.
Under the Agreement, MIC has been approved as an eligible mortgage insurer by Fannie Mae only
though December 31, 2011. Whether MIC will continue as an eligible mortgage insurer after that
date will be determined by Fannie Maes mortgage insurer eligibility requirements then in effect.
Further, under the Agreement we cannot capitalize MIC with more than a $200 million contribution,
without prior approval from
Fannie Mae, which limits the amount of business MIC can write. While we believe that the amount of
capital that we have contributed to MIC will be more than sufficient to write business for the
term of the Agreement in the jurisdictions in which MIC is eligible to do so under the Agreement,
depending on the level of losses that MGIC experiences in the future, it is possible that
regulatory action by one or more jurisdictions, including those that do not have specific
regulatory capital requirements applicable to mortgage insurers, may prevent MGIC from continuing
to write new insurance in some or all of the jurisdictions in which MIC will not write business.
A failure to meet regulatory capital requirements does not mean that MGIC does not have
sufficient resources to pay claims on its insurance. Even in scenarios in which losses materially
exceed those that would result in not meeting regulatory requirements, we believe that we have
claims paying resources at MGIC that exceed our claim obligations on our insurance in force. Our
estimates of our claims paying resources and claim obligations are based on various assumptions,
including our anticipated rescission activity.
Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, federal legislation that changes their
charters or a restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.
The majority of our insurance written is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. As a
result, the business practices of the GSEs affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage
insurers and include:
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the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of the GSEs
charters (which may be changed by federal legislation) when private mortgage insurance is used
as the required credit enhancement on low down payment mortgages, |
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the amount of loan level delivery fees (which result in higher costs to borrowers) that the
GSEs assess on loans that require mortgage insurance, |
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whether the GSEs influence the mortgage lenders selection of the mortgage insurer
providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that selection, |
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the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by the GSEs,
which can affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the availability
of mortgage loans, |
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the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the
cancellation thresholds established by law, and |
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the programs established by the GSEs intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured
mortgages and the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must implement such programs. |
In September 2008, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) was appointed as the
conservator of the GSEs. As their conservator, FHFA controls and directs the operations of the
GSEs. The appointment of FHFA as conservator, the increasing role that the federal government has
assumed in the residential mortgage market, our industrys inability, due to capital constraints,
to write sufficient business to meet the needs of the GSEs or other factors may increase the
likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change in ways that may have a material adverse
effect on us. In addition, these factors may increase the likelihood that the charters of the GSEs
are changed by new federal legislation. Such changes may allow the GSEs to reduce or eliminate the
level of private mortgage insurance coverage that they use as credit enhancement. The Obama
administration has announced that it will announce its plans regarding the future of the GSEs in
early 2010.
For a number of years, the GSEs have had programs under which on certain loans lenders could
choose a mortgage insurance coverage percentage that was only the minimum required by their
charters, with the GSEs paying a lower price for these loans (charter coverage). The GSEs have
also had programs under which on certain loans they would accept a level of mortgage insurance
above the requirements of their charters but below their standard coverage without any decrease in
the purchase price they would pay for these loans (reduced coverage). In September 2009, Fannie
Mae announced that, effective January 1, 2010, it would expand broadly the types of loans eligible
for charter coverage. Fannie Maes announcement also said it would eliminate its reduced coverage
program in the second quarter of 2010. During the third quarter of 2009, a majority of our volume
has been on loans with GSE standard coverage, a substantial portion of our volume has been on loans
with reduced coverage, and a minor portion of our volume has been on loans with charter coverage.
We charge
higher premium rates for higher coverages. To the extent lenders selling loans to Fannie
Mae chose charter
coverage for loans that we insure, our revenues would be reduced and we could experience other
adverse effects.
Both of the GSEs have policies which provide guidelines on terms under which they can conduct
business with mortgage insurers with financial strength ratings below Aa3/AA-. For information
about how these policies could affect us, see the risk factor titled MGIC may not continue to meet
the GSEs mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.
A downturn in the domestic economy or a decline in the value of borrowers homes from their value
at the time their loans closed may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage
payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can
be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale.
In general, favorable economic conditions reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient
income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in
some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions,
including unemployment, generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient
income to pay their mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values, which in turn can
influence the willingness of borrowers with sufficient resources to make mortgage payments to do so
when the mortgage balance exceeds the value of the home. Housing values may decline even absent a
deterioration in economic conditions due to declines in demand for homes, which in turn may result
from changes in buyers perceptions of the potential for future appreciation, restrictions on
mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards, liquidity issues affecting lenders or
other factors. The residential mortgage market in the United States has for some time experienced a
variety of worsening economic conditions and housing values continue to decline. The recession that
began in December 2007, which has been exacerbated by the credit crisis that began in September
2008, may result in further deterioration in home values and employment. In addition, even after
the end of this recession, home values may continue to deteriorate and unemployment levels may
continue to increase or remain elevated.
The mix of business we write also affects the likelihood of losses occurring.
Even when housing values are stable or rising, certain types of mortgages have higher
probabilities of claims. These segments include loans with loan-to-value ratios over 95% (including
loans with 100% loan-to-value ratios or in certain markets that have experienced declining housing
values, over 90%), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower
documentation, or total debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having
combinations of higher risk factors. As of September 30, 2009, approximately 60% of our primary
risk in force consisted of loans with loan-to-value ratios equal to or greater than 95%, 8.7% had
FICO credit scores below 620, and 12.7% had limited underwriting, including limited borrower
documentation. A material portion of these loans were written in 2005 2007 and through the first
quarter of 2008. (In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSEs and other automated
underwriting systems under doc waiver programs that do not require verification of borrower
income are classified by us as full documentation. For additional information about such loans,
see footnote (3) to the delinquency table under Results of Consolidated Operations-Losses-Losses
Incurred under Part 1, Item 2 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.)
Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2007 we made a series of changes to our underwriting
guidelines in an effort to improve the risk profile of our new business. Requirements imposed by
new guidelines, however, only affect business written under commitments to insure loans that are
issued after those guidelines become effective. Business for which commitments are issued after new
guidelines are announced and before they become effective is insured by us in accordance with the
guidelines in effect at time of the commitment even if that business would not meet the new
guidelines. For commitments we issue for loans that close and are insured by us, a period longer
than a calendar quarter can elapse between the time we issue a commitment to insure a loan and the
time we receive the payment of the first premium and report the loan in our risk in force, although
this period is generally shorter.
As of September 30, 2009, approximately 3.7% of our primary risk in force written through the
flow channel, and 43.1% of our primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consisted of
adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years
after the mortgage closing (ARMs). We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in
which the initial interest rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing. We
believe that when the reset interest rate significantly exceeds the interest rate at loan
origination, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans. Moreover, even
if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs with a teaser rate (an initial interest rate
that does not fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be substantially
higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment that will occur when the fully indexed rate
becomes effective. In addition, we have insured interest-only loans, which may also be ARMs, and
loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs. We believe claim rates on these
loans will be substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made
to borrowers of comparable credit quality.
Although we attempt to incorporate these higher expected claim rates into our underwriting and
pricing models, there can be no assurance that the premiums earned and the associated investment
income will prove adequate to compensate for actual losses even under our current underwriting
guidelines. We do, however, believe that given the various changes in our underwriting guidelines
that were effective beginning in the first quarter of 2008, our insurance written beginning in the
second quarter of 2008 will generate underwriting profits.
Because we establish loss reserves only upon a loan default rather than based on estimates of our
ultimate losses, our earnings may be adversely affected by losses disproportionately in certain
periods.
In accordance with GAAP for the mortgage insurance industry, we establish loss reserves only
for loans in default. Reserves are established for reported insurance losses and loss adjustment
expenses based on when notices of default on insured mortgage loans are received. Reserves are also
established for estimated losses incurred on notices of default that have not yet been reported to
us by the servicers (this is what is referred to as IBNR in the mortgage insurance industry). We
establish reserves using estimated claims rates and claims amounts in estimating the ultimate loss.
Because our reserving method does not take account of the impact of future losses that could occur
from loans that are not delinquent, our obligation for ultimate losses that we expect to occur
under our policies in force at any period end is not reflected in our financial statements, except
in the case where a premium deficiency exists. As a result, future losses may have a material
impact on future results as losses emerge.
Because loss reserve estimates are subject to uncertainties and are based on assumptions that are
currently very volatile, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves.
We establish reserves using estimated claim rates and claim amounts in estimating the ultimate
loss on delinquent loans. The estimated claim rates and claim amounts represent what we believe
best reflect the estimate of what will actually be paid on the loans in default as of the reserve
date and incorporates mitigation from rescissions.
The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires judgment by
management. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make the assumptions that we
use to establish loss reserves more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the
claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could
be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national
economic conditions, including unemployment, leading to a reduction in borrowers income and thus
their ability to make mortgage payments, a drop in housing values that could materially reduce our
ability to mitigate potential loss through property acquisition and resale or expose us to greater
loss on resale of properties obtained through the claim settlement process and mitigation from
rescissions being materially less than assumed. Changes to our estimates could result in material
impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic environment, and there can be no
assurance that actual claims paid by us will not be substantially different than our loss reserves.
The premiums we charge may not be adequate to compensate us for our liabilities for losses and as a
result any inadequacy could materially affect our financial condition and results of operations.
We set premiums at the time a policy is issued based on our expectations regarding likely
performance over the long-term. Our premiums are subject to approval by state regulatory agencies,
which can delay or limit our ability to increase our premiums. Generally, we cannot cancel the
mortgage insurance coverage or adjust renewal premiums during the life of a mortgage insurance
policy. As a result, higher than anticipated claims generally cannot be offset by premium increases
on policies in force or mitigated by our non-renewal or cancellation of insurance coverage. The
premiums we charge, and the associated investment income, may not be adequate to compensate us for
the risks and costs associated with the insurance coverage provided to customers. An increase in
the number or size of claims, compared to what we anticipate, could adversely affect our results of
operations or financial condition.
In January 2008, we announced that we had decided to stop writing the portion of our bulk
business that insures loans which are included in Wall Street securitizations because the
performance of loans included in such securitizations deteriorated materially in the fourth quarter
of 2007 and this deterioration was materially worse than we experienced for loans insured through
the flow channel or loans insured through the remainder of our bulk channel. As of December 31,
2007 we established a premium deficiency reserve of approximately $1.2 billion. As of September 30,
2009, the premium deficiency reserve was $208 million. At each date, the premium deficiency reserve
is the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of
expected future premium and already established loss reserves on these bulk transactions.
The mortgage insurance industry is experiencing material losses, especially on the 2006 and
2007 books. The ultimate amount of these losses will depend in part on general economic conditions,
including unemployment, and the direction of home prices, which in turn will be influenced by
general economic conditions and other factors. Because we cannot predict future home prices or
general economic conditions with confidence, there is significant uncertainty surrounding what our
ultimate losses will be on our 2006 and 2007 books. Our current expectation, however, is that these
books will continue to generate material incurred and paid losses for a number of years. There can
be no assurance that additional premium deficiency reserves on Wall Street Bulk or on other
portions of our insurance portfolio will not be required.
We may not be able to repay the amounts that we owe under our Senior Notes due in September 2011.
As of October 31, 2009, we had a total of approximately $92 million in short-term investments
available at our holding company. These investments are virtually all of our holding companys
liquid assets. As of October 31, 2009, our holding company had approximately $78.4 million of
Senior Notes due in September 2011 (during 2009 through October 31, our holding company purchased
$121.6 million principal amount of these Notes) and $300 million of Senior Notes due in November
2015 outstanding. On an annual basis as of October 31, 2009, our holding companys current use of
funds for interest payments on its Senior Notes approximates $21 million.
While under the Agreement (see the risk factor titled While our plan to write new insurance
in an MGIC subsidiary is moving forward, we cannot guarantee that even if it is implemented it will
allow us to continue to write new insurance in the future.), MGIC may not pay dividends to our
holding company without Fannie Maes consent, Fannie Mae has consented to dividends of not more
than $100 million in the aggregate to purchase existing debt obligations of our holding company or
to pay such obligations at maturity. Any dividends from MGIC to our holding company would require
the approval of the OCI, and may require other approvals.
Covenants in the Senior Notes include the requirement that there be no liens on the stock of
the designated subsidiaries unless the Senior Notes are equally and ratably secured; that there be
no disposition of the stock of designated subsidiaries unless all of the stock is disposed of for
consideration equal to the fair market value of the stock; and that we and the designated
subsidiaries preserve our corporate existence, rights and franchises unless we or such subsidiary
determines that such preservation is no longer necessary in the conduct of its business and that
the loss thereof is not disadvantageous to the Senior Notes. A designated subsidiary is any of
our consolidated subsidiaries which has shareholders equity of at least 15% of our consolidated
shareholders equity.
See Note 3, Convertible debentures and related derivatives, to our consolidated financial
statements in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for more information regarding our
holding companys assets and liabilities as of that date, including information about its junior
convertible debentures and its election to defer payment of interest on them that was scheduled to
be paid April 1, 2009. As previously announced, our holding company also elected to defer payment
of interest on these debentures that was scheduled to be paid October 1, 2009.
MGIC may not continue to meet the GSEs mortgage insurer eligibility requirements.
The majority of our insurance written is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, each of
which has mortgage insurer eligibility requirements. As a result of MGICs financial strength
rating being below Aa3/AA-, it is operating with each GSE as an eligible insurer under a
remediation plan. We believe that the GSEs view remediation plans as a continuing process of
interaction between a mortgage insurer and the GSE that continues until the mortgage insurer under
the remediation plan once again has a rating of at least Aa3/AA-. There can be no assurance that
MGIC will be able to continue to operate as an eligible mortgage insurer under a remediation plan.
If MGIC ceases being eligible to insure loans purchased by one or both of the GSEs, it would
significantly reduce the volume of our new business writings.
Loan modification and other similar programs may not provide material benefits to us.
Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, the federal government, including through the FDIC
and the GSEs, and several lenders have adopted programs to modify loans to make them more
affordable to borrowers with the goal of reducing the number of foreclosures. All of these programs
are in their early stages. For the quarter ending September 30, 2009, we modified loans with risk
in force of $244 million.
One such program is the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), which was announced by
the US Treasury early this year. Some of HAMPs eligibility criteria require current information
about borrowers, such as his or her current income and non-mortgage debt payments. Because the
GSEs and servicers do not share such information with us, we cannot determine with certainty the
number of loans in our delinquent inventory that are eligible to participate in HAMP. We believe
that it could take several months from the time a borrower has made all of the payments during
HAMPs three month trial modification period for the loan to be reported to us as a cured
delinquency. We are aware of approximately 14,500 loans in our delinquent inventory at September
30, 2009 for which the HAMP trial period has begun and that an immaterial number of loans have successfully completed
the trial period. We rely on information provided to us by the GSEs and servicers. We do not receive all of the
information from such sources that is required to determine with certainty the number of loans that
are participating in, or have successfully completed, HAMP.
Under HAMP, a net present value test (the NPV Test) is used to determine if loan
modifications will be offered. For loans owned or guaranteed by the GSEs, servicers may, depending
on the results of the NPV Test and other factors, be required to offer loan modifications, as
defined by HAMP, to borrowers. The GSEs have announced that beginning December 1, 2009 they will
change how the NPV Test is used. These changes will make it more difficult for some loans to be
modified under HAMP. While we lack sufficient data to determine the impact of these changes, we
believe that they may materially decrease the number of our loans that will participate in HAMP.
Even if a loan is modified, the effect on us of loan modifications depends on how many
modified loans subsequently re-default, which in turn can be affected by changes in housing values.
Re-defaults can result in losses for us that could be greater than we would have paid had the
loan not been modified. At this point, we cannot predict with a high degree of confidence what the
ultimate re-default rate will be, and therefore we cannot ascertain with confidence whether these
programs will provide material benefits to us. In addition, because we do not have information in
our database for all of the parameters used to determine which loans are
eligible for modification programs, our estimates of the number of loans qualifying for
modification programs are inherently uncertain. If legislation is enacted to permit a mortgage
balance to be reduced in bankruptcy, we would still be responsible to pay the original balance if
the borrower re-defaulted on that mortgage after its balance had been reduced. Various government
entities and private parties have enacted foreclosure moratoriums. A moratorium
does not affect the
accrual of interest and other expenses on a loan. Unless a loan is modified during a moratorium to
cure the default, at the expiration of the moratorium additional interest and expenses would be due
which could result in our losses on loans subject to the moratorium being higher than if there had
been no moratorium.
We may not continue to realize benefits from rescissions at the levels we have recently
experienced.
Historically, claims submitted to us on policies we rescinded were not a material portion of
our claims resolved during a year. However, beginning in 2008 rescissions have materially
mitigated our paid losses. For the first three quarters of 2009 rescissions mitigated our paid
losses by $839 million, which includes amounts that would have
resulted in either a claim payment or been
charged to a deductible under a bulk or pool policy, and may have been
charged to a captive reinsurer. While we have
a substantial pipeline of claims investigations that we expect will eventually result in
rescissions during the remainder of 2009, we can give no assurance that rescissions will continue
to mitigate paid losses at the same level we have recently experienced. In addition, if the insured
disputes our right to rescind coverage, whether the requirements to rescind are met ultimately
would be determined by arbitration or judicial proceedings. Objections to rescission may be made
several years after we have rescinded an insurance policy. We are not involved in arbitration or
judicial proceedings regarding a material amount of our rescissions. However, we continue to have
discussions with lenders regarding their objections to rescissions that in the aggregate are
material.
In addition, our loss reserving methodology incorporates the effects rescission activity are
expected to have on the losses we will pay on our delinquent inventory. A variance between ultimate
actual rescission rates and these estimates could materially affect our losses. See Because loss
reserve estimates are subject to uncertainties and are based on assumptions that are currently very
volatile, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves.
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements
change, the length of time that our policies remain in force could decline and result in declines
in our revenue.
In each year, most of our premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As
a result, the length of time insurance remains in force, which is also generally referred to as
persistency, is a significant determinant of our revenues. The factors affecting the length of time
our insurance remains in force include:
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the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates on the
insurance in force, which affects the vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancings,
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mortgage insurance cancellation policies of mortgage investors along with the current value
of the homes underlying the mortgages in the insurance in force. |
During the 1990s, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31, 1990 to
a low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. Since 2000, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of
84.4% at December 31, 2008 to a low of 47.1% at December 31, 2003. At September 30, 2009
persistency was at 85.2%.
The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select
alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
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lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the Federal
Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration, |
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lenders and other investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring, |
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investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance, using other
credit enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage,
or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement, and |
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lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private mortgage
insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value ratio and a second mortgage with
a 10%, 15% or 20% loan-to-value ratio (referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans,
respectively) rather than a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% loan-to-value ratio that
has private mortgage insurance. |
The Federal Housing Administration (the FHA), which until 2008 was not viewed by us as a
significant competitor, substantially increased its market share beginning in 2008. We believe
that the FHAs market share increased, in part, because mortgage insurers have tightened their
underwriting guidelines (which has led to increased utilization of the FHAs programs) and because
of increases in the amount of loan level delivery fees that the GSEs assess on loans (which result
in higher costs to borrowers). Recent federal legislation and programs have also provided the FHA
with greater flexibility in establishing new products and have increased the FHAs competitive
position against private mortgage insurers.
Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
In recent years, the level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has
been intense as many large mortgage lenders reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with
whom they do business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the
share of the mortgage lending market held by large lenders. Our private mortgage insurance
competitors include:
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PMI Mortgage Insurance Company, |
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Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation, |
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United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company, |
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Radian Guaranty Inc., |
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Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, whose parent, based on information filed with the SEC
through November 6, 2009, is our largest shareholder, and |
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CMG Mortgage Insurance Company. |
Our relationships with our customers could be adversely affected by a variety of factors,
including continued tightening of and adherence to our underwriting guidelines, which have resulted
in our declining to insure some of the loans originated by our customers, rescission of loans that
affect the customer and our decision to discontinue ceding new business under excess of loss
captive reinsurance programs. The FHA, which in recent years was not viewed by us as a significant
competitor, substantially increased its market share beginning in 2008.
While the mortgage insurance industry has not had new entrants in many years, the perceived
increase in credit quality of loans that are being insured today combined with the deterioration of
the financial strength ratings of the existing mortgage insurance companies could encourage new
entrants. One new mortgage insurance company has publicly announced that it has received capital
commitments, purchased an information technology and operating platform from a mortgage insurance
company that is in runoff, has been licensed by some states and is in the process of being
licensed in the remaining states. In addition, we understand that another potential new entrant
has advertised for employees.
Your ownership in our company may be diluted by additional capital that we could raise or if the
holders of our convertible debentures convert their debentures into shares of our common stock.
We have filed, and the SEC has declared effective, a shelf registration statement that would
allow us to sell up to $850 million of common stock, preferred stock, debt and other types of
securities. While we have no current plans to sell any securities under this registration
statement, any capital that we do raise through the sale of common stock or equity or equity-linked
securities senior to our common stock or convertible into our
common stock will dilute your ownership percentage in our company and may decrease the market price
of our common shares. Furthermore, the securities may have rights, preferences and privileges that
are senior or otherwise superior to those of our common shares.
We have approximately $390 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated
Debentures outstanding. The principal amount of the debentures is currently convertible, at the
holders option, at an initial conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 74.0741 common
shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures. This represents an initial conversion price of
approximately $13.50 per share. We have elected to defer the payment of a total of approximately
$35 million of interest on these debentures. We may also defer additional interest in the future.
If a holder elects to convert its debentures, the interest that has been deferred on the debentures
being converted is also converted into shares of our common stock. The conversion rate for such
deferred interest is based on the average price that our shares traded at during a 5-day period
immediately prior to the election to convert the associated debentures.
Our common stock could be delisted from the NYSE.
The listing of our common stock on the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE, is subject to
compliance with NYSEs continued listing standards, including that the average closing price of our
common stock during any 30 trading day period equal or exceed $1.00 and that our average market
capitalization for any such period equal or exceed $15 million. The NYSE can also, in its
discretion, discontinue listing a companys common stock if the company discontinues a substantial
portion of its operations. If we do not satisfy any of NYSEs continued listing standards or if we
cease writing new insurance, our common stock could be delisted from the NYSE unless we cure the
deficiency during the time provided by the NYSE. If the NYSE were to delist our common stock, it
likely would result in a significant decline in the trading price, trading volume and liquidity of
our common stock. We also expect that the suspension and delisting of our common stock would lead
to decreases in analyst coverage and market-making activity relating to our common stock, as well
as reduced information about trading prices and volume. As a result, it could become significantly
more difficult for our shareholders to sell their shares of our common stock at prices comparable
to those in effect prior to delisting or at all.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that
we write could decline, which would reduce our revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
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restrictions on mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards and liquidity
issues affecting lenders, |
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the level of home mortgage interest rates, |
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the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies, |
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housing affordability, |
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population trends, including the rate of household formation, |
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the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect whether
refinance loans have loan-to-value ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and |
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government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers. |
We are subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory proceedings.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and
settlement service providers. Seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit
Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against a number of
large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While
we are
not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that we will not be subject to
future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a
material adverse effect on us.
We are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation by state insurance departments. These
regulations are principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders, rather than
for the benefit of investors. Although their scope varies, state insurance laws generally grant
broad supervisory powers to agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules
or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business. Given
the recent significant losses incurred by many insurers in the mortgage and financial guaranty
industries, our insurance subsidiaries have been subject to heightened scrutiny by insurance
regulators. State insurance regulatory authorities could take actions, including changes in capital
requirements or termination of waivers of capital requirements, that could have a material adverse
effect on us.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department, we provided
information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in
which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the New York Insurance Department requested
MGIC to review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years
experience or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the
New York Insurance Department that it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the
nature of mortgage insurance risk, premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of
recent years. In February 2006, in response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota
Department of Commerce, which regulates insurance, we provided the Department with information
about captive mortgage reinsurance and certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional
information to the Minnesota Department of Commerce, and beginning in March 2008 that Department
has sought additional information as well as answers to questions regarding captive mortgage
reinsurance on several occasions. In June 2008, we received a subpoena from the Department of
Housing and Urban Development, commonly referred to as HUD, seeking information about captive
mortgage reinsurance similar to that requested by the Minnesota Department of Commerce, but not
limited in scope to the state of Minnesota. Other insurance departments or other officials,
including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive mortgage
reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that HUD as well as the insurance
commissioner or attorney general of any state may bring an action to enjoin violations of these
provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for the referral
of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to enforce this prohibition. While we believe
our captive reinsurance arrangements are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is
not possible to predict the outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to
predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance industry.
In October 2007, the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission
requested that we voluntarily furnish documents and information primarily relating to C-BASS, the
now-terminated merger with Radian and the subprime mortgage assets in the Companys various lines
of business. We have provided responsive documents and/or other information to the Securities and
Exchange Commission and understand this matter is ongoing.
Five previously-filed purported class action complaints filed against us and several of our
executive officers were consolidated in March 2009 in the United States District Court for the
Eastern District of Wisconsin and Fulton County Employees Retirement System was appointed as the
lead plaintiff. The lead plaintiff filed a Consolidated Class Action Complaint (the Complaint) on
June 22, 2009. Due in part to its length and structure, it is difficult to summarize briefly the
allegations in the Complaint but it appears the allegations are that we and our officers named in
the Complaint violated the federal securities laws by misrepresenting or failing to disclose
material information about (i) loss development in our insurance in force, and (ii) C-BASS,
including its liquidity. The Complaint also names two officers of C-BASS with respect to the
Complaints allegations regarding C-BASS. The purported class period covered by the Complaint
begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The Complaint seeks damages based on
purchases of our stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result
of the purported misstatements and omissions. With
limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to indemnification from us
for claims against them of the type alleged in the Complaint. We filed a motion to dismiss the
Complaint in August 2009 and briefing is expected to be completed in November 2009. We are unable
to predict the outcome of these consolidated cases
or estimate our associated expenses or possible
losses. Other lawsuits alleging violations of the securities laws could be brought against us.
Two law firms have issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating whether the
fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plans investment in
or holding of our common stock. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that the plan
fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them. We intend to defend
vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations.
The Internal Revenue Service has proposed significant adjustments to our taxable income for 2000
through 2004.
The Internal Revenue Service conducted an examination of our federal income tax returns for
taxable years 2000 though 2004. On June 1, 2007, as a result of this examination, we received a
revenue agent report. The adjustments reported on the revenue agent report would substantially
increase taxable income for those tax years and resulted in the issuance of an assessment for
unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and accuracy related penalties, plus applicable
interest. We have agreed with the Internal Revenue Service on certain issues and paid $10.5 million
in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue relates to our treatment of the flow
through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate
Mortgage Investment Conduits, or REMICs. This portfolio has been managed and maintained during
years prior to, during and subsequent to the examination period. The Internal Revenue Service has
indicated that it does not believe, for various reasons, that we have established sufficient tax
basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We disagree with
this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss from these investments was
properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable tax laws and
regulations in effect during the periods involved and have appealed these adjustments. The appeals
process may take some time and a final resolution may not be reached until a date many months or
years into the future. In July 2007, we made a payment on account of $65.2 million with the United
States Department of the Treasury to eliminate the further accrual of interest. We believe, after
discussions with outside counsel about the issues raised in the revenue agent report and the
procedures for resolution of the disputed adjustments, that an adequate provision for income taxes
has been made for potential liabilities that may result from these notices. If the outcome of this
matter results in payments that differ materially from our expectations, it could have a material
impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that we maintain is improperly
disclosed.
As part of our business, we maintain large amounts of personal information on consumers. While
we believe we have appropriate information security policies and systems to prevent unauthorized
disclosure, there can be no assurance that unauthorized disclosure, either through the actions of
third parties or employees, will not occur. Unauthorized disclosure could adversely affect our
reputation and expose us to material claims for damages.
The implementation of the Basel II capital accord, or other changes to our customers capital
requirements, may discourage the use of mortgage insurance.
In 1988, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision developed the Basel Capital Accord (Basel
I), which set out international benchmarks for assessing banks capital adequacy requirements. In
June 2005, the Basel Committee issued an update to Basel I (as revised in November 2005, Basel II).
Basel II was implemented by many banks in the United States and many other countries in 2008 and
may be implemented by the remaining banks in the United States and many other countries in 2009.
Basel II affects the capital treatment provided to mortgage insurance by domestic and international
banks in both their origination and securitization activities.
The Basel II provisions related to residential mortgages and mortgage insurance, or other
changes to our customers capital requirements, may provide incentives to certain of our bank
customers not to insure mortgages having a lower risk of claim and to insure mortgages having a
higher risk of claim. The Basel II
provisions may also alter the competitive positions and
financial performance of mortgage insurers in other ways.
We may not be able to recover the capital we invested in our Australian operations for many years
and may not recover all of such capital.
We have committed significant resources to begin international operations, primarily in
Australia, where we started to write business in June 2007. In view of our need to dedicate capital
to our domestic mortgage insurance operations, we have reduced our Australian headcount and are no
longer writing new business in Australia. In addition to the general economic and insurance
business-related factors discussed above, we are subject to a number of other risks from having
deployed capital in Australia, including foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and
interest-rate volatility particular to Australia.
We are susceptible to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans that we insure.
We depend on reliable, consistent third-party servicing of the loans that we insure. A recent
trend in the mortgage lending and mortgage loan servicing industry has been towards consolidation
of loan servicers. This reduction in the number of servicers could lead to disruptions in the
servicing of mortgage loans covered by our insurance policies. In addition, current housing market
trends have led to significant increases in the number of delinquent mortgage loans requiring
servicing. These increases have strained the resources of servicers, reducing their ability to
undertake mitigation efforts that could help limit our losses. Future housing market conditions
could lead to additional such increases. Managing a substantially higher volume of non-performing
loans could lead to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans covered by our insurance
policies. Disruptions in servicing, in turn, could contribute to a rise in delinquencies among
those loans and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and
operating results.