e10vq
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
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QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended SEPTEMBER 30, 2006
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o |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-10816
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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WISCONSIN
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39-1486475 |
(State or other jurisdiction of
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(I.R.S. Employer |
incorporation or organization)
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Identification No.) |
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250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE
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53202 |
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN
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(Zip Code) |
(Address of principal executive offices) |
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(414) 347-6480
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by
Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for
such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
YES þ NO o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer,
or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of accelerated filer and large accelerated filer in
Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large accelerated filer þ Accelerated filer o Non-accelerated filer o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act).
YES o NO þ
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of
the latest practicable date.
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CLASS OF STOCK |
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PAR VALUE |
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DATE |
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NUMBER OF SHARES |
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Common stock |
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$1.00 |
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10/31/06 |
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83,016,733 |
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MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page 2
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
September 30, 2006 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2005
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September 30, |
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December 30, |
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2006 |
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2005 |
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(In thousands of dollars) |
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ASSETS |
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Investment portfolio: |
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Securities, available-for-sale, at market value: |
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Fixed maturities (amortized cost, 2006-$5,116,645; 2005-$5,173,091) |
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$ |
5,247,390 |
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$ |
5,292,942 |
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Equity securities (cost, 2006-$2,716; 2005-$2,504) |
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2,705 |
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2,488 |
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Total investment portfolio |
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5,250,095 |
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5,295,430 |
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Cash and cash equivalents |
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257,414 |
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195,256 |
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Accrued investment income |
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64,252 |
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66,369 |
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Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
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13,526 |
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14,787 |
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Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
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10,032 |
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9,608 |
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Premiums receivable |
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83,801 |
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91,547 |
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Home office and equipment, net |
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32,195 |
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32,666 |
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Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
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13,872 |
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18,416 |
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Investments in joint ventures |
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591,907 |
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481,778 |
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Other assets |
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198,091 |
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151,712 |
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Total assets |
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$ |
6,515,185 |
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$ |
6,357,569 |
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LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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Liabilities: |
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Loss reserves |
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$ |
1,095,572 |
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$ |
1,124,454 |
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Unearned premiums |
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181,490 |
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159,823 |
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Short- and long-term debt (note 2) |
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782,135 |
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685,163 |
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Income taxes payable |
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42,148 |
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62,006 |
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Other liabilities |
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193,746 |
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161,068 |
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Total liabilities |
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2,295,091 |
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2,192,514 |
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Contingencies (note 3) |
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Shareholders equity: |
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Common stock, $1 par value, shares authorized
300,000,000; shares issued, 9/30/06 - 122,964,267
12/31/05 - 122,549,285;
shares outstanding, 9/30/06 - 82,995,338
12/31/05 - 88,046,430 |
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122,964 |
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122,549 |
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Paid-in capital |
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300,564 |
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280,052 |
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Treasury stock (shares at cost, 9/30/06 - 39,968,929
12/31/05 - 34,502,855) |
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(2,186,750 |
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(1,834,434 |
) |
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax (note 5) |
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85,399 |
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77,499 |
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Retained earnings |
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5,897,917 |
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5,519,389 |
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Total shareholders equity |
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4,220,094 |
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4,165,055 |
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Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
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$ |
6,515,185 |
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$ |
6,357,569 |
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See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 3
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three and Nine Month Periods Ended September 30, 2006 and 2005
(Unaudited)
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Three Months Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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September 30, |
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September 30, |
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2006 |
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2005 |
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2006 |
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2005 |
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(In thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
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Revenues: |
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Premiums written: |
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Direct |
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$ |
340,268 |
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$ |
345,236 |
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$ |
1,014,751 |
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$ |
1,029,523 |
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Assumed |
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597 |
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291 |
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1,441 |
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744 |
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Ceded |
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(34,995 |
) |
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(31,349 |
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(104,570 |
) |
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(94,630 |
) |
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Net premiums written |
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305,870 |
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314,178 |
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911,622 |
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935,637 |
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Increase in unearned premiums, net |
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(9,663 |
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(8,337 |
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(21,245 |
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(2,084 |
) |
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Net premiums earned |
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296,207 |
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305,841 |
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890,377 |
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933,553 |
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Investment income, net of expenses |
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61,486 |
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57,338 |
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178,830 |
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171,519 |
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Realized investment gains (losses), net |
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185 |
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61 |
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(1,566 |
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16,813 |
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Other revenue |
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11,519 |
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12,503 |
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34,292 |
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33,719 |
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Total revenues |
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369,397 |
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375,743 |
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1,101,933 |
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1,155,604 |
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Losses and expenses: |
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Losses incurred, net |
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164,997 |
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146,197 |
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426,349 |
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381,978 |
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Underwriting and other expenses, net |
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70,704 |
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69,695 |
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216,461 |
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205,649 |
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Interest expense |
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9,849 |
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10,084 |
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28,007 |
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31,318 |
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Total losses and expenses |
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245,550 |
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225,976 |
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670,817 |
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618,945 |
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Income before tax and joint ventures |
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123,847 |
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149,767 |
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431,116 |
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536,659 |
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Provision for income tax |
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29,731 |
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39,126 |
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110,376 |
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148,391 |
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Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
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35,862 |
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31,741 |
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122,530 |
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110,484 |
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Net income |
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$ |
129,978 |
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$ |
142,382 |
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$ |
443,270 |
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$ |
498,752 |
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Earnings per share (note 4): |
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Basic |
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$ |
1.56 |
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$ |
1.56 |
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$ |
5.21 |
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$ |
5.36 |
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Diluted |
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$ |
1.55 |
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$ |
1.55 |
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$ |
5.17 |
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$ |
5.33 |
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Weighted average common shares
outstanding diluted (shares in
thousands, note 4) |
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83,766 |
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91,796 |
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85,762 |
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93,630 |
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Dividends per share |
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$ |
0.2500 |
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$ |
0.1500 |
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$ |
0.7500 |
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$ |
0.3750 |
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See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 4
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 and 2005
(Unaudited)
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Nine Months Ended |
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September 30, |
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2006 |
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2005 |
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(In thousands of dollars) |
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Cash flows from operating activities: |
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Net income |
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$ |
443,270 |
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$ |
498,752 |
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Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash
provided by operating activities: |
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Amortization of capitalized deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
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10,523 |
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15,253 |
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Deferred insurance policy acquistion costs |
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(5,979 |
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(8,262 |
) |
Depreciation and amortization |
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17,219 |
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13,581 |
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Decrease in accrued investment income |
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2,117 |
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4,934 |
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Decrease in reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
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1,261 |
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2,682 |
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Increase in prepaid reinsurance premiums |
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(424 |
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(944 |
) |
Decrease (increase) in premium receivable |
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7,746 |
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(456 |
) |
Decrease in loss reserves |
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(28,882 |
) |
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(84,552 |
) |
Increase in unearned premiums |
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21,667 |
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|
3,029 |
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Decrease in income taxes payable |
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(24,181 |
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(28,049 |
) |
Equity earnings in joint ventures |
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(180,393 |
) |
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(161,760 |
) |
Distributions from joint ventures |
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138,874 |
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137,661 |
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Other |
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6,551 |
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21,020 |
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Net cash provided by operating activities |
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409,369 |
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|
412,889 |
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Cash flows from investing activities: |
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Purchase of equity securities |
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(212 |
) |
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Purchase of fixed maturities |
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(1,476,014 |
) |
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(1,029,732 |
) |
Additional investment in joint ventures |
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(68,552 |
) |
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(11,948 |
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Sale of investment in joint ventures |
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15,652 |
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Sales of equity securities |
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|
9,541 |
|
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities |
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|
1,291,036 |
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|
965,558 |
|
Proceeds from maturity of fixed maturities |
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|
229,113 |
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|
229,286 |
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Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities |
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|
(24,629 |
) |
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|
178,357 |
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Cash flows from financing activities: |
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Dividends paid to shareholders |
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|
(64,741 |
) |
|
|
(35,128 |
) |
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt |
|
|
199,958 |
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|
Net repayment of short-term debt |
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|
(108,841 |
) |
|
|
(43,084 |
) |
Reissuance of treasury stock |
|
|
3,856 |
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|
|
(4,386 |
) |
Repurchase of common stock |
|
|
(373,049 |
) |
|
|
(341,734 |
) |
Common stock issued |
|
|
15,912 |
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|
8,134 |
|
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements |
|
|
4,323 |
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|
Net cash used in financing activities |
|
|
(322,582 |
) |
|
|
(416,198 |
) |
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|
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
62,158 |
|
|
|
175,048 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
|
|
195,256 |
|
|
|
166,468 |
|
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Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
|
$ |
257,414 |
|
|
$ |
341,516 |
|
|
|
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|
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|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
Page 5
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
September 30, 2006
(Unaudited)
Note 1 Basis of presentation and summary of certain significant accounting policies
The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation
(the Company) and its wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the
instructions to Form 10-Q and do not include all of the other information and disclosures required
by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. These statements
should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the
year ended December 31, 2005 included in the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for that year.
The accompanying consolidated financial statements have not been audited by independent
auditors in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United
States), but in the opinion of management such financial statements include all adjustments,
consisting primarily of normal recurring accruals, necessary to summarize fairly the Companys
financial position and results of operations. The results of operations for the nine months ended
September 30, 2006 may not be indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending
December 31, 2006.
New Accounting Standards
In February 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement of
Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial
Instruments an amendment of FASB Statements No. 133 and 140 (SFAS 155). SFAS 155 permits an
entity to measure at fair value any financial instrument that contains an embedded derivative that
otherwise would require bifurcation. This Statement is effective for all financial instruments
acquired or issued after the beginning of an entitys first fiscal year that begins after September
15, 2006. The Company is currently evaluating the provisions of SFAS 155 and believes that adoption
will not have a material effect on its financial position or results of operations.
In July 2006, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income
Taxes. The Interpretation seeks to reduce the significant diversity in practice associated with
recognition and measurement in the accounting for income taxes. The Interpretation applies to all
tax positions accounted for in accordance with SFAS No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes. When
evaluating a tax position for recognition and measurement, an entity shall presume that the tax
position will be examined by the relevant taxing authority that has full knowledge of all relevant
information. The Interpretation adopts a benefit recognition model with a two-step approach, a
more-likely-than-not threshold for recognition and derecognition, and a measurement attribute that
is the greatest amount of benefit that is cumulatively greater than 50% likely of being realized.
This Interpretation is effective for the first annual period beginning after
Page 6
December 15, 2006.
The Company is currently evaluating the impact
this Interpretation will have on the Companys results of operations and financial position.
In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157 Fair Value Measurements. This statement
provides enhanced guidance for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities. This statement
also provides expanded disclosure about the extent to which companies measure assets and
liabilities at fair value, the information used to measure fair value, and the effect of fair value
measurements on earnings. This statement applies whenever other standards require or permit assets
or liabilities to be measured at fair value. The statement does not expand the use of fair value in
any new circumstances. The statement is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years
beginning after November 15, 2007. The Company is currently evaluating the provisions of this
statement and the impact, if any, this statement will have on the Companys results of operations
and financial position.
In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 158 Employers Accounting for Defined Benefit
Pension and Other Postretirement Plans, an amendment of FASB Statements No. 87, 88, 106 and 132R.
The statement requires, among other things, an employer to recognize in its balance sheet an asset
for a plans overfunded status or a liability for a plans underfunded status and to measure a
plans assets and its obligations that determine its funded status as of the end of the employers
fiscal year beginning for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2008. Calendar year-end companies
with publicly traded equity securities are required to adopt the recognition and disclosure
provisions as of December 31, 2006 on a prospective basis. The Company expects the adoption
of this statement to have no material impact on the Companys financial position and no impact on
the Companys results of operations, since any impact will be recorded on the balance sheet through
other comprehensive income.
Reclassifications
Certain reclassifications have been made in the accompanying financial statements to 2005
amounts to conform to 2006 presentation.
Note 2 Short- and long-term debt
The Company has a $300 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by Standard and
Poors (S&P) and P-1 by Moodys. At September 30, 2006 and 2005, the Company had $84.3 million
and $100.0 million in commercial paper outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 5.36%
and 3.80%, respectively.
The Company has a $300 million, five year revolving credit facility, expiring in 2010. Under
the terms of the credit facility, the Company must maintain shareholders equity of at least $2.25
billion and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) must maintain a risk-to-capital ratio
of not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus
and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance
regulation. At September 30, 2006, these requirements
were met. The facility will continue to be used as a liquidity back up facility
Page 7
for the outstanding
commercial paper. The remaining credit available under the facility after reduction for the amount
necessary to support the commercial paper was $215.7 million and $200.0 million at September 30,
2006 and 2005, respectively.
In September 2006 the Company issued, in a public offering, $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes
due in 2011. Interest on the Senior Notes is payable semiannually in arrears on March 15 and
September 15, beginning on March 15, 2007. The Senior Notes were rated A-1 by Moodys, A by S&P
and A+ by Fitch. In addition to the recent offering, the Company had $300 million, 5.375% Senior
Notes due in November 2015 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in March 2007 outstanding at
September 30, 2006. At September 30, 2005 the Company had $300 million, 7.5% Senior Notes due in
October 2005 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in March 2007. At September 30, 2006 and 2005,
the market value of the outstanding debt (which also includes commercial paper) was $776.9 million
and $603.6 million, respectively.
Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt were $27.3 million and $30.1 million
for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively.
During the first quarter of 2006, an outstanding interest rate swap contract was terminated.
This swap was placed into service to coincide with the committed credit facility, used as a backup
for the commercial paper program. Under the terms of the swap contract, the Company paid a fixed
rate of 5.07% and received a variable interest rate based on the London Inter Bank Offering Rate
(LIBOR). The swap had an expiration date coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and
was designated as a cash flow hedge. At September 30, 2006 the Company has no interest rate swaps
outstanding.
(Income) expense on the interest rate swaps for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and
2005 of approximately ($0.1) million and $0.7 million, respectively, was included in interest
expense. Gains or losses arising from the amendment or termination of interest rate swaps are
deferred and amortized to interest expense over the life of the hedged items.
Note 3 Litigation and contingencies
The Company is involved in litigation in the ordinary course of business. In the opinion of
management, the ultimate resolution of this pending litigation will not have a material adverse
effect on the financial position or results of operations of the Company.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and
settlement service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been
involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate
Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair
Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. There can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to
future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not
have a material adverse effect on the Company. In August 2005, the United States
Page 8
Court of Appeals
for the Ninth Circuit decided a case under FCRA to which the Company was not a party that may make
it more likely that the Company will be subject to litigation regarding when notices to borrowers
are required by FCRA.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department (the NYID), the
Company provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the NYID requested MGIC to
review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years experience
or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the NYID that
it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk,
premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in
response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the MDC), which
regulates insurance, the Company provided the MDC with information about captive mortgage
reinsurance and certain other matters. The Company subsequently provided additional information to
the MDC. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek
information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may
bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of
many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms
to enforce this prohibition. While the Company believes its captive reinsurance arrangements are in
conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any
such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on the Company or the
mortgage insurance industry.
Under its contract underwriting agreements, the Company may be required to provide certain
remedies to its customers if certain standards relating to the quality of the Companys
underwriting work are not met. The cost of remedies provided by the Company to customers for
failing to meet these standards has not been material to the Companys financial position or
results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has been conducting an examination of the federal income
tax returns of the Company for taxable years 2000 though 2004. The IRS has indicated that they
intend to propose adjustments to taxable income relating to a portfolio of investments in the
residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICs). This portfolio has been
managed and maintained during years prior to, during and subsequent to the examination period. The
tax returns have included the flow through of income and losses from these investments in the
computation of taxable income. The IRS has indicated that they do not believe that the Company has
established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct some portion of the flow
through losses from income. To date, they have not provided a detailed explanation of their
position or the calculation of the dollar amount of any potential adjustment. The Company will
contest any such proposal to increase taxable
income and believes that income taxes related to these years have been properly provided for
in the financial statements.
Page 9
Note 4 Earnings per share
The Companys basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been calculated in accordance
with SFAS No. 128, Earnings Per Share. The Companys net income is the same for both basic and
diluted EPS. Basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding.
Diluted EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding plus common stock
equivalents which include stock awards and stock options. The following is a reconciliation of the
weighted average number of shares used for basic EPS and diluted EPS.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
(Shares in thousands) |
|
Weighted-average shares Basic |
|
|
83,238 |
|
|
|
91,087 |
|
|
|
85,161 |
|
|
|
92,982 |
|
Common stock equivalents |
|
|
528 |
|
|
|
709 |
|
|
|
601 |
|
|
|
648 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares Diluted |
|
|
83,766 |
|
|
|
91,796 |
|
|
|
85,762 |
|
|
|
93,630 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 10
Note 5 Comprehensive income
The Companys total comprehensive income, as calculated per SFAS No. 130, Reporting
Comprehensive Income, was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
129,978 |
|
|
$ |
142,382 |
|
|
$ |
443,270 |
|
|
$ |
498,752 |
|
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
|
|
72,140 |
|
|
|
(41,696 |
) |
|
|
7,900 |
|
|
|
(36,183 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total comprehensive income |
|
$ |
202,118 |
|
|
$ |
100,686 |
|
|
$ |
451,170 |
|
|
$ |
462,569 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income (loss) (net of tax): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized net derivative gains
and losses |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
4,952 |
|
|
$ |
777 |
|
|
$ |
103 |
|
Amortization of deferred losses on derivatives |
|
|
|
|
|
|
203 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
609 |
|
Change in unrealized gains and losses
on investments |
|
|
72,138 |
|
|
|
(47,369 |
) |
|
|
7,085 |
|
|
|
(37,849 |
) |
Other |
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
518 |
|
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
954 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income (loss) |
|
$ |
72,140 |
|
|
$ |
(41,696 |
) |
|
$ |
7,900 |
|
|
$ |
(36,183 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At September 30, 2006, accumulated other comprehensive income of $85.4 million included
$85.0 million of net unrealized gains on investments and $0.4 million relating to the accumulated
other comprehensive gain of the Companys joint venture investment, all net of tax. At December 31,
2005, accumulated other comprehensive income of $77.5 million included $77.9 million of net
unrealized gains on investments, ($0.8) million relating to derivative financial instruments and
$0.4 million relating to the accumulated other comprehensive loss of the Companys joint venture
investment.
Page 11
Note 6 Benefit Plans
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension and
other postretirement benefit plans:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Pension Benefits |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
2,348 |
|
|
$ |
2,209 |
|
|
$ |
907 |
|
|
$ |
854 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
2,607 |
|
|
|
2,370 |
|
|
|
1,020 |
|
|
|
931 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(3,724 |
) |
|
|
(3,354 |
) |
|
|
(649 |
) |
|
|
(561 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss (gain) |
|
|
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
105 |
|
|
|
75 |
|
Amortization of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71 |
|
|
|
70 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
216 |
|
|
|
186 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
1,482 |
|
|
$ |
1,411 |
|
|
$ |
1,454 |
|
|
$ |
1,369 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Pension Benefits |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
7,044 |
|
|
$ |
6,629 |
|
|
$ |
2,721 |
|
|
$ |
2,561 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
7,820 |
|
|
|
7,112 |
|
|
|
3,058 |
|
|
|
2,792 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(11,172 |
) |
|
|
(10,064 |
) |
|
|
(1,946 |
) |
|
|
(1,682 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss (gain) |
|
|
106 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
316 |
|
|
|
226 |
|
Amortization of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
213 |
|
|
|
212 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
648 |
|
|
|
556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
4,446 |
|
|
$ |
4,233 |
|
|
$ |
4,362 |
|
|
$ |
4,109 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Company previously disclosed in its financial statements for the year ended December
31, 2005 that it expected to contribute approximately $10.3 million and $4.6 million, respectively,
to its pension and postretirement plans in 2006. As of September 30, 2006, no contributions have
been made.
Note 7 Share-based compensation plans
The Company has certain share-based compensation plans. Effective January 1, 2006, the
Company adopted the fair value recognition provisions of SFAS No. 123R, Share-
Based Payment, under the modified prospective method, accordingly prior period amounts have not
been restated. SFAS No. 123R requires that the
Page 12
compensation cost relating to share-based payment
transactions be measured based on the fair value of the equity or liability instrument issued and
be recognized in the financial statements of the Company. This statement is a revision of SFAS No.
123, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation. The fair value recognition provisions of SFAS No.
123 were voluntarily adopted by the Company in 2003 prospectively to all employee awards granted or
modified on or after January 1, 2003. The adoption of SFAS No. 123R and SFAS No. 123 did not have
a material effect on the Companys results of operations or its financial position. Under the fair
value method, compensation cost is measured at the grant date based on the fair value of the award
and is recognized over the service period which generally corresponds to the vesting period.
Awards under the Companys plans generally vest over periods ranging from one to five years.
The cost related to stock-based employee compensation included in the determination of net
income for 2005 was less than that which would have been recognized if the fair value based method
had been applied to all awards since the original effective date of SFAS No. 123. The following
table illustrates the effect on net income and earnings per share if the fair value method had been
applied to all outstanding and unvested awards for the three and nine months ended September 30,
2005.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars, |
|
|
|
except per share data) |
|
Net income, as reported |
|
$ |
142,382 |
|
|
$ |
498,752 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Add stock-based employee compensation
expense included in reported net income,
net of tax |
|
|
3,186 |
|
|
|
8,913 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deduct stock-based employee compensation
expense determined under fair value method
for all awards, net of tax |
|
|
(4,273 |
) |
|
|
(12,190 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pro forma net income |
|
$ |
141,295 |
|
|
$ |
495,475 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic, as reported |
|
$ |
1.56 |
|
|
$ |
5.36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic, pro forma |
|
$ |
1.55 |
|
|
$ |
5.33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted, as reported |
|
$ |
1.55 |
|
|
$ |
5.33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted, pro-forma |
|
$ |
1.54 |
|
|
$ |
5.29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The compensation cost that has been charged against income for the share-based plans
was $8.8 million and $25.4 million for the three and nine months ended
Page 13
September 30, 2006, compared
to $4.9 million and $13.7 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005. The
related income tax benefit recognized for the share-based compensation plans was $8.9 million and
$4.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively.
The Company has stock incentive plans that were adopted in 1991 and 2002. When the 2002 plan
was adopted, no further awards could be made under the 1991 plan. The maximum number of shares
covered by awards under the 2002 plan is the total of 7.1 million shares plus the number of shares
that must be purchased at a purchase price of not less than the fair market value of the shares as
a condition to the award of restricted stock under the 2002 plan. The maximum number of shares of
restricted stock that can be awarded under the 2002 plan is 5.9 million shares. Both plans provide
for the award of stock options with maximum terms of 10 years and for the grant of restricted stock
or restricted stock units, and the 2002 plan also provides for the grant of stock appreciation
rights. The exercise price of options is the closing price of the common stock on the New York
Stock Exchange on the date of grant. The vesting provisions of options and restricted stock are
determined at the time of grant. Newly issued shares are used for exercises under the 1991 plan,
and treasury shares are used for exercises under the 2002 plan. Directors may receive awards under
the 2002 plan and were eligible for awards of restricted stock under the 1991 plan.
A summary of option activity in the stock incentive plans during 2006 is as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted |
|
|
|
|
Average |
|
Shares |
|
|
Exercise |
|
Subject |
|
|
Price |
|
to Option |
Outstanding, December 31, 2005 |
|
$ |
54.19 |
|
|
|
3,274,731 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Granted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exercised |
|
|
39.20 |
|
|
|
(238,437 |
) |
Forfeited or expired |
|
|
54.80 |
|
|
|
(13,930 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding, March 31, 2006 |
|
$ |
55.37 |
|
|
|
3,022,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Granted |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exercised |
|
|
50.68 |
|
|
|
(255,745 |
) |
Forfeited or expired |
|
|
68.50 |
|
|
|
(2,800 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding, June 30, 2006 |
|
$ |
55.79 |
|
|
|
2,763,819 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Granted |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exercised |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forfeited or expired |
|
|
63.80 |
|
|
|
(200 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding, September 30, 2006 |
|
$ |
55.79 |
|
|
|
2,763,619 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 14
During the nine months ended September 30, 2006, the total intrinsic value of
options exercised (i.e., the difference in the market price at exercise and the price paid by the
employee to exercise the option) was $10.0 million. The total amount of cash received from
exercise of options was $15.0 million and the related net tax benefit realized from the exercise of
those stock options was $3.5 million for the same period. There were no options exercised during
the third quarter of 2006.
The following is a summary of stock options outstanding at September 30, 2006:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Options Outstanding |
|
Options Exercisable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted |
Exercise |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining |
|
Average |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining |
|
Average |
Price |
|
|
|
|
|
Average |
|
Exercise |
|
|
|
|
|
Average |
|
Exercise |
Range |
|
Shares |
|
Life (years) |
|
Price |
|
Shares |
|
Life (years) |
|
Price |
$33.81 - 47.31 |
|
|
1,167,619 |
|
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
$ |
44.17 |
|
|
|
633,629 |
|
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
$ |
43.70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$53.70 - 68.63 |
|
|
1,596,000 |
|
|
|
5.6 |
|
|
$ |
64.28 |
|
|
|
1,119,300 |
|
|
|
5.2 |
|
|
$ |
63.15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
2,763,619 |
|
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
$ |
55.79 |
|
|
|
1,752,929 |
|
|
|
4.6 |
|
|
$ |
56.12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The aggregate intrinsic value of options outstanding at September 30, 2006 was $11.6
million. The aggregate intrinsic value of options exercisable was $6.8 million. The aggregate
intrinsic value represents the total pre-tax intrinsic value based on the Companys closing stock
price of $59.97 as of September 30, 2006 which would have been received by the option holders had
all option holders exercised their options on that date.
Page 15
A summary of restricted stock or restricted stock units during 2006 is as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Market |
|
|
|
|
Value |
|
Shares |
Restricted stock outstanding at December 31, 2005 |
|
$ |
60.50 |
|
|
|
912,671 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Granted |
|
|
64.66 |
|
|
|
564,350 |
|
Vested |
|
|
56.87 |
|
|
|
(262,982 |
) |
Forfeited |
|
|
61.53 |
|
|
|
(6,069 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Restricted stock outstanding at March 31, 2006 |
|
$ |
63.26 |
|
|
|
1,207,970 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Granted |
|
|
69.96 |
|
|
|
1,000 |
|
Vested |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forfeited |
|
|
64.26 |
|
|
|
(240 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Restricted stock outstanding at June 30, 2006 |
|
$ |
63.27 |
|
|
|
1,208,730 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Granted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Vested |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forfeited |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Restricted stock outstanding at September 30, 2006 |
|
$ |
63.27 |
|
|
|
1,208,730 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At September 30, 2006, 4,523,718 shares were available for future grant under the
2002 stock incentive plan. Of the shares available for future grant, 4,440,398 are available for
restricted stock awards.
As of September 30, 2006, there was $61.6 million of total unrecognized compensation cost
related to nonvested share-based compensation agreements granted under the Plan. That cost is
expected to be recognized over a weighted-average period of 2.6 years. The total fair value of
shares vested during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 was zero and $17.1 million,
respectively.
For purposes of determining the pro forma net income, the fair value of options granted was
estimated at grant date using the binomial option pricing model for the 2004 options and the
Black-Scholes model for the 2003 and prior options with the following weighted average assumptions
for each year:
Page 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Grants Issued in Year Ended December 31, |
|
|
2004 |
|
2003 |
Risk free interest rate |
|
|
3.27 |
% |
|
|
2.91 |
% |
Expected life |
|
5.50 |
years |
|
4.87 |
years |
Expected volatility |
|
|
30.20 |
% |
|
|
29.40 |
% |
Expected dividend yield |
|
|
0.25 |
% |
|
|
0.25 |
% |
Fair value of each option |
|
$ |
21.68 |
|
|
$ |
13.12 |
|
Page 17
Note 8 Condensed consolidating financial statements
The following condensed financial information sets forth, on a consolidating basis, the
balance sheet, statement of operations, and statement of cash flows for MGIC Investment Corporation
(Parent Company), which represents the Companys investments in all of its subsidiaries under the
equity method, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation and Subsidiaries (MGIC Consolidated), and
all other subsidiaries of the Company (Other) on a combined basis. The eliminations column
represents entries eliminating investments in subsidiaries, intercompany balances, and intercompany
revenues and expenses.
Page 18
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheets
At September 30, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments |
|
$ |
2,420 |
|
|
$ |
4,946,219 |
|
|
$ |
301,456 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
5,250,095 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
179,321 |
|
|
|
55,130 |
|
|
|
22,963 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
257,414 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
74,534 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
(61,029 |
) |
|
|
13,526 |
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
25,273 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
(15,243 |
) |
|
|
10,032 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,872 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,872 |
|
Investments in subsidiaries/joint ventures |
|
|
4,819,322 |
|
|
|
591,907 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(4,819,322 |
) |
|
|
591,907 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
18,885 |
|
|
|
383,965 |
|
|
|
28,431 |
|
|
|
(52,942 |
) |
|
|
378,339 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
5,019,948 |
|
|
$ |
6,090,900 |
|
|
$ |
352,873 |
|
|
$ |
(4,948,536 |
) |
|
$ |
6,515,185 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss reserves |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
1,095,572 |
|
|
$ |
61,029 |
|
|
$ |
(61,029 |
) |
|
$ |
1,095,572 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
181,491 |
|
|
|
15,242 |
|
|
|
(15,243 |
) |
|
|
181,490 |
|
Short- and long-term debt |
|
|
782,096 |
|
|
|
9,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9,325 |
) |
|
|
782,135 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
17,758 |
|
|
|
208,252 |
|
|
|
42,279 |
|
|
|
(32,395 |
) |
|
|
235,894 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
799,854 |
|
|
|
1,494,679 |
|
|
|
118,550 |
|
|
|
(117,992 |
) |
|
|
2,295,091 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity |
|
|
4,220,094 |
|
|
|
4,596,221 |
|
|
|
234,323 |
|
|
|
(4,830,544 |
) |
|
|
4,220,094 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
5,019,948 |
|
|
$ |
6,090,900 |
|
|
$ |
352,873 |
|
|
$ |
(4,948,536 |
) |
|
$ |
6,515,185 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheets
At December 31, 2005
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments |
|
$ |
2,570 |
|
|
$ |
5,047,475 |
|
|
$ |
245,385 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
5,295,430 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
211 |
|
|
|
176,370 |
|
|
|
18,675 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
195,256 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
78,097 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
(63,346 |
) |
|
|
14,787 |
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
17,521 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(7,916 |
) |
|
|
9,608 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18,416 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18,416 |
|
Investments in subsidiaries/joint ventures |
|
|
4,842,932 |
|
|
|
481,778 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(4,842,932 |
) |
|
|
481,778 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
13,542 |
|
|
|
356,624 |
|
|
|
28,274 |
|
|
|
(56,146 |
) |
|
|
342,294 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
4,859,255 |
|
|
$ |
6,176,281 |
|
|
$ |
292,373 |
|
|
$ |
(4,970,340 |
) |
|
$ |
6,357,569 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss reserves |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
1,124,454 |
|
|
$ |
63,346 |
|
|
$ |
(63,346 |
) |
|
$ |
1,124,454 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
159,823 |
|
|
|
7,916 |
|
|
|
(7,916 |
) |
|
|
159,823 |
|
Short- and long-term debt |
|
|
685,124 |
|
|
|
9,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9,325 |
) |
|
|
685,163 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
9,076 |
|
|
|
232,109 |
|
|
|
13,435 |
|
|
|
(31,546 |
) |
|
|
223,074 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
694,200 |
|
|
|
1,525,750 |
|
|
|
84,697 |
|
|
|
(112,133 |
) |
|
|
2,192,514 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity |
|
|
4,165,055 |
|
|
|
4,650,531 |
|
|
|
207,676 |
|
|
|
(4,858,207 |
) |
|
|
4,165,055 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
4,859,255 |
|
|
$ |
6,176,281 |
|
|
$ |
292,373 |
|
|
$ |
(4,970,340 |
) |
|
$ |
6,357,569 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 19
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Operations
Three months ended September 30, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
287,209 |
|
|
$ |
18,696 |
|
|
$ |
(35 |
) |
|
$ |
305,870 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
276,908 |
|
|
|
19,334 |
|
|
|
(35 |
) |
|
|
296,207 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity in undistributed
net income of subsidiaries |
|
|
(18,635 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18,635 |
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends received from subsidiaries |
|
|
155,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(155,000 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
87 |
|
|
|
57,119 |
|
|
|
4,280 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61,486 |
|
Realized investment gains, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(100 |
) |
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
251 |
|
|
|
185 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,724 |
|
|
|
8,795 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,519 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
136,452 |
|
|
|
336,651 |
|
|
|
32,443 |
|
|
|
(136,149 |
) |
|
|
369,397 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
154,632 |
|
|
|
10,365 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
164,997 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
|
|
65 |
|
|
|
50,788 |
|
|
|
19,897 |
|
|
|
(46 |
) |
|
|
70,704 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
9,849 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9,849 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
9,914 |
|
|
|
205,420 |
|
|
|
30,262 |
|
|
|
(46 |
) |
|
|
245,550 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
126,538 |
|
|
|
131,231 |
|
|
|
2,181 |
|
|
|
(136,103 |
) |
|
|
123,847 |
|
Provision (credit) for income tax |
|
|
(3,440 |
) |
|
|
32,957 |
|
|
|
(123 |
) |
|
|
337 |
|
|
|
29,731 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
35,862 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35,862 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
129,978 |
|
|
$ |
134,136 |
|
|
$ |
2,304 |
|
|
$ |
(136,440 |
) |
|
$ |
129,978 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Operations
Nine months ended September 30, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
850,926 |
|
|
$ |
60,793 |
|
|
$ |
(97 |
) |
|
$ |
911,622 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
837,010 |
|
|
|
53,464 |
|
|
|
(97 |
) |
|
|
890,377 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity in undistributed
net income of subsidiaries |
|
|
(53,555 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53,555 |
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends received from subsidiaries |
|
|
515,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(515,000 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
237 |
|
|
|
168,519 |
|
|
|
10,074 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
178,830 |
|
Realized investment gains, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,948 |
) |
|
|
131 |
|
|
|
251 |
|
|
|
(1,566 |
) |
Other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
8,081 |
|
|
|
26,211 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34,292 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
461,682 |
|
|
|
1,011,662 |
|
|
|
89,880 |
|
|
|
(461,291 |
) |
|
|
1,101,933 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
405,984 |
|
|
|
20,365 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
426,349 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
|
|
192 |
|
|
|
156,067 |
|
|
|
60,332 |
|
|
|
(130 |
) |
|
|
216,461 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
28,007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28,007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
28,199 |
|
|
|
562,051 |
|
|
|
80,697 |
|
|
|
(130 |
) |
|
|
670,817 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
433,483 |
|
|
|
449,611 |
|
|
|
9,183 |
|
|
|
(461,161 |
) |
|
|
431,116 |
|
Provision (credit) for income tax |
|
|
(9,787 |
) |
|
|
118,653 |
|
|
|
1,118 |
|
|
|
392 |
|
|
|
110,376 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
122,530 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
122,530 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
443,270 |
|
|
$ |
453,488 |
|
|
$ |
8,065 |
|
|
$ |
(461,553 |
) |
|
$ |
443,270 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 20
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Operations
Three months ended September 30, 2005
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
293,294 |
|
|
$ |
20,947 |
|
|
$ |
(63 |
) |
|
$ |
314,178 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
289,439 |
|
|
|
16,465 |
|
|
|
(63 |
) |
|
|
305,841 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity in undistributed
net income of subsidiaries |
|
|
103,879 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(103,879 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Dividends received from subsidiaries |
|
|
44,300 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(44,300 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
1,249 |
|
|
|
53,528 |
|
|
|
2,561 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57,338 |
|
Realized investment gains, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
455 |
|
|
|
12,048 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12,503 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
149,428 |
|
|
|
343,464 |
|
|
|
31,093 |
|
|
|
(148,242 |
) |
|
|
375,743 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
139,779 |
|
|
|
6,418 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
146,197 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
|
|
84 |
|
|
|
47,034 |
|
|
|
22,651 |
|
|
|
(74 |
) |
|
|
69,695 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
10,083 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
10,084 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
10,167 |
|
|
|
186,813 |
|
|
|
29,069 |
|
|
|
(73 |
) |
|
|
225,976 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
139,261 |
|
|
|
156,651 |
|
|
|
2,024 |
|
|
|
(148,169 |
) |
|
|
149,767 |
|
Provision (credit) for income tax |
|
|
(3,121 |
) |
|
|
42,099 |
|
|
|
143 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
39,126 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
31,741 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31,741 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
142,382 |
|
|
$ |
146,293 |
|
|
$ |
1,881 |
|
|
$ |
(148,174 |
) |
|
$ |
142,382 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Operations
Nine months ended September 30, 2005
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
881,596 |
|
|
$ |
54,250 |
|
|
$ |
(209 |
) |
|
$ |
935,637 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
883,688 |
|
|
|
50,074 |
|
|
|
(209 |
) |
|
|
933,553 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity in undistributed
net income of subsidiaries |
|
|
10,445 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(10,445 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Dividends received from subsidiaries |
|
|
507,900 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(507,900 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
1,852 |
|
|
|
162,684 |
|
|
|
7,407 |
|
|
|
(424 |
) |
|
|
171,519 |
|
Realized investment gains, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
16,780 |
|
|
|
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16,813 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,351 |
|
|
|
32,368 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33,719 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
520,197 |
|
|
|
1,064,503 |
|
|
|
89,882 |
|
|
|
(518,978 |
) |
|
|
1,155,604 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
364,023 |
|
|
|
17,955 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
381,978 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses |
|
|
214 |
|
|
|
141,649 |
|
|
|
64,028 |
|
|
|
(242 |
) |
|
|
205,649 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
31,318 |
|
|
|
424 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(424 |
) |
|
|
31,318 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
31,532 |
|
|
|
506,096 |
|
|
|
81,983 |
|
|
|
(666 |
) |
|
|
618,945 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
488,665 |
|
|
|
558,407 |
|
|
|
7,899 |
|
|
|
(518,312 |
) |
|
|
536,659 |
|
Provision (credit) for income tax |
|
|
(10,087 |
) |
|
|
157,759 |
|
|
|
1,007 |
|
|
|
(288 |
) |
|
|
148,391 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
110,484 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
110,484 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
498,752 |
|
|
$ |
511,132 |
|
|
$ |
6,892 |
|
|
$ |
(518,024 |
) |
|
$ |
498,752 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 21
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flows
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Net cash from operating activities: |
|
$ |
524,364 |
(1) |
|
$ |
361,916 |
|
|
$ |
60,911 |
|
|
$ |
(537,823 |
) |
|
$ |
409,368 |
|
Net cash (used in) from investing activities: |
|
|
(18,350 |
) |
|
|
31,844 |
|
|
|
(56,623 |
) |
|
|
18,500 |
|
|
|
(24,629 |
) |
Net cash used in financing activities: |
|
|
(326,904 |
) |
|
|
(515,000 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
519,323 |
|
|
|
(322,581 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in Cash |
|
$ |
179,110 |
|
|
$ |
(121,240 |
) |
|
$ |
4,288 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
62,158 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes dividends received from subsidiaries of $515,000. |
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flows
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005
(in thousands of dollars)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Parent |
|
|
MGIC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company |
|
|
Consolidated |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Eliminations |
|
|
Total |
|
Net cash from operating activities: |
|
$ |
519,716 |
(1) |
|
$ |
391,328 |
|
|
$ |
12,845 |
|
|
$ |
(511,000 |
) |
|
$ |
412,889 |
|
Net cash (used in) from investing activities: |
|
|
(2,948 |
) |
|
|
198,415 |
|
|
|
(20,210 |
) |
|
|
3,100 |
|
|
|
178,357 |
|
Net cash used in financing activities: |
|
|
(416,198 |
) |
|
|
(507,900 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
507,900 |
|
|
|
(416,198 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in Cash |
|
$ |
100,570 |
|
|
$ |
81,843 |
|
|
$ |
(7,365 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
175,048 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes dividends received from subsidiaries of $507,900. |
Page 22
|
|
|
ITEM 2. |
|
MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS |
Overview
Business and General Environment
Through our subsidiary Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), we are the leading
provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry.
Our principal products are primary mortgage insurance and pool mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage
insurance may be written through the flow market channel, in which loans are insured in individual,
loan-by-loan transactions. Primary mortgage insurance may also be written through the bulk market
channel, in which portfolios of loans are individually insured in single, bulk transactions.
As used below, we and our refer to MGIC Investment Corporations consolidated operations.
The discussion below should be read in conjunction with Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2005. We refer to this Discussion as the 10-K MD&A.
Our results of operations are affected by:
|
|
Premiums written and earned |
Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by:
|
o |
|
New insurance written, which increases the size of the
in force book of insurance. New insurance written is
the aggregate principal amount of the mortgages that
are insured during a period and is referred to as
NIW. NIW is affected by many factors, including the
volume of low down payment home mortgage originations
and competition to provide credit enhancement on those
mortgages, including competition from other mortgage
insurers and alternatives to mortgage insurance, such
as piggyback loans. |
|
|
o |
|
Cancellations, which reduce the size of the in force
book of insurance that generates premiums.
Cancellations due to refinancings are affected by the
level of current mortgage interest rates compared to
the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in force
book, as well as by home price appreciation. |
|
|
o |
|
Premium rates, which are affected by the risk
characteristics of the loans insured and the
percentage of coverage on the loans. |
|
|
o |
|
Premiums ceded to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain
mortgage lenders and risk sharing arrangements with
the Federal National Mortgage Association and the
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (government
sponsored entities or GSEs). |
Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or
a portion of the
Page 23
period. Hence, lower average insurance in force in
one period compared to another is a factor that will reduce premiums
written and earned, although this effect may be mitigated (or
enhanced) by differences in the average premium rate between the two
periods as well as by premium that is ceded. Also, NIW and
cancellations during a period will generally have a greater effect on
premiums written and earned in subsequent periods than in the period
in which these events occur.
|
|
Investment income and realized gains and losses |
The investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of highly rated, fixed income
securities. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio
and its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair market value, such as
from changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio is mainly a function of cash
generated from operations, including investment earnings, less cash used for non-investment
purposes, such as share repurchases. Realized gains and losses are a function of the difference
between the amount received on sale of a security and the securitys amortized cost. The amount
received on sale is affected by the coupon rate of the security compared to the yield of comparable
securities.
Losses incurred are the expense that results from a payment delinquency on an insured loan. As
explained under Critical Accounting Policies in the 10-K MD&A, this expense is recognized only
when a loan is delinquent. Losses incurred are generally affected by:
|
o |
|
The state of the economy, which affects the likelihood that loans will
become delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their
delinquency. The level of delinquencies has historically followed a
seasonal pattern, with a reduction in delinquencies in the first part
of the year, followed by an increase in the latter part of the year. |
|
|
o |
|
The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk
characteristics generally resulting in higher delinquencies and
claims. |
|
|
o |
|
The average claim payment, which is affected by the size of loans
insured (higher average loan amounts tend to increase losses
incurred), the percentage coverage on insured loans (deeper average
coverage tends to increase incurred losses), and housing values, which
affect our ability to mitigate our losses through sales of properties
with delinquent mortgages. |
|
|
o |
|
The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the
first two years after a loan is originated are a period of relatively
low claims, with claims increasing substantially for several years
subsequent and then declining, although persistency and the condition
of the economy can affect this pattern. |
|
|
Underwriting and other expenses
|
Page 24
Our operating expenses generally vary primarily due to contract underwriting volume, which in
turn generally varies with the level of mortgage origination activity. Contract underwriting
generates fee income included in Other revenue.
|
|
Income from joint ventures |
Our results of operations are also affected by income from joint ventures. Joint venture
income principally consists of the aggregate results of our investment in two less than majority
owned joint ventures, Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) and Sherman
Financial Group LLC (Sherman).
C-BASS: C-BASS is primarily an investor in the credit risk of credit-sensitive single-family
residential mortgages. It finances these activities through borrowings included on its balance
sheet and by securitization activities generally conducted through off-balance sheet entities.
C-BASS generally retains the first-loss and other subordinate securities created in the
securitization. The mortgage loans owned by C-BASS and underlying C-BASSs mortgage securities
investments are generally serviced by Litton Loan Servicing LP, a subsidiary of C-BASS (Litton).
Littons servicing operations primarily support C-BASSs investment in credit risk, and investments
made by funds managed or co-managed by C-BASS, rather than generating fees for servicing loans
owned by third-parties.
C-BASSs consolidated results of operations are affected by:
|
|
|
Portfolio revenue, which in turn is primarily affected by net interest
income, gain on sale and liquidation and hedging gains and losses
related to portfolio assets, net of mark-to-market and whole loan
reserve changes. |
|
o |
|
Net interest income |
|
|
|
|
Net interest income is principally a function of the size of C-BASSs
portfolio of whole loans and mortgages and other securities, and the
spread between the interest income generated by these assets and the
interest expense of funding them. Interest income from a particular
security is recognized based on the expected yield for the security. |
|
|
o |
|
Gain on sale and liquidation |
|
|
|
|
Gain on sale and liquidation results from sales of mortgage and other
securities, and liquidation of mortgage loans. Securities may be sold
in the normal course of business or because of the exercise of call
rights by third parties. Mortgage loan liquidations result from loan
payoffs, from foreclosure or from sales of real estate acquired
through foreclosure. |
|
|
Servicing revenue |
|
|
|
Servicing revenue is a function of the unpaid principal balance of
mortgage loans serviced and servicing fees and charges. The unpaid
principal balance of mortgage loans serviced by Litton is affected by
mortgages acquired by C-BASS |
Page 25
|
|
because servicing on subprime and other
mortgages acquired is generally transferred to Litton. Litton also
services or provides special servicing on loans in mortgage securities
owned by funds managed or co-managed by C-BASS. Litton also may obtain
servicing on loans in third party mortgage securities acquired by
C-BASS or when the loans become delinquent by a specified number of
payments (known as special servicing). |
|
|
|
Revenues from money management activities |
|
|
|
These revenues include management fees from C-BASS issued
collateralized bond obligations (CBOs), equity in earnings from
C-BASS investments in investment funds managed or co-managed by C-BASS
and management fees and incentive income from investment funds managed
or co-managed by C-BASS. |
|
|
|
Transaction revenue, which in turn is affected by gain on
securitization and hedging gains and losses related to securitization |
|
o |
|
Gain on securitization |
|
|
|
|
Gain on securitization is a function of the face amount of the
collateral in the securitization and the margin realized in the
securitization. This margin depends on the difference between the
proceeds realized in the securitization and the purchase price paid by
C-BASS for the collateral. The proceeds realized in a securitization
include the value of securities created in the securitization that are
retained by C-BASS. |
|
|
Hedging gains and losses, net of mark-to-market and whole loan reserve changes |
|
|
|
Hedging gains and losses primarily consist of changes in the value of
derivative instruments (including interest rate swaps, interest rate caps and
futures) and short positions, as well as realized gains and losses from the
closing of hedging positions. C-BASS uses derivative instruments and short
sales in a strategy to reduce the impact of changes in interest rates on the
value of its mortgage loans and securities. Changes in value of derivative
instruments are subject to current recognition because C-BASS does not
account for the derivatives as hedges under SFAS No. 133. |
|
|
|
Mortgage and other securities are classified by C-BASS as trading securities
and are carried at fair value, as estimated by C-BASS. Changes in fair value
between period ends (a mark-to-market) are reflected in C-BASSs statement
of operations as unrealized gains or losses. Changes in fair value of
mortgage and other securities may relate to changes in credit spreads or to
changes in the level of interest rates or the slope of the yield curve.
Mortgage loans are not marked-to-market and are carried at the lower of cost
or fair value on a portfolio basis, as estimated by C-BASS. |
|
|
|
During a period in which short-term interest rates decline, in general,
C-BASSs hedging positions will decline in value and the change in value, to
the extent that |
Page 26
the hedges related to whole loans, will be reflected in
C-BASSs earnings for the period as an unrealized loss. The related increase,
if any, in the value of mortgage loans will not be reflected in earnings but,
absent any countervailing factors, when mortgage loans owned during the
period are securitized, the proceeds realized in the securitization should
increase to reflect the increased value of the collateral.
Sherman: Sherman is principally engaged in purchasing and collecting for its own account
delinquent consumer receivables, which are primarily unsecured, and in originating and servicing
subprime credit card receivables. The borrowings used to finance these activities are included in
Shermans balance sheet.
Shermans consolidated results of operations are affected by:
|
|
|
Revenues from delinquent receivable portfolios |
|
|
|
|
These revenues are the cash collections on such
portfolios, and depend on the aggregate amount of
delinquent receivables owned by Sherman, the type
of receivable and the length of time that the
receivable has been owned by Sherman. |
|
|
|
|
Amortization of delinquent receivable portfolios |
|
|
|
|
Amortization is the recovery of the cost to
purchase the receivable portfolios. Amortization
expense is a function of estimated collections
from the portfolios over their estimated lives. If
estimated collections cannot be reasonably
predicted, cost is fully recovered before any net
revenue (the difference between revenues from a
receivable portfolio and that portfolios
amortization) is recognized. |
|
|
|
|
Credit card interest and fees, along with the
coincident provision for losses for uncollectible
amounts. |
|
|
|
|
Costs of collection, which include servicing fees
paid to third parties to collect receivables. |
2006 Third Quarter Results
Our results of operations in the third quarter of 2006 were principally affected by:
Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2006 increased compared to the same period in 2005
primarily due to a smaller decrease in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will result
in a claim, when compared to the same period in 2005. The decrease in estimates regarding how many
delinquencies will result in a claim (claim rate) is the result of recent historical improvements
in the claim rate in certain
geographical regions, with the exception of the Midwest where recent historical claim rates
have not improved. The states of Michigan, Ohio and Indiana accounted for approximately 35% of our
losses paid for the third quarter. Additionally, news from the auto industry suggests continued
cuts in Midwest employment for the next couple of years.
Page 27
|
|
Premiums written and earned |
During the third quarter of 2006, our written and earned premiums were lower than in the third
quarter of 2005 due to lower average premium rates, offset by a slight increase in the average
insurance in force.
Underwriting expenses increased in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the third quarter of
2005 primarily due to additional expenses related to Myers Internet (acquired in January 2006),
equity based compensation and expansion into international operations.
Investment income in the third quarter of 2006 was higher than in the third quarter of 2005
due to an increase in the pre-tax yield.
|
|
Income from joint ventures |
Income from joint ventures increased in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the same period
in 2005 due to higher income from C-BASS and Sherman. See Results of Consolidate Operations
Joint Ventures.
Page 28
RESULTS OF CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS
As discussed under Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors below, actual results may
differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are not
undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may make in the following
discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or
circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements were made.
NIW
The amount of MGICs NIW (this term is defined in the Overview-Business and General
Environment section) during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 was as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
($ billions) |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
Flow |
|
$ |
10.9 |
|
|
$ |
11.4 |
|
|
$ |
28.9 |
|
|
$ |
30.7 |
|
Bulk |
|
|
5.8 |
|
|
|
6.8 |
|
|
|
13.9 |
|
|
|
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total NIW |
|
$ |
16.7 |
|
|
$ |
18.2 |
|
|
$ |
42.8 |
|
|
$ |
46.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Refinance volume as a % of primary
flow NIW |
|
|
20 |
% |
|
|
27 |
% |
|
|
23 |
% |
|
|
28 |
% |
NIW on a flow basis for the third quarter and first nine months of 2006 was less than the
volume during the comparable periods in 2005. This decrease was primarily the result of a decrease
in refinance volume. Refinance volume in turn is driven by changes in interest rates as discussed
with respect to cancellations below. For a discussion of NIW written through the bulk channel, see
Bulk transactions below.
Page 29
Cancellations and insurance in force
NIW and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2006 and 2005 were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
($ billions) |
|
NIW |
|
$ |
16.7 |
|
|
$ |
18.2 |
|
|
$ |
42.8 |
|
|
$ |
46.2 |
|
Cancellations |
|
|
(13.1 |
) |
|
|
(19.8 |
) |
|
|
(39.4 |
) |
|
|
(53.1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in primary insurance
in force |
|
$ |
3.6 |
|
|
$ |
(1.6 |
) |
|
$ |
3.4 |
|
|
$ |
(6.9 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct primary insurance in force was $173.4 billion at September 30, 2006 compared
to $170.0 billion at December 31, 2005 and $170.2 billion at September 30, 2005. In the third
quarter of 2006 insurance in force increased $3.6 billion. The $2.9 billion increase in insurance
in force in the second quarter of 2006 was the first quarter of growth in the in force book since
the fourth quarter of 2002.
Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates
and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in
the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. MGICs
persistency rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior) was 67.8% at
September 30, 2006, an increase from 61.3% at December 31, 2005 and 60.2% at September 30, 2005. We
expect modest improvement in the persistency rate for the remainder of 2006, although this
expectation assumes the absence of significant declines in the level of mortgage interest rates
from their level in late October 2006.
Bulk transactions
NIW from bulk transactions during the third quarter and first nine months of 2006 was less
than the volume during the comparable periods in 2005.
Our writings of bulk insurance are in part sensitive to the volume of securitization
transactions involving non-conforming loans. Our writings of bulk insurance are also sensitive to
competition from other methods of providing credit enhancement in a securitization, including an
execution in which the subordinate tranches in the securitization rather than mortgage insurance
bear the first loss from mortgage defaults. Competition from such an execution in turn depends on,
among other factors, the yield at which investors are willing to purchase tranches of the
securitization that involve a higher degree of credit risk compared to the yield for tranches
involving the lowest credit risk (the difference in such yields is referred to as the spread) and
the amount of credit for losses that a rating agency will give to mortgage insurance. As the spread
Page 30
narrows, competition from an execution in which the subordinate tranches bear the first loss
increases. The competitiveness of the mortgage insurance execution in
the bulk channel may also be impacted by changes in our view of the risk of the business,
which is affected by the historical performance of previously insured pools and our expectations
for regional and local real estate values. As a result of the sensitivities discussed above, bulk
volume can vary materially from period to period.
Pool insurance
In addition to providing primary insurance coverage, we also insure pools of mortgage loans.
New pool risk written during the three months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 was $43 million and
$97 million, respectively. Our direct pool risk in force was $3.1 billion, $2.9 billion and $2.9
billion at September 30, 2006, December 31, 2005 and September 30, 2005, respectively. These risk
amounts represent pools of loans with contractual aggregate loss limits and those without such
limits. For pools of loans without such limits, risk is estimated based on the amount that would
credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA level based on a rating agency model. Under this
model, at September 30, 2006 and 2005, for $4.5 billion and $5.1 billion, respectively, of risk
without such limits, risk in force was calculated at $472 million and $468 million, respectively.
For the three months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 for $15 million and $98 million,
respectively, of risk without contractual aggregate loss limits, new risk written under this model
was $1 million and $5 million, respectively.
New pool risk written during the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 was $200
million and $203 million, respectively. Under the model described above, for the nine months ended
September 30, 2006 and 2005 for $45 million and $900 million, respectively, of risk without
contractual aggregate loss limits, new risk written during those periods was calculated at $3
million and $49 million, respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
Net premiums written and earned during the third quarter of 2006 decreased due to lower
average premium rates, offset by a slight increase in the average insurance in force, when compared
to the same period in 2005. Net premiums written and earned during the first nine months of 2006
decreased due to lower average premium rates, as well as a decline in the average insurance in
force, when compared to the same period in 2005. Average premium rates declined during these
periods due to insurance with deductibles written through the bulk channel. We anticipate that net
premiums written and earned in the fourth quarter of 2006 will be lower than the comparable period
in 2005, due to lower average premium rates, offset by slight growth in the average insurance in
force.
Risk sharing arrangements
For the quarter ended June 30, 2006, approximately 47.4% of our new insurance written on a
flow basis was subject to arrangements with reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders or
risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs compared to 47.8% for the quarter ended September 30, 2005.
The percentage of new insurance
Page 31
written during a period covered by such arrangements normally
increases after the end
of the period because, among other reasons, the transfer of a loan in the secondary market can
result in a mortgage insured during a period becoming part of such an arrangement in a subsequent
period. Therefore, the percentage of new insurance written covered by such arrangements is not
shown for the current quarter. Premiums ceded in such arrangements are reported in the period in
which they are ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured.
Continuing a program begun in 2005 to reduce exposure to certain geographical areas and
categories of risk, during the first nine months of 2006, we entered into an excess of loss
reinsurance agreement under which we ceded approximately $45 million of risk in force to a special
purpose reinsurance company. The structure of this reinsurance transaction was similar to two
reinsurance transactions entered into in 2005. See the 10-K MD&A under Results of Consolidated
Operations Risk-sharing arrangements. The total original risk in force ceded under these three
transactions was $130 million. Premiums ceded under these three reinsurance agreements have not
been material and are included in ceded premiums. We may enter into similar transactions in the
future.
Investment income
Investment income for the third quarter of 2006 increased due to an increase in the average
investment yield. Investment income for the first nine months of 2006 increased due to an increase
in the average investment yield, offset by a slight decrease in the average amortized cost of
invested assets. The portfolios average pre-tax investment yield was 4.54% at September 30, 2006
and 4.21% at September 30, 2005. The portfolios average after-tax investment yield was 4.01% at
September 30, 2006 and 3.79% at September 30, 2005. Our net realized gains in the third quarter and
net realized losses in the first nine months of 2006 were immaterial. Our net realized gains in the
third quarter and first nine months of 2005 resulted primarily from the sale of fixed maturities.
Other revenue
The decrease in other revenue in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the third quarter of
2005 is primarily the result of decreased revenue from contract underwriting, offset by additional
revenue from the operation of Myers Internet. The increase in other revenue for the first nine
months of 2006 compared to the same period in 2005 is primarily the result of additional revenue
from the operation of Myers Internet, offset by a decrease in revenue from contract underwriting.
Losses
As discussed in Critical Accounting Policies in the 10-K MD&A, consistent with industry
practices, loss reserves for future claims are established only for loans that are currently
delinquent. (The terms delinquent and default are used interchangeably by the Company and are
defined as an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due.) Loss reserves
are established by managements estimating the number of loans in our inventory of delinquent loans
that will not cure their delinquency and thus result in a claim (historically, a substantial
majority of delinquent loans have
Page 32
cured), which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount that we will pay
in claims on the loans that do not cure, which is referred to as claim severity.
The estimated claims rates and claims amounts represent what management believes best reflect
the estimate of what will actually be paid on the loans in default as of the reserve date. The
estimate of claims rates and claims amounts are based on managements review of recent trends in
default inventory. Management reviews recent trends in the rate at which defaults resulted in a
claim (i.e. claims rate), the amount of the claim (i.e. severity), the change in the level of
defaults by geography and the change in average loan exposure. The process does not encompass
management projecting any correlation between claims rate and claims amounts to projected economic
conditions such as changes in unemployment rate, interest rate or housing value. As a result,
managements process to determine reserves does not include quantitative ranges of outcomes that
are reasonably likely to occur.
In considering the potential sensitivity of the factors underlying managements best estimate
of loss reserves, it is possible that even a relatively small change in estimated claim rate or a
relatively small percentage change in estimated claim amount could have a significant impact on
reserves and, correspondingly, on results of operations. For example, as of the reserve date, a
$1,000 change in the average severity reserve factor combined with a 1% change in the average claim
rate reserve factor could change the reserve amount by approximately $55 million. Historically, it
has not been uncommon for us to experience variability in the development of the reserves at this
level or higher, as shown by the historical development of our loss reserves
in the table below:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred |
|
Reserve at |
|
|
related to |
|
end of |
|
|
prior years (1) |
|
prior year |
2005 |
|
$ |
126,167 |
|
|
$ |
1,185,594 |
|
2004 |
|
|
13,451 |
|
|
|
1,061,788 |
|
2003 |
|
|
(113,797 |
) |
|
|
733,181 |
|
2002 |
|
|
74,252 |
|
|
|
613,664 |
|
2001 |
|
|
212,126 |
|
|
|
609,546 |
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
A positive number for a prior year indicates a redundancy of loss reserves, and a negative
number for a prior year indicates a deficiency of loss reserves. |
The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires
judgment by management. The actual amount of the claim payments may vary significantly from the
loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a
deterioration of regional or national economic conditions leading to a reduction in borrowers
income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values that could
expose the Company to greater loss, including through resale of properties obtained through foreclosure
proceedings. Changes to our estimates could result in material changes to our operations, even in a
stable economic
environment. Adjustments to reserve estimates are reflected in the financial statements in the
periods in which the adjustments are made.
Page 33
Net losses incurred increased in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the same period in
2005 due to a smaller decrease in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will eventually
result in a claim, when compared to the same period in 2005. The decrease in estimates regarding
how many delinquencies will result in a claim is the result of recent historical improvements in
the claim rate in certain geographical regions, with the exception of the Midwest where recent
historical claim rates have not improved. The states of Michigan, Ohio and Indiana accounted for
approximately 35% of our losses paid for the third quarter. Additionally, news from the auto
industry suggests continued cuts in Midwest employment for the next couple of years.
The average primary claim paid for the three months ended September 30, 2006 was $29,606
compared to $26,735 for the same period in 2005.
Net losses incurred increased in the first nine months of 2006 compared to the same period in
2005 due to a larger increase in the estimates regarding how much will be paid on claims, as well
as a smaller decrease in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will eventually result in a
claim, when both are compared to the same period in 2005. The increase in estimates regarding how
much will be paid on claims is primarily the result of the default inventory containing higher loan
exposures with expected higher average claim payments as well as a decrease in our ability to
mitigate losses through the sale of properties in some geographical areas. The decrease in
estimates regarding how many delinquencies will result in a claim is the result of recent
historical improvements in the claim rate in certain geographical regions, with the exception of
the Midwest where recent historical claim rates have not improved. The states of Michigan, Ohio and Indiana
accounted for approximately 35% of our losses paid for the first nine months of 2006. Additionally,
news from the auto industry suggests continued cuts in Midwest employment for the next couple of years.
The average primary claim paid for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 was $27,874
compared to $26,173 for the same period in 2005.
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at September 30,
2006, December 31, 2005 and September 30, 2005 appears in the table below.
Page 34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
September 30, |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
2005 |
Total loans delinquent |
|
|
76,301 |
|
|
|
85,788 |
|
|
|
78,754 |
|
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
5.98 |
% |
|
|
6.58 |
% |
|
|
5.95 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow loans delinquent |
|
|
41,130 |
|
|
|
47,051 |
|
|
|
41,742 |
|
Percentage of flow loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
3.99 |
% |
|
|
4.52 |
% |
|
|
3.95 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bulk loans delinquent |
|
|
35,171 |
|
|
|
38,737 |
|
|
|
37,012 |
|
Percentage of bulk loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
14.33 |
% |
|
|
14.72 |
% |
|
|
13.92 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A-minus and subprime credit loans delinquent* |
|
|
33,727 |
|
|
|
36,485 |
|
|
|
34,265 |
|
Percentage of A-minus and subprime
credit loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
18.70 |
% |
|
|
18.30 |
% |
|
|
16.66 |
% |
|
|
|
* |
|
A portion of A-minus and subprime credit loans is included in flow loans delinquent
and the remainder is included in bulk loans delinquent. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans are written
through the bulk channel. A-minus loans have FICO credit scores of 575-619, as reported to MGIC
at the time a commitment to insure is issued, and subprime loans have FICO credit scores of less
than 575. |
The pool notice inventory decreased from 23,772 at December 31, 2005 to 20,244 at
September 30, 2006; the pool notice inventory was 23,033 at September 30, 2005.
Information about net losses paid in 2006 and 2005 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
Net paid claims ($ millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow |
|
$ |
67 |
|
|
$ |
72 |
|
|
$ |
201 |
|
|
$ |
217 |
|
Bulk |
|
|
69 |
|
|
|
65 |
|
|
|
187 |
|
|
|
187 |
|
Other |
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
66 |
|
|
|
60 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
157 |
|
|
$ |
157 |
|
|
$ |
454 |
|
|
$ |
464 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net paid claims in 2006 were $135 million in the first quarter, $162 million in the
second quarter and $157 million in the third quarter. The sequential increase in paid claims
compared to the first quarter was primarily the result of an acceleration in bankruptcy filings in
October 2005 prior to the change in the bankruptcy laws. The effect of this acceleration was that
we paid claims in the second and third quarters of 2006 that we would otherwise have paid after
these quarters. To a lesser extent, the increase was also the result of the GSEs lifting of the
moratorium on pursuing delinquencies in certain areas of the hurricane impacted states and the
beginning of the clearance of a foreclosure backlog in Ohio. The effect of these factors was that
claims that would otherwise have been paid before the second and third quarter were paid in those
quarters.
Page 35
As of September 30, 2006, 67% of our primary insurance in force was written subsequent to
December 31, 2003. On our flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the
third and fourth year after the year of loan origination. However, the pattern of claims frequency
can be affected by many factors, including low persistency (which can have the effect of
accelerating the period in the life of a book during which the highest claim frequency occurs) and
deteriorating economic conditions (which can result in increasing claims following a period of
declining claims). On our bulk business, the period of highest claims frequency has generally
occurred earlier than in the historical pattern on our flow business.
Underwriting and other expenses
Underwriting and other expenses in the third quarter and first nine months of 2006 were more
than the comparable periods in 2005. The increase was primarily due to additional expenses from
Myers Internet, equity based compensation and expansion into international operations. (In the
first nine months of 2006, $4.0 million of equity based compensation expenses were related to the
adoption of FAS 123R.) The effect of these expense increases was partially offset by lower
non-insurance expenses.
Consolidated ratios
The table below presents our consolidated loss, expense and combined ratios for the periods
indicated.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
Consolidated Insurance Operations: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio |
|
|
55.7 |
% |
|
|
47.8 |
% |
|
|
47.9 |
% |
|
|
40.9 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
|
16.4 |
% |
|
|
15.7 |
% |
|
|
16.9 |
% |
|
|
15.6 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
72.1 |
% |
|
|
63.5 |
% |
|
|
64.8 |
% |
|
|
56.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The loss ratio (expressed as a percentage) is the ratio of the sum of incurred losses and
loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The increase in the loss ratio in 2006, compared
to 2005, is due to an increase in losses incurred and a decrease in premiums earned compared to the
prior year. The expense ratio (expressed as a percentage) is the ratio of underwriting expenses to
net premiums written. The increase in the expense ratio in 2006, compared to 2005, is due to an
increase in underwriting expenses and a decrease in premiums written compared to the prior year.
The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
Income taxes
The effective tax rate was 24.0% in the third quarter of 2006, compared to 26.1% in the third
quarter of 2005. During those periods, the effective tax rate was below the statutory rate of 35%,
reflecting the benefits recognized from tax preferenced investments. Our tax preferenced
investments include tax-exempt municipal bonds, interests in mortgage related securities with flow
through characteristics and investments in real estate ventures which generate low income housing
credits. The
Page 36
lower effective tax rate in 2006 resulted from a higher percentage of total income
before tax being generated from tax preferenced investments, which resulted from lower levels of
underwriting income.
The effective tax rate was 25.6% in the first nine months of 2006, compared to 27.7% in the
first nine months of 2005. The lower effective tax rate in 2006 resulted from a higher percentage
of total income before tax being generated from tax preferenced investments, which resulted from
lower levels of underwriting income.
Joint ventures
Our equity in the earnings from the C-BASS and Sherman joint ventures with Radian Group Inc.
(Radian) and certain other joint ventures and investments, accounted for in accordance with the
equity method of accounting, is shown separately, net of tax, on our consolidated statement of
operations. The increase in income from joint ventures for the third quarter and first nine months
of 2006 compared to the third quarter and first nine months of 2005 is primarily the result of
increased equity earnings from each of C-BASS and Sherman.
C-BASS
Summary C-BASS balance sheets and income statements at the dates and for the periods indicated
appear below.
Summary Balance Sheet:
(September 30, 2006 unaudited
December 31, 2005 audited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Whole loans |
|
$ |
4,655 |
|
|
$ |
4,638 |
|
Securities |
|
|
1,923 |
|
|
|
2,054 |
|
Servicing |
|
|
569 |
|
|
|
468 |
|
Other |
|
|
1,285 |
|
|
|
534 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Assets |
|
$ |
8,432 |
|
|
$ |
7,694 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Liabilities |
|
$ |
7,522 |
|
|
$ |
6,931 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt* |
|
|
5,809 |
|
|
|
6,434 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Owners Equity |
|
|
910 |
|
|
|
763 |
|
|
|
|
* |
|
Most of which is scheduled to mature within one year or less. |
Included in whole loans and total liabilities at September 30, 2006 were approximately
$941 million of assets and the same amount of liabilities from 3rd party
Page 37
securitizations
that did not qualify for off-balance sheet treatment. The liabilities from these securitizations
are not included in Debt in the table above. There were no such assets and liabilities at December
31, 2005.
Summary Income Statement
(Unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Portfolio |
|
$ |
71.6 |
|
|
$ |
53.6 |
|
|
$ |
256.5 |
|
|
$ |
220.7 |
|
Servicing |
|
|
94.2 |
|
|
|
73.8 |
|
|
|
275.8 |
|
|
|
213.9 |
|
Money management |
|
|
8.0 |
|
|
|
7.2 |
|
|
|
24.1 |
|
|
|
21.4 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenue |
|
|
173.8 |
|
|
|
134.6 |
|
|
|
556.5 |
|
|
|
456.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total expense |
|
|
114.1 |
|
|
|
89.0 |
|
|
|
333.9 |
|
|
|
274.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax |
|
$ |
59.7 |
|
|
$ |
45.6 |
|
|
$ |
222.6 |
|
|
$ |
181.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Companys share of pretax income |
|
$ |
27.5 |
|
|
$ |
21.0 |
|
|
$ |
102.7 |
|
|
$ |
83.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See OverviewBusiness and General EnvironmentIncome from Joint VenturesC-BASS for a
description of the components of the revenue lines.
The increased contribution for the third quarter of 2006, compared to the same period in 2005,
was primarily due to increased net interest income and servicing revenue. Higher net interest
income was the result of a higher average investment portfolio and higher earnings on trust
deposits for securities serviced by Litton as well as the overall interest rate movement. The
increased servicing revenue was due primarily to Littons higher average servicing portfolio.
In March 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 156, Accounting for Servicing of Financial Assets
(SFAS 156), an amendment to SFAS No.140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of Financial
Assets and Extinguishment of Liabilities. SFAS 156 provides standards for the recognition and
measurement of separately recognized servicing assets and liabilities and provides an approach to
simplify efforts to obtain hedge-like (offset) accounting. It is effective for fiscal years
beginning after September 15, 2006. C-BASS is currently evaluating the effect, if any, the new
standard will have on its results of operations and financial position.
Our investment in C-BASS on an equity basis at September 30, 2006 was $430.1 million. We
received $35.2 million in distributions from C-BASS during the first nine months of 2006.
Page 38
Sherman
Summary Sherman balance sheets and income statements at the dates and for the periods
indicated appear below.
Summary Balance Sheet:
(September 30, 2006 unaudited
December 31, 2005 audited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
|
($ millions) |
Total Assets |
|
$ |
1,078 |
|
|
$ |
979 |
|
|
Total Liabilities |
|
|
900 |
|
|
|
743 |
|
|
Debt |
|
|
727 |
|
|
|
597 |
|
|
Members Equity |
|
|
178 |
|
|
|
236 |
|
During 2006, the changes in debt and members equity were primarily related to a capital
distribution paid during the year. We received $103.7 million in distributions in the first nine
months of 2006. Our investment in Sherman on an equity basis at September 30, 2006 was $124.9
million. See discussion below on the exercise of the restructured call option, as well as our
Current Report on Form 8-K filed on September 15, 2006.
Page 39
Summary Income Statement
(Unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Nine months ended |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
2006 |
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
Revenues from receivable portfolios |
|
$ |
248.7 |
|
|
$ |
224.8 |
|
|
$ |
809.9 |
|
|
$ |
672.0 |
|
Portfolio amortization |
|
|
84.6 |
|
|
|
71.8 |
|
|
|
289.5 |
|
|
|
221.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues, net of amortization |
|
|
164.1 |
|
|
|
153.0 |
|
|
|
520.4 |
|
|
|
450.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit card interest income and fees |
|
|
93.8 |
|
|
|
59.4 |
|
|
|
254.7 |
|
|
|
121.7 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
|
7.1 |
|
|
|
15.3 |
|
|
|
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
260.3 |
|
|
|
219.5 |
|
|
|
790.4 |
|
|
|
603.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expenses |
|
|
179.0 |
|
|
|
147.3 |
|
|
|
548.6 |
|
|
|
397.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax |
|
$ |
81.3 |
|
|
$ |
72.2 |
|
|
$ |
241.8 |
|
|
$ |
206.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Companys share of pretax income |
|
$ |
26.7 |
|
|
$ |
26.4 |
|
|
$ |
82.2 |
|
|
$ |
82.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sherman experienced increased net revenues in 2006 from portfolios owned and from the
operations of the Credit One Bank, acquired in March 2005. The increase in expenses in 2006 relates
to the Credit One acquisition.
In connection with the restructuring of the Sherman option, effective July 1, 2006, 94% of the
existing interests in Sherman were recapitalized into Class A Common Units and the remaining 6%
were recapitalized into a combination of Preferred Units and Class B Common Units. After exercise
of the option we now own 40.96% of the Class A units and 50% of the Preferred Units. Also upon
exercise of the option, the option price paid in excess of the book value, $61.5 million was
allocated to Shermans assets on our financial records, up to the fair market value of those
assets. The written up assets will be amortized over their assumed lives, resulting in additional
amortization expense for us above Shermans actual amortization expense. The Companys share of
pretax income line item in the table above includes $6.6 million of this additional amortization
expense for both the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006. The difference between
the option price paid over book value and the fair value of the assets is recorded in our financial
records as goodwill and will be periodically tested for impairment.
Other Matters
Under the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversights (OFHEO) risk-based capital stress
test for the GSEs, claim payments made by a private mortgage insurer on GSE loans are reduced below
the amount provided by the mortgage insurance policy to reflect the risk that the insurer will fail
to pay. Claim payments from an insurer whose
Page 40
claims-paying ability rating is AAA are subject to a
3.5% reduction over the 10-year period of the stress test, while claim payments from a AA rated
insurer, such as MGIC, are subject to an 8.75% reduction. The effect of the differentiation among
insurers is to require the GSEs to have additional capital for coverage on loans provided by a
private mortgage insurer whose claims-paying rating is less than AAA. As a result, there is an
incentive for the GSEs to use private mortgage insurance provided by a AAA rated insurer.
Financial Condition
In September 2006 the Company issued, in a public offering, $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes
due in 2011. Interest on the Senior Notes is payable semiannually in arrears on March 15 and
September 15, beginning on March 15, 2007. The Senior Notes were rated A-1 by Moodys, A by S&P
and A+ by Fitch. In addition to the recent offering, the Company had $300 million, 5.375% Senior
Notes due in November 2015 and $200 million, 6% Senior Notes due in March 2007 outstanding at
September 30, 2006. At September 30, 2006 and 2005, the market value of the outstanding debt
(which also includes commercial paper) was $776.9 million and $603.6 million, respectively.
See Results of OperationsJoint ventures above for information about the financial condition
of C-BASS and Sherman.
As of September 30, 2006, 82% of the investment portfolio was invested in tax-preferenced
securities. In addition, at September 30, 2006, based on book value, approximately 98% of our fixed
income securities were invested in A rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated
in maturities of less than 15 years.
At September 30, 2006, our derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were
immaterial. We place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as
specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure
to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30, 2006, the effective duration of
our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.8 years. This means that for an instantaneous parallel
shift in the yield curve of 100
basis points there would be an approximate 4.8% change in the market value of our fixed income
portfolio.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our consolidated sources of funds consist primarily of premiums written and investment income.
Positive cash flows are invested pending future payments of claims and other expenses. Management
believes that future cash inflows from premiums will be sufficient to meet future claim payments.
Cash flow shortfalls, if any, could be funded through sales of short-term investments and other
investment portfolio securities subject to insurance regulatory requirements regarding the payment
of dividends to the extent funds were required by other than the seller. Substantially all of the
investment portfolio securities are held by our insurance subsidiaries.
Page 41
We have a $300 million commercial paper program, which is rated A-1 by S&P and P-1 by
Moodys. At September 30, 2006 and 2005, we had $84.3 and $100.0 million in commercial paper
outstanding with a weighted average interest rate of 5.36% and 3.80%, respectively. We have a $300
million, five year revolving credit facility expiring in 2010 which will continue to be used as a
liquidity back up facility for the outstanding commercial paper. The remaining credit available
under the facility after reduction for the amount necessary to support the commercial paper was
$215.7 million and $200.0 million at September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively.
During the first quarter of 2006, an outstanding interest rate swap contract was terminated.
This swap was placed into service to coincide with the committed credit facility, used as a backup
for the commercial paper program. Under the terms of the swap contract, we paid a fixed rate of
5.07% and received a variable interest rate based on LIBOR. The swap had an expiration date
coinciding with the maturity of the credit facility and was designated as a cash flow hedge. At
September 30, 2006 we have no interest rate swaps outstanding.
(Income) expense on the interest rate swaps for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and
2005 of approximately ($0.1) million and $0.7 million, respectively, was included in interest
expense. Gains or losses arising from the amendment or termination of interest rate swaps are
deferred and amortized to interest expense over the life of the hedged items.
The commercial paper, back-up credit facility and the Senior Notes are obligations of the
Company and not of its subsidiaries. We are a holding company and the payment of dividends from our
insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the principal source of
dividend-paying capacity. In the first nine months of 2006, MGIC paid three quarterly dividends of
$55 million each, as well as extraordinary dividends totaling $350 million. As a result of the
extraordinary dividends, MGIC cannot currently pay any dividends without regulatory approval. In
early November 2006 MGIC received regulatory approval to pay a quarterly dividend of $55 million in
the fourth quarter of 2006.
During the first nine months of 2006, we repurchased 5.9 million shares of Common Stock under
publicly announced programs at a cost of $373.0 million. At September 30, 2006, we had authority
covering the purchase of an additional 4.9 million shares under these programs. For additional
information regarding stock repurchases, see Item 2(c) of Part II of this Quarterly Report on Form
10-Q. From mid-1997 through September 30, 2006, we repurchased 41.4 million shares under publicly
announced programs at a cost of $2.3 billion. Funds for the shares repurchased by us since mid-1997
have been provided through a combination of debt, including the Senior Notes and the commercial
paper, and internally generated funds.
Our principal exposure to loss is our obligation to pay claims under MGICs mortgage guaranty
insurance policies. At September 30, 2006, MGICs direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool
risk in force (which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in our records
multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit) was approximately
$53.3 billion. In addition, as part of our contract underwriting activities, we are responsible for
the quality of our underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting
agreements with
Page 42
customers. Through September 30, 2006, the cost of remedies provided by us to
customers for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material. However, the
decreasing trend of home mortgage interest rates over the last several years may have mitigated the
effect of some of these costs since the general effect of lower interest rates can be to increase
the value of certain loans on which remedies are provided. There can be no assurance that contract
underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Our consolidated risk-to-capital ratio was 7.4:1 at both September 30, 2006 and December 31,
2005.
The risk-to-capital ratios set forth above have been computed on a statutory basis. However,
the methodology used by the rating agencies to assign claims-paying ability ratings permits less
leverage than under statutory requirements. As a result, the amount of capital required under
statutory regulations may be lower than the capital required for rating agency purposes. In
addition to capital adequacy, the rating agencies consider other factors in determining a mortgage
insurers claims-paying rating, including its historical and projected operating performance,
business outlook, competitive position, management and corporate strategy.
Page 43
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
General: Our revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors referred to under
Location of Risk Factors below that are applicable to the Company, and our income from joint
ventures could be affected by the risk factors referred to under Location of Risk Factors that
are applicable to C-BASS and Sherman. These risk factors are an integral part of Managements
Discussion and Analysis.
These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated
by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements
which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words
such as we believe, anticipate or expect, or words of similar import, are forward looking
statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may
make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the
forward looking statements were made.
Location of Risk Factors: The risk factors are in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2005, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2006 and in Part II, Item 1 A of this Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by those 10-Qs and through updating of
various statistical information, are reproduced in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form
10-Q.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
At September 30, 2006, derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were
immaterial. We primarily place our investments in instruments that meet investment grade credit
quality standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the
amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30, 2006,
the effective duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.8 years. This means that for
each instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points there would be an
approximate 4.8% change in the market value of our fixed income investment portfolio.
Our borrowings under our commercial paper program are subject to interest rates that are
variable. See the fourth and fifth paragraphs under Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Liquidity and Capital Resources for a discussion of
our interest rate swaps.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal
financial officer, has evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule
13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the
Page 44
period covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, our principal
executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were
effective as of the end of such period. There was no change in our internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the third quarter of 2006 that materially affected, or is reasonably
likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
Page 45
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1 A. Risk Factors
With the possible exception of the changes set forth below, there have been no material
changes in our risk factors from the risk factors disclosed in the Companys Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005. The principal changes to the risk factors that are set
forth below were also included in Exhibit 99 to our Current Report on Form 8-K dated October 12,
2006. Exhibit 99 set forth our risk factors as part of our press release announcing earnings for
the third quarter of 2006. Some of the information in the risk factors in the 10-K has been updated
by information in the same risk factor included in that Exhibit 99.
Deterioration in the domestic economy or in home prices in the segment of the market the
Company serves or changes in the mix of business may result in more homeowners defaulting and the
Companys losses increasing.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage
payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can
be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale.
Favorable economic conditions generally reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient
income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in
some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions
generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their
mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values.
The mix of business the Company writes also affects the likelihood of losses occurring. In
recent years, the percentage of the Companys volume written on a flow basis that includes segments
the Company views as having a higher probability of claim has continued to increase. These segments
include loans with LTV ratios over 95% (including loans with 100% LTV ratios), FICO credit scores
below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income
ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors.
Approximately 9% of the Companys primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and
72% of the Companys primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consists of adjustable
rate mortgages (ARMs). The Company believes that during a prolonged period of rising interest
rates, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans, although the
performance of ARMs has not been tested in such an environment. Moreover, even if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs
with a teaser rate (an initial interest rate that does not
fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be
substantially higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment
that will occur when the fully indexed rate becomes effective. In addition, the Company believes
the volume of interest-only loans (which may also be ARMs) and loans with negative amortization
features, such as pay option ARMs, increased in 2005 and 2006. Because interest-only loans and pay
option ARMs are a relatively recent development, the Company has no data on their historical
performance. The Company believes claim rates on certain of these loans will be substantially
higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers of comparable
credit quality.
Page 46
The mortgage insurance industry is subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory
proceedings.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and
settlement service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been
involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate
Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair
Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. There can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA
or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a material adverse effect on the
Company. In August 2005, the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit decided a case
under FCRA to which the Company was not a party that may make it more likely that the Company will
be subject to litigation regarding when notices to borrowers are required by FCRA.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department (the NYID), the
Company provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the NYID requested MGIC to
review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years experience
or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the NYID that
it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk,
premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in
response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the MDC), which
regulates insurance, the Company provided the MDC with information about captive mortgage
reinsurance and certain other matters. The Company subsequently provided additional information to
the MDC. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek
information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may
bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of
many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms
to enforce this prohibition. While the Company believes its captive reinsurance arrangements are in
conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any
such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on the Company or the
mortgage insurance industry.
The Companys income from joint ventures could be adversely affected by credit losses,
insufficient liquidity or competition affecting those businesses.
C-BASS: Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) is principally engaged
in the business of investing in the credit risk of credit sensitive
single-family residential mortgages. C-BASS is particularly exposed to funding risk and to
credit risk through ownership of the higher risk classes of mortgage backed securities
Page 47
from its own
securitizations and those of other issuers. In addition, C-BASSs results are sensitive to its
ability to purchase mortgage loans and securities on terms that it projects will meet its return
targets. C-BASSs mortgage purchases in 2005 and 2006 have primarily been of subprime mortgages,
which bear a higher risk of default. Further, a higher proportion of subprime mortgage originations
in 2005 and in 2006, as compared to 2004, were interest-only loans, which C-BASS views as having
greater credit risk. C-BASS has not purchased any pay option ARMs, which are another type of higher
risk mortgage. Credit losses are affected by housing prices. A higher house price at default than
at loan origination generally mitigates credit losses while a lower house price at default
generally increases losses. Over the last several years, in certain regions home prices have
experienced rates of increase greater than historical norms and greater than growth in median
incomes. During the period 2003 to 2005, according to the Office of Federal Housing Oversight, home
prices nationally increased 27%. Recent forecasts predict that home prices will have minimal if any
increase over the remainder of 2006, and may decline in certain regions.
With respect to liquidity, the substantial majority of C-BASSs on-balance sheet financing for
its mortgage and securities portfolio is dependent on the value of the collateral that secures this
debt. C-BASS maintains substantial liquidity to cover margin calls in the event of substantial
declines in the value of its mortgages and securities. While C-BASSs policies governing the
management of capital at risk are intended to provide sufficient liquidity to cover an
instantaneous and substantial decline in value, such policies cannot guaranty that all liquidity
required will in fact be available. Further, approximately 43% of C-BASSs financing has a term of
less than one year, and is subject to renewal risk.
The interest expense on C-BASSs borrowings is primarily tied to short-term rates such as
LIBOR. In a period of rising interest rates, the interest expense could increase in different
amounts and at different rates and times than the interest that C-BASS earns on the related assets,
which could negatively impact C-BASSs earnings.
Although there has been growth in the volume of subprime mortgage originations in recent
years, volume is expected to decline in 2006, which may result in C-BASS purchasing fewer mortgages
for securitization. Since 2005, there has been an increasing amount of competition to purchase
subprime mortgages, from mortgage originators that formed real estate investment trusts and from
firms, such as investment banks and commercial banks, that in the past acted as mortgage securities
intermediaries but which are now establishing their own captive origination capacity. Many of these
competitors are larger and have a lower cost of capital.
Sherman: The results of Sherman Financial Group LLC (Sherman), which is principally engaged
in the business of purchasing and servicing delinquent consumer assets, are sensitive to its
ability to purchase receivable portfolios on terms that it projects will meet its return targets.
While the volume of charged-off consumer receivables and the portion of these receivables that have
been sold to third parties such as Sherman has grown in recent years, there is an increasing amount
of competition to purchase such portfolios, including from new entrants to the industry, which
has resulted in increases in the prices at which portfolios can be purchased.
Page 48
ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALE OF EQUITY SECURITIES & USE OF PROCEEDS
(c) Repurchase of common stock:
Information about shares of Common Stock repurchased during the third quarter of 2006 appears in
the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(d) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(c) |
|
Maximum |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Number of |
|
Number of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares |
|
Shares that May |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchased as |
|
Yet Be |
|
|
(a) |
|
|
|
|
|
Part of Publicly |
|
Purchased |
|
|
Total Number of |
|
(b) |
|
Announced |
|
Under the Plans |
|
|
Shares |
|
Average Price |
|
Plans or |
|
or Programs |
Period |
|
Purchased |
|
Paid per Share |
|
Programs |
|
(A) |
July 1, 2006 through
July 31, 2006 |
|
|
1,616,140 |
|
|
$ |
58.63 |
|
|
|
1,616,140 |
|
|
|
6,001,382 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
August 1, 2006
through
August 31,2006 |
|
|
165,000 |
|
|
$ |
55.27 |
|
|
|
165,000 |
|
|
|
5,836,382 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 1, 2006
through
September 30, 2006 |
|
|
915,900 |
|
|
$ |
59.96 |
|
|
|
915,900 |
|
|
|
4,920,482 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
2,697,040 |
|
|
$ |
58.88 |
|
|
|
2,697,040 |
|
|
|
4,920,482 |
|
|
|
|
(A) |
|
On January 26, 2006 the Company announced that its Board of Directors authorized the
repurchase of up to ten million shares of our Common Stock in the open market or in private
transactions. |
Page 49
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of
this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such
Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but
accompanies this Form 10-Q.
Page 50
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused
this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on November 9,
2006.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
\s\ J. Michael Lauer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
J. Michael Lauer |
|
|
|
|
Executive Vice President and |
|
|
|
|
Chief Financial Officer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
\s\ Joseph J. Komanecki |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Joseph J. Komanecki |
|
|
|
|
Senior Vice President, Controller and |
|
|
|
|
Chief Accounting Officer |
|
|
Page 51
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Part II, Item 6)
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description of Exhibit |
2
|
|
Amended and Restated Call Option Agreement, dated as of September 13, 2006, by and among the
Company, Radian Guaranty, Inc., and Sherman Capital, L.L.C. (Incorporated by reference to
Exhibit 1.2 in the Companys Current Report on Form 8-K filed on September 15, 2006) |
|
|
|
11
|
|
Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share |
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
31.2
|
|
Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
32
|
|
Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in
Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being filed) |
|
|
|
99
|
|
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2005, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q
for the quarters ended March 31, 2006 and September 30, 2006 |
exv11
EXHIBIT 11
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
STATEMENT RE COMPUTATION OF NET INCOME PER SHARE
Three and Nine Month Periods Ended September 30, 2006 and 2005
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Three Months Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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September 30, |
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September 30, |
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2006 |
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2005 |
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2006 |
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2005 |
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(In thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
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BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE |
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Average common shares outstanding |
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83,238 |
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91,087 |
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85,161 |
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92,982 |
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Net income |
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$ |
129,978 |
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$ |
142,382 |
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$ |
443,270 |
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$ |
498,752 |
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Basic earnings per share |
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$ |
1.56 |
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$ |
1.56 |
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$ |
5.21 |
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$ |
5.36 |
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DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE |
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Adjusted weighted average shares outstanding: |
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Average common shares outstanding |
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83,238 |
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91,087 |
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85,161 |
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92,982 |
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Common stock equivalents |
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528 |
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709 |
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601 |
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648 |
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Adjusted weighted average diluted shares
outstanding |
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83,766 |
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91,796 |
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85,762 |
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93,630 |
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Net income |
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$ |
129,978 |
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$ |
142,382 |
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$ |
443,270 |
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$ |
498,752 |
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Diluted earnings per share |
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$ |
1.55 |
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$ |
1.55 |
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$ |
5.17 |
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$ |
5.33 |
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exv31w1
Exhibit 31.1
I, Curt S. Culver, certify that:
1. |
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I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of MGIC Investment Corporation; |
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2. |
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Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light
of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the
period covered by this quarterly report; |
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3. |
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Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in
this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition,
results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented
in this quarterly report; |
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4. |
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The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I are responsible for establishing and
maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and
15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and we have: |
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a) |
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Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls
and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information
relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by
others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report
is being prepared; |
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b) |
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Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation
of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles; |
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c) |
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Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrants disclosure controls and procedures and
presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls
and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such
evaluation; and |
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d) |
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Disclosed in this report any change in the registrants internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the registrants most recent fiscal quarter (the
registrants fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially
affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrants internal control
over financial reporting; and |
5. |
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The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I have disclosed, based on our most recent
evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrants |
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auditors and the
audit committee of registrants board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions): |
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a) |
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all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of
internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect
the registrants ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information;
and |
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b) |
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any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who
have a significant role in the registrants internal control over financial reporting. |
Date: November 9, 2006
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\s\ Curt S. Culver
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Chief Executive Officer |
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exv31w2
Exhibit 31.2
CERTIFICATIONS
I, J. Michael Lauer, certify that:
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I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of MGIC Investment Corporation; |
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2. |
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Based on my knowledge, this quarterly report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light
of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the
period covered by this quarterly report; |
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3. |
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Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in
this quarterly report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition,
results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented
in this quarterly report; |
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4. |
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The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I are responsible for establishing and
maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and
15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and we have: |
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(a) |
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Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls
and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information
relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by
others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this quarterly report
is being prepared; |
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(b) |
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Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation
of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles; |
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(c) |
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Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrants disclosure controls and procedures and
presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls
and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such
evaluation; and |
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(d) |
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Disclosed in this report any change in the registrants internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the registrants most recent fiscal quarter (the
registrants fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially
affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrants internal control
over financial reporting; and |
5. |
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The registrants other certifying officer(s) and I have disclosed, based on our most recent
evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrants auditors and the
audit committee of registrants board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions): |
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(a) |
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all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of
internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect
the registrants ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information;
and |
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(b) |
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any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who
have a significant role in the registrants internal control over financial reporting. |
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Date: November 9, 2006
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\s\ J. Michael Lauer |
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Chief Financial Officer |
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exv32
Exhibit 32
SECTION 1350 CERTIFICATIONS
The undersigned, Curt S. Culver, Chief Executive Officer of MGIC Investment Corporation (the
Company), and J. Michael Lauer, Chief Financial Officer of the Company, certify, pursuant to
Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002,
18 U.S. C. Section 1350, that to our knowledge:
(1) |
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the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q of the Company for the quarter ended September 30, 2006
(the Report) fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934; and |
(2) |
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the information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the
financial condition and results of operations of the Company. |
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Date: November 9, 2006
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\s\ Curt S. Culver |
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Chief Executive Officer |
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\s\ J. Michael Lauer |
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Chief Financial Officer |
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exv99
Exhibit 99
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
2005, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters
ended March 31, 2006 and September 30, 2006 and through updating of various statistical information
The amount of insurance the Company writes could be adversely affected if lenders and investors
select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
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lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private mortgage insurance,
such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value (LTV) ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%,
15% or 20% LTV ratio (referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans, respectively) rather than a
first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% LTV ratio that has private mortgage insurance, |
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investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring, |
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investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance or using other credit
enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage, and |
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lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the Federal Housing
Administration and the Veterans Administration. |
While no data is publicly available, the Company believes that piggyback loans are a significant
percentage of mortgage originations in which borrowers make down payments of less than 20% and that
their use is primarily by borrowers with higher credit scores. During the fourth quarter of 2004,
the Company introduced on a national basis a program designed to recapture business lost to these
mortgage insurance avoidance products. This program accounted for 10.1% of flow new insurance
written in the second quarter of 2006 and 6.5% of flow new insurance written for all of 2005.
Deterioration in the domestic economy or in home prices in the segment of the market the
Company serves or changes in the mix of business may result in more homeowners defaulting and the
Companys losses increasing.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrowers ability to continue to make mortgage
payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can
be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale.
Favorable economic conditions generally reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient
income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in
some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions
generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their
mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values.
The mix of business the Company writes also affects the likelihood of losses occurring. In
recent years, the percentage of the Companys volume written on a flow basis that includes segments
the Company views as having a higher probability of claim
has continued to increase. These segments
include loans with LTV ratios over 95% (including loans with 100% LTV ratios), FICO credit scores
below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income
ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors.
Approximately 9% of the Companys primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and 72%
of the Companys primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consists of adjustable
rate mortgages (ARMs). The Company believes that during a prolonged period of rising interest
rates, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans, although the
performance of ARMs has not been tested in such an environment.
Moreover, even if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs
with a teaser rate (an initial interest rate that does not
fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be
substantially higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment
that will occur when the fully indexed rate becomes effective. In addition, the Company believes
the volume of interest-only loans (which may also be ARMs) and loans with negative amortization
features, such as pay option ARMs, increased in 2005 and 2006. Because interest-only loans and pay
option ARMs are a relatively recent development, the Company has no data on their historical
performance. The Company believes claim rates on certain of these loans will be substantially
higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers of comparable
credit quality.
Competition or changes in the Companys relationships with its customers could reduce the
Companys revenues or increase its losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers
but also with mortgage lenders through captive mortgage reinsurance transactions. In these
transactions, a lenders affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private
mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender. As discussed under The
mortgage insurance industry is subject to risk from private litigation and regulatory proceedings
below, the Company provided information to the New York Insurance Department and the Minnesota
Department of Commerce about captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements. Other insurance departments
or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate
captive mortgage reinsurance.
The level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has also increased as many
large mortgage lenders have reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do
business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the
mortgage lending market held by large lenders.
The Companys private mortgage insurance competitors include:
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PMI Mortgage Insurance Company, |
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GE Mortgage Insurance Corporation, |
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United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company, |
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Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, |
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Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, and |
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CMG Mortgage Insurance Company. |
If interest rates decline, house prices appreciate or mortgage insurance cancellation
requirements change, the length of time that the Companys policies remain in force could decline
and result in declines in the Companys revenue.
In each year, most of the Companys premiums are from insurance that has been written in prior
years. As a result, the length of time insurance remains in force (which is also generally referred
to as persistency) is an important determinant of revenues. The factors affecting the length of
time the Companys insurance remains in force include:
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the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates on the
insurance in force, which affects the vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancings, and |
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mortgage insurance cancellation policies of mortgage investors along with the rate of home price
appreciation experienced by the homes underlying the mortgages in the insurance in force. |
During the 1990s, the Companys year-end persistency ranged from a high of 87.4% at December 31,
1990 to a low of 68.1% at December 31, 1998. At September 30, 2006 persistency was at 67.8%,
compared to the record low of 44.9% at September 30, 2003. Over the past several years, refinancing
has become easier to accomplish and less costly for many consumers. Hence, even in an interest rate
environment favorable to persistency improvement, the Company does not expect persistency will
approach its December 31, 1990 level.
If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance
that the Company writes could decline which would reduce the Companys revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
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The level of home mortgage interest rates, |
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the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies, |
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housing affordability, |
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population trends, including the rate of household formation, |
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the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect whether
refinance loans have LTV ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and |
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government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers. |
In general, the majority of the underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book of
mortgage insurance generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of the
underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result in
modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results occurs because
relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience occur in the first few years of
the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium
revenues, as persistency decreases due to loan prepayments, and higher losses.
If all other things were equal, a decline in new insurance written in a year that followed a number
of years of higher volume could result in a lower contribution to the mortgage insurers overall
results. This effect may occur because the older books will be experiencing declines in revenue and
increases in losses with a lower amount of underwriting profit on the new book available to offset
these results.
Whether such a lower contribution would in fact occur depends in part on the extent of the volume
decline. Even with a substantial decline in volume, there may be offsetting factors that could
increase the contribution in the current year. These offsetting factors include higher persistency
and a mix of business with higher average premiums, which could have the effect of increasing
revenues, and improvements in the economy, which could have the effect of reducing losses. In
addition, the effect on the insurers overall results from such a lower contribution may be offset
by decreases in the mortgage insurers expenses that are unrelated to claim or default activity,
including those related to lower volume.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce the Companys
revenues or increase its losses.
The business practices of the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal
Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), each of which is a government sponsored entity
(GSE), affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
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the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of Fannie Mae and
Freddie Macs charters, when private mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement
on low down payment mortgages, |
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whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac influence the mortgage lenders selection of the mortgage
insurer providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that selection, |
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whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac will give mortgage lenders an incentive, such as a reduced
guaranty fee, to select a mortgage insurer that has a AAA claims-paying
ability rating to benefit from the lower capital requirements for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac when a
mortgage is insured by a company with that rating, |
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the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by Fannie Mae or
Freddie Mac, which thereby affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the
availability of mortgage loans, |
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the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the cancellation
thresholds established by law, and |
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the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must perform activities intended to avoid or
mitigate loss on insured mortgages that are delinquent. |
The mortgage insurance industry is subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory
proceedings.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and
settlement service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been
involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate
Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair
Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. There can be no assurance that MGIC will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA
or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a material adverse effect on the
Company. In August 2005, the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit decided a case
under FCRA to which the Company was not a party that may make it more likely that the Company will
be subject to litigation regarding when notices to borrowers are required by FCRA.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department (the NYID), the
Company provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of
arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the NYID requested MGIC to
review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years experience
or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the NYID that
it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk,
premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in
response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce (the MDC), which
regulates insurance, the Company provided the MDC with information about captive mortgage
reinsurance and certain other matters. The Company subsequently provided additional information to
the MDC. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek
information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may
bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The
insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and
provide various mechanisms to enforce this prohibition. While the Company believes its captive
reinsurance arrangements are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible
to predict the outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their
effect on the Company or the mortgage insurance industry.
Net premiums written could be adversely affected if the Department of Housing and Urban
Development reproposes and adopts a regulation under the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act that
is equivalent to a proposed regulation that was withdrawn in 2004.
HUD regulations under RESPA prohibit paying lenders for the referral of settlement services,
including mortgage insurance, and prohibit lenders from receiving such payments. In July 2002, HUD
proposed a regulation that would exclude from these anti-referral fee provisions settlement
services included in a package of settlement services offered to a borrower at a guaranteed price.
HUD withdrew this proposed regulation in March 2004. Under the proposed regulation, if mortgage
insurance were required on a loan, the package must include any mortgage insurance premium paid at
settlement. Although certain state insurance regulations prohibit an insurers payment of referral
fees, had this regulation been adopted in this form, the Companys revenues could have been
adversely affected to the extent that lenders offered such packages and received value from the
Company in excess of what they could have received were the anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA
to apply and if such state regulations were not applied to prohibit such payments.
The Company could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that it maintains
is improperly disclosed.
As part of its business, the Company maintains large amounts of personal information on consumers.
While the Company believes it has appropriate information security policies and systems to prevent
unauthorized disclosure, there can be no assurance that unauthorized disclosure, either through the
actions of third parties or employees, will not occur. Unauthorized disclosure could adversely
affect the Companys reputation and expose it to material claims for damages.
The Companys income from joint ventures could be adversely affected by credit losses,
insufficient liquidity or competition affecting those businesses.
C-BASS: Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (C-BASS) is principally engaged
in the business of investing in the credit risk of credit sensitive single-family residential
mortgages. C-BASS is particularly exposed to funding risk and to credit risk through ownership of
the higher risk classes of mortgage backed securities from its own securitizations and those of
other issuers. In addition, C-BASSs results are sensitive to its ability to purchase mortgage
loans and securities on terms that it projects will meet its return targets. C-BASSs mortgage
purchases in 2005 and 2006 have primarily been of subprime mortgages, which bear a higher risk of
default. Further, a higher proportion of subprime mortgage originations in 2005 and in 2006, as
compared to 2004, were interest-only loans, which C-BASS views as having greater credit risk.
C-BASS has not purchased any pay option ARMs, which are another type of higher risk mortgage.
Credit losses are affected by housing prices. A higher house price at default than at loan
origination generally mitigates credit losses while a lower house price at default generally
increases losses. Over the last several years, in certain regions home prices have experienced
rates of increase greater than historical norms and greater than growth in median incomes. During
the period 2003 to 2005, according to the Office of Federal Housing Oversight, home prices
nationally increased 27%.
Recent forecasts predict that home prices will have minimal if any
increase over the remainder of 2006, and may decline in certain regions.
With respect to liquidity, the substantial majority of C-BASSs on-balance sheet financing for
its mortgage and securities portfolio is dependent on the value of the collateral that secures this
debt. C-BASS maintains substantial liquidity to cover margin calls in the event of substantial
declines in the value of its mortgages and securities. While C-BASSs policies governing the
management of capital at risk are intended to provide sufficient liquidity to cover an
instantaneous and substantial decline in value, such policies cannot guaranty that all liquidity
required will in fact be available. Further, approximately 43% of C-BASSs financing has a term of
less than one year, and is subject to renewal risk.
The interest expense on C-BASSs borrowings is primarily tied to short-term rates such as
LIBOR. In a period of rising interest rates, the interest expense could increase in different
amounts and at different rates and times than the interest that C-BASS earns on the related assets,
which could negatively impact C-BASSs earnings.
Although there has been growth in the volume of subprime mortgage originations in recent
years, volume is expected to decline in 2006, which may result in C-BASS purchasing fewer mortgages
for securitization. Since 2005, there has been an increasing amount of competition to purchase
subprime mortgages, from mortgage originators that formed real estate investment trusts and from
firms, such as investment banks and commercial banks, that in the past acted as mortgage securities
intermediaries but which are now establishing their own captive origination capacity. Many of these
competitors are larger and have a lower cost of capital.
Sherman: The results of Sherman Financial Group LLC (Sherman), which is principally engaged
in the business of purchasing and servicing delinquent consumer assets, are sensitive to its
ability to purchase receivable portfolios on terms that it projects will meet its return targets.
While the volume of charged-off consumer receivables and the portion of these receivables that have
been sold to third parties such as Sherman has grown in recent years, there is an increasing amount
of competition to purchase such portfolios, including from new entrants to the industry, which has
resulted in increases in the prices at which portfolios can be purchased.